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M A K E WA R
BY
M e mb e
F R AN C I S N E I L SO N
f P li m
J u y 9 D m b
ar
e n t,
h l h y
i gl i d i i d l
Th e
s n
w
n
o e t
v
eo r
ly
ar
u i
o f the
n a me
ua
an
n v e rse
to
You
10
d i e c te d
is
'
H U E B SC H
M C M X VI
.
19 15
to o n e
N EW Y O R K
.
e r,
W A L I W H I TM A N
ece
y i g h t 19 15 b y
B W H U EB S C H
Cop
.
F i r s t e d i ti o n
S c d di i
e
on
No v e m b e r ,
t on,
M a y,
P R NTE D I N U
1 9 15
1916
A.
P RE F AC E TO T HE SE C ON D E D ITI O N
N ow that i t i s n e c e ss a r y to p ublish a s e co n d e d iti on
o f th i s b o ok a n d a s I h av e r e sig n e d my s e at in P a rli a
m e nt I W i sh to take thi s opp o rtunity o f m ak i n g t h e
n a m e o f t h e a utho r publ i c
I a m gr at e fu l to my f r i e n d M r Alb e r t J ay N o ck
fo r h i s kin dn e ss in e d iti n g th e wo rk a n d fat h e ri n g t h e
b o ok up o n i ts rst app e a r a n c e
F RA N C IS N E I L S O N
,
New Y o rk Ap r i l 1 7th
,
19 16
C ONTENT S
C H AP T E R
I
P A GE
1 8 15
W a t e r l o o Af te r
i h
t i on a l r g t s
and
L o n g p e r i o d o f u n r e s t Nab
i n d i v i du a l r i g h t s U n p a t r i o t i c c r i t i cs
18 1 5
va lu Lite a
t u r e a n d Ji n g o e s B r i t a i n a n d h e r w a r m o n g e r s M i g h t
a
a n d Ri g h t Th e i n t e r e s t s o f t h e p e o p l e W h a t t h e
t i on s a r e g h t i g f o r Th e p w e r t h a t m a k e s w a r
Th e g o d o f b a t t l es Th e d i p l o m a t i c m a c h i n e Th e
w or k o f d i p l oma cy
A f te r
K a i s er
th e
is
cru h e d
Ne w
es
C H AP T E R I I
SC RA P S
OF
P A P ER
T r e a t i e s of 1 8 3 1 a n d 1 8 3 9 H o l l a n d a n d B e l g i u m
P a l me s t n a n d T a l l e yr a n d T e a ty m a ki n g a n d t h e
b a l a n c e o f p o w e r L o d G r a v il l e a d t h e C r m e
S e v a t o p o l Af t e r th e T e a ty of P a r i s W a r s f om 1 8 3 7
8 5 0 S i r R o b e r t P e e l a n d a rm a m e t s Th e D u k e o f
to
W e l li n gt on a n d F r a n ce Af t e
8 5 4 Di s a e l i
a nd
Gl a d s ton e Th e p a n i c o f 1 8 60 C ob d e n a n d th e ut t e l y
fut il e t h e o ry o f s e c r ecy Th e r i s e f B i s m a ck Th e i a
G e o r g e B r a n d e s n L a s a ll e a n d B i s
u e n ce of L a s s a ll e
m a r c k M i g h t a n d R i g h t P o l a n d 8 6 2 P r u s s i a a d
Ru s s i a L e t t e r f om Ki n g o f th e B e l g i a n s t o ! u e en V i c
to r i a F i t m a u r i ce o
t h e d i p l m a cy c o n c e r n i n g t h e p a r
and
D e nma k
t i t i o n o f P o l a n d S c hl e s w i g H o l s t e i
B i t a i n s r e l a t i o n t h e t o F r a c Th e d i p l om at i c s qu a b
Scra p f P a p e
b l e s o f th e C on t i e n t
! u e e n Vi c
t o i a w o k s f o r p e a c e L e tt e rs t o L o d G r a n v il l e D i s
i n th e H ou s e J h n B i g h t a d th e b l a c e
r a e li s m t i o
o f p w e r Th e p e o p l e a n d t r e a t i es Th e c on d i t i o n o f
B r i t a i n 1 8 64
Th e
! !
15
CO NTENTS
xi i
C HAP T ER I I I
P
1 8 70
S p i h h B i m ck d M l k
l g m Ed i B i m c k B i t i h
T h Em
i
m
Th
u
dv
i
c
B
l
i
u
li y Th
8
t
!
g
7
ch m
f B i m ck
d N p l
III M l y t h
B ii h
i ud Th T i f 8 7 Gl d t t
Th
J h B i g h t Di p l m t i c u
ut l l g
i g Of c h
d
w T hi
d P u i
Th F
y p y d t h p li t i c l p ty i P u i
T h m ili
d
P c
i
i
A
l
c
L
i
Gl d t
t
g
B i i f
f
f m C ti t l t gl m t i
v il l
ut li ty B i i
p i
d
87 L d G
i i 9 4 S c t u d t di g F ig f i d
hi p N u li y f B l g i m F i g p li cy d v i l
i f h T ty f 8 3 9 Th p v i i i T i
ct i
f 87 B i i
w
t c mp
b l w i th t h t
87 W
t l w f Ru i
f
d B l ck S
E
i l p i c i p l f h l w f t i I t
i
i
l l w Th
m b lli B l g i u m
p p
l v l u f t t i Di p l m cy d t i y
Th m
P lm
l
t
Cl
d
857 L d G
i
v ill d i f lti Th c d i t i
f B it i
8 84
Su c i
c e s s o n to th e
te e
ra
es
ea
r ee
t on
t on
re a
r ta n s
ar
ssent a
rs
ora
e r s ton s
cu
e s
ca
e o
rea
ett e r
es
on ,
a ren
on
s on e s
en s
ore
s on s
a ra
o a
r e at es
on s
ea
n ern a
a r a t on s
re
r en
an
na
e r r to r
an
ran
or
os
an
ro
on
ss a
es
ue
ar
ss a
r ta n s
te r
no
s on e
ss a
en an
o re
no
on
r n
on
ra
e rs a n
n en a
ne
n eu
ea
or r a n e
ers a n
t on a
tra
re
ra
39
e ne
on
an
an
or e
ro
ra n
or
o eo n
sa
no
an
on s
r ta n
e a rs
a rt
ot a
ne
en a n
o t
an
ar
n rest
e t
r e a t es
ta r
ar
an
o re
ar
e en s
a tt t
r t s
ron e
to r
ra
an s
A GE
a n
C H AP T ER IV
F R I EN D S H I P S
erma n
and
co l o n i e s B i s m a rck s p o l i cy F i t z
Lu x e m b o u r g q u a r r e l O d o R u s s e l l o n
u i ce a d th e
B i m ck a d B i t i h f o e i g n p o li cy B i s m a rck s l et t e r
Lo d Act o t o M a y Gl a d t o n e R e s o l u t i o i n t h e H ou s e
o f C m m n s o n e m b a ki g i
w a r w i t h ou t t h e k o w l e d g e
a n d c o s e t o f P a li a m e t Na v a l e xp e d i tu r e
1887
Ru i a a d F a n c e T ou l o n a d K o s t a d t Th e i s e i n
t
a m m
G m ny b e f o e a d a ft e th e B o e r W a
F c i g th p c e G m a n y v e rs u s F r a c e a d Ru s s i a
M o oc co S e c t a t i c l V o n Bu l o w o r e l at i s o f
B i t i a d G ma y M D e lca s s Th e K a i s e r s v i s i t
Th e p r e s s c a m p a i g n B a ro n d E s t o u r
to Ta g i e
C on s t a n t o n t h e A g l o F r e n c h A g e eme n t
n e ll e s d e
ma
ar
ss
or
er
er
er
re
a n
en s
es
on
rs
66
CONTE N T S
G m y ig
C mpb l l B
an
er
d L o r d
nore
L a n s d ow n e
Mr
xi i i
on
S i r H en r
war
A GE
t a te m e ts i n 1 9 0 5
B a l fo
L d R eb e y
v i l t p l m i cs S i E dw a d G ey
a d
lli n c e U d e i a b l e e t g l em e t s M r C h a m
a d G e m a y C o t i n u i ty o f f o r e i g
b e la i
p li cy
M
A qu i t h o c a e t k e s L d R e b e y o n t h e A n
l
m
T
t
Mr
F
c
h
A
G
v
e
e
e
t
e
e
r
m
n
h
w
e
e
e
g
g
a t th e
A qu i t h d t h K a i
Gu il d h a l l Lo r d C r o
me
s t a t li n g i n f o m a t i o
a
os
or
a
o-
or
os
ser
r s
an
n an
o e
s r
ur s
o en
on
a n n e rm a n
n.
C H AP T ER V
E N EM I ES
G m y B i t i f t th B w
Th
T i ff R f m c mp i g Th p
c mp i g
Th
i
t
G
m
y
S c hl w i g H l i i v i
g
e Th
um u
d M D lc
m m t i gM d
P
M D l c e Th i t v i w i L G
e
l i M
B yc
d M
M l y
d g
f th
th
h
c
m
i
T
y
l
l
w
L d R b t
d
p
p g
p
h
Exp d i i
y F c L d H l b y Si H y
C mp b l l B
m
d h
H gu C f
c Th
Sc
M
C h u c hill
f
v
m g
m ch
c
h
t
S
G m ybf
th
t
d ft
w
p
b
k f h t ili i
N
etz s
ch e
ar
a ns
an
o s
ress
ar
or
ann er
an
t es
os
on
a re
on
an
er
an
ers
an
e ore
eren
an
er s
r.
e rs
au
on
ur
a s on
a s
r n
or
or
en
ress
an
a n s ea
or e
en t s
r ea
ee
an
t on a r
n er
o ste n
e ar
ress
en r
ar
o er
es
ass
er
ass
on
a n a
an
er
rs
an
er
e or
r es s eu s
an d
er
ou
C H AP T ER VI
P A N I C M OsN GER s
F r a n co
Th e
d ip l
111
om a t
ic
ic
e rm a n
t r a i ck i n g s
D cl
e
Fo rc e s
Th e
a r a t on
Gv
Th e
a ga n st
p e op l e a n d
d e m o c a cy
r
c a s e Th e G e
Go v e m e t s v a l d e c l a t i o n t B r i t a i n Th e
m
Ji g s t m M r Mu lli n e M r A s qu i t h o G e rm a n
i M B a l f ou e t i m a t e f G e r m a n n a v a l
e xp a
d G ey o n a ma me t s Th e G ov
t e g t h S i r E d w
t
m Th e b ud g e t f 1 9 0 9
e n m e t b w b ef re th e
L o d R o s b e y a d A r m a g e dd n Th e G e e a l E l e ct i o n
C h u c hil l o n t h e m e t h o d s o f h i s p o li t i ca l
of 1 9 0 M r
o pp on en t s Th e B i t i h s t r e n g t h i n s hi p s 1 9 04 a n d
9 0
Th e p a n
an
of
1 9 09
rn
or
r s
ar
s or
ra
ern men t s
na
n s on
s r
CON TEN TS
xiv
P A GE
c h a t H a n l ey Th e J i n go p r e s s
M A s qu i t h s r emo n
c a m p i gn i c e a s e s i n v i l en c e
s t r a n c e D r e a d n a u g h t s a n d p e d r e a d n a u gh t s
M r B a l f ou r s
s pe e
r.
C HAP T ER V I I
I N S U R A NC E
Th e p o
li cy
of
u rop e a
na
13 2
v a l exp a n s i on S ec re t f or
m ili t a i t s Th e G o v e rn
p li cy P a cis t s a d
m e n t b l u n d e r s o f 9 9 Th e G e m a n F l e e t La w Th e
d i qu i e t i g ru mo u r s f 9 0 8 B r i t i h a v a l e xp a n s i on
T h e t d r e a d a u g h t Th e A g l F r e c h A g r e e m e t
d i t s e ff ec t o n G e r m a n e t i m a t e s A m i n g a g a i t
G e ma n y Th e w o k o f t h e B i t i s h a n d F r e n c h n a va l
a d m ili t a ry e x p e t s Th e A n g l o Ru s s i a n A g e e m e n t
Th e K a i e r Tw e e dmo u t h c o r e
U n d e r w hi c h K i n g ?
a i e r c m p l a i n s F u y o f th e Ji g o
K
n
T
h
o
d
e
ce
e
n
p
a tch w o r d s
ab a d o n e d G e m a n
O
l
d
L
i
b
r
a
l
w
s
s
e
e
p
f e e li n g a g a i n s t B i t i n Th e p o li cy of i o l a t i g G e r m a y
C m p a r i s o f n a v i e s 9 0 8 Th e gu r e s f o r n e w con
i
B
b
s
s
s
u
i
W h a t i n t e l li g e n t
1 9 9 to
e
s t ruct i on
g
9 4
G e ma n s mu s t h a v e t h ou gh t o f B i t i s h f e i gn a n d n a v a l
p li cy F i gu r e s f T r i p l e E t e t e a n d T r i p l e A lli a c e
a
c
o
m
d
M i i s ters m i s l e d
f o r n e w c o n t uc t i on
e
p
9 4
E d w a r d G ey a n d G e ma n n a v a l p o
i
1 9 09 S i r
t
o
a
a
m
d
R
o
b
r
s
a
d
L
r
d
H
l
d
n
Th e P a
o
r
m
L
r
e
e
e
g
t h e r : v i s i t t o A g a d i r a f t e r t h e F e c h e x p e d i t i on t o F e
e i gn
r s
o-
rs
an
ns
on
s r
or
z.
C HAP T ER VI I I
AP OSTL ES
OF
P EA C E
O th e e M r C hu rchil l a t th e Ad mi r a l ty Th e n e w
b
T
h
s
a
u
li
c
li
cy
u
m
y
P
e
e
o
f
E
t
t
r
c
e
n
e
o
s
Mr
w
e
p
p
p
Dil l n o n M o r occo Th e p ub li c a t i o o f t h e s e c r e t a t i c l e s
S i r E d w a r d G e y o f o e i g n f i e d s hi p s M B o n a r
L w o n G e r m a n y L o d M l ey o n G e m a y
a mb i
t i o n L o r d Ro s e b e y
f e i g p li cy L o d H a ld a e s
v i s i t t o B e r li n M A s qu i t h o th e c r i s i s o f 1 9 1 Th e
G e m a n C h a c e l l o r a d th e B i t i s h Go v e rn m e n t s mi s s i on
t o B e r li
S t a t e gy a n d f or e i g n p o li cy M r C h urch
i l l s d ec l a r a t i o n Th e
h o li d a y B e r n h a r d i
n av a l
.
on
or
or
r.
r.
15 4
C O NTENTS
xv
C ommo n s G erm a n y i s o l a te d Th e n a v a l
i
t
e
r
r
a
a
n
Th e a tt i tud e o f t h e
h
n
o
i
t
i
on
t
M
e
d
i
e
n
e
p
m a e M r B o n a r L a w s w a rn i g Th e c o n s c r i p t i o n
i s t s L o d R o b e t s s p e e c h a t M a n c h e s t e r T h ucyd i d e s
L o r d P e r cy s s t a r t li n g s t a t e m e n t
Th e d i s p os i t i o n o f th e
B i t i h a n d F r e n c h e et s i 1 9 1 2 B e l g i a n p r ep a r a t i o n s
Th e p os i t i o n o f B e l g i um
qu o t e d
P A GE
i n th e
ss
n
.
C H AP T E R I X
N 01
I NTER E S T
S ec r e cy a n d h e r e d i ty Aw k w a r d qu e s t i o n s F o r e i gn
A a i s
D eb a t e o n t h e A my S e cr et a l l i a n c e w i t h
F a n c e Th e F o r e i g n S e c r e t r y q u e s t i o n e d a g a i n
Na v a l p o li cy n o t f o r t h e pub li c
M r S w i f t M a cNe i ll o n
s e c r e cy i
f o r e i g a ff a i r s ! u e s t i on s a b ou t F e
Th e
C o m i t d u M a r o c B r i t i s h i t e r e s t s i n M r occ Th e
A g a d i r c r i s i s S ec r e t a g e e m t s M i n i t e r s a t v a r i
a n c e Th e b a i s o f G o v e n m e t
Sp i n o z a
P U B LI C
TH E
IN
182
en
C H AP T E R
TH E P OW ER
Th e
re
TO
d eb a t e
ma rkab
W AR
on
20 1
th e E
Fo r c e M r
xp d i i
p e ec h S i r
y
Regi a l d P l e Ca
t on a r
n
A m e ry s
r ew
on
th e
Th e No u o e lle R e v u e Th e e n t e n t e
a n d n a v a l p o li cy Lo r d H u g h C e c il q u e s t i o n s M r
As
-G n r a l
i
o
t
h
t
n
r
t
a
n
t
u
d
n
d
i
M
a
u
h
n
s
ec
r
s
o
r
Sir
e
e
e
e e
j
q
g
I vo r H e rb e rt o n a C o n t i n e n t a l A lli a n c e M o r e a w k
Th e n a v a l e s t i m a t e s o f 1 9 1 3
w a r d qu e s t i o n s t o M i n i s t e r s
M r L e e a n d Lo r d C h a r l e s B e r e s f or d o n th e n a v a l
p o li cy i n th e M e d i t e r r a n e a n C o n t r a d i ct i on s Lo r d H a l
War
C i ce
s ec r e t
p o li cy Th e
ava l
Pow e n a va l
h o li d a y a g a i n Ex p e n d i tu r e o n a v i e s f o r 1 9 1 3
Th b u d e o n B i t a i n Th e F o e i g S e c r e t a ry s p o w e r
! u es t i on s i n 1 9 1 4 n s ec et un d s t a n d i n gs
da
ne
th e
on
E n t en t e
rs
er
C H AP T ER X I
TH E W OR K OF D IP LOMA TI STS
B r i t a i n i n 1 9 1 4 Con d i t i on of G e rma n y Th e i n t e r
n a l a ff a i r s o f F r a n c e I t a l y s p o s i t i o n b e f o r e th e w a r
2 22
CONTENT S
xvi
ii
Ru s s i a Th e W hi t e P a p e r
W h e n th e H ou s e o f C o m mo n s h e a r d o f t h e c r i s i s D e s
p a tc h m a ki n g W h a t t h e H o u s e w a s n ot t o l d S i r E d
1 7 Ru s s i a n
w a r d G r e y i n t h e t o il s D e s p a tc h No
Th e
Au s t i a
in
cr s s
P A GE
m b ili
d i p l om a cy O r d e s t o th e ee t
Th e a tt i tud O f Ru s i a a f t e t h e e e t s a il e d Di p l o m a t i c
c h e s s M S a o o f D p r e s s i o i n B e r li n T e l e g r a m s
A l l w o u l d d e p e d o n Ru s s i a
o f th e C a r a d K a i s e r
Ev e n t i P e t e b u g Th e f r e e s t a s s e mb l y i t h e
l d Th e C o mm on s a w e e k b e f o r e th e d e c l a r a t i o n f
w
o
zat on
e rm a n
rs
or
w ar
C HAP T ER X I I
A G AM E
OF
26 1
C H ES S
F o r e i g n S e c r e t a ry s s t a t e m e n t o n J u l y 3 o t h D e s
T
n
a
t
c
h
N
8
h
i
f
a
m
o
u
s
b
a
r
a
i
B e l gi an fo r e
o
n
e
p
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CONT E NTS
xvii
B r i t i s h d ocume n t s W h a t t h e F o r e i g n S ec r et a ry d i d n ot
t e l l t h e H o u s e S ec r e cy t o t h e b i t t e r e d S t r i v i n g f o r
P e a c e B un d to F a ce W h a t F r a n c e a n d B e l g ium
w e e d i g m e a w hil e M o r e s t a g e d i s c r e p a n c i e s
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AF TER MATH
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b rou g h t i t a b o u t No t hi n g s o c h e a p a s h u m a n li f e
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e x a mp l e t h e r e d w e ll a n d t o il i n t h e B r i t i s h v ill a g e o f Du m
d ru d g e u s u a ll y s o m e v e h u n dr e d s o ul s
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c er t a i n N a t u r a l E n e m i es o f t he F r e n ch t h e re a r e s u c
ce s s iv e ly s e l e c t e d
d u r i n g t h e F r e n ch w a r s ay t h i r t y a b l e
b o di e d m e n : D u m dr u dge a t he r o w n e x p e n se has s uck l e d
a n d n u r s e d t h e m ; s h e h a s n o t w i t h o u t d i fc ul t y a n d s o r r ow
fe d t h e m u p t o m a n h o o d an d e v e n t r a i n e d t h e m t o c ra f ts
s o t h a t o n e can w e a v e a n o t h e r b ui ld a n o t h e r h a mm e r a n d
u n de r t h i r t y s t on e a v o i r dup o i s
t h e w e a k e s t ca n
s ta n d
N ev e rt h e l es s a m i d much w ee p i n g an d sw e a r in g t h e y a r e
s e l ec t e d ; a ll d r e s s e d i n r e d ; a n d s h i pp e d aw a y a t t he p u b lic
ch a rg e s s o m e t w o t h ou s an d m il es o r s ay o n l y t o th e s ou t h
o f S p a i n ; an d fe d t h e r e t ill w a n t e d
An d n ow t o t h a t s am e
s p o t i n t h e s o u t h o f S p a i n a r e t h i r t y S i m il a r F r en ch ar t i s a n s
f ro m a F r e n ch D u m dr u dge i n li k e m an n e r w en di n g : t ill a t
l en g t h a f t e r i n fi n i t e e ffo r t t h e t w o p a r t i es co m e i n to a ct u a l
j u x t a p os i t i on ; a n d T h i rt y S t a n ds f r on t i n g T h i r ty e a ch w i t h
is
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a
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gun i n h is h a n d
g i v e n : an d t h e y b l o w t he s ou l s o u t o f o n e an ot h er ; a n d i n
t he p l a c e o f s ix ty b r i s k u s e f u l c r a f t s m e n t h e w or l d h as s ix t y
d e a d c a r c a ss es wh i ch i t m u s t bu r y a n d a n e w s h e d t e a rs fo r
?
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H OW D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
m all e s t ! T h e y li v e d fa r e n ough a p a r t ; w e r e t he e n t i r e s t
t h e re w as e v e n u n
s t r a n g e rs ; n a y i n s o w i d e a U n i v e r s e
c on s c i o u s l y by C o mm e r c e s o m e mu t u a l h e l pfu l n es s b e t w e e n
t hem
H o w t h e n ? S i mp l e t on ! t h e i r G o v e r n o rs h a d f a ll e n
i n s t e a d o f s h oo t i n g o n e a n o t h e r h a d t h e cu n n i n g
o u t : an d
Al as s o i t i s i n
t o m a k e t h e s e p oor b l o ckh e a ds s h o o t
D e u t s ch l a n d a n d h i t h e r t o i n a ll o t h e r l a n ds ; s t ill a s o f Old
wh a t d ev il r y s o ev e r K i n g s do t he G re e ks mu s t p ay t he
p i pe r !
C a rl y l e S a r t o r R es a r t u s
s
a ll i e s wa s a ccompl i sh e d a n d t h e m an o f b lo o d
w a s s a f e ly i so la te d o n S t H el e na Eu r op e kn e w
l i ttl e p ea ce n o r d id B r i ta i n r e st from the lab ou r s o f
Th e n at i ons o f Eu r op e d i d not d isb a n d
t h e a rs e nal
the i r a rm i es They d id not b e a t th e i r swo rds i nto
ploughsha res no r d i d th e y dec i de tha t b attlesh i p s
would b e re q u i re d no m or e
,
H OW D I P L O M ATS MA KE WA R
P R O M IS ES AN D F U L F ILM ENT
j u st wa r Th e e n d o f it i s to b e a d emo cra ti c
mill e n n i u m N o o n e i s to b e l e ft out o f the ap oth e o si s
o f t h e natio n s
Ru ss i a w i ll b e the fre e st lan d o n
F i nn a n d S lav w ill a ll u nit e
e a r th ; P ol e a n d J e w
i n a l i b erty which i n th e p r e ss a l r e a dy tou ch e s the
con n es o f li c e nce N o mo r e B a lkan troubl e s no
more aggra n d i z ement no m ore en v y gr e e d o r bully
in g
D i sa rmam e nt i s only one o f th e b l e ssings whi ch
will com e to th e ra c e o f man a fte r th e Ka i s e r i s S hu t
u p o n the I slan d o f Ju a n Fern ande z o r s ome othe r
p a ci c sp ot
I t i s a p i ty N i e t z s ch e d i e d b e for e he complete d
h i s Tr a n s v a lu a ti o n o f All Va lu e s When the b u
r e au cr a t s o f P r u ssi a a n d Ru ss i a r ega rd the i nte r
e sts o f a ll G e r m ans a n d Ru s si a n s a s a rst cha rge
on t h e d e p artm e n ts th e n w e S ha ll no t know wh a t t o
d o w i th ma ny v o lum e s that now o ccu py s o mu ch
sp a ce o n o u r b ook sh e lv e s Ne w valu es w i ll b e n e c
p au se wh i le w e p on d e r the qu est i on :
W i ll m e n
Th e
mu ch les s G ov e rnm e n ts cha nge s o qu i ckly ?
nob le a sp i ra t i ons o f m e n writ i ng u n d e r th e st r a i n
o f a great wa r a re no t always warranted u nshr i nk
d oubt i n
H OW D I P L O M ATS MA KE WAR
M E M O R I ES
foste re d by th e cl e r gy ; a n d l e a d e r s o f thought
a n d wa r O f c e o rga n i z e rs
hav e j o ine d
a n d so l d i ers
s o c i eti e s fou n d e d fo r t he p rop aga n d a o f p e a c e
so
th a t t h e u s e fu l d o ct r i n e
t h e b e st w ay to k e e p t h e
wh e n t h e cry wa s
We wa nt e i ght a n d w e w on t
wa it
T hi s J i n go m a d e a n att e mp t t o S how h is
symp athy w ith B e r gso n wh e n i n t h e d e ba t e i n t h e
H ous e o f C omm o n s o n Augu st 3 r d 1 9 1 4 h e s a i d
t h e S pe e ch e s o f t h e p a ci s t s w h o h a d t h e cou r ag e to
e xp r e s s th e i r opi n i o n s w e r e
t h e v e r y d r e gs a n d l e e s
0 f th e
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No o n e s e e m s t o
t h e b e gin n ing o f Augu st 1 9 1 4
rem emb e r what the n at i o n suffere d f r om 1 9 0 8 to t h e
19 14
No o n e rememb e rs that t h e
e n d O f July
contempt o f t h e m i l i ta r i sts o f B r i ta i n fo r t h e a d v o
cate s o f p e ace a t home wa s j us t a s d eep a s that o f
tiz ed
H OW D I PLO M AT S M A K E WA R
t i on
M i ght i s R i ght
u p to a p o i nt When
.
M A X I M S FO R M O N AR C HS
m e mo r i z e )
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s e s s i on i s n i ne p o i n ts o f t h e law
I t i s tru e N a
e
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him ; but i t mu st b e r e m e mb e r e d tha t a c e n tury ha s
p as s e d S i n ce h i s m e tho d s o f lay i ng t h e b a s i s o f a n
e mp i r e u ps e t s o
m any Eu rop e a n s
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H i s G ov e rnment n e v e r vot e d
0 0 0 i n a S ingl e y e a r fo r n ava l pu rp os e s
I n th e s e
d ays a b oy scou t coul d t e ll h i m th i n gs ab out ex
pl o s i v e s a n d subma r i n e s th a t wou l d m ak e hi s ha i r
sta n d o n e n d ; s o fa r ha s s c i enc e ca r r i e d u s o nwa rd
and p r ogr e ss l e ft the v i ctor o f J e n a b e h i n d P e r
h ap s t h e w r i t e rs o f b o oks on N ap o l e o n d o not k n ow
h o w ha rm fu l the i r wo rks a r e i n givi n g fals e n o t i o n s
o f wha t ca n b e a ccompli sh e d by stu dy i n g st r a te gy
a n d e mp i r e -maki n g ; t h e m ona rchs a n d gen e r a ls tha t
h av e b e e n le d a stray in th i s r e sp e ct a re l e g i o n
Even s o i t i s not to b e i n f e rr e d th at th i s w a r wou l d
not h av e tak e n p la c e i f t h e K a i se r h a d not tak e n
to r e a d i ng b o oks o n N a p ol e on T h e Emp e ro r o f
G e rm a ny may h o weve r s omet i m es consol e hims e l f
w i th t h e thought tha t B r i ta i n o n e hun dr ed ye a rs ago
sa i d o f N ap oleo n what sh e n ow s ays o f the K a i se r
,
H OW D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
10
a r e g h ti n g
said
Au st r i a a n d G e r m any mu st b e
t h r a sh e d b e cau s e t h e p r inc i pl e s o f d e mo c r a cy mu st
b e m a inta i n e d by B r i ta i n wh o s e du ty i t ha s always
b e e n to k e e p op e n t h e ro a d o f p r og r e ss
All s e e m
t o b e ag r e e d t h e p r i n ci pl e s o f d e m o c r a cy a r e a t
stak e N o country thi n ks o f putting th e s e p r i n c i
p l e s i nto p r a cti c e bu t som e how th e y s e e m to b e
wo r th ghti n g fo r An d t h e ght m i ght cost twi c e
a s mu ch a s w a s sp e nt o n b e at i n g Nap ol e o n t e n tim e s
a s ma n y liv e s might b e sa c r i c e d a s t h e n at i ons los t
d u r i n g t h e who l e o f N apol e o n s campa ign s a n d o n e
hun d r e d t i m e s a s m any wou n d e d a n d c r i ppl e d and
th e n i n t h e e n d the p e op le n d th e ms e lv e s e co n o m
i ca lly i n d ustr i ally a n d na nc i ally wo r s e o ff tha n
th e y w e r e i n 1 8 3 0 ; no m a tt e r t h e Ka i s e r mu st b e
cru she d for he i s a men a ce to p ea ce and a dang e r
an
A CEN TU RY AGO
I I
The S i t u a t i on
h i s c o u n t r y a t t he s u cce s sfu l c l os e o f
I t is a
a n d w o r t hy o f o b s e r v a t i o n
a l o n g w a r is s i n gu l a r
f a c t t h a t p e a c e i n s t e a d o f h a v i n g b ro ugh t u s s e cu r i t y re
t r e n chm en t r e li e f f r o m bu r t h e n s o r e x t e n d e d c o mm e r c e t o
e n a b l e u s t o he a r t h e m h a s l e f t u s a ll t h e e x p e n s e s o f w a r
w i t h o u t g a i n i n g t o u s t he f r i e n ds h i p o f t he v e r y P ow e rs fo r
wh o m w e u n de r to o k i t O f a ll t he c o u n t r i es t h a t o n e
a g a i n s t wh i ch w e f o ugh t h a s c o m e o u t o f t h e c o n t e s t w i t h
t h e l e a s t h a r m ; a n d t h a t wh i ch s e t a ll t h e res t i n m o t i o n h a s
s u ff e re d i n t he h i gh e s t d e g r e e
o
H OW D I PLO M ATS MA K E WA R
12
A L I CEN S E D C AM O R RA
t he
fo rm at i on
S e cr e cy e n ci r cl e s a Fo reign S e cr e ta r y
w i t h myst e ri ou s walls H i s wo r k l i k e th e m ol e s
i s subte rr a nea n
Thi s i s not always h i s fau lt ; th e
.
H OW
14
D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
'
C HA P TE R I I
S C RA P S
Sh a ll t on gu e o r p e n
B e w a i l h e r n o w u n co u n t r y g en t l e m e n ?
The l as t t o b i d t h e cr y o f w a r f a r e c e ase
Th e r s t t o m a k e a m a l a dy o f p e a c e
F o r wh a t w e r e a ll t h e s e c o u n t r y p a t r i o t s b o r n ?
To hu n t a n d v o t e a n d r a i s e t h e p r i c e o f c o r n ?
B u t c o r n li k e e v e r y m o rt a l t h i n g mu s t f a ll
K i n gs c on qu e r o r s a n d m a r k e t s m o s t o f a ll
An d mu s t ye f a ll w i t h e v e r y ca r o f g r a i n ?
W hy w o u l d yo u t r o ub le B u on ap a r t e s r e i g n ?
H e w a s y o u r g r e a t T r i p t o l e mu s h i s v i c e s
D e s t ro y d b u t re a l m s a n d s t i ll m a in t a in d y o u r p r i c es ;
H e a mp li e d t o e v e r y l o r d s c o n t e n t
The g r a n d a g r a r i a n a l chymy h i gh t r en t
W hy d i d yo u ch a i n h i m o n yo n i s l e s o l o n e ?
Th e m a n w as w o r t h much m o r e up on h i s t h r on e
T r u e b l o o d a n d t r e a s u r e b o u n dl e s s l y w e r e s p il t
B u t wh a t o f t h a t ? t h e G a u l m ay b e a r t h e gu il t
B y r o n Th e Ag e of B r o n z e
Al as
t he
c o u n t ry !
PA P E R
OF
how
p r e s e nt t r oubl e k n ow t h e hi sto r y o f th e sc r ap o f
p ap e r
tha t w a s t h e ca s u s b e lli f The E n cyclo
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.
15
H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
16
S C R APS O F P APE R
S p e nd a n hou r re a d ing
th e
:7
utt e r ly
They a ll
p a ck o f s h wi v e s N e ith e r Dut ch n o r B e lg i ans wer e
p l e as e d wh e n the s e ttl e m e nt w a s ma d e ; i n de e d th e
Ki n g o f H o llan d v e r y soo n d e e d the Alli e s a n d
S h o w e d h i s co n t e mp t fo r t h e
s crap o f p ap e r
whi ch the Powe r s w e r e i n no ha st e to S i gn A fte r
t h e Tr e aty o f 1 8 3 1 wa s co n summ ate d by t h e S igna
tu r e o f Ru ss i a t h e l a s t p owe r to S ign o n M ay 4 t h
1 8 3 2 i t wa s n o t lo ng b e fo r e t h e n e utral stat e s H o l
la n d a n d B elg i um h a d a n other r o w thi s t i m e ab ou t
Lu x emb ou r g a n d Limb ou rg F i na lly the m atte r
wa s a dj u ste d a n d a n e w
s cr ap o f p ap e r w a s
1 83 9
a t Lo n d on T re a t y-m ak
S i gn e d Ap r i l l gt h
i n g wa s not the so l e mn affa i r th e j ou r nalists o f
to d a y imagi n e ; a n d the m ak ers o f tr e at i e s w e re not
always a ctu at e d by the p u r e st m otiv e s T he i r a c
ti o n s a n d me tho d s w e r e o ft en e nou gh comp a rable
only to tho se o f a ce r ta in cl a ss o f ho r s e d e a l e r whos e
b a rga in s s at i s fy n e it h e r t h e s e ll e r no r the buy e r
Anyw ay th e b a lan ce o f p owe r w a s s e cu re d a nd
the r e s e e m e d no re a son w h y a ny Eu rop e a n S hou l d
ev e r think o f go i ng to w a r aga in For d eca d e s t h e
t e r m b al an c e o f p ow e r m e ant noth i ng a t a ll to
mi lli o n s o f m e n who sw e at e d th e i r l i v e s a way
wh e n th e y did n o t g i v e th e ms e lv e s a s fo o d fo r c an
n o n to h e lp p ay th e b ill fo r m a i n ta i n ing the b a l
a n ce
I t ha s a lways b e e n a shi ft i ng qu est i on ; fo r
a ft e r sa cr i cing thou s a n d s o f live s a n d sp e nd i n g m il
li ons o f p ou n d s i n att e mpts to p re s e rv e t he b al ance
the r e sult o f b attl e s ha s s e l d om le ft the b ala n ce o f
pow e r where i t w a s N eve r wa s such a w obb ly th i ng
inv e nt e d to i n fli ct s o mu ch m i s e ry o n m a n k i n d
And d i p loma t i sts a s a rul e hav e h a d a p oo r op in i on
ce e d in g s
H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
18
G e rm a n y
a n d a ll t h e
c o n s e qu e n c e s
NE T R E SULTS
The
i ge
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20
D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
W e h a v e g e n e r al s wh om w e do n ot t r us t an d wh om w e do
n ot
k n o w h o w t o r e p l a c e W e h a v e a n Amb a s s a do r a t
C o n s t a n t i n o p l e a n a b l e m a n a ca t wh o m n o o n e c a r e s t o
b e ll wh o m s o m e t h i n k a p r i n c i p a l c a u s e o f th e w a r o t h e r s
t h e c a u s e o f s o m e o f t h e c a l a m i t i e s wh i ch h a v e a tt e n de d t h e
c o n duc t o f t h e w a r ; a n d wh o m w e k n o w t o h a v e t hw a r te d
o r n e g l e c t e d m an y o f t h e o bj e c t s o f h i s G ov e rn m e n t
The
F r e n ch g e n e r a l s se e m w o r s e t h a n o u rs ; th e t r oo p s b e f o re
S e v as t o p o l i n f e r i or t o o u r s i f n o t t o t h e Ru s s i a n s
,
I n t h e m e a n wh il e t h e d e a t h s o f b r a v e m e n a n d d i s t i n
gu i s h e d o ffi c e r s , f a l li n g i n a ff a i r s wh i ch h a v e a b s o l u t e l y n o
r e s u l t s , p res s U p o n u s t h e d u t y o f c o n s i de r i n g wh e t h e r i t i s
a b s o l u t e l y n e c e ss a r y t o c o n t i n u e t h e w a r
va lu e to m a n k i n d will b e ga i n e d
H e m i ght als o
h av e sa i d I n a fe w y e a r s t h e Ru ssi an a n d the Tu r k
w i ll b e a t e a ch oth e r s thro ats a n d e v e n B r i ta i n t o
s ay n o thing o f F r a n c e wi ll stand a s i d e a n d le t them
t e a r e a ch oth e r t o p i e c e s
Th e Tr e aty o f P a r i s gave t he g o d o f b attles l i ttle
Th e p e r io d from Vi cto r i a s a cce ss i on to t he
r e st
d at e o f t h e R e p e al o f t h e C o r n Laws wa s r e pl e t e
with wa r s ; a n d sco r es o f p e opl e s s ca tt e r e d n e a rly a ll
o v e r t h e e a r th
e n gag e d t h e att e n ti on o f t h e m a rt i a l
d e ity
A c o mpl e t e l ist o f t h e wa rs a n d revoluti on s
o f tha t p e r i o d w o ul d o ccupy too much sp a c e ; bu t to
m e n ti on som e o f the lo cal i t i e s
to i n d i cate how
,
PE E L ON A R M A M E NTS
2I
w i d esp r e a d th e a re a wa s ove r wh i ch th e go d h a d
t o watch t h e st r i f e
m ay s e r v e a u s e fu l pu rp o s e
Th e r e wa s a r e volut i on i n C a n a d a ; C ha rtist d i s
t u r b a n ce s a t hom e ; wa r i n A fghan i sta n ; tu mults i n
V i e n n a B e rlin a n d R om e : th e r e w e r e wa rs i n I n d i a
B u r ma E gyp t Tu rk e y a n d C hi n a ; to s ay noth i n g
o f the r i s i n gs i n I r e lan d a n d Sout h Wale s Fr a nc e
1 8 4 8 was a ve ry bu sy
o f cou rs e h a d a revolut i on
ye a r fo r t h e g o d o f b attl e s N i e t z sche wa s n o t to
blam e fo r a n y o f thos e wa r s
I n d e e d t h e fu n d a
m e n ta l i d e a o f Th us S pa /r e Z a r a t h u s tr a d id not com e
to him u nti l 1 8 8 1
So that wo r k w a s n ot a ccou n t
ab le even fo r t h e F r a n co G e r ma n W a r o f 1 8 7 0
And no B r i t i sh e d ito r wi ll a ss e rt tha t Tre i ts chk e
wa s a p opula r au tho r b e fo re h e w e nt to Le i p z i g
Wh at th e n cou l d h ave b e e n t h e cau s e o f a ll the dis
t u r b an ce s ?
I t mu st hav e b e e n e ith e r Goeth e o r J ea n
Paul o r m ayhap T i e ck T h e r e we re m en i n
B r ita i n who mi ght hav e s a i d i t w a s ou r fault fo r
sp r e a d i n g b ibl e s ab ou t the glob e a n d lett i n g the u n
s op h i st i cat e d re a d t h e I 4 4 th Ps a lm Anyway
t r e at i e s a n d diplomati sts w e r e not su cc e s s fu l i n s o
mu ch a s k e e p i n g the p e a ce o f B u rma le t a lon e t h e
p e ac e o f Eu r op e
It mu st n o t b e i n fe r r ed howeve r that ev e r y m a n
i n B r i ta i n du r i n g the r st two d e ca d e s o f Vi cto r i a s
r e i g n wa s w a r -m a d Th ere we r e som e m en w h o
sp oke st rongly aga i n s t a rmam e n ts Fo r i nsta nce
S i r Rob e rt P e e l i n t h e H ou s e o f C omm ons i n 1 8 4 1
said :
,
i m e c o m e wh e n th e p ow e r fu l c o u n t r i es o f
Eu ro p e Sh o u l d re d uce t h e i r a r m a m e n ts wh i ch t h e y h a v e s o
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ul
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a
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H OW D I P L O M ATS M A KE WA R
22
a ny w e ather
S even y ea rs a fte r the Duke s aw fu l
wa rn i ng B r i ta i n fou n d Fra nce ght i ng S i d e by s i d e
w i th h e r i n the C rimea
D i ploma cy b r i ngs togethe r
strang e b e d fellows
A fte r Ru ss i a wa s soun dly thr a she d by th e All i e s
p ea ce d i d not even br i ng a redu ct i o n o f mil i ta ry
e x p en d i tu re
I n 1 8 5 7 w e s ent m i l i ta ry e x p ed i
t i ons to C h i na a nd P e rs i a a t a t i me when B r i t
i sh metho d s o f te a ch i ng H i ndo o pr i nces how to go v
e rn were cau s i ng grave u nr e s t i n I nd i a Then D i s
r a e li w a s move d to s ay
When a t i me o f p e a ce con
s i sts o f p rep a ra t i on s fo r wa r o f tt i ng out e x p ed i
t i ons o f s end i ng e ets to d i ffe rent qu a rters o f th e
glob e then I a m obl i ge d to cons i d er whether the wa r
ta x a t i o n i s not re qu i re d for c i rcumsta nces a nd obj e cts
fa r d i ff erent from those wh i ch a t i me o f p e a ce j u st i
,
TH E B OG E Y OF
fi es and re q u i re s
1 8 60
23
W e h a v e n o a de qu a t e i de a o f t he p r e di s p os i n g p ow e r
wh i ch an i mm e n se s e r i e s o f m e a s u re s o f p r e p a r a t i o n s fo r w a r
T h e y f am ili a r iz e
o n o u r p a r t h a s i n a c t u a ll y b e g e t t i n g w a r
i deas wh i ch l o se t h e i r h o r ro rs t h e y li gh t a n i n w a r d a m e
wh en i t is h ab i tu all y fe d w e l os e
o f e x c i t e m e n t o f wh i ch
the c on s c i o u sn ess
'
H ow D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
24
W h at
is
d i p l o m a cy , wh a t is t h e u s e o f G ov
u s e o f c or d i a l u n d ers t a n d i n g s , i f s uch
t he u s e o f
wh a t i s t h e
?
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e r n m en t s ,
fo r t he e v il ca n o n l y b e f o u n d i n a m o re
f r an k u n de r s t a n di n g b e t w e en t he t w o G o v e r n m en t s I f
t h e y w ill d i s c a r d t h e Old a n d u tt e r l y fu t il e t h eo r y o f s e c r e cy
a t h e o r y o n wh i ch a n i n d i v i d u a l m a n u f a c t u r e r o r m e r ch an t
n o l o n g e r f o u n d s hi s h o p e s o f s ucc e s s fu l c o mp e t i t i o n w i t h a
f o rei gn r i v al
t h e y m ay b e e n ab l e d , by t h e t i m e l y e x ch an g e
o f ex p l a n a t i o n s a n d a s s u ran c e s , t o p r e v e n t wh a t o u gh t t o b e
g ro w i n g i n t o
r es t r i c t e d t o m e r e e x p er i m e n t a l t r i a l s f ro m
f o r m i da b l e p r e p a ra t i o n s fo r w ar B u t th e g r e a t es t e v il con
n e ct e d w i t h t h e se r i v a l a r m am e n t s i s t h a t t h e y d e s t r o y t h e
W h en t w o g re a t n e i ghb o u r
s t r o n g e s t m o t i v e s fo r p e a c e
i n g n a t i o n s n d t h e m se l v es s ubj e c t e d t o a w a r e x p e n di t u r e ,
w i t h o u t t h e c o mp e n s a t i on o f i ts u s u a l e x c i t e m e n ts a n d
h on o u r s , t he d a n g er t o b e a pp re h en de d i s t h a t i f a n a cc i de n t
an d w e k n o w
s h o u l d o ccu r t o i n a m e t h e i r h o s t il e p ass i on s
ho w c e r t a i n t h es e a cc i de n t s a r e a t i n t e r v a l s t o a r i s e t h e i r
l at en t s e n s e o f s u ffe r i n g a n d i n j u ry m ay re c on c il e t h e m t o a
ru p t u re , a s t h e o n l y e v e n t u a l es c a p e f r o m a n o t h e r w i s e p e r
p e tu al w a r t a x a t i on in a t i m e o f p e a c e
re
m e dy
25
Well m i ght D i s ra e l i a sk wh a t i s t h e u s e o f d i pl o
ma cy B ut d i s ca r d t h e o ld a n d utt e r ly futil e t h e o r y
H OW
26
D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
v e n t d u r i n g t he n i n e t ee n t h c e n t u ry has p ro v o k e d
t h e g re a t es t s u r p r i s e a n d a s t o n i s hm e n t i n Eu ro p e
Un suc
ce s s fu l a t t e mp t s a t i t s e x p l a n a t i o n h a v e b e e n
a n d a r e s t i ll
o ff e r e d by t he d i ff e r e n t Eu r o p e a n n a t i o n a li t i e s
T h i s e v en t
i s t h e p ro c es s by wh i ch t he G e r m a n y o f H e g e l w as t ran s
f o r m e d t o th e G er m a n y o f B i s m a r ck S o m e t he or i s ts s p e a k
a s i f t h e o ld G e r m a n s t o ck h a d s u dde n l y d i e d o u t a n d a n e w
r a c e h a d s p r u n g up w i t h o u t r oo t s ; o t h e r s a s i f t h e o ld s t o ck
h a d b e e n d e s t ro y e d o r e n n o b l e d by a n i n f u s i on o f W e n d i s h
Slavo n i c b lood
To s o m e m o de rn G e r m a n y is e n i gm a t i c
a s t h e I ro n M a s k
Th e f a c e o f t h e ph il os o ph e r a n d p o e t
w a s t h e r e a l c o u n t e n a n c e a n d t h i s h as n ow b e e n h i dde n by
P r u s s i a n d o m i n a t i on a s t h e m as k c o n c e a l e d t h e i de n t i t y o f
t h e u n h a ppy p r i s o n e r
O t h e rs a g a i n r e g a r d t h e o ld a n d
p l e a s a n t c o u n t en an c e o f r o m an c e as t h e m as k hyp o c r i t i c a ll y
h i di n g t he re a l f e a t u r e s wh i ch h a v e n ow b e c o m e v i s i b l e
T h es e v i ew s a re a li k e i n j u d i c i o u s a n d a re b a s e d in e i t h e r
c as e up o n i gn o ra n c e o f t h e c o u rs e o f de v e l o pm e n t wh i ch
m o de rn G e rm an y h as p u rs u e d I f t h i s d e v e l o pm en t i s
s t u di e d i n li t e r a t u r e
i t w ill b e s e e n ho w s t e p by s t e p t h e
i de as t he m e t h o ds o f a c t i on a n d t he v i e w s o f li f e pu r s u e d
a n d en t e r t ai n e d by t h e n e w e r g e n e ra t i on h a v e de v e l o p e d o r
Th e gu l f wh i ch d i
g an i cally f r o m t h o s e o f t h e p as t a ge
v i de s t h e G e rm an y o f H e g e l f r o m t he G e r m an y o f B i s m a r ck
w ill g r a du all y b e ll e d b e f o r e o u r ey es Th e f a c es up o n
e i t h e r s i d e o f t h i s gu l f w ill a pp e a r a s r e l a t e d by s i m il a r i t y
o f f ea t u re ; wh il e c e r t a i n i n t e res t i n g a n d s t ro n g l y m a r k e d
On e
A FO RGOTTE N FA CTO R
27
c ou n t e n an c e s wh i ch s t a n d o u t b o l dl y a ga i n s t t he b a ckg r ou n d
o f h i s t o r y w i ll o f t h e m se l v e s t yp i fy t h e p r o c es s o f t r a n s i t i o n
a n d a ma l g a m a t i o n wh i ch h as fu s e d t h e i n t e ll e c t u a l i n d i v i d
O f t h e s e s p e c i a l f e a t u r es h a r d l y
u a li t i e s o f t w o g e n e r a t i o n s
a n y is m o r e i n t e r e s t i n g o r m o r e c l e a r l y cu t t h a n t h e gu re
H e w as b o r n o n Ap r i l 1 1 t h 1 8 2 5
o f F e r d i n a n d L a s s a ll e
a n d d i e d o f a w o u n d r e c e i v e d i n a d u e l o n Au gu s t 2 1 5 t 1 8 6 4
H e w a s a d i s t i n g u i s h e d pup i l o f H e g e l a n d w as s p o k e n o f
i n h i s t i m e as B i s m a r ck s t u t o r a n d n o t u n re ason a b l y ; fo r
e v e n t h o ugh h e c a n n o t b e s h o w n t o h a v e i n u e n c e d B i s m a r ck
d i r e c t l y ye t i f w e e x a m i n e t h e p o i n t s wh i ch de c i de d b o t h
t h e f o r e i gn a n d d o m e s t i c p o li cy o f t h e g r e a t S t a t e s m a n w e
s h a ll n d t h a t t h i s p o li cy p re c i s e l y r e a liz e d t he p r o g r a mm e
p r o p o u n de d by t he ph il o s oph i c a l a g i t a t o r
.
co n d iti o n s o f f o r c e wh i ch ex i st i n t h e country
No
B r i t i sh e r shoul d n o w de ny that u gly t r uth B ut La s
s a ll e wa s not stat i ng wha t shoul d b e ; he wa s pr es e nt
i ng t h e ca s e a s i t th e n stoo d i n Germ any a n d in
othe r nat i o ns Tru e the p re ss a t the t i me int e r
,
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28
D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
a r rang e m e n ts
R I GHT S
O F S MALL
NATI ON S
29
F o r e i gn O ffi c e a n d t he i n h e r i t e d t r a di t i on o f he r R oya l
F a m il y The M i n i s t e r wh o m W illi a m I h a d j u s t c a ll e d t o
hi s c o u n c il s a l r e a d y c o n t e mp la t i n g t h a t h e m i gh t s h o r t l y
h a v e t o Op e n a n e w a n d p e r il o u s ch a p t e r o f G e r m a n a n d
Eu r o p e an h i s to r y wh i ch m i gh t b r i n g h i m i n t o c o lli s i o n w i t h
Au s t r i a a n d F r a n c e w as d e t e r m i n e d u n der n o c i r cum s t a n ce s
wh a t e v e r t o r i s k a s t r ugg l e w i t h Ru s s i a H e o n t he co n
t ra ry i n t e n d e d to Ob t a i n a s o li d gu a r a n t e e o f he r fu t u r e
g o o d w ill w i t h an e ye t o c o m i n g e v e n t s To s t an d r i g i dl y
a l o o f f r o m E u ro p e a n i n t e r v e n t i o n i n t h e a ff a i rs o f P o l a n d
w as t he Obv i o u s m e t h o d t o g a i n h is e n d e s p e c i a ll y a s t h i s
p o li cy w o u l d h av e t h e a d di t i o n a l a dv a n t a ge o f s e p a r a t i n g
Ru ss i a f r o m F r a n c e s h o u l d F r a n c e j o i n i n t he p r o p o s e d i n
s an
t e rv e n t i on
an d
i n up ho l d i n g t h e i n t e grity a n d i n d e p e n d e nc e o f
B e lgium
I t s e ems i n cr e d ib l e th at t h e Ki n g o f a
sm a ll w e ak p ow e r coul d w r it e i n su ch t e r m s o f an
a nci e n t ki n g d o m that h a d suff e r e d mo r e t e rribly f r om
t h e a ggressio n o f g r eat p ow e r s tha n a n y cou n try i n
An d i t shoul d b e r e m e mb e r e d that B e l
t h e wo r l d
g i um the n ow e d its p o liti ca l e x ist e nc e to the T reaty
Th e Ki n g s a i d :
o f 1 83 9
B r i ta i n
P o l a n d t he E n g li s h
w o u l d b e i mp o ss i b l e fo r
Abou t
C a b i n et
m u s t be
p r u de n t
Emp er o r Ale x a n de r t o
g i v e up t h es e p ro v i n c e s wh i ch on e mu s t s ay a r e p r o s p e ro u s
T h e i r ex
a n d h a v e b e e n n ow Ru s s i a n fo r a l o n g p e r i o d
It
t he
H OW D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
30
publ i c e st i mat i o n
Then follow e d a ll the s q u al i d bu s i ness o f S chle s
.
L AN D GR A B AN D J I N GO H O P E S
-
a nd D e nm a rk An y on e de e ply i m
bu e d with t h e all e g e d gallantry o f d iplomati c B r i ta i n
gu a r d i n g t h e i n t e r e sts o f small stat e s a n d p res e rvi n g
y t h i n g t e n di n g t o G e r m a n U n i t y w o u l d b e
d i s a g re e a b l e t o F ra n c e b u t w o u l d n o t g i v e F r a n c e a n y j u s t
p ret e n c e fo r a t t a ck i n g B e l g i u m o r P r u s s i a a n d i f u n i t y w as
i n a n y m ili t ar y s en s e a cc o mp li s h e d i t w o u l d m a k e F re n ch
a gg r e s s i on t o w a r ds t h e Rh i n e m o r e d i ffi c u l t
No do u b t
an
Th e re i n th at D an i sh b rawl a ga i n th e qu e st i on o f
the i nt e g r i ty o f a kingdom (which h a d b e en gu ar
a nte e d by the Powe rs i n a t r ea ty i n 1 8 5 2 ) ne a rly
s et Eu rop e i n a bla z e T he G e rma ns res ente d the
a ct i o n o f t h e P owe rs a nd n o w S ought a n opp ortunity
o f a d d i ng to the i r a re a the two E lb e Du chi e s Th e
s quabb l e gave a ll t h e d i plom at i sts a gran d ch a nc e o f
push i ng u lte r i o r a ff a i rs affe cti n g th e i r sta te s I t wa s
i n d e e d a n o r gy i n wh i ch t h e m i l de st gam e w a s b e g
ga r my ne i ghbo u r a nd th e m o st mo d e st on e strip
Jack n ake d
Th e J i ngo e s i n Englan d w e re elat e d
a t t h e p r o sp e ct o f a wa r with G e rmany P a lme rsto n
h a d h i gh hop e s ; t h e s i tu at i on wa s o ne h e glori e d in
H ow D I P LO M ATS MA KE W AR
ti on o n t h e b a s i s o f t h e i nt e gr i ty o f t h e D a n i sh mon
a rchy a n d t h e e n gag e m e n ts o f 1 8 5 12 ; a n d that i f
su ch m e d i ati o n w e re r e fu s e d by Aust r i a a n d P r u ssi a
E n gla n d S h ou l d d esp a tch a s qu a d r o n t o C op e n h ag e n
a n d F r a n c e a n a r my co rp s to the R h e ni sh f r o n t i e r o f
P r u s si a
P a lm e r ston ta lk e d b i g a n d d i d little
H e sa i d :
I f a n y vi ol e n t a tt e mpt wa s m a d e to
ove rth r o w t h e r i ghts a n d to i nt e r f e re with t h e i n
d e p e n d e nc e o f D e n m a rk tho s e w h o ma d e t h e a t
t e m pt woul d n d in t h e r e sult that it wou ld no t b e
D e n m a rk a lone with wh i ch th e y woul d ha ve to co n
te nd
Ig n o r a n c e o f G e r man f e eling a n d a mb iti o n
wa s j u st as d e ns e th e n a s it i s n o w a n d t h e ig n o r a nce
w a s t h e cau s e o f ma n y S illy m i su n d e r sta n d i n gs
Apa rt from t h e n ati o n a l qu e sti o n o f D e n ma r k som e
p e opl e sa i d t h e S chl e swi g H olst e in a ffa i r a r os e b e
cau s e c o mm e r ci a l b ills i n the Du ch i e s w ere d rawn
u pon Ha mbu r g a n d n o t u p o n C op e n hage n ! A l e tt e r
from t h e Qu e e n t o Lo r d G r anvi ll e i s i n stru ct i v e a s
to t h e way mon a rchs i n thos e d ays r e ga r de d scrap s
o f pap er
,
,
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Th e Emp e r o r (F r en ch )
an d
M D r ou yn de l H u ys
s ay
W e w i s h t o m a i n t a i n t he t r e a t y bu t i f t he a l t e rn a t i v e i s
m a i n t a i n i n g i t o r a co n a g r a t io n i n Eu ro p e w e p re f e r t o
We
m o d i fy o r c a n c e l i t r at h e r t h an a co n a g ra t io n
h av e do n e t o o m u ch b e e n t oo a c t i v e a n d d on e o u rs e lves n o
g o o d W e a re a l a s ! d e t e s t e d i n G e r m a n y
Lo r d G ra n vi ll e whos e w i s
sav e d t h e cou n try f r om a
I n a noth e r lett e r the Qu e e n s a i d :
I t wa s , h o w e v e r ,
iste rs
d o m a n d ta ct u ltimately
.
dis a strous wa r
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on
l y ch an c e
of
p rese r v i n g p eac e
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i s by
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33
D en m a r k , w h o has b rough t t h i s e n t i r e l y up on
h e rs e l f , a n d w ho , t he Q u e e n b e li ev e s , w o u l d n o w e v e n re s i s t
fu l lli n g he r p ro m i s e s ! D e n m a r k is a f t e r a ll o f l e s s v i t a l
i mp o r t a n c e t h a n t he p e a c e o f Eu r o p e , a n d i t w o u l d b e m a d
n e s s t o s e t t h e wh o le C o n t i n e n t o n r e fo r t h e i m a g i n a r y
a d v a n t a g es o f m a i n t a i n i n g t h e i n t e g r i t y o f D e n m a r k
ord
P a l m e r s t o n a n d t h e Emp e r o r N i ch o l as a r e t he c a u s e o f a ll
n ot
i i g
a ss s t n
t he
p r es e n t
1 8 5 23
t ro u
b l e by f r a m i n g
h a t w re t ch e d T r e a t y
Th e Qu e e n
H ow D I P L O M ATS M A KE WA R
34
g t h a t t h e y o u t w e i gh a ll o t h e r
W e mu s t n o t co mm i t a s e c o n d t i m e t he
co n s i de ra t i o n s
g r i e v o u s f a u l t o f s i gn i n g a w a y o t h e r p e o p l e s r i gh t s a n d o f
h a n di n g o v er p eo p l e t h e m s e l v e s t o a So v e re i g n t o wh o m t h ey
o w e n o a ll e g i an c e
v ict io n s so s a r e d a n d s o s t ron
.
P a lm e r s t o n s
r e ga r d i t a s
a n d tha t h e
woul d no t stand su ch a thi n g i f a n
Au str i a n s q u a d r on we r e to p a s s alo n g the Englis h
co a sts wa s p rovo cat i ve i f i t w e r e n o thing e ls e The
C ab inet d i d not en d o r s e the langu a g e o f t h e r e
e at i ng stat e sman a n d though t h e fat e o f B r i ta i n fo r
a long tim e trembl e d o n t h e b r ink o f wa r t h e s a n er
folk r a lli e d to t h e s i d e o f t h e Qu e e n S h e wrote
a t m i d n i ght June 2 3 r d 1 8 6 4 to Lo r d G ra n v i lle :
,
W h a t t he Q u e en is s o an xi o u s fo r is t h a t t h e t r u e re a l
a n d g r e a t i n t e r e s t s o f t h e c o u n t r y s h o u l d b e c o n s i d e r e d an d
t h e en o r m o u s d a n g e r o f a ll y i n g o u r s e l v e s w i t h F r a n c e w h o
w o u l d d rag u s i n t o a w a r w i t h I t a l y a n d o n t he Rh i n e a n d
se t a ll Eu r o p e i n a b l a z e ; wh i ch i s so fa r m o r e i mp o r t a n t
t h an t he v e r y f o o li s h e x ci t e m e n t wh i ch t h e Qu e e n i s s u r e
w il l c oo l dow n t he m o m e n t w a r s e e m s li k e l y t o r e s u l t f rom
Th e T re a t y o f 1 8 5 2 m u s t b e g i v e n up
it
,
35
H e r M a j es t y o u r g r e a t re g r e t t h at wh il e
t h e c o u r s e pu r s u e d by t h e G o v e r n m e n t h a d f a il e d t o m a i n
t a i n t h e i r a v o w e d p o li cy o f uph o l d i n g t h e i n de p e n d e n c e a n d
i n t e g r i t y o f D e n m a r k , i t h as l ow e r e d t h e j u s t i n u e n c e o f
t h i s c o u n t r y i n t h e c o u n c i ls o f E u r o p e a n d t h e r e by d i m i n
i s h e d t h e s e cu r i t i es fo r p e a c e
To
xp re ss
to
The
h e o r y o f t h e b a l an c e o f p o w e r i s p r e t t y n e ar l y
d e a d a n d bu r i e d
Y o u c a n n o t c o mp r e h e n d a t a t h o ugh t
W h a t is m e a n t by t he b a l an c e o f p o w e r I f t he r e co rd c o u l d
b e b r ou gh t b e f o r e yo u b u t i t i s n o t p o ss i b l e fo r t h e e ye
o f hum a n i t y t o s c a n t h e s c r o ll up o n wh i ch a r e r e c o r d e d t he
s u ff e r i n g s wh i ch t h e b a l a n c e o f p o w e r h a s e n t a il e d up o n t h i s
c o u n t r y I t r i s e s up b e f o r e m e wh e n I t h i n k o f i t a s a
gh as t l y ph a n t o m wh i ch du r i n g o n e hu n d re d a n d s e v en ty
y e a r s wh il s t i t h as b e en w o r s h i pp e d i n t h i s c o u n t r y h as
l o a de d t he n a t i o n w i t h d e b t a n d t axes h as s a c r i c e d t he
li v e s o f hu n d r e d s o f t h o u s a n ds o f E n g li s hm e n h a s de s o
l at e d t he h o m e s o f m illi o n s o f f a m ili e s a n d h as l e f t u s a s
t h e g r e a t r e s u l t o f t h e p ro i ga t e ex p e n d i t u re i t h as c a u s e d
a n d fa r
a d o ub le d p e e r a g e a t o n e e n d o f t h e s o c i a l s c a l e
m o r e t h an a do ub l e d p a up e r i s m a t t he o t h e r I am v e ry
g l a d t o be h er e t o n i gh t a m o n gs t o t h e r t h i n gs t o b e a b le
t o s a y t h a t w e m ay re j o i c e t h a t t h i s f o u l i do l f o u l e r t h a n
h as a t l as t b e e n t h r ow n
an y h e a t h e n t r i b e e v e r w o r s h i pp e d
t
H ow D I P LO M ATS MA K E WAR
36
dow n ,
an d
hold on
p eop l e
t he
i s o n e s up e rs t i t i o n l es s wh i ch h as i t s
h
h
m i n ds o f E n g l i s h s t a t es m e n a n d o f t he E n g li s h
t a t t e re
o f fa r g r e at e r i mp o r ta n c e tha n t h e e co n om i c
p o lit i cal o r r e ligiou s r ig h ts o f t h e p e opl e Wh e the r
i t i s mo r al fo r o n e g e n e r ati o n to imp o s e the obliga
ti o n s o f wa r o n t h e n e xt ha s not yet b e e n d e ci d e d by
p o liti ci a n s
mu ch l e ss d i plom a ti sts
nor ha s i t ye t
o ccu r r e d t o a n y stat e sma n to d r aw a sha r p line o f
d iffe r e n ti ati on b e tw e e n tho se a ffa i rs tha t d i r e ctly a f
f e e t t h e t r u e i n t e r e sts o f t h e p eop le a n d the t e rribl e
t r a ffi c k i ngs which a r e d o n e i n t h e n am e o f t h e p e opl e
wi t h o ut t h e i r c o n se n t I n 1 8 6 4 t h e a gr i cultu r al la
b o u r e r i n B r ita in w a s a ch a tt e l -slav e a n d m ill i o n s
o f t h e w ork e r s i n t h e towns w e re p oliti cally little
b e tt e r o ff I n st e a d o f a vot e a r i e ; instea d o f a n
a c r e o f th e i r nativ e la n d a p la c e i n a fo r e i gn
t r e n ch ; i nst e a d o f t h e full va lu e o f hi s p ro d uct a
ti ck e t fo r sou p ; th e s e w e r e t h e n e t retu r ns fo r wo r
ship pi n g t h e fou l i d ol
An d th e re w e re not l e ss
ca n t a n d hyp o c r i sy ta lk e d i n the d ays o f P alm e rston
tha n a r e talk e d now i n t h e d ays o f S i r E dwa r d Grey
Th e f o u l i d ol w a s no t howev e r S O e as ily got r id
o f a s B r i ght i magi n e d I f t h e bala nc e o f pow e r
wa s th r ow n d ow n in I 8 6 4 i t d id no t tak e d i plomati sts
l o n g t o s e t u p som e thing j u st a s foul i n i ts pla ce
What d o te rms m atte r ? The cost i s j u st the same
was
R ES U LT S
As B EFO RE
37
p e r ts
The r e su lt i s t h e s am e ; the n at i o n lo a d e d
with de b t a n d taxati o n ; hu n d r e d s o f thous an ds o f
li v e s a re s a c r i c e d ; h o m e s d e so lat e d ; a n d th e r e stalks
a p aup e r i sm wh i ch b ri n gs h o nou r a n d glo r y to t h e
a g tha t oats over the fr e e Th e p re stig e o f a
la n d l e ss p e op le i s s om e thing the wa r p o e ts m i ght
immo rtali z e i n s o n g a n d t h e p at r i otism o f a d ouble
p e e r a g e b e exalt e d i n n e w ep i cs that mig h t r i va l
B y r on s Ag e o f B ron z e
T he g o sp e l o f l e a rn
i ng to d i e fo r o n e s cou n try wa s sati r i cal e nou gh i n
1 8 64 ;
c e r ta i n ly m illi o n s h a d littl e cha n c e o f liv i n g
d e cently i n i t
,
The
good
i m es wh e n o ld a r e go o d
Are g o n e ; t h e p r e s e n t m i gh t b e i f t h ey w o u l d ;
G r ea t t h i n g s h a v e b e e n a n d a r e a n d g r e a t e r s t ill
W a n t li t t l e o f m e re m o r t a l s t h a n t h e i r w ill :
A W i de r s p a c e a g r e e n e r e l d i s g i v e n
To t h o s e w h o p l a y t h e i r t r i ck s b e f o r e h i gh h e a v e n
I k n ow n o t i f t he a n g e l s w e e p b u t m e n
H av e w ep t e n ou gh
fo r wh at ?
t o w e ep a ga i n !
o ld t
i m es
ll
8
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H OW D I PLO MATS MA KE WA R
o f w a r : b u t o n e s i n n e r d e s t r o ye t h m u ch
o
o
d
g
re
CHA P TE R I I I
1 8 70
H E AVY ban ks
c l o u d w i t h o cc as i on a l b re aks o f b r i gh te r
s ky o v e r E u r o p e ; a n d a ll t h e p l o t
i n t r i gu e c on s p i ra cy a n d
s ub t e rr a n e a n s ch e m i n g
t h a t h a d b e e n i n ce s s an t e v e r s i n ce
t h e C r i m e an W a r d i s t u r be d t h e Old Eu r o p e an s y s t e m a n d
C a v o u r rs t b e g a n t h e r e c a s t i n g o f t h e m a p w a s b u t t h e
r e pu l s i v e a n d d a n g e ro u s s ymp t o m o f a d i r e c o n i c t i n t h e
d e p t h s o f i n t e r n a t i o n a l p o li t i cs
The M e xi c an a dv e n t u re
a n d t he t r a g e d y o f M ax i m ili a n s d e a t h a t Qu e r e t a r o
h ad
t h r o w n a b l a ck s h a do w o v e r t he i r i d e s c e n t a n d r o t t e n f a b r i c
p o w e r P r u s s i an v i c t o r y o v e r Au s t r i a a t
o f Na p o l e on s
S a do w a ha d s t a r t l e d Eu r o p e li k e a t hu n de r c l a p
The r ca c
t i o n a ry m o v e m e n t w i t h i n t h e C a t h o li c f o l d a s d i s c l ose d i n
t h e V a t i c a n c o u n c il k i n d l e d m a n y h o p e s a m on g t he F r en ch
c l e r i c a l s a n d t h e s e h o p es i n s p i re d a li v e l y a n t a go n i s m t o
p r o t es t an t P ru ss i a i n t he b r e as t o f t he S p an i s h b o rn Emp re s s
o f t he F r en ch
P r u s s i a i n 1 8 6 6 ha d hum ili a t e d o n e g r e a t
C a t h o li c p o w e r wh e n s he d e f e a t e d t h e Au s t r i an m on a r chy
o n t h e b a t t l e e l ds o f B o h e m i a
W a s She t o o v e r t h r o w a lso
t h e p o w e r t h a t k e p t t h e P o p e up o n h i s t e mp o r a l t h r o n e i n
R o m e ? All t h i s h o w ev e r w a s n o m ore t h a n the f r i n g e
t h o ugh o n e o f t he h ar d e s t t h i n gs i n h i s t or y i s t o b e s u r e
wh e re s u b s t an c e b e g i n s a n d f r i n g e e n ds The c a r di n a l f a c t
Ev e r S i n c e
fo r F r a n ce a n d fo r Eu r o p e w a s G e r m a n u n i t y
t h e D a n i s h c o n i c t as B i s m a r ck a f t e r w a r ds t o l d t h e B r i t i s h
G o v e r n m e n t t he F re n ch Emp e ro r s t ro v e t o b r i n g P r u ss i a
t o j o i n h i m i n p l a n s fo r t h e i r c o mm o n a gg r a n d iz e m e n t
The u n i t y o f G er m a n y m e an t b e s i des a ll e l s e a v as t e x t e n
s i o n o f t h e a r e a f r o m wh i ch t h e m a t e r i a l o f m ili t a r y s t r e n g t h
w as t o b e d r aw n ; a n d t h i s m e an t t h e re l a t i v e de p ress i o n o f
of
39
H OW
0
4
D I P LO M ATS M A KE WAR
p ow e r o f F ren ch a r m s H e re w a s t he s u b s t a n t i a l fa c t
f e e d i n g t he a m e o f n a t i o n a l p r i de w i t h s o li d fu e l Th e
G e r m a n c o n f e de r a t i o n o f t he C o n g re s s o f V i e n n a w a s a
s k il fu l i n v e n t i o n o f M e t t e r n i ch s
s o d e v i s e d as t o b e i n e r t
fo r o ff en c e b u t ex t r e m e l y e ffi c i e n t a g a i n s t F r e n ch a g gr e s
s ion
A G e r m a n c o n f e de r a t io n u n de r t h e p o w e r fu l a n d
e n e r g e t i c l e a de r s h i p o f P r u s s i a g a v e F r a n c e a v e ry d i ff e r e n t
n e i gh bo u r
M o r l e y L ife of G la ds t o n e
t he
E D I TO R B I S M A R C K
41
S o o n a ft e r t h e ga rbl e d t e l e gram w a s
chall e n ge
known to t h e wo r l d t h e G e rma n a r ti s a n w a s p a cki n g
up fo r Pa ri s a n d h i s ou t r ag e d b roth e r in F r a nc e w a s
lab e lling hi s lugga g e fo r B e r li n
Roya l b r awls
tou ch the sh r i n e on t h e h e a r th o f e v e ry l ab ou r e r s
cottag e i n C h r i st e n d om a n d it mu st n o t b e e xp e ct e d
tha t a n y loya l lab ou r e r will S i t d ow n u n d e r t h e i n sult
o f a ny na ti on not hi s own a tt e mp ti n g t o i n t e r f e r e
w ith th e su cc e ss i o n o f a n y p r i n c e to a t h r o n e The
p e opl e o f B rita in t o o w e r e d e e ply a gitat e d S o on
t h e qu e sti o n o f ou r n e ut r a lity d i stu r b e d t h e mi n d s
o f stat e sm e n a n d m e n i n t h e st r e et B i sma r ck sa i d :
.
h o u l d h av e f or b i dden F r a n c e t o e n t e r
S h e w a s i n a p o s i t i o n t o do s o a n d h e r i n t e r es t s
o n w ar
H e o b s e rv ed t h at
a n d t h os e o f Eu r o p e d e m an d i t o f h e r
i f Ge rm a n y s h o u l d b e v i c t o r i o u s o f wh i ch h e h a d e v e r y
c o n de n c e t he b a l a n c e o f p ow e r i n Eu ro p e w o u l d b e p r e
s e r v e d ; b u t i f F r a n c e s h o u l d u n f o r t u n a t e l y O b t a i n t h e upp e r
h an d s h e w o u ld b e m i s t r e ss o f Eu ro p e a n d i mp o s e h e r law
E n g l a n d c o u l d p re v e n t t h i s by h e r a c t i o n
o n o t h e r s t a t es
G re a t
B ri tain
n ow
H OW
42
D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
The Qu e e n w o u l d much
g re t t h a t a n y m i s u n de rs ta n d
i n g s h o u l d e m b i t t e r t h e f e e li n g s b e tw e e n u s an d G e rm a n y
a n d w o ul d b e g l a d t o k n o w i f yo u t h i n k i t w o u l d be p o s
s i b l e t o m a k e an y p u b li c d e c l a r a t i o n t h a t w o u l d c o n v i n c e
t h e Ge rm a n p e o p l e t h a t o u r o bj e c t i s t o p r e s e rv e a s t r i c t
a n d n o t i n a n y w a y t o f a v ou r F r an c e
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stoo d a s a n e utr a l z on e i n 1 8 70 To o n e who s e
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tha t ha s la i d that busy country wast e a n d cr i pp l e d
i ts b rav e p opu latio n nothing bu t b i tt e r r e g r et fo r
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tr e a ti e s
Th e Tr e aty o f 1 8 3 9 wa s i n e xi stence i n 1 8 7 0 ;
how th e n did B r ita i n a ct i n r e lat i o n to i t ? What i n
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sh e d a n d all t h e w o e s h e su ff e rs to d a y ? Wha t
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th a t a ll th e d i ffe r enc e l i es i n t h e fa ct that B r i ta i n
h a d a Granv i lle then a n d now s h e ha s a G r e y ? Ou r
han d s were fre e i n 1 8 7 0 ! and i n fa ce o f the dang e r
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1 8 66
the country was rou se d to a h i gh p i tch o f
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i n th i s e v e n tu a l i ty d e cla r e w a r
An d tha t wa s t h e
c o n sp i ra cy o f t h e ag e n ts o f two o f the Pow e rs whi ch
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i e s a re like g r e a t li e s in t h i s resp e ct : t he o l d e r th e y
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,
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a n i mp o s s i b l e t h i n g
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Rh i n e wh i ch a r e G e r m an a n d w i s h t o re m a i n as t h e y a re
W hy do yo u n o t a n n e x B e l g i um wh e r e a p e o p l e e xi s ts o f
t h e s a m e o r i g i n a n d t he s a m e l a n gu a g e ?
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s a i d t h i s t o t h e Emp e r o r ; i f h e a g r e e s w i t h t h e s e v i e w s w e
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H OW D I P LO M ATS M AKE
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h e l p B e l g i um u n l ess i n de e d Eu r o p e j o i n e d ? B u t t h en wh a t
ch a n c e w as t h e r e o f Ru s s i a a n d Au s t r i a j o i n i n g a g a i n s t
F r a n ce a n d P r u s s i a fo r t he s a k e o f B e l g i um i n wh i ch n e i t h e r
At t he s a m e t i m e m i n i s t e rs
o f t h e m h a d a n y d i r e c t i n t e re s t ?
k n e w t h a t t he pub li c i n E n g l a n d e x p e c t e d t h e m t o do s o m e
t h i n g t h o u gh a v o t e fo r m e n a n d m o n e y w o u l d p ro b a b l y s u f
ce
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45
w ill I am s u r e g i ve m e c re d i t fo r good f a i t h wh e n
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w ho a r e m o s t o f a ll r e s p o n s i b le t h a t w e t a k e t h i s s t e p in
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t h a t w e w ill d e f e n d t h e n e u t r a li t y o f B e l g i u m by a r m s i n
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d e f e n c e o f B e l g i um w o u l d b e a n e n t e r p r i s e wh i ch w e i n c li n e
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H ow D I P LO M ATS M A KE WAR
46
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g u e d i n F ra n ce t h a t h a d L o r d G ra n v ill e p u r
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Acco r di n g t o t h es e
t o t he r es c u e o f t h e K i n g o f P r u s s i a
c a l c u l a t i on s n o t o n l y w o u l d F r a n ce t h en h av e be e n s ave d
b u t G r e at B r i t a i n h e r s e l f w ou l d h a v e e s c a p e d t he hum ili a
t i on o f h a v i n g s u b s e qu e n t l y t o c on s e n t t o t he a b r o g a t i o n o f
t h e c l a u s es o f t h e T r e a t y o f P a r i s r e l a t i n g t o t h e n e u t r a liz a
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t i o n o f t h e B l a ck S e a
c on te n t i o n had i mp os e d a n a r m e d m e d i a t i o n o n t he co m
b at a n ts an d h a d p ra c t i c a ll y d i c t a te d t e r m s o f p ea c e t o G e r
m an y G r ea t B r i t a i n a n d F r an ce c ou l d a f te rw a r ds h a v e
j o i n ed h an ds a g a i n s t Ru ss i a a n d t he c l aus es o f the Tr e a t y
o f 1 8 5 6 r e g a r d i n g t h e B l a ck S ea w o u l d h av e be en m a i n
I t w as
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47
h i i n t e g r i t y I n r e fu s i n g s o t o a ct L o r d G r a n
a cc o r d i n g t o t h e s e c r i t i c s
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f o r e s i gh t a n d m i s se d a n O bv i o u s o pp o r t u n i t y i n t h e m o n t h
o f S e p t e mb e r
1 8 70
Th e a r gum e n t h o w e v er o v e r l o o k s
t h e m a i n f a c t o r o f t h e s i t u a t i o n t h e d e t e r m i n a t i on o f G e r
m an y t o r e fu s e m e d i at i o n a de t e r m i n a t i o n p l a i n l y a n d
o p e n l y de c l a r e d
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g o t te n by f o r e i g n w r i t e rs wh e n e n g a g e d i n m a k i n g a p o li cy
fo r G r e a t B r i t a i n t h a t i n t h e f a m o u s w o r d s o f L o r d J o h n
Ru ss e ll u s e d i n t h e de b at e o n t he c a s e o f D o n P a ci co t he
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b u t o f G r e a t B r i t a i n a l on e a n d h as t o t h i n k r s t a n d f o r e
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h a d t o t a k e de p e n d e d o n t h e r e l a t i v e i mp o r t a n c e wh i ch a s
Fo re i g n M i n i s t e r h e a t ta ch e d t o t h e p r e s e r v a t i o n o f p e a ce
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an d t o t he m a i n te n a n c e o f t h e B l a ck S e a c l a u s e s
m e r a n d n o t t h e l a t t e r w as i n L o r d G r a n v ill e s o p i n i o n t he
m a i n o bj e c t I t is c er t a i n t h a t n o i n t e rv e n t i on ex c e p t a n
a r m e d m e d i a t i on c o u l d h a v e p r o d uc e d a n y m a r k e d r es u l t
a n d a n a r m e d m e d i a t i o n w o u l d o n l y h a v e e x t e n d e d t he a r e a
o f d i s t u rb an c e
No r ca n i t e v e n be a s s um e d a s a m at t e r
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s ucc ess fu l
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i n e v i t a b l y h a v e t h r o w n G e r m a n y i n t o t h e a r m s o f Ru s s i a
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w ar
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cu m s t a n ces
t h e c l a u se s o f t h e B l a ck S e a T r ea t y c o u l d l on g
h av e r e m a i n e d p a rt o f t h e pub li c law o f Eu r o p e ; b u t wh at
de g re e o f s a c r i c e i t w o u l d b e w i s e fo r Gr e a t B r i t a i n t o
m ak e i n o r de r t o m a i n t a i n t h e m i f t he o t h e r P o we rs w o u l d
m a k e n o e ffo rt t o do s o w as a qu es t i on wh i ch t he B r i t i s h
Gov e rn m en t a l o n e w a s co mp e t e n t t o de c i de On t he a s
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is h a r dl y p o s s i b l e t o i m a g i n e a n y m e t h o d m o r e c e r t a i n t o
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H OW D I PLOM ATS MA KE WA R
48
m o re v a l u a b l e p r o v i s i o n s o f t h e T r e a
185 6
t h a n t o h a v e i n i t i a te d a t t h i s da t e a g i g an t i c
b a ck e d by Ru s s i a a l on e w o u l d
s t r ugg l e i n wh i ch G e rm a n y
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wa s goo d for Eu rop e as a whol e Th e n d i plom at i c
humi li ati o n w a s p r e f e r r e d t o wa r ; now w e p r e f e r a
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ti o n
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I n t h o s e d ays tr e ati e s w e r e
e v e n wh e n th e i r d at e s w e r e o f that g e n e rat i on ; now
s c r a p s o f p ap e r a r e holy w r it though th e i r d at e s
carry u S b a ck mo r e tha n th r e e s co r e y e a rs a n d t e n
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C hri st i an l a n d e v e r p a i d to h o ly w r i t hal f the a tfe n
ti on w e hav e lat e ly p a i d to t h e T r eaty o f 1 8 3 9
I n t h e n e goti ati ons whi ch follow e d Thi e r s gav e
utt e r a n c e to a p rop h e t i c sta t e m e n t wh e n h e sp o k e to
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po n d e ra n c e o f G e r ma n y : mo r e imm e di at e ly to Au s
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c h ine a n d le d by su c h a ma n a s B i sm a r ck
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ganc e i ts vi n d ict i v e n e ss its c r u e lty An d now i t
woul d b e w e ll fo r B r ita i n t o l e a r n tha t t h e s ame
sha r p l i n e wh i ch d ivi d e d t h e p oliti cal p a rt y f r om the
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i n g i t s e s s e n c e a n d t h a t t h e m o m e n t a n e u t r a l a ll o w s h i s
p ro c e e d i n gs t o b e b i as s e d by p r e d il e c t i o n fo r o n e o f t h e t w o
b e lli g e ren t s h e c e as e s t o b e n e u t r a l The i de a t h e r e f o r e o f
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i nf o rm e d ab out t h e o r d e r s giv e n to t h e e e t on July
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a t no t i m e s i nc e
J anu a r y 1 9 0 6 ha v e o u r han d s b e e n f r e e O n ly a
ings Th e p h ra s e
fo r eign f r i e n d sh i p s u s e d s o
o ft e n o f l a te i s i n i ts e l f a n i n d i ctm e nt ; a n d in con
n e ct i o n w i th F r a n ce p rove s h o w ab su r d ou r p o s i t i on
a s a s o ca ll e d n e ut r a l p o w e r wa s all throu gh the n e
g o t i a t i o n s s i nc e t h e mu r d e r o f t h e Au stri a n a rch
What woul d Lo r d G ra n v i ll e have thought o f
d uk e
ou r p o s i t i on a s a n e utral h a d h e k n own o f a rm a
m e nt ri ngs a n d tou t i ng d i plomats ? What woul d h e
h a v e s a i d o f Lo n d on n e wsp ap e r s encou r a g i ng th e i r
co r r e sp o n de nts i n fo r e i gn c ap ita ls to i n am e J i ngo e s
ab r o a d W h i le the j ou rnals b e n e t e d f r om Ru ss i a n
mo n e y p a i d fo r supplem e nts ? N o o n e ca n lo ok
th r ou gh t h e rep o r t o f P a rli amenta ry P roc e e d i ngs
s in ce 1 9 0 6
a n d r e a d t h e qu e st i o n s a n d r e p li e s r e
ga r d ing t h e Exp e d iti ona ry Fo rc e w i thout b e i ng im
p r e ss e d with t h e noti on that w e we r e comm i tt e d u p
to t h e hilt to suppo r t F r a nc e i f s h e were atta ck e d by
N e u trality ! N e utral i ty wa s a te r m
a th i r d P ow e r
,
A USEFUL T REAT Y
NOW !
53
54
H OW D I P L O M ATS MA K E WA R
front i e r
wh i l e all th e t i me i n s e cr e t a gre e m en t w i th
t h e P ow e r o n t h e w e st e r n f r o n ti e r to l e n d a rm e d
suppo rt in the e v e n t o f a n atta ck ? A fo r e ign p oli cy
tha t b i n d s tog e th e r fo r ob ligations o f war thre e
P owers signato ry o f a tre aty o f neut rali t y aga i n st
t w o Powe r s a ls o s i gn a to r y o f t h e sam e treaty a n d
wh i ch p la c e s o n e o f th e s e latt e r i n a n i nv i d i ou s p os i
ti on a s a b e lli g e r e nt i s n ot ba s e d u po n t h e poli cy o f
n e utra l i t y l a i d d own b y L o r d G r a n vill e
B ut i n t h e e v e nt o f o n e o f t h e P ow e r s s i gnato ry
o f t h e Tr e a ty o f 1 8 3 9 vi ol ati n g t h e n e ut ra lity a n d
i n d e p en de nce o f B e lgium w e r e w e b ou n d to h e lp
l ay wa ste i ts ter r ito r y i n p roce ss o f cha sti si n g th e
i n it i a l v i olator ? U n d e r t h e t e r m s o f t h e t r e a t y ou r
obliga ti o n s w e r e not d e n e d Th e r e i s n o p rov i s i on
i n i t whi ch n e ce ss itate s B r ita i n s e n d i n g troop s i nto
B elg i u m to mak e wa r o n a n y P ow e r th at S hou l d v i o
late i ts te r r i tory Th e d iplomati sts who d rew u p
the tr e a t y k n e w what they w e re d o ing when they l e ft
th e qu e sti o n o f ob l i gat i on op e n Th e y ha d no i n
t e n ti o n o f c o mmitti n g t h e i r r e sp ect i v e Gov e r n m e nts
to the ob li gatio n s o f wa r Th e o n ly p oss i bl e w a y
B r i ta i n coul d hav e i n s i st e d o n a ll t h e P owe rs signa
to ry o f t he t rea t y o bs e rvi n g its p r ov i s i o n s w a s by
m a i nta i n i ng a p o sit i o n o f st r i ct neutral i t y Thi s
wou l d hav e enable d h e r to s ay tha t S he woul d a ct
a ga inst any o n e o r mor e o f t h e P ow e rs w h o sh o ul d
vi ol a t e B e lgi a n t e rr i tory and that B r iti sh a ct i on
wou l d b e lim it e d to B e lgium only I n t h e Tr e aty o f
1 8 7 0 t h e obligat i ons o f B r i ta i n were clearly d en e d :
,
The Qu e e n
h e r p a r t d e c l a r e s t h at i f du r i n g t h e s a i d
h os t ili t i es th e a r m i e s o f F ran c e s h o u l d v i o l a t e t h a t n e u t r a l
i ty (B e l g i a n ) s h e w ill b e p r e p a r e d t o co o p e r a t e w i t h h is
P r u ss i a n M aj e s t y fo r t h e de f en c e o f t h e s a m e i n s u ch m an
on
C O N TO RT I ON IST D I P LO MA CY
55
mu t u a ll y a g re e d up on e mp l o y i n g for t h a t
pu r p ose he r n a v a l a n d m ili t a ry f o r c es t o i n s u r e i t s ob s e rv
m a i n t a i n in c o n j u n c t i o n w i t h h i s P r u s s i a n
an c e
an d t o
M a j e s t y t h e n a n d t h e r e a f t e r t he i n de p en den c e a n d n e u
t r a li t y o f B e l g i um
n er
as
m ay b e
I n t h e s am e t r e aty o u r l i ab i l i ty wa s st r i ctly l i m i te d ,
a n d t h e a r e a o f ou r op e ra tio n s i n t h e ca s e o f a cti on
l a i d d own :
I t i s c l e a r l y u n de rs t oo d t h a t H e r M a j e s t y t h e Qu ee n
o f t h e U n i t e d K i n g d o m d oe s n o t e n g a g e h e rs e lf by t h i s
T r e a t y t o t a k e p a r t i n a n y o f t he g e n e ra l o p e r a t i o n s o f t h e
w a r n ow c a r r i e d o n b e t w e e n t h e N o r t h G e r m a n C o n f e d
c ra t i o n a n d F r an c e , b ey o n d t h e li m i t s o f B e lg i u m
Th e s e p r ovi si o n s rev e al e d t h e n e c e ss i ty o f d i s
i
n g wi t h t h e T r e aty o f 1 8
e
n
s
p
3 9 which wa s u s e l e s s
fo r a ll p r a cti cal pu rp o s e s wh e n t h e d a n g e r o f i n
v a s i o n p r e s e n t e d i ts e l f t o B e lgi um i n t h e d ays wh e n
Lo r d G r a nv i ll e wa s i n contro l o f t h e F or e i gn O i ce
M i lita r y o p e r at i o n s hav e s o fa r show n tha t B r i ta i n
h a s h a d so m e th i n g e ls e to d o tha n p rote ct the n e u
t r a li t y o f B e lgium w i thi n t h e a r e a o f B e lgium
Sh e
i s a t p r e s e nt e n gag e d i n d o i n g t h e v e r y th i ng S h e
e n ga g e d with hi s P r u ssia n M aj e sty not t o d o i n 1 8 7 0 :
tha t is tak e p a r t i n any o f t h e g e n e ra l op e r ation s
o f t h e wa r
U n d e r t h e T r e aty o f 1 8 7 0 B r i ta i n
c o ul d n ot h av e l a n d e d a d r umm e r b oy o n French
soil Ou r a cti ons o n the C o n ti n e n t s inc e t he out
b r e ak o f h o stili t i e s h av e no c o n n e cti o n o f any k i n d
with t h e p r ovi si o n s o f t h e Tr e a ty S ig n e d in 1 8 7 0
I t i s n o t e asy to s ay h o w t h e T r e a t y o f 1 8 7 0 a f
fe ct e d th e p os i tion o f Ru ssi a a n d Austr i a a s sign a
to r i e s o f t h e o ld t r e a ty Th e i r i nter e st wa s only co n
c e r n e d w i th tha t o f I 8 3 9 a nd th e fa ct that they w e r e
,
H OW
56
D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
n e ct i o n with nu mb erl e ss
s cr ap s o f p ap e r
No
b o dy i n the long ru n i s go ing to b e t ak e n i n by ou r
s a n ctimoni ou sn e ss o u r smu g l i fting up o f ha n d s t o
h e av e n as though he aven w e r e a c o lony o f t h e B r i t
i sh Emp i r e
Th i ngs a n d a ctions a r e what th e y
AN E SSE NT I AL PR I N C I PLE
57
h e rs e l f no long e r b ound by t h e p r ov i si o n s o f t h e
T r e aty o f 1 8 5 6 M r O d o Rus s e ll who wa s s e n t
by Lo r d G ranvill e o n a m iss ion to B i sma rck at t h e
h e a d qua rt e rs o f t h e G e rm a n a r my i n F ra n c e sou n de d
Lo r d D e r by a n d Lo r d Ru ss e ll b e fo r e h e le ft En g
lan d a n d gather e d f r om Lo r d Ru ss e ll that h e d i d n o t
b e li e v e tha t the B la ck S e a clau ses cou l d b e p e r man en t
a n d tha t h e
favou r e d mo d i cat i on L o r d D e rby
said
H e woul d fi ght fo r t h e n e utrality o f Egypt
i l p r i n c i p l e o f t he la w o f n at i on s
t h a t n o P o w e r can li b e r a t e i t s e l f f r o m t he e n g a g e m e n t s o f
u n less w i t h
n o r m o d i fy t h e s t i pu l a t i o n s t h e r e o f
a t re a t y
by m e an s o f a n
t h e c o n s e n t o f t h e c o n t r a c t i n g P o w e rs
a m i c a b l e a rran g e m en t
t at
i t is
an
e ss en t a
I f th i s decla r a t i on o f t h e Lo n do n C on f e r e nc e
whi ch d e n e d a n ess e nti a l p rinc i pl e o f the law o f n a
H ow D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
8
5
P o w e rs
Inte r nat i ona l l awy e rs have gone s o fa r i n d en i ng
ou r p os i t i on u n de r t h e o ld t r e aty a s to say tha t w e
s h ou l d have a cc e pte d the G e rma n gu ara nt e e o f B e l
gi a n i n teg r i ty a n d i n d e p en de n c e a t t h e clo se o f t h e
w a r though t e chni ca lly t h e sp i r i t o f the tre aty w e r e
vi o lat e d by G e rma n y i n d espatch i ng tro op s a c ro ss t h e
t e r r i to ry B rita i n was no t i n a n y w ay e mpowere d
by the tr e a t y t o d e cla re wa r a ga i nst G e rm any b e
c au s e s he a sk e d B e lgium fo r a fr e e p a ss a g e fo r h e r
tro op s Why w e r e only G ermany a n d Fra nc e a sk e d
Why w e r e Au s tr i a a n d Ru ss i a i g
t h e qu e sti on ?
nore d ? Ru ss i a was every b i t a s mu ch a n ally o f
,
I N C ONSI S TEN C I E S
'
59
qu a n titi es o f gu n p ow de r
Th e sub lim e fa ith that natio n s hav e fro m tim e
i mm e m o r i a l p la ce d i n t h e e ffi ca cy o f t r e ati e s i s on e o f
t h e f e atu r e s o f n i n e t e e nth c e ntury d ip loma cy
Con
s i d e r t h e fa ith o f t h e B e lgi a n Gov e rnm e n t i n t h e
T r e aty o f 1 8 3 9 ! O n Au gu st 3 r d t h e B e lgian G ov
e r n m e n t d e ci d e d not to app e a l t o t h e gu a r ant e e o f t h e
P o w e r s ; but w i thi n tw e n ty fou r h o u r s t h e Ki ng o f
t h e B e lgi a n s t e l e g r aph e d to Ki n g G eo rg e t o e x e r t
d iplomati c i n t e rv e n tio n a n d no r e f e r e n c e wa s m a d e
i n t h e t e l e g r am to t h e T r e a ty o f 1 8 3 9
B elgiu m
k n e w f r om t h e b e gi n n i n g tha t i n t h e e v e n t o f a Eu r o
p e a n w a r G e r ma n y mu st a d va n c e a ga i n st F ra n c e
t h r o u g h B e lgiu m
Y e t on Au gu st 2 n d o u r Fo r e i gn
S e c r e ta ry sa i d t h e C ab i n e t h a d n o t d e ci d e d wh e th e r
t h e n e utra li ty o f B elgiu m shou l d b e ma d e t h e ca s u s
b e lli !
O n Au gu st I st ou r a mb a ss a do r a t B r u ssel s
w a s tol d by t h e B e lgia n Gov e r n m e nt t hat th ey w e r e
i n a p o s i t i o n t o d e f e n d th e ms e lv e s aga i n st i n tru si on
though t h e r e l ati o n s b e tw e e n B e lgium a n d h e r n e igh
b ou r s w e r e e xc e ll e n t a n d th e r e wa s no r e ason to su s
p e e t t h e i r i n t e n ti o n s ! N e v e r th e l e ss B e lg i u m wa s
s o m e thi n g o f a n a rm e d camp a t E a ster 1 9 1 4
Th e r e i s a d i s crep an cy somewher e ; fo r huge p r e p a ra
.
H OW
60
D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
B E H I N D TH E LOO KI N G GLA S S
61
te red
i nto w i th t h e Fr e nch
ha s b e e n t h e
p e a c e o f Eu rop e
Wh e n th e w a r i s ov e r i n t e r n ati onal lawy e rs may
b e a s k e d to d e n e t h e p os iti o n o f a n e utra l stat e
tha t a ct s in conj u ncti o n with sig n at o r i e s o f its Tr e aty
o f n e ut r ality aga i n st o th e r s ig n at o r i e s b e for e i ts p ro
vi si o n s a r e in a n y way vi o l at e d Fit z mau ri c e i n
d e ali n g wi th th e n e goti ati o n s o f th e Powers i n con
n e ct i o n wit h t h e Su e z C a nal sa i d :
in
1 9 04 ,
Th e w o r l d k n e w o f t he
B e l g i u m an d
o f t he B l a ck S e a ; a n d i t h a d h e a r d o f t h e n e u t ra liz a t i on o f
B u t t h e e s s e n c e o f t h os e a n d
t h e R e pub li c o f C r a c o w
o t h e r a n a l o g o u s a r r a n g e m e n t s w a s t h e e x c l u s i o n o f t h e m ili
t a r y an d n a v a l f o r c e s o f t he P o w e r s f r o m e n t r y up o n t h e
ne
u t r aliz a t i on
of
ne
u t ra liz e d
t e rr t o r
i es
an d s e as
H OW
62
D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
P I C C D I LL
M y de a r
Cl a re n don
M a r ch
I st ,
85 7
Emp e r o r s s ch e m e s a b o u t A f r i c a t he s o on e r
C o w l e y s e n ds i n his g ro u n ds o f o bj e c t i on t he b e t t e r I t is
v e r y p o s s i b l e t h a t m an y p a r t s o f t h e w o r l d w o u l d b e b e t t e r
g o v e rn e d by F r a n c e E n g l an d a n d S a r d i n i a t h an t h e y a r e
n o w ; a n d w e n e e d n o t go b e y o n d I t a l y S i c il y a n d S p a i n fo r
e x a mp l e
B u t t h e a lli a n c e o f E n g l a n d a n d F r a n c e h as de
r i v e d i t s s t re n g t h n o t m e re l y f r o m t h e m ili t a r y a n d n a v a l
p o w e r o f t he t w o s t a t es b u t f ro m t he f o r c e o f t he m o r a l
p r i n c i p l e up o n wh i ch t h a t u n i on ha s b e e n fo u n de d O u r
u n i o n h as fo r i t s f o u n da t i on r e s i s t an c e t o u n j u s t a gg r e s s i o n
t he d e f e n c e o f t h e w e a k a g a i n s t t h e s t ron g a n d t h e m a i n t e
H ow t h e n c o u l d
n a n c e o f t h e e xi s t i n g b a l a n c e o f p o w e r
w e c o mb i n e t o b e c o m e u n p r o v o k e d a gg r e ss or s t o i m i t a t e i n
A f r i c a t h e p a r t i t i o n o f P o l a n d by t h e c o n qu es t o f M o ro cc o
fo r F r a n c e o f T u n i s a n d s o m e o t h e r s t a t e fo r S a r di n i a a n d
?
An d m o re e s p e c i a ll y h o w c o u l d
o f Egyp t fo r E n g l a n d
E n g l a n d a n d F ra n c e w ho h a v e gu a r an t e e d t he i n t e g r i t y o f
t h e T u r k i s h Emp i r e t u r n r o u n d a n d w r e s t Egyp t f r o m t h e
S u l t an ? A c o a li t i o n fo r s uch a pu r p o s e w o u l d r e v o l t t he
m o ral f e e li n g s o f m an k i n d a n d w o u l d c e r t a i n l y b e f a t a l t o
T h en
a n y E n g li s h G o v e r n m en t t h a t w a s a p a r t y t o i t
a s t o t h e b a l a n c e o f p o w e r t o b e m a i n t a i n e d by g i v i n g u s
Egyp t b u t w e do n o t w a n t t h e bu r de n o f g o v e rn i n g Egyp t
a s a p o li t i c a l
m ili t a r y a n d
a n d i t s p o ss e s s i o n w o u l d n o t
i n t h i s c o u n t r y a s a s e t o ff
n a v a l qu e s t i o n h e c o n s i d e re d
Le t u s t r y
a g a i n s t t h e p os s e s s i o n o f M o r o cc o by F ran c e
t o i mp r o v e a ll t h es e c o u n t r i e s by t h e g e n e r a l i n u e n c e o f
o u r c o mm e r c e b u t le t u s a ll a b s t a i n f ro m a c r u s a de o f co n
qu e s t wh i ch w o u l d c a l l u p on u s t he co n de m n a t i on o f a ll
o t h e r c i v iliz e d n a t i o n s
As
t o the
U N RE C O R D E D AG RE E M ENTS
63
1857
r e volt t h e m o r al fe e li n gs o f m a n kin d a n d
woul d ce rta i n ly b e fatal t o a ny E n glis h Gove rn
m ent th at wa s a p a rty to i t !
Wh a t a co mm e n
ta ry on t h e e l e ct o rs o f to d a y !
A ft e r all k n own t r e ati e s a re the l e a st s i g n i cant
wo rk o f d ip lom ati sts W ha t i s writt e n d o wn i n
th e m m ay so m e d a y b e r e v e a l e d ; but s e cr e t ag r e e
m e nts a n d ta c i t un d e rstan d i n gs m a d e by t h e a g e n t s
o f Gov e rn m e n ts may b e without e n d a n d th e i r t r u e
i mp o rt n e v e r r e a ch the p e op le u nti l they a re a t
e a ch oth e r s thro ats
To wha t b a s e comm itme n ts
n ati o n s h av e b e e n p l e d g e d by th e i r d ip lom ati sts
the
r e co r d s o f th e n in e t e e nth c e n tu ry g i v e u s bu t an i n k
li n g Th e c r o ss pu r p o s e s o f t h e cha n c e ll e r i e s s e e m
to b e withou t li mit D r ibl e ts o f i n fo r mat i on l e ft
b e hin d by a mb a ssa d ors a n d s e cretar i e s o f legat i ons
fr e qu e n tly show that wha t i s o n e nat i o n s m e a t i s
anoth e r s p o i son L o r d G ra nvi ll e s e ems to h av e
b e en a n e xceptiona l m a n ; o n e who k e pt th i s cou nt r y
fa i rly fr e e f r om e n ta ngl e me n ts Th e d i i cu lt i e s o f
hi s p o siti o n i n t h e e igh t i e s may b e gl e an e d f r om th i s
p a ssag e f r om Fi t z mauri c e :
.
G oo d re l a t i on s w e re n ow r e s to r e d w i t h G e rm a n y a n d
F r a n c e ; b u t i f a s t r ugg l e w a s t o t a k e p l a ce w i t h Ru ss i a
I t a l y w a s a l s o a f a c t o r t o be t a k e n i n t o a cc o u n t B y t he
Tr i p l e Alli a n c e o f 1 8 8 2 t he Ge r m a n G ov e rn m en t w a s as
s u r e d o f t he s upp o r t o f Au s t r i a Hu n g a r y a n d I t a l y a g a i n s t
B y t h e s ub s e qu e n t
a n y a t t a ck by Ru ss i a o r by F r a n c e
T re at y o f 1 8 8 4 w i t h Ru s s i a a fu r t h e r s e cu r i t y ha d b een
,
H OW D I PLO M ATS MA K E WA R
64
b t a i n e d by G e r m a n y a g a i n s t a F re n ch a t t a ck The su b
w as
s t an c e
oi
t h is T re aty
t h o ugh n o t a c t u a l l y k n o w n
p r o b a b l y s u s p e c t e d by t h e I t a li an G ov e r n m e n t a n d h e r
s t a t e s m e n a pp r e h e n d e d t h a t G e r m a n y
o n c e a ss u re d o f t h e
m i gh t i n t he e n d a t t a ch a d i m i n i s h e d
n e u t r a li t y o f Ru s s i a
T h e y c o n s e qu e n t l y
i mp o r t a n c e t o t he f r i e n ds h i p o f I t a l y
d es i re d by m e a n s o f a n u n de rs t a n d i n g w i t h G r e a t B r i t a i n
t o o b t a i n a fu r t h e r s e cu r i t y fo r t h e i r n o r t hw es t e r n a n d
m a r i t i m e f ro n t i e r a g a i n s t F r a n c e a n d h o p e d t o s e cu re i t
by o ffe r i n g e ff e c t i v e m ili t a r y s upp o r t i n E gyp t in r e t u r n
fo r a n a s s u r a n c e o f n a v a l a i d i n t h e M e d i t e r r a n e a n i n c a s e
I t a l y Adv a n t a g e o u s a s s uch a n
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i t h a s b e e n s e e n h e h a d s upp o r t e d t he
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w e st e r n c i v i li z at i on a n d i n d i v i dual l i b
wo r k o f fo r e i g n a ffa i rs enta i l e d e no r
mou s s acr i c e s o f blo o d a n d mon e y Th e p ee r a g e
i n c r e a s e d by s co r e s ; t h e cost o f p o o r-r e li e f i n fant
mo rtal ity i n s a n ity all i nc r e a s e d Soc i a l evi l s
sp r e a d ; t h e slu m in t h e towns a n d t h e u n s anita r y
cottag e i n t h e cou n t r y b e cam e t h e fo r ci n g hou s e s o f
consump tiv e s The a rmy o f t h e un e mp l o yed h a d i ts
b attal i ons i n ev e ry tow n i n t h e la n d But mor e and
mo r e mon e y wa s fou n d by t h e chu rche s fo r fo re ign
m i ss i ons ; a n d slowly th e wo rk o f conv e rting the
h e athe n to a Ch r i stia n m e tho d o f li f e m a d e p rogr e ss
a n d t h e b ayon et a n d high e xplo siv e s w e r e t h e sym
bols tha t imp r e ss e d t h e p e opl e s o f As i a a n d A fr i c a
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i n g a ffe cti o n fo r it
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w e ak n e ss b e caus e c o l o n i e s c o u l d o n ly b e d e f e n d e d by
p ow e r fu l e ets
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h im h e h a d r ej ect e d th e m a n d w i she d only fo r
co a li n g sta t i o n s a cqu i r e d by t r e a t y f r o m oth e r n a
Th e l e tt e rs o f Lo r d Amp t h ill i n d i cat e
ti o n s
cl e a rly how the chang e i n B i sm a rck s p oli cy cam e
ab out :
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p e r f e c t des p a i r a t P r i n c e B i s m a r ck s p r e s e n t
i n c li n a t i o n t o i n c r e a se h i s p o pu l a r i t y b e f o r e t he g e n e r a l
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e l e c t i on by t a k i n g up a n a n t i E n g li s h a t t i t u d e
by t h e c o lo n i a l m a n i a wh i ch h a s g r ad u a ll y c o m e t o t h e
s u r f a c e i n G e r m a n y t o a c t c o n t r a r y t o h i s b e tt e r c o n v i c t i o n s
i n t he An g r a P e qu e a qu e s t i o n h e has d i s c o v e r e d a n u n
e x p l o r e d m i n e o f p o pu l a r i t y i n s t a r t i n g a c o l on i a l p o li cy
The l a xi t y o f o u r qu a r a n t i n e r e gu l a t i o n s h a s a l w a ys
b e e n a G e r m an g r i e v a n c e a n d t h e n e w s t h a t t h e G e r m an
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G o v e r n m e n t h as b ro ugh t i t b e f or e t he C o n f e re n ce h as
b e e n h a il e d w i t h e n t hu s i a s t i c a pp ro v a l i n t he G e r m a n p re ss
M e n li k e P r o f e s s o r V i r ch o w a n d D r K o ch a cc u se u s o p e n l y
o f h a v i n g b ro ugh t t h e ch o l e r a i n t o F r an c e
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t h e y h a d a l r e a d y p u t i n w r i t i n g a n d t h e i r o pp o s i t i o n w a s
s t r on g l y
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i n h i s o p i n i o n h a d b e t r a y e d Eu r o p e o v e r t h e L u x e mb o u r g
qu e s t i o n by a ll o w i n g h is o w n s i g n a t u r e t o t he T r e a t y o f
t h a t y e a r t o b e e x p l a i n e d a w a y : a p r o c e e d i n g wh i ch he h a d
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u xe mb ou r g s h o u l d
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b e n e u t r a liz e d , t h a t t h e P o w e rs s h o u l d gu a r a n t ee t h e n e u
t r a li t y o f t h e D uchy , a n d t h a t i t s h o u l d b e p l a c e d u n de r
an d
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p l an a t i o n s w e r e a dde d a s t o t he ch a r a c t e r o f t h i s c o l le c t i v e
gu a r a n t e e by L o r d D e r by t h en P r i m e M i n i s t e r wh i ch
s e e m e d t o r e d uc e t h e i n t e r n a t i o n a l s a n c t i o n t h e r e by g i v e n
t o t he l e v e l o f a m o r a l s a n c t i o n o n l y
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ex p l a i n e d
g av e a r i gh t t o m a k e w a r b u t i t i mp os e d n o
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s i mu l t a n e o u s l y
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G r a n v ill e h a d s a i d a t t he t i m e s p e a k i n g f ro m t he b e n ch e s
o pp o s i t e
i t w a s d i i cu lt i n de e d t o u n d e rs t a n d t he i mp o r
t a n c e wh i ch Ru s s i a h a d a t t a ch e d t o t h e gu a r a n t e e o r why
L o rd S t a n l e y h a d Sh o wn s uch h e s i t a t i o n i n b e c o m i n g a
p a r t y t o i t Th e Old w o u n d s t i ll r a n k le d a n d i f in 1 8 8 4
c o n s i de r a t i o n s o f do m e s t i c p o li cy w e r e pu s h i n g P r i n c e B is
m a r ck i n t o a co u rs e o f c o n duc t h o s t i le t o G r e a t B r i t a i n in
o r d e r t o s e c u r e t h e c o lo n i a l v o t e i n t h e G e r m a n P a r li a m e n t
h e w as n o t d i s c o u r a g e d by t h e r e e c t i o n t h a t h e w a s s i
T h e re w e r e
m u lt a n e o u s ly a n n o y i n g t h e C o l o n i a l S e c r e t a r y
t h o s e a l s o w ho d e e m e d t h a t P r i n c e B i s m a r ck e n j o y e d t he
t h o ugh t t h a t h e w a s o n c e m o r e o p e n i n g up t h e a n c i e n t
ch a p t e r o f a cco u n t s w i t h E n g l a n d wh i ch n o t w i t h s t a n d i n g
a ll t h e r e c o ll e c t i o n s o f 1 8 1 4
5 n o G e r m a n s t a t es m a n h as
e v e r e n t i r e ly f o r g o t t e n i n r e g a r d t o t h e b e t r a y a l o f F r e d
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1 76 2
wh e n t h e B ri t i s h
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F r e de r i ck fo r t h e n ex t c a mp a i g n a g a i n s t F r a n ce t o C h o i s e u l
h i ms el f
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h e i s p a i n t e d ; a n d t h e B r i ti sh d e v i l i s a s bl a ck
the C o n ti n e nta l d e vi l
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i n my o p i n i o n a r e a s o n a b l e B r i t i s h p o li cy o ugh t t o r e s p e c t
w e s h o u l d n o t f e e l c a ll e d up o n t o qu a r r e l w i t h E n g l a n d
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d i ffi cu l t y h o w e v e r w e e n c o u n t e r i n t r y i n g t o g i v e a p ra e
t i c a l e x p r e s s i on t o ou r s ymp a t h i e s fo r an d o u r re l a t i o n s w i t h
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t h e a b s e n c e o f se c u r i t y i n a lli a n c es fo r wh i ch t h e C r o w n
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I t i s t h e r e f o r e d i i cu lt t o i n i t i a t e a re
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a n d i n t he f a c e o f a ll Eu ro p e
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de n i t i v e r es u l t w o u l d b e h i gh l y d e t r i m e n t a l t o m o s t o f
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be a ll o w e d t o s t a n d i n t h e w a y o f o u r c o r d i a ll y e n t e r t a i n i n g
o r t o p r e v e n t u s f r o m cu l t i v a t i n g
a n y a dv a n c e s m a d e t o u s
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ou r
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s t on e s o w n p o s i t i o n
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d i p l o m a t i s t ; b u t he is o n l y s t ro n g
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H e i s a b a d li s t e n e r e as il y
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s imila r d e p a r tm e n ts ab r o a d l a i d i n t he e ighti e s
t h e foun d ati ons o f t h e va st s ch e m e o f a rm am e n ts
I t s e e m e d th e n th a t t h e
w e ha v e to ca r r y to -d a y
mo r e w e t r i e d to p r e s e r v e t h e p e a ce t h e m o re stra i n e d
fo r e i gn r e lati o n s b eca m e Wh e n w e w e r e n o t qu a r
r e lli n g wit h G e r many w e w e r e n o t on sp e aki n g t e r ms
with Ru ssi a ; wh e n w e w e r e n o t co lo n i z ing A fr i ca n
d e s e rts to u se M r Chamb e r l a i n s ph ra s e w e w e r e
ghti n g t h e b attl e s o f t h e Am e e r Th e re w e r e b it
t e r a tta cks a n d vot e s o f c e nsu re i n t h e H ous e o f
C ommons bu t fo r t h e m o st p a rt on str i ctly p a rty
line s ; t h e Opp o si tion dea r ly d es i r i ng fo r themselv e s
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a ce t h e Ru ss i an amb as sa d o r sa i d :
.
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t he d e p t h s o f t h e i r h e a r t s , n o t o n l y t h o s e w h o a r e w i t h i n
t h e s e w a ll s , b u t e v e n t h o s e a n d , t h a t , t o o , w i t h e qu a l
f o r c e wh os e h e a r t s n e a r by a n d fa r a w ay a t a ll t he p o i n ts
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CO M P A RATI VE F I GU RE S
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m om e n t a r e b e a t i n g in u n i so n w i t h o u rs
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N ava l d e m o n st r atio n s h av e no
o the r obj e ct !
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Th e g ur e s fo r n aval e x p e n d itu r e fo r t h e E nt e nt e
P owe rs a nd G e r m a n y i n 1 8 9 7 w e r e a s fo llows :
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1 0 o o o o o o m o re th a n G e r m a ny
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to blam e fo r a ll t h e v a st milli o n s sp e n t o n n av i e s in
r e c e n t ye a rs
i t w o ul d b e j u st a s w e ll i f i t w e r e
shown wh e n a n d h o w G e rma n y le d t h e w a y One
writ e r o n n a va l affa i r s w h os e a r ticl e s o ccu py mu ch
sp ac e i n the m o n thly r e v i e ws stat e d r e c e n tly th at
G e rmany b e ga n t h e a rmam e nt ra c e a t t h e tim e O f t h e
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u r e s o f e xp e n d i tu r e ; a n d t o th e s e w e mu st l o o k n o
matte r wha t t h e Ka i s e r sa i d i n h i s sp e e ch e s a t that
tim e
Let u s b egi n w i th t he y e a r b e fo r e t h e w a r i n
I n 1 8 9 8 B rita i n sp e nt 2 5
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,
H ow D I PLO M ATS M A KE WA R
74
F ran c e a n d Ru ss i a mu st n o t b e l e ft out o f a cc o u nt
i n t r a ci n g t h e g r owth o f G e rmany s na v y I t h a s
b e e n t h e p ol i cy o f B r i ti s h Gov e rn m e nts a n d t h e
p r e s s to co n centrat e attent i o n on G e rmany a n d
B r i ta in alo n e a s i f G e r ma n y h a d n o oth e r co n s i d
e r a t i o n tha n nava l e xp a nsio n s ol e ly a ga i n st Engla n d
No w a t th e clos e o f t h e B o e r Wa r i n 1 9 0 4 B r i ta i n
sp e n t 4 2 4 3 1 o o o a n d G e rmany sp ent 1
a d iff e r enc e o f ov e r
I n 1 9 04 o u r e x
n d i t u r e o n t h e n avy wa s e qu a l to a fou r o r v e
e
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G e rm any then sp ent le ss than
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st r u ctiv e : Franc e
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m a n y a t t h e rate o f a two a n d a hal f P o w e r stan d
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.
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r e p e a t e d o cc a s i on s t h a t s he h a d n o t t he l e a s t
i n t e n t i o n o f t h r e a t en i n g t he i n d e p e n de n c e o r t he i n t e g r i ty
o f t h at s tate
F r a n c e h a d f o rm a ll y a n d pub li c l y de c l a re d
i n a n a g r e e m e n t w i t h G r e a t B r i t a i n t h a t s h e ha d n o i n t e n
t i o n o f a lt e r i n g t h e p o li t i c a l s t a t u s o f M o r o cc o
F r an ce
a n d S p a i n h a d f o r ma ll y a n d p u b li c l y de c l a r e d t h e i r r m a t
t achm e n t t o t h e i n de p e n den c e a n d i n t e g r i t y o f M o ro cc o
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r o cc o up o n
h a d in
19 0 1
an
19 02
pub li c l y
a ss
76
F r a n c e a n d S p a i n a n d by i mp li c a t i on G re a t B r i t a i n w e re
t h e re f o re
pub li c l y p le dg e d t o w a r ds M o ro cco a n d t o w a rds
t h e w o r l d a t l a r g e t o m a i n t a i n t he i n t e g r i t y a n d i n d e p e n d
e n c e o f M o ro cc o
I n p o i n t o f f a c t F ra n c e S p a i n a n d
B ri t a i n h a d p r i v a t e l y e n t e re d i n t o c o n t r a c t s w i t h o n e a n
o t h e r wh e r e by t h e d e s t r uc t i o n o f t he i n de p e n de n c e a n d i n
t e g r i t y o f M o ro cc o w a s d e c r e e d t he d a t e o f t h e eve n t t o
d e p e n d upo n c i rcum s t an c es
,
ce
llo r :
Th e N o r th Ge r m a n Ga ze tte in M arch
A S CA R E M ADE TO O RD E R
77
said
so fa r a s ca n b e gath e r e d at t he mom e nt
G e rma n int e r e sts i n M o r o cco w e r e n o t in d a n g e r
d o r a t P a r i s th a t i t w a s t h e wi sh o f F r a nc e
to u p
h o l d in M o ro cco t h e e xisti n g p oliti ca l a n d t e r r i
t o r i a l statu s
Fou r d ays a ft e r B r itai n a n d Franc e
s ig n e d t h e S e c r e t a rti cl e s a tta ch e d t o t h e pub l i c d e c
la r a t i o n t h e G e rma n Ch anc e llo r sa i d i n t h e R e i chs
tag th a t h e h a d n o t b e e n noti e d o f th e d e cla rat i o n
but h e saw no r e aso n to b e l i e v e tha t it w a s d i r e cte d
a ga i n st G e rm a ny :
,
W e a r e i n t e r e s t e d i n t h at c ou n t r y (M o ro cc o ) a s
m o re o v e r i n t he r e s t O f t he M e d i t e r ra n e a n p r i n c i p a ll y
f ro m t h e e c o n o m i c s t a n dp o i n t O u r i n t e re s ts t h e re i n a r e
b e f o r e a ll co mm e r c i a l i n t e re s t s ; a l s o a r e w e s p e c i a l ly i n t e r
We
e s t e d t h a t c a l m a n d o r de r Sh o u l d p r e v a i l i n M o r o cc o
mu s t p r o t e c t o u r c o mm e r c i a l i n t e r e s ts i n M o r o cc o a n d w e
W e h a v e n o r e as o n t o f e a r t h a t t h e y
s h a ll p ro t e c t t h e m
w ill b e s e t as i de o r i n f r i n g e d by a n y P o w e r
H OW
78
D I PLO M AT S M A KE WA R
a blow o n t he h e a r t o f B r i ta i n b e cau s e o f
the
Anglo F r e n ch E n t e n t e Th e B r iti sh p r e ss
s cr e am e d a t G e r m any a n d th e G erma n p r e ss
s cr e a m e d a t B r ita i n
I t w a s a d i r t y campa i gn co n
d o me d by t h e Fo r e i gn O ffi c e ; s om e s a i d i n sp i r e d by
t h e Fo r e i gn Offi c e
A n yway i t i s only n e c e ssa r y to
r a is e t h e l a n d ma rks he r e s o that w e may t h e b e tt e r
u n d e rsta n d why n aval e xp e n d i tu r e ros e to gi ga n t i c
p r op o rti o n s i n t h e e nsu i n g years S till the wor d s
o f a French S e nato r m ight b e qu ot e d to in d icat e
t h e op i n i o n o f an honest ma n a s to the publi c a n d
s e cr e t p o l i c i e s o f the Anglo F r e n ch Agre e m e nt
B a r on d E s t o u rn e lle s d e Constant i n F e bru a ry
19 12
sa i d :
wa s
The F re n ch P a r li a m e n t by
b u se m o ra ll y i f n o t
c o n s t i t u t i o n all y u n p a r do n a b l y w a s ke p t i n i g n o r a n c e o f
t h i s p o li cy
F a r f r o m e n s u r i n g g e n e r a l p e a c e t he a r
r a n gem en ts
o f 1 9 0 4 t e n de d t o c o mp r o m i se i t
W hy
w a s t he F r e n ch P a r li a m e n t t o l d o n l y h a l f t he t ru t h wh e n
i t w as as k e d t o p a s s i t s o p i n i on up on o u r a r r a n g e m en t w i t h
E n gl a n d ? W hy w a s i t a ll o w e d t o s u s p e c t t h at t h i s a r
r a n g e m e n t h a d a s i t s c o mp l e m e n t a n d c o r r e c t i v e s o m e se c r e t
c l a u se s a n d o t h e r s e c r e t t r e a t i e s ? I t i s t h i s i t i s t h i s do ub l e
g a m e t ow a r ds P a rli a m e n t a n d t o w a r ds t he w o r l d wh i ch
b e co m e s m o r a ll y a n a bu se o f t r u s t
Now t he wh o l e
e ffo r t o f t h e a r r a n g e m e n t o f 1 9 0 4 a pp e a r s t o d a y i n
i ts
t ru t h a n d in i ts v a n i t y
I t w a s a T r e a t y o f f r i en ds h i p w i t h
E n g l an d r e co g n izi n g th e f re e do m o f o u r p o li t i c a l a c t i on i n
M o ro cc o a n d a l so p ro c l a i m i n g o u r w ill t o r e s p e c t t h e i n t e g
r i t y o f t h a t c o u n t r y ; t h a t w as wh a t t h e pub li c k n e w a n d
a pp ro v e d
B u t t h e pub li c w a s i g n o r a n t t h a t a t t he s a m e
t i m e by o t h e r Tr e a t i e s a n d by c o n t r a d i c t o r y c l a u s es h i dd e n
f ro m i t th e p a r t i t i on o f M o r o cco b e tw e e n S p a i n a n d
F ra n ce w as p re p a r e d o f t h a t M o ro cco o f wh i ch w e g u a r
t he
a n t ee d
i n te g r i t y T h e re e xi s te d t wo i rre c on cil abl e
,
an
OU T
GE R MANY LE FT
79
F re n ch p o li c i e s i n M o r o cc o : t h a t o f t he pub li c a rr a n g e
m e n t s t h a t i s t o s ay a p o li cy o f i n t e g r i t y wh i ch w a s n o t t h e
t r u e o n e ; a n d t h a t o f S e c r e t a r r a n g e m e n t s p os t u l a t i n g a P r o
t e ct o r a t e a n d t he p a r t i t i o n o f M o r o cc o
,
Th e r e a so n
E mp e r o r V i s i te d Tang i e r mu st
b e cl e a r t o a n y hon e st bu si n e ss ma n
Th e G e rma n
Fo r e ig n O ffi c e h a d b e e n d e c e iv e d T he Un d e r S e c
r e t a r y f o r Fo r e i g n Affa i r s
L o r d P e rcy s a i d i n the
H ou s e o f C o mmo n s i n Ap r il 1 9 0 5 tha t t h e G e r
m a n G o v e r nm e nt was not offi ci a lly n o t i e d a s to t h e
A n gl o Fr e nc h Ag r e e m e n t h avi n g a n y r e f e r e n ce t o
Fra n c e shoul d hav e commu n icat e d i t t o
M o r o cco
G e rmany wa s ig
G e r m any bu t s h e fa i l e d to d o so
n o red
O n ly a y e a r b e for e Lo r d L ans d owne l e ft t h e Fo r
e i g n O ffi c e h e sp ok e at t h e Gu i l d h all
a n d no d oub t
t h ought t h e Ag r e e m e nt h e h a d ma d e with F ra n c e
wou l d h e lp to k e e p t h e p e a ce o f Eu rop e A ft e r
qu oti n g f r o m t h e Am e ri ca n S e c r e ta ry o f S tate M r
H ay t h a t wa r i s t h e mo st f e ro c i ou s a n d th e mo st
futile o f huma n fo ll i e s h e sa i d :
t he
W e can co n c e i v e n o m o r e t e r r i bl e n o m o re li f e l o n g
pu n i s hm en t t h a n t h a t r e m o r s e t h a t w o u l d b e f e l t by a n y
M i n i s t e r w h o e i t h e r f ro m a f a u l t o f t e mp e r o r f ro m l ov e
o f a p a s s i n g p o pu l a r i t y o r b e c a u s e t h e y w e r e u n a b l e t o p u t
b ro ugh t u p o n
t h e m s e l v e s i n t h e p l a c e o f t h e i r o pp o n e n t s
t h e c o u n t r y t h e s c o u r g e o f a n e e dl e s s w a r
b e d on e
to giv e a sti mulu s to the ex i sting d e si r e
fo r th e d i s cove r y o f s om e les s clumsy a n d b r utal
,
H OW
80
D I P LO M AT S MA KE WA R
I t i s v a i n , i t i s v a i n , t o s ee k
e n su e it
I h o l d t h a t t he g r ow t h
d a n g e r t o t he p e a c e o f t he w o r l d
p e a c e i f you (If) n ot a l so
o f a rm a m e n t s i s a g r e a t
A p o li cy o f hug e a r m a
m e n t s k e e p s a li v e a n d s t i mu l a t e s a n d f e e d s t he b e li e f t h a t
f o r c e i s t h e b e s t i f n o t t h e o n l y s o l u t i o n o f i n t e r n a t i on a l
d i ff e ren c e s
I t i s a p o li cy t h a t t e n d s t o i n a m e o ld s o r e s
An d I su bm i t t o yo u t h a t a s t h e
a n d t o c r e a t e n e w s o re s
p r i n c i p l e o f p e a c e fu l a r b i t ra t i o n g a i n s g r o u n d i t b e c o m e s o n e
o f t h e h i gh es t t a s k s o f a s t a t es m a n t o a dj u s t t h o s e a r m a
m e n ts t o t he n ew e r a n d h a pp i e r co n d i t i on o f t h i n g s W h a t
n o b le r r O
le c o u l d t h i s g r e a t c o u n t r y a s s um e t h a n a t t he
t t i n g m o m e n t t o p l a c e i t s e l f a t t h e h ea d o f t he l e a gu e o f
p e a c e t h ro ugh wh os e i n s t ru m en t ali t y t h i s g re a t w o r k co u l d
b e e ff e c t e d
.
LO R D ROSE B E R Y S C O M PLAI NT
81
men
h av e on e a t hom e
th e s e things h a d stimul ate d a
sp i r i t o f a r b itrati o n i n m a n y an imp e r i ali st b re a st
Ev e n M r B al fou r was inclin e d to tu rn ove r a n e w
lea f H e s a i d :
,
fu t u r e w e Sh a ll n o t s e e w a rs u n l e ss i n dee d w e ca n
c o n c e i v e t h a t e i t h e r a n a t i o n o r a r u l e r s h o u l d a r i se w ho
f ee l t h a t t h e y c a n n o t c a r r y o u t t h e i r s ch e m es o f a gg r an diz e
m e n t e x c e p t by t r a mp li n g up o n t he r i gh t s o f t h e i r n e i gh
b o u r s I s e e n o p r os p e c t o f a n y s uch c a l a m i t y i n Eu rop e
I t w o u l d i n de e d b e a t r a g i c r e v e r s i o n t o a n c i e n t d ay s i f
Eu ro p e h a d a g a i n t o m a k e a c o ali t i o n a g a i n s t a n y t oo am
bit io u s P ow e r
In
o th e r
a n d a d d e d hi s h o p e s
that t h e P ow e r whi ch
h o l d s G ib ra lta r may n e v e r hav e cau s e t o r e g r e t hav
i n g h a n d e d M o ro cco ov e r to a g r e at m i l i ta r y P ow e r
I n O ctob e r 1 9 0 5 h e s a i d :
-
I c a n n o t u n de rs t a n d why f ri e n ds h i p w i t h F r a n c e w o u l d
i n v ol v e s uch v i o l e n t p o l e m i c s w i t h G e rm an y as n ow r a g e
b e t w e e n t he t w o c o u n t r i e s a n d wh i ch I do n ot b e li e v e r e p
r e s e n t t he r e a l
f e e li n g s o f t he tw o n a t i o n s t h o ugh t h e y
m a y r e p re s e n t t h e f e e li n gs o f s o m e o r a ll o f t h e i r G o v e r n
m e n ts ; o f t h a t I k n o w n o t h i n g ; b u t I do V i e w t h o s e
H OW D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
82
p o le m i cs
e n ci n g
as
i u s d a n g e r t o p e a c e a s p o i s o n o u s l y i n u
a n d t h e g r o w i n g g e n e r a t i o n s o f t he
n a t io n s
ser o
t he t w o
h e re f o r e I a m o n e o f t h o s e w ho d e p r e
c a te m os t s i n c e r e l y t he v i e w wh i ch a pp e a rs t o p re v a i l i n
t h a t co r di al r e l a t i o n s w i t h F r a n c e m e a n i r
s o m e qu a r t e r s
r e c o n c il a b l e a n i m o s i t y t o G e r m a n y
R e m e mb e r t h a t t h e se
a re n o t s o li t a r y m a t t e rs w i t h wh i ch w e a r e d e a li n g
T h os e
g re a t n a t i on s r e p re s e n t m illi o n s o f m e n hug e e e t s a l s o
p re p a r e d fo r w a r t h a t i n s o m e d a y wh e n i t is l e as t e x p e c t e d
t he f e e li n g s o f a n a t i o n m a y b e c o m e s o e x as p e r a t e d t h a t t h e
gu n s a s w as s a i d o n a n o t h e r o cc a s i o n m ay a l m o s t go o ff
by t h e m s e l v es ; a n d t h e r e f o re I b e g o f yo u c a r e fu ll y t o
t h i n k o f t h e h e a vy r e s p on s i b ili t y t h a t w e i gh s o n you a n d
y o u r rep r e s e n t a t i v es w i t h r e g a r d t o f o r e i g n a ff a i rs
tw o
n at on s
an d ,
O n ly a f e w days b e fo re Lo r d R o s e b e ry wa rned
t h e cou ntry o f t h e d ang e r s which b e s e t a f o r e ig n p o l
i cy tha t b r e e d s vi o l e nt p ol e mi cs b e tw e e n a P ow e r
wi th whom we h a d e nter e d i nto f r i e n d ly a n d s e c r e t
comp a cts a n d o n e that f e lt a gg r i e v e d by o u r want
o f d iplom ati c cou rt e sy S i r E dwa r d G r e y sp ok e o n
t h e qu est i o n O f a ll i a n c e s
,
P eop l e do
wi t h p e r f e c t t r u t h t h at a n y qu es t i on o f
e n t e r i n g i n t o a d e n i t e a lli a n c e w i t h r e g a r d t o fu t u r e co n
t i n ge n ci es w i t h a n y P o w e r wh a t e v e r i s o n e wh i ch s h o u l d
An a lli a n c e wh i ch a p
b e c a r e fu ll y gu a r de d a n d w a t ch e d
p e a r s a so u r ce o f s t r e n g t h t o da y m i gh t u n de r s o m e fu t u r e
c o n di t i o n s b e co m e a m a t t e r o f e mb a rr a ss m en t ; a n d w e re
I qu i t e a dm i t
t he p o li cy o f a lli a n c e s r as h l y e n t e r e d up o n
t h a t t h e r e w o u l d b e a d a n g e r t h a t t h i s c o u n t ry m i gh t b e
T h at I t h i n k is p e r
le d i n t o u n des i r a b l e e n t a n g l e m e n t s
fe ct ly t ru e ; a n d a ll t h a t s h o u l d b e b o r n e i n m i n d wh e n e v e r
i t i s a qu e s t i on o f c o n t r a c t i n g a n y n ew a lli a n c e w i t h a fo r
e i gn p o w e r
s ay
WHY KE E P US I N DA R KNE SS ?
83
i ng to d estroy u s
Tre i tschk e B e rnha r d i a n d
N i e t z s ch e w e r e not au tho rs bla ck -list e d by the ca r e
tak e rs O f muni c i p a l l ib ra r i e s o r pl a ce d o n t h e l i st
o f forb i dd en books by the H om e O ffi c e S om e p e o
p le i n d e e d fou n d it mu ch e a s i e r to g e t t h e wo rks o f
th e s e au thors than to get i n form a t i on o f s e cr e t tr e a
t i e s and u n d e r sta n d ings fro m the G ov e rnm e nt
Su rely w h e n Lo r d H a l d a ne w a s a t t h e Wa r O ffi c e
t h e Se cret Se rv i ce D ep a r tm e nt not i e d h i m o f t h e
o f a ll thes e p oi so nou s autho rs
C ou l d
e xi st e nc e
Lo r d Ros eb e ry have i mag i n e d when h e r e ferre d to
the v i olent p ol e m i cs o f 1 9 0 5 tha t a ll the j ournali sts
we re tho roughly we ll i n fo rme d a s to the re a l rea
,
H OW D I P L O M ATS M A KE
84
WAR
T h e y w o u l d h e a r much o f f or e i g n p o li cy t he p a r ro t
cr y o f C o n s e r v a t i v e s i n
d i s t re ss
B u t wh e n t h e y t a l k e d
wh a t p oli cy d i d t h e y m e a n ? W a s i t t he
o f f o re i g n p o li cy
p o li cy o f t h e l o n g s p oo n o r o f t h e T r i p l e Alli a n c e o f G re a t
B r i t a i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t es a n d G e r m a n y wh i ch M r C h a m
b e rla in h a d b ee n a n xi o u s t o b r i n g a b o u t b u t wh i ch h a d b e e n
d ro pp e d b e c a u s e t he c o u n t r i e s ch i e y c o n c e r n e d d i d n o t t a k e
k i n dl y t o t h e i de a ? D i d t h e y m e a n t he f o re i g n p o li cy
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Ru s s i an s h i p s i n ? I t w a s w e l l t o r e m e mb e r h i s t o r y s o m e
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e v e r y f o r e i g n g o v e r n m e n t k n e w p e r f e c t l y w e ll t h a t i t w a s
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v i s i o n a ll y in p o w e r a n d w h o h a d l o s t by a t h o u s a n d m a n i f e s t
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g e n e r a l p o li cy t o o u r n e i ghb ou rs o u r g en e r a l
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To t e ll t h i s t r u t h i t k i ll s h i m u n f o r g i v e n
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tu rn to t h e p r o t o f a d om i n ati n g a n d e xp lo iti n g m i
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th i n g o f N i e t z sch e Th e r e a l i n u e n c e o f N i e t z sch e
ha s n o t how e v e r shown its e l f i n any o f the a ctions o f
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that t h e K i n g d o m o f G o d i s w i t h i n y o u
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i sm tha t i t m ay b e o pp o rtun e to ask What i s the i n
d iv i d u a l i sm o f N i et z sch e ? Tru e in d i v i du al i sm i t i s
not fo r i t i s without e conom i c fou n d ati on H i s
w i ll to -l i fe p ow e r d o e s no t go d e e p enough ; i t la cks
a subs i st e nc e b a s i s h e n c e p e r hap s hi s notion o f
slav e s I t i s e xcee d ingly d i ffi cult to p la c e a fu n d a
m e nta l va lu e o n the i n d i v i du al i sm o f N i e t z s che fo r
h e so o ft e n con fu s e s man a n d n atu r e a n d t h e func
t i o n s o f b o th D e lv e i nto h i s p hilo sop hy as d e e ply
a s you w i ll o n thi s matte r a stoun d ing contra d i ct i ons
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a pp e a rs so o ften p e rhap s to mo ck ou r ex
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p e r f e c t o r p r i m i t i v e s o c i e t y : i t b e l o n g s t o th e N a t u r e o f t h e
li v i n g b e i n g a s a p r i m a r y o r g a n i c fu n c t i o n ; i t is a con s e
q u e n ce o f t he i n t r i n s i c W ill t o P o w e r wh i ch i s p r e c i s e l y t he
w ill t o li f e G r a n t i n g t h a t a s a t h eo r y t h i s i s a n ov e l t y
a s a re a li t y i t i s a fu n d a m e n t a l fa ct o f a ll h i s t o r y : le t u s b e
s o fa r h o n e s t t o o u rs e l v e s !
H OW D I PLO M AT S MA KE WA R
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o f G e r ma n s o l d i e rs t e n d e n ci e s a ga i n st estab li sh e d
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m a n y he i n t h e e v e n t o f w a r i n wh i ch E n g l a n d I te ll yo u
w o u l d a s s u r e dl y b e w i t h u s a g a i n s t G e r m a n y ? W h a t
w o u l d b e co m e o f Ge r m an y s p o r ts o r he r t ra de o r h e r
m e rc a n t il e m a r i n e ? T h e y w o u l d b e a n n i h il a t e d T h a t is
wh a t w o u l d be t he s i g n i c a n c e o f t he v i s i t p r e p a re d a n d
c a lcu l a t e d o f t he B r i t i s h s qu a d r o n t o B r e s t wh il e t h e re
t u r n v i s i t Of t h e F r e n ch s qu a d r o n t o P o r t s m o u t h w i ll co m
The e n t e n t e b e t w ee n t h e t w o
p le t e t he de m on s t r a t i o n
c o u n t r i e s an d t he co a li t i on o f t h e i r n a v i es co n s t i t u t es s uch
a f o r m i d a b l e m a ch i n e o f n a v a l w a r t h a t n e i t h e r G e r m a n y
w o u l d da re t o f a ce s u ch a n o v e r
n o r an y o th er P o we r
wh e l m i n g f o r c e a t s e a
,
a n d P r o -B o e rs
lan d e rs
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t h e A dm i r alty a n d the W a r Offi ce th e y gath e r e d
o ts am a n d j etsam the go ssip o f d i sapp o i n t e d h al f
p ay o ffi c e rs a n d cle rks o ften e n ou gh t h e r e j e ct e d in
fo r matio n o f s e rvito r s not r e qui r e d aga i n
M r B ryc e i n Octob e r 1 9 0 5 p o i nte d to the d a n
ge r o f t h e p r e ss camp a ign :
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m i n ds W h e n yo u a re t o l d d ay a f t e r d ay t h a t s o m e
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m o s t o b s c u r e t he m o s t d e l i
c a t e t he m o s t c o mp l e x t he g r a v e s t p r o v i n c e o f pub li c bu s i
n e ss
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p r o v i n c e i s a f r e e e l d wh e re p e o p l e n d i t m o s t e as y t o
b e i f yo u p a r do n t he w o r d c o ck s u r e wh e re t h e y t h i n k i t i s
m o s t a pp ro p r i a t e t o y i n t o a p as s i o n a n d t o u s e t h e w o r s t
l an gu a g e e i t h e r a b o u t f o re i g n n a t i o n s o r a b o u t t h o s e o f
t h e i r f e ll o w c ou n t rym e n w ho do n o t h a pp e n t o a g r e e w i t h
t hem
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m a rv e ll o u sly effe ctive Un d e r M r H al d ane the
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li z a t i o n b a si s for s e rv i ce ab ro a d to comp r i s e 1 5 0
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t i cle s
w e re r e qu i re d t o de a l w i t h a C o n t i n e n t a l s i t u a
a s t r i k i n g f o r c e o f much g r e a t e r s t re n g t h t h a n 1 5 0
t ion
000 m e n w ou l d i n my h u m b l e o p i n i on b e n ee de d i f n o t
l o n g b e f o r e a n y l a r ge n u mb e r o f r e i n
a t t he v e r y o u t s e t
f o r c e m e n t s c o u l d b e t ra i n e d W e w o u l d u n de r t h e s e ci r
cu m s t a n ce s b e gh t i n g a g a i n s t a m o s t c a r e fu ll y o r g an iz e d
a r my b e t w e e n t w o a n d t h re e m illi o n s s t r on g a n d t h o r o u gh l y
t t e d i n a ll res p e c t s fo r w a r t he Comm a n de rs o f wh i ch
w o u l d b e fu ll y co g n iz a n t o f o u r u n p r e p a r e dn e s s a n d w o u l d
g i v e u s a s li t t l e b re a t h i n g t i m e a s p o ss i b l e I dou b t wh e t h e r
i t i s r e a liz e d i n t h i s c o u n t r y t h a t t h e C o n t i n en t a l a r m i e s
b e h i n d t h e i r v as t m o b iliz e d s t re n g t h p o s s es s p r a c t i c a ll y u n
li m i t e d re s e r v es I n G e r m a n y fo r i n s t a n c e t h ou gh i t i s
u s u a ll y s upp ose d t h a t o n l y a b o u t v e m illi o n m en w o u l d
b e s ubj e c t t o t he e x t re m e d e m an d o f t h e S t a t e t h e re a r e
a l t o g e t h er a c t u a ll y n o l ess t h a n t e n m il li o n m e n o v e r gh t
i n g a ge w ho h a v e p as s e d t h r o ugh t h e r a n ks a t o n e p e r i o d
o r an othe r
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a ff o r d e d a s e r i o u s t e mp t a t i o n t o h o s t il e
a n d o t h e r ex p e r ts
c ou n t r i e s t o s e e k t he rs t o pp o r t u n i t y t o h u m ili a t e a n d
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h e knew th a t w e h av e b e e n su sp e ct e d o f a w i sh
a s i n i ste r w i sh to e mb a rra ss G e r m a n y by r a i s i n g t h e
q ue st i on
I n e x pl a i n i n g t h e S itu ati o n h e s a i d :
,
W e t h ou gh t i t o u r d u t y t o s e iz e t he Opp o r t u n i t y wh i ch
t h e H a gu e C o n f e r e n c e o ff e r e d fo r s e e i n g wh e t h e r a s t e p
m i gh t n o t b e t a k e n i n t he r i gh t d i r e c t i o n fo r r e d uc i n g a r m a
m e n ts I t h i n k w e w e r e r i gh t
The G e r m a n G o v e r n
m en t a pp e a r s t o b e li e v e t h a t s uch a m e t h o d i s i dle a n d i l
l u s o ry a n d a s t h e y h o l d t h e y c a n h a v e n o s h a r e i n i t I
r e c o g n iz e a n d r es p e c t t h e c a n do u r w i t h wh i ch P r i n c e B ulo w
h a s de c i de d t o s t a n d a s i de f r o m t h e d i s cu s s i o n a l t o g e t h e r
a rmy a n d w e r e n o w t r yi n g to w r e ck t h e n avy
Th e
stat e m e nts o f the p a ni cm o n g e r s h o w e v e r r e a ch e d
su ch a lim i t that a To r y p ap e r i n a n a r ti cl e f r o m a
w e ll i n fo rm e d co rrespon d e n t o n n aval a ffa i rs sa i d :
.
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is i n n o d a n g e r wh a t e v er f ro m t he n a v i e s
N o t w i t h s t a n di n g t h e v o l um e
o f C o n t i n e n t a l P o w e rs
an d e n e r gy o f a t t a ck s o n t h e Ad m i r a l t y , i t i s s i g n i c a n t t h a t
n eithe r in
t h e H o u s e o f C o mm o n s n o r i n t h e H o u s e o f
L o rds h as a S i n g l e d i v i s i on b e e n t a k e n on a n y o n e o f t he
qu e s t i o n s a t i s s u e T h i s p rov es t h a t e i t h e r t h e U n i o n i s t O p
p o s i t i on is i n d i ffe r e n t t o o r i g n o r a n t o f t he c o u n t r y s i mp e n d
i n g f at e , o r t h a t t he c a mp a i g n a g a i n s t t he Adm i r a l t y i s t h e
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D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
w o rk o f w i n db a g s wh ose pu n c t u r e
w il l be f o ll owe d by de a t i on
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Ru ssi a wa s a s follows :
Ge r m a n y F r a n ce
G r e a t B r i ta i n
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t h e i n t e r e sts o f G e rm a n y i n M o r o cco
to u se hi s
o w n wo r d s i n hi s a d d r e s s to t h e Sulta n s rep r e senta
t iv e s
Th en follow e d t h e w a r i n t h e B r iti sh a n d
Co n ti n e n ta l p r e s s B u t t h e se cre t a r ti cl e s we r e not
m a d e k n own u n t i l s i x ye a rs a ft e r the v i si t that cau s e d
t h e s e n s at i on i n B r i ta i n a n d Fran ce
I n Ja n u a ry
1 9 06
Si r E d wa r d G r e y ag r e e d with t h e F r e n c h
G o v e rn m e n t th a t co n v e rs at i o n s shoul d take pl ace b e
tw e e n B r iti sh a n d Fr e nch m ilita ry a n d nava l exp e r ts
I n t h e autum n o f 1 9 0 5 M D e lca ss e wa s fo rc e d to
r e sig n hi s p o rt foli o a n d L e M a ti n publ i sh e d t he
sto ry o f B r i ta in s w i lli n gne ss to s e n d a fo rc e i n sup
p ort o f F r anc e i nto Schl e swi g-H olst e in I n Ap r i l
1 9 0 6 t h e B e lgi an a n d B r it i sh m i lita ry autho r i t i e s in
B ru ssels ente re d i nto a r ra n ge ments fo r the co o pe ra
.
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G re a t
1 09
G e r m a n y i s i n e v i t ab l e I t i s
I n t he r s t p l a c e t h e a l a r m i s t s h a v e n o
a ll n on s e n se
g ro u n ds wh a te v e r fo r t h e i r p a n i c o r f e a r
L oo k a t i t
f r o m a n y p o i n t o f V i e w yo u li ke a n d I s ay you w il l c o m e
t o t he c o n c lu s i on
i n r e g a r d t o t h e r e l a t i o n s b e t w e e n En g
l a n d a n d Ge r m a n y t h a t t h e re is n o r e a l c a u se o f d i ffe r e n ce
b e tw e e n t h e m a n d a l t h o ugh t h e r e m a y b e s n a pp i n g a n d
a n d i n t h e L o n d on c l ub s
s n a r li n g i n t h e n e w s p a p e r s
t h os e
tw o g r e a t p eo p l e h a v e n o t h i n g t o gh t a b o u t h a v e n o p r iz e
t o gh t fo r a n d h a v e n o p l a c e t o gh t i n
W h a t do e s a ll t h i s s n a pp i n g a n d s n a r li n g a m ou n t t o
a f t e r a ll ?
H o w m a n y p e o p l e d o yo u s upp o s e t h e re a r e i n
G e r m an y w ho r e a ll y w a n t t o m a k e a mu r de r o u s a t t a ck o n
t h i s co u n try ?
I do n o t s upp os e i n t he wh o l e o f t h a t g r e a t
p o pu l a t i o n o f f t y o r s ix t y m illi o n s o f i n h a b i t a n t s t h e r e a r e
t e n t h o u s a n d p e r so n s w ho w o u l d s e r i o u s l y c o n t e mp l a t e s uch
a h e lli s h a n d w i ck e d c r i m e ; a n d h o w m a n y d o yo u t h i n k
t h e re a re in t h is co u n t ry ?
I do n o t b e li e v e t h e re a r e e v en
t h a t n umb e r t o b e f o u n d i n o u r c o u n t ry
B u t e ve n i f
t he f t ee n t h o u s a n d p e r s o n s wh o m w e w il l s a y i n G e r m a n y
a n d t h i s c o u n t ry d e s i r e t o m a k e w a r o n o n e a n o t h e r w e r e
a s i n u e n t i a l a s o n e w o u l d t h i n k f r o m t h e n o i s e t h e y m a k e
a n d t h e c l a t t e r t h e y k e e p up
wh a t a b o u t t he r es t o f u s ?
W h a t a b o u t t he o n e hu n dre d m illi o n s o f p eo p l e w ho dw e l l
i n t h e s e i s l a n ds a n d G e r m a n y ? Ar e w e a ll s uch s h e e p ?
I s d e m o c r a cy i n t h e t w en t i e t h c e n t u r y s o p o w e r l e s s t o a ff e c t
i t s w ill ? Ar e w e a ll b e c o m e s uch pupp e t s a n d m a r i o n e tt e s
t o b e w i r e pu ll e d a g a i n s t o u r i n t e re s t s i n t o s uch h i de o u s
c o n vu l s i o n s ? I h a v e a h i gh a n d p re v a ili n g f a i t h i n t he
I h av e co m e h e re
e s s en t i a l g oo d n e s s o f g r e a t p e o p l e
t h i s a f t e r n o o n t o a s k yo u t o j o i n w i t h m e i n s a y i n g t h a t fa r
a n d w i de t h r o ugh o u t t h e m a s s e s o f t h e B r i t i s h d o m i n i o n s
I s ay
t h e re i s n o f e e li n g o f i ll w il l t o w a r ds G e r m a n y
w e h on o u r t h a t s t ro n g p a t i e n t i n du s t r i o u s G e r m a n p e o p l e
w h o h a v e b ee n fo r s o m a n y c e n t u r i e s d i v i de d a p r e y t o
Eu ro p e a n i n t r i gu e a n d a d r u dg e a m on g s t t he n at i o n s o f t he
Con t i n en t No w i n t he f u l n ess o f t i m e a f t e r m an y t r i bu
B ri t a in
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h y h a v e by t h e i r v i r t u es a n d v a l ou r w on t h e m
I s ay w e
s e l v es a f o r e m o s t p l a c e i n t h e f r o n t o f c i v iliz a t i o n
do n o t e n v y t h e m t h e i r g o o d f o r t u n e ; w e do n o t e n vy t h e m
W e a re n o t j e al o u s o f t h e m ;
t h e i r p o w e r a n d p ro s p e r i t y
w e w i s h t h e m w e ll f r o m t h e b o t t o m o f o u r h e a rts a n d w e
b e li e v e m os t r m l y t he v i c to r i es t h e y w il l w i n i n s c i e n c e
a g a i n s t w a s te
t he v i c t o r i e s
a n d l e a rn i n g a g a i n s t b a r b a r i s m
t h e y w ill g a i n w ill b e v i c t o r i es i n wh i ch w e s h a ll s h a r e a n d
wh i ch wh il e be n e t i n g t h e m w il l a l s o ben e t u s
la t ion s
t e
p e opl e
by th e i r v i rtu e s a n d va lou r h a d won for
th e ms e lves a fo remo st pl a c e i n the front o f c i v i l i z a
C HAPTE R VI
PA N I CMO N GE R S
w il l li f t up a n e n s i g n t o th e n a t i on s f r o m a f a r
a n d w ill h i ss u n t o t h e m f ro m t h e e n d o f t h e e a r t h : a n d
b e h o l d t h e y s h a ll co m e w i t h Sp e e d s w i f t ly :
N on e s h a ll b e w e a r y n o r s t umb le a m o n g t h e m ; n on e
s h a ll s l umb e r n o r s l e e p ; n e i t h e r s h a ll t h e g i r d l e o f t h e i r
l o i n s be loos e d n o r t he l a t ch e t o f t h e i r s h oe s b e b r o k e n :
W h o s e a r r o ws a re s h a r p a n d a ll t h e i r b o w s b e n t t h e i r
h o rs e s h oo f s s h a l l b e c o u n te d li ke i n t a n d t h e i r wh ee l s
li k e a wh i r l w i n d :
T h e i r ro a r i n g Sh a ll b e li k e a li o n t h e y s h a ll ro a r li k e
y o u n g li on s : ye a t h e y s h a ll r o a r an d lay h o l d o f t he p r e y
a n d Sh a ll c a r r y i t a w a y s a f e
a n d n o n e s h a l l d e li v e r i t
An d i n t h a t d a y t h e y s h a l l r o a r a g a i n s t t h e m li k e t he
r o a r i n g o f t h e s e a : a n d i f o n e l oo k u n t o t he l a n d
be hol d
d a r k n ess a n d so r r o w a n d t h e li gh t i s d a r k e n e d i n t h e
h e av e n s t h e re o f
I s ai ah
AND he
O n F e b ru a ry 8 th 1 9 0 9 t h e French a n d G e rman
G o ve rn m e n ts m a d e a d e clar at i on o f th e i r int e nti ons
towa r d s M o ro cco T h i s wa s d on e s o th a t t h e two
Gov e r nm e nts m i ght d e n e t h e m e a n i n g they a tta ch e d
to t h e a r ti cl e s o f the Algeci ra s Act i n o r d e r to avoi d
m i su n de rsta n d i n g i n fu tu r e Th e Ge rm an G ov e r n
m e nt r e cogni z e d t h e sp ec i al politi ca l int e re sts o f
France i n M o ro cco a n d r e solve d not to i mp e d e tho s e
i n t e r e sts
Th e G e rma n s pu rsu ing only e conom i c
i nt e rests i n M o ro c co p rom i s e d not to encou r age any
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B e r li n i n F e b r u a r y 1 9 0 9 contract e d with G e rmany
to m a i n ta i n t h e i n d e p e n d e n c e a n d i n t e gr i ty o f M o
ro cco ; wh e n Fra n c e a n d Sp a i n w ith th e sa n ct i on o f
Lo r d La n s d ow n e h a d s e c r e tly e n ga ge d tha t F ra nc e
The s e cret
a n d Sp a i n shoul d p a rti t i on M o r o cc o
a r ti cl e s w e r e no t publi sh e d u ntil N ov e mb e r 1 9 1 1
An d i n the fa c e o f th e s e facts r e s p o n sibl e stat e smen
allow t h e publi c to b e t o l d tha t G e r many wa s t h e
a gg r e sso r a n d d e lib e r a t e ly pl a n n e d a wa r a ga i nst
B r ita in ! S u ch i n famy i s i n d e e d h a r d to swallow
Y e t sw allow i t t h e publi c mu st i f d e mo cra cy i s eve r
t o hav e a cha n c e o f b r i n gi n g ab ou t i n Eu rop e a stat e
o f affa i rs tha t corr e sp o n d s w i th o r d i n a ry m e rcanti l e
h o n e sty
Bu t a r e th e inue n c e s tha t u s e the p r e s s to o pow
e r fu l fo r t h e p e opl e to ov e r come ?
Wh e n the publi c
a re u p agai n st su ch fo rc e s a s a r mam e n t r i n gs m ilita ry
a n d n ava l l e agu e s p a n i cmo n g e rs a n d t h e a d ve rt i s i n g
d epa r tm e nt o f Fo r e i g n O ffi c e s t h e ta sk d o e s s e e m
a lmost to o much fo r t h e m a ss e s Th e cu n n i n g the
subtl e ty the ava r i c e the n e poti sm the ca st e p owe r
that sh i e l d d iplomati c a ct i on a re
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B ALFOU R LEA D S TH E C H O RU S
1 13
by M r B al fou r
Utt e r ly insu ffi ci e n t h e ung
ou t a n d i mm e d i at e ly t h e S ig n a l was giv e n fo r o n e o f
th e w i l d e st o r gi e s o f J i n go f e e ling t h e c o unt ry ha s
e v e r su ffe r e d
An d wh a t w a s i t a ll ab out ? Th e
Gov e rnm e n t s ca s e w a s l a i d down by M r Asqu ith
wh o sa i d :
,
The r s t a ssu m p t i on w a s t h a t t he G e r m an p a p e r p ro
g r a mm e I t h i n k I des c r i b e d i t a s a p a p e r p r o g r a m m e
wh i ch m i gh t n o t be r e a liz e d a n d c e r t a i n l y w o u l d
n o t b e e x c e e de d
T h at has t u rn e d o u t n o t t o be t r u e b e
c a u s e i t i s u n do u bt e d l y t h e c a s e I s p e a k w i t h a s m u ch
r e s e rv e a s I ca n a b o u t i t
b e c a u s e I w a n t t o k ee p s t r i c t l y
w i t h i n t he v e r i a b l e t r u t h i t i s a f a c t t h a t d u r i n g t he
a u t um n o f l a s t y e a r t h e r e w a s a n a n t i c i p a t i o n w i t h f o u r
10
s h i p s wh i ch b e l o n g t o t h e G e r m a n p ro g r a mm e o f 1 9 0 9
i n the s e n s e t h a t o r de r s w e r e g i v e n m a t e r i a l s c o ll e c t e d i t
m ay b e t h a t i n o n e o r t w o c as es p o s s i b l y i n m o r e s h i p s w e r e
a ct u a ll y l a i d do w n
w as
on e
H OW D I PLO M ATS M A KE
1 14
WAR
G o v e rn m en t b e li e v i n g a s w e do m os t e x p li c i t l y
i n t he g o o d f a i t h o f t h o s e d e c l a r a t i o n s w e c a n n o t p o s s i b l y
p u t b e f o re t he H o u s e o f C o mm o n s a n d P a r li a m e n t a p r o
g r a mm e b as e d o n t he a ss ump t i o n t h a t a d e c l a r a t i o n o f t h a t
k i n d w ill n o t be c a r r i e d o u t
As
I t w i ll b e s e e n i n s p i t e o f M r Asqu i th s wo r ds
tha t t h e d e cl a rati o n wa s th r ow n to t h e wi n d s a n d
tha t t h e G ove r nm e nt i n a fe w w e e ks w a s sw e p t o ff its
f e et by the st o rm o f J ingo f e e li n g i n t h e cou n t ry
We k n ow now tha t t h e ab omi n abl e s ca r e w a s t h e
wo r k no t o f a G e rm an G ov e r n m e n t whos e w o r d
coul d no t b e reli e d on b u t o f a ga n g o f B r i ti sh
p at r i ots connect e d w i th the a rmam e nt r i n g on t h e
s e a r ch fo r o r d e r s a n d d iv i d e n d s a n d supp o rt e d by a
l a rge secti on o f the B r iti sh p r e s s co n t r oll e d by a s yn
A M r M ulli n e r o n ce m ana gi n g d i r e cto r o f
d i ca t e
t h e C oventry O r d n a n c e C omp any w a s t h e o st e ns ibl e
i nst i ga to r
I n the h ab i lim e n ts o f a p a t r i ot h e
sta rt e d a camp a i gn th at fo st e re d h at r e d a n d h o st i lity
i n m i ll i ons o f he a rts a n d m i n d s i n b oth G e rm a n y a n d
B r i ta i n So e arly a s M ay 1 9 0 6 M r M ull i n e r
i n fo rme d th e A dmi r al t y tha t t h e G e rm a n s we r e m ak
i n g p r e p ar a t i o n s fo r i ncr e a si n g th e i r n avy t o va st
p r o p o r ti o n s O n M a rch 3 r d 1 9 0 9 M r M ull i n e r
gav e e vi d e nce b e fo r e t h e C ab i n e t in supp o rt o f t h e
i n fo rmation h e h a d b r ought t o t h e n o ti c e o f t h e Ad
m i r a lty d u r i ng a p e r i o d cov e r i n g n e a r ly thr e e y e a r s
I n th e H i s t o r y o f a Gr e a t S ca r e M r P e rr i s s ays o f
M r Mulli n e r :
M R M ULLI N E R
.
PAT R I OT
1 15
For t h ree
t he wo r k o f
y e a rs i n f a c t t h i s ge n t l e m an g a v e h i m s el f
to
p r o p a g a t i n g t he my t h o f a g i g an t i c e x p a n s i o n
o f K r upp s w o r k s
i n p a r t i cu l a r a n d o f G e r m a n a cc e l e r a
t i on i n g e n e ra l
I t w a s a n u n de r g r o u n d c a mp a i g n ; b u t w e
g a t h e r f ro m s ub se q u e n t l e t t e rs a n d s p e e ch e s t h a t M r M u l
li n e r s i n f o r m a t i o n s en t rs t t o t he W a r O ffi c e i n M a y
1 9 06
w as p a ss e d o n t o t he Ad m i ra l t y
w a s d i s cu s s e d by
t h e m w i t h s e v e r a l o u t s i de rs
p a ss e d f r o m h a n d
an d t hen
t o h a n d so t h a t h u n d r e d s h a v e r e a d i t
O f t h is in f o r m a
t i on
I n e e d n ow s ay n o t h i n g m o r e t h a n t h a t a s s o o n a s i t
b e c a m e pub li c i t w a s e mph a t i c a ll y c on t r a di c t e d by M e s s r s
K r up p t h ro u gh M r J o h n L e y l a n d a n d o t h e r c o r re s p on d
a n d a f t e r so me y e a r s i t w a s p r a c t i c a ll y a d m i t t e d by
e n ts
t he G o v e rn m en t t o b e f a l se a n d t h a t t i m e h a s p r o v e d t h a t
i t n e v e r h a d a n y re a l b a s i s
I t w a s n e v e r t h e l e s s p ro p a
g a t e d w i t h u n r e m i t t i n g z e a l in f o r m s m o r e a n d m o re l u r i d
a n d w i t h t h e g ra d u a l as s en t o f t he l e a d e r s o f t h e O pp o s i
,
t on
I t w a s o n th e i n fo rm a t i on l a i d by M r M ull i ne r
b e for e t h e C ab i net on M a rch 3 r d th a t the G o ve r n
m ent b a se d the i r cas e fo r the e n o rmou s i ncr e a se i n
th e e st i ma tes H ow d e e ply conv i nce d the C ab i n e t
w a s o f the a ccu ra cy o f t h e i n fo rm at i on p r e s e n t e d by
M r M ulline r i n sp i t e o f the d en i a ls o f the G e rm a n
C h anc e llo r a n d A d m i ra l v o n T i rp i t z 18 to b e gath
e r e d fro m M r
As q u i th s sp ee ch i n the H ou s e o f
C ommons :
.
I f a n y o n e w ill r e f e r t o t he s p ee ch I m a de a y e a r a go
h e w ill s ee t h a t I s a i d w i t h so m e c o n de n c e t h a t wh e r eas i t
wo u l d t a k e t he G e r m a n s t h i rt y m o n t h s t o bu il d on e o f
I w as n o t o f
t h ese s h i p s w e c o u l d d o i t i n t w e n t y f ou r
co u rs e co mm i t t i n g my s e l f p re c i s e l y t o t he n umb e r o f
m o n t h s b u t I did m a i n t a i n t h a t w e ha d a s ub s t a n t i a l a d
v a n t a g e i n th e r a t e o f co n s t ru c t i on wh i ch w o u l d a l w ay s e n
ab l e us t o qui ckl y o v e r t a k e t h e m wh en t he e v en t o ccu rr e d
,
1 16
H OW
D I P LO M ATS M A K E WA R
I am s or r y t o s ay i t i s n o t t he c as e I b e li e v e d i t to be t he
f a c t a t t he t i m e a t wh i ch I s p o ke b u t t h e r e h a s b ee n s uch
an
e n o rm o u s
d e v e l o pm e n t i n G e r m an y I Sp e a k qu i t e
f ra n k l y t o t he H o u s e b e c a u se I a m o b li ge d t o t e ll t h e m t h ese
m a t t e r s a n d t o le t t h e m u n de rs t a n d why w e e c o n o m i s t s
h a v e p r e s e n te d t h e s e e s t i m a tes t o t he H ou s e t h e re ha s
b e e n s uch a n e n o r m o u s d e v e l o pm e n t in G e r m a n y n o t o n ly
i n t h e p ro v i s i o n o f s h i p y a rds a n d s li p s o n wh i ch t he bu l k
o r f a b r i c o f a s h i p c a n b e bu il t o r r e p a i r e d
bu t wh a t i s
s t ill m o r e s e r i o u s
i n t h e p ro v i s i o n o f g u n m o u n t i n g s a n d
a r m a m e n t s o f t h o se g r e a t m on s t e rs
d r e a dn a ugh t s
t h o se
wh i ch a re n ow t he do m i n a t i n g t yp e o f s h i p S u ch an e n o r
m o u s d e v e l o pm en t a n d I w ill v en t u re t o s ay b e i n g m o s t
a n xi o u s n o t t o e x c i t e a n y t h i n g i n t h e n a t u r e o f u n n e ce s
s a r y a l a r m i n t h i s c o u n t ry
s uch a n e n o r m o u s d e v e l o pm e n t
i s s o s e r i o u s f ro m o u r n a t i on a l p o i n t o f v i ew t h at w e co u l d
n o l o n g e r t a k e t o o u rs e l v e s a s w e c o u l d a y e a r a go w i t h
r e a s o n t h e c o n s o li n g a n d c o mf o r t i n g re e c t i o n t h a t w e h a v e
t h e a dv a n t a g e i n s p e e d a n d t he r a t e a t wh i ch s h i p s ca n be
c on s t r uc t e d
.
WHAT COULD GE R M AN Y TH I N K ?
1 17
H OW D I PLO M AT S M A K E WA R
1 18
The g re a t c o u n t r i es
E u ro p e a r e r a i s i n g e n o r m ou s
re v e n u e s
an d s o m e t h i n g
li k e o n e h a l f o f t h e m is b e i n g
s p e n t o n m ili t a r y an d n a v a l p r e p a r a t i o n s
Y o u m ay c a ll i t
t h a t i s p e r f e c t l y t r u e ; b u t i t i s e qu a ll y
n a t i on a l i n s u r a n c e
t r u e t h a t o n e h al f o f t he n a t i o n a l r e v e n u e o f t he g r e a t
c o u n t r i es i n Eu ro p e is b e i n g Sp e n t o n wh at a re a f t e r a ll
p re p a r at i o n s t o k ill e a ch o t h e r S u re l y t he ex t e n t t o wh i ch
t h i s ex p e n d i t u r e h a s g r o w n r e all y b e c o m e s a s a t i re a n d a
r e e c t i o n up on c i v iliz a t i o n
of
Ye s ,
The G o v e rn m en t p l an i s fo u r s h i p s
h i s y e a r a n d t he
p re p a r a t i on for a p o ss i b l e f o u r Sh i p s o n Ap r il I s t n e x t y e a r
D o t h e s e Ap r il I s t s h i p s b e l o n g t o n ex t y e a r s p ro g r a mm e
?
r
r
r
o r t o t h i s y e a s p o g a mm e
I f t h ey b e lon g as I t h i n k
t h e y o u gh t t o b e l o n g t o t h i s y e a r s p r o gr a mm e le t u s p u t
t h e m i n t o t h i s y e a r s p r o g r a mm e ; b u t i f t h e y a r e re a ll y a n d
g e n ui n e l y i n t e n de d t o b e l on g t o n ex t y e a r s p ro g r a mm e
t h en I a s k wh a t y o u r s i t u a t i o n w il l b e i f yo u n d t h a t n e x t
y e a r s p ro g r a mm e p ro p e r I m e a n n e x t y e a r s p ro g r a mm e
i rres p e ct i v e o f t he Ap r il I s t s h i p s is i t s e l f t o co n s i s t o f e i gh t
a n d I t h i n k v e r y li k e l y i t w ill h a v e t o c o n s i s t o f
sh ips
t
WH O SHALL
P AY
TH E B I LLS ?
1 19
i gh t s h i p s T h a t w ill me an you w il l a t t e mp t t o b u il d
I c a ll t h a t
t w e l v e s h i p s n ex t y e a r a g a i n s t f o u r t h i s y e a r
e
p re p o s t e r o u s
B u t wha t would b e th e
e ff e ct o f th a t s p e e ch i n G e r m a n y ? N o o n e th e re
woul d s ay p r e p o st e r ou s
Th e y wou ld p r o bably
th i n k B r iti s h e x M inist e rs mu st h av e gone rav i ng
m a d wh e n i n t h e fa c e o f t h e d e cla ration o f th e Ge r
m an G ov e r n m e nt M r B al fou r cou l d t e ll c i ty m ag
n ate s a n d the i r cl e rks that h e wa nt e d t h e Gov e r nm e nt
to b u il d e i ght b attl e ship s th a t y e a r Wh e th e r t h e
G e rma n s w e r e s ca r e d o r n o t h e su cc e e d e d in s ca r i ng
I n the e n
t h e G ov e r n ment a lmos t ou t o f i ts s e ns e s
su i n g m onths b oth M r A squ i t h a n d Si r E dwa r d
G r e y b owe d th e i r h e a d to t h e sto r m ; a n d th e n l ate r
M r Lloy d G e o rge talke d ab ou t ways a n d m e ans o f
r a is ing the mon e y M r Asqu ith a ssu r e d h i s a u d i
e nc e a t Glasgow i n Ap ri l , th at b oth h e a n d S i r E d
wa r d G rey h a d g i v e n t h e mo st expli cit p l e dg e to t h e
C ommons that i f the n e cessity sh o ul d a r i s e fou r e x
tra ship s w o ul d b e o r d e re d N atu r a lly t h e ag e nts o f
t h e a r m am e nt r i ng to ok go o d c a re tha t t h e n e cess i ty
wou l d a r is e
When M r Lloy d Ge o rg e i ntroduc e d hi s bu dget o f
1 9 09 he s a i d :
P rep ost e r ou s ,
i n de e d !
We
j e o p a r dy t he n av a l s u
p r e m acy wh i ch i s e s s en t i a l n o t o n ly t o o u r n a t i on a l e x
i s t e n ce b u t i n o u r j u d gm e n t t o t h e v i t a l i n t e re s t s o f w e s t e r n
c i v iliz a t i on B u t i n my j u dgm e n t i t w o u l d a l s o b e a n
a ct o f c r i m i n a l i n s a n i t y t o t h r o w a w a y e i gh t m illi on s o f
m o n e y wh i ch i s s o much n e e de d fo r o t h e r pu r p os e s o n
bu il di n g g i g an t i c o t illas m e re l y to en c oun t e r my t h i c a l
T h a t is why w e p ro p os e on l y t o i n cu r t h i s
a r m a d as
We
e n o r m o u s e x pe n di t u re wh e n t he n ee d fo r i t a r ise s
do
n ot
i n t en d
pu t
to
in
H OW
: 20
m us t
D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
u re t h e c o mp l e t e se c u r i t y o f o u r Sh o re s a g a i n s t all
b u t w e c a n n o t a ff o r d t o bu il d n a v i e s a g a i n s t
r e a l d an g e rs
H o w e v e r a s i t m ay b e n e c es s a ry t o m a k e
n i gh t m a r e s
a r ra n g e m e n t s fo r l a y i n g d o w n a ll t he e i gh t d r e a dn a u gh t s
1 9 10
o n Ap r il I s t
en s
an d
ra i d a nd a noth e r am e n d ment to
v a s io n
w e re tu rn e d to howls o f
t h e G e rma n Na v y Law
conscati on
a nd
spoli atio n
and
robb e ry
All talk o f wa n ting e i ght d r e a dn aughts wa s st i ll e d
a n d f e a rs o f a G e rma n inva si on w e r e lo st i n t h e hor
r o r s o f hav i n g to p la c e a va lu e o n la n d
I f t h e Gov
e r n m e n t o f 1 9 0 6 h a d that y e a r int r o d u c e d a Lan d
valu e s B u d g e t t h e count r y woul d h av e h e a r d littl e
f r o m t h e s caremongers
th e r e i s nothing lik e m ak
B ut i n 1 9 0 9
i n g p a tri ots p ay fo r what th e y wa n t
th e y c r i e d b e fo r e th e y we re hu rt Th e r e wa s r e ally
nothi n g to f e a r i n th e B u d g e t fo r i t h a d no t re a ch e d
a C omm i tt e e sta g e ; t h e Whigs h a d n ot got to wo rk
on i t An d i n d e e d wh e n th e y h a d r e mo d e lle d M r
Lloy d George s B u d g e t all the vita l p a rt o f i t wa s d e
stroye d a n d the la n d lo r d s a n d p lu to crats were fre e
to giv e the i r attent i on onc e mo r e to p rot e ct i ng th e i r
a cr e s from a fo e th e y d r e a d e d le ss than th e y d re a de d
the C ha n c e llo r o f t h e Exche qu e r
Th e B u d g e t s sa lu ta r y e ffe ct o n t h e s ca remonge rs
may b e gaug e d by th e ta ct i cs o f the Oppo siti o n
On
Ap r i l 6 t h t h e following not i c e w a s i ssu e d by t h e Op
p o s i t i on Whip s to t he p r e ss :
-
L A N D VALUE S BU D G ET
I 21
p i d p r o g r e s s fo r t he o r g a n iz a t i o n
a f t e r t he r e c e s s o f a g r e a t c a mp a i g n i n t h e c o u n t r y i n s u p
p o r t o f t he c l a i m fo r th e i mm e d i a t e bu il di n g o f t h e f o u r
c on di t i o n a l d re a dn a ugh ts The k e y n o t e o f t h e a g i t a t i o n i s
t o b e f o u n d i n M r B a l f o u r s s p e e ch a t t he Gu il dh a ll o n
W e dn e s da y l a s t M a r ch 3 l s t :
Y o u mu s t n o t o n l y h a v e p o w e r t o bu il d yo u mu s t bu il d
w i t h o u t d e l a y w i t h o u t h es i t a t i o n w i t h o u t w a i t i n g fo r co n
t i n ge n ci e s fo r o b s cu r e c i r cum s t a n c e s fo r fu t u r e n e c es s i t i e s
For
Y o u mu s t bu il d n o w t o m e e t t h e p r e s en t n e c e s s i t y
b e li e v e m e t he n e c e ss i t y is up o n yo u I t i s n o t c o m i n g t o
yo u i n J u l y o r N o v e mb e r o r Ap r il n e x t ; i t i s o n yo u n ow
An d i t i s n ow t h a t yo u mu s t b e g i n t o m e e t i t
Ar r a n g e m e n ts
a re
in
ra
Th e u rg e n cy o f t h e camp a ig n i n t he m i nd o f t h e
autho r o f Th e F o u n d a ti o n s o f B e li e f s e e m e d t o b e
ov e rwh e lming B u t th e E a st e r r e c e ss p as s e d aw ay
w i thou t a n y s igns o f t h e g r e a t camp a ig n Th e im
m e d i at e n e e d wa s f o rgott e n i n t h e thro e s o f t h e
p a n i c ca us e d by t h e La n d va lu e s B u d g e t S o t h e O p
p o s it i on p o stp o n e d i n d e n it e ly t h e i n e vi tab l e w a r
w i th G e rm a n y ; a n d t h e e n e rgy to b e u s e d i n m aki n g
p rep a rat i o n s to m e e t G e r m a n y wa s sp e nt i n d i s ch a r g
i n g ga r d e n e r s gam e k e e p e rs a n d f o o tm e n whi ch t h e
t e r ribl e B u d g e t c o ul d n o t le t th e m k e e p
N e ve r a
sh e ll gam e a r tist a t a cou n t r y fa i r r e a ch e d t h e l i mits
o f buncomb e p racti se d by t h e Op po siti o n i n t h e
sp r i ng o f 1 9 0 9
I t wa s a ro a r i n g fa r c e ;
th a t i s i t
woul d have b e e n i f G ermany h a d no t take n i t fo r
trage dy
Th e am a z i n g p o s i t i o n o f a wo rl d a t p e a ce a r m i n g
hug e b atta li o ns a n d launchi n g g r e a t a rm a d as fo rc e d
Lo r d Ro seb e ry to m ak e t h e follow i ng comm e n t :
,
W i t h o u t a n y t a n g i b l e r e as on w e s e e t he n a t i o n s
p a r i n g n ew a r m a m e n t s T h e y c a n n o t a r m a n y m o r e
p re
m en
H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
122
h e y h av e t o s e e k n ew a rm a m e n ts o n s e a p ili n g
up t h e s e e n o r m o u s p re p a r a t i o n s as i f fo r s o m e g r e a t Ar m a
d
n
a n d t h a t i n t h e t i m e o f p r o f o u n des t p e a c e
e
d
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which h a d b e e n m a r v e llou sly w e ll k e pt fr o m t h e g e n
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d e n t e d al acrity
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t h a t t h e G e r m a n Emp e r o r
w a s s o m e wh a t d i s qu i e t e d by a l e t t e r wh i ch a pp e a r e d i n t h e
pub li c p r i n t s i n wh i ch v e ry p o i n t e d n o t e w as t a k e n o f h i m
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Ge r m a n Emp e ro r O u t o f t h i s w e h a v e s e e n a wh o l e w o r l d
o f a b s o l u t e l y i n s a n e i n f e r e n ce s d r aw n t h a t t he G e rm a n
Emp e r o r w a s a t t e mp t i n g t o i n u e n c e my n ob l e f r i e n d w i t h a
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s i on o f o u r a r m a m e n ts
t o n e u t r a liz e t he d e f e n s i v e a c t i v i t i e s
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p r e s s b o t h i n E n g l a n d a n d G e r m a n y s h o u l d be r e a liz e d by
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ch a ll e n ge t o B r i t i s h N a v a l S up r e m a cy
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c o n t i n u a ll y h e l d up a s t he s o l e d a n g e r a n d m e n a c e t o B r i t a i n
by t he wh o l e p r e s s o f t he d i ffe r e n t co n t e n d i n g p a r t i e s ; con
s i d e r i n g t h a t o t h e r c o u n t r i es a r e bu il d i n g t oo a n d t h e r e a r e
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c r i m i n a t i o n in t h e ch o i c e o f t he w e a p o n s ; bu t I r e a ll y mu s t
p r o t e s t t h a t t he G e r m an N a v a l P ro g r a mm e s h o u l d be
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o n e o f i n c r e asi n g e xp e n d i t u r e o n a r mi e s a n d navi e s
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s ay n othi n g o f a ll t h e o th e r s e r i o u s agg r avati o n s r e
f e r r e d to by M i n ist e rs i n th e i r sp e e ch e s ov e r a n d
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cam e imp r e ss e d with th e fa ct tha t s h e w a s t h e o n e
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H e r p r e ss f r o m t h e sum m e r o f 1 9 0 9 s ca r c e ly e ve r
c e a s e d f r o m p o i n ti n g th a t out to t h e G e rm a n p e op l e
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wa s r e sp o n sibl e fo r o u r maki n g so m a n y f r i e n d ship s
t r i e d to m a k e t h e c o unt r y b e li e v e that t h e G ov e r n
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thous ands o f s ol d i e r s sp r e a d ove r t h e no r t h e r n d i s
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t r i ct s o f M oro cco
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cou rse woul d g i v e no re ason why he app rov e d the
Fre n ch exp e diti on S e cr e t a rti cl es a n d ba cksta i rs
un d e rstan d i n gs pla ce d the B r i ti s h G ov e rnm e nt i n
a n u n e nvi ab l e p ositi on Th a t t h e whol e o f ou r
nava l a n d milita ry fo r ces shoul d b e cau s e o f t h e com
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t he s t r e n g t h a n d t e n de n cy o f p o li t i c a l f o r c e s i n t he l e a d i n g
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t u t i n g a s t h e s ymb o l o f s e a p o w e r t he G e r m an e a g l e fo r t he
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u r e s h e obj e cts t o o r n o t vot e a t all I t i s d i fferent
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qu e s t i on , i n c l u d i n g t he s e c r e t t r e a t y w i t h S p a i n
Th e Al g e c i r a s Act h a s a l r e a dy b e e n pub li s h e d I r e f e r t o
t he s e c r e t t r e a t y w i t h S p a i n , pub li s h e d fo r t he r s t t i m e t he
o t h e r d a y, a n d wh i ch t h e F o r e i g n M i n i s t e r o f F r a n c e d e
cla r e d t h re e w ee k s a go h e h a d n e v e r h e a r d o f, a n d w a s n o t
a w a r e o f t h e e xi s t e n c e o f a t r e a t y t o wh i ch t h i s c o u n t r y w a s
a p a rt y
W e s h o u l d h a v e h a d t h e t e x t o f t he G e r m a n
Ag r e e m e n t o f 1 9 09 , w i t h an e x p l a n a t i on o f how i t c a m e
a b ou t t h a t F r a n c e j o ck e y e d G e r m a n y i n r e g a r d t o t h a t a g r e e
m e n t , a n d w i t h d re w f r o m c a rr y i n g i n t o e ffe c t a m a tt e r
t h a t w as o n e o f t he i mm e d i a t e c a u s e s o f t he r e c e n t f r i c t i o n
W e o u gh t a t a ll e v en t s t o h av e h a d an a cco u n t o f d i p lo
m a t i c c o r re s p o n de n ce be tw e en t he f ou r g re a t P o w e rs i n t i
m a t e l y i n t e r es t e d in t he qu e s t i o n o f M o ro cco , a s i s
cu s to m a ry t o b e g i v e n to t he H o u s e o f C o mm on s o n s uch a n
T h i s w o u l d h av e e n a b l e d m e mb e r s o f t he H o u s e
o cc as i on
be f o r e t h e d e b a t e c o mm e n c e d , t o f o r m a r e a ll y w e ll
g ro u n de d j u dgm e n t up o n t he wh o l e m a t t e r W e h av e
h e a r d a g oo d de a l t o n i gh t o f th e s e c r e cy o f t h e F o r e i g n p o li cy
I t is n o u s e at t e mp t i n g t o den y i t
T h ose
o f t h i s c ou n t r y
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FR AN C E
B L E W T H E GA F F
15 9
h a v e b e e n a l o n g t i m e i n t h i s H ou se a n d ca n
r e m e mb e r t h e m e t h o ds o f t h e F o r e i g n
O fc e t w en t y v e
y e a rs a go k n o w a s a m a t t e r o f f a c t wh i ch c an n o t b e s u c
t h a t t h e Fo r e i g n O i ce p o li cy h as b e c o m e
c e ss fu lly d en i e d
d u r i n g t h e l a s t t e n y e a r s p ro g r e s s i v e l y m o r e s e c r e t e v e r y
y e a r U n t il t h i s p re s e n t y e a r t h i s h a s go n e on wh en t he
i n t e n s e p r e ss u re o f F o r e i g n A ff a i r s a n d t he d a n g e r o f w a r
h as f o r c e d t he h a n ds o f t h e M i n i s t e r t o g i v e s o m e t i m e fo r
F o r t en y e a r s t h e
t he d i s c u ss i o n o f F o re i g n O ffi c e a ff a i r s
F o r e i g n p o li cy o f t h i s co u n t r y h as b e en c on d uc t e d b e h i n d
a n e l a b o r a t e s c r e en o f s e c r e cy
Some o f us p o i n ted ou t
y e a r s a go t h a t t he s e c r e cy o f F o r e i gn A ffa i rs w as t he i n ev i
t a b l e a n d l o g i c a l r es u l t o f t h a t n e w d e p a r t u r e wh i ch w a s
h e r alde d a b o u t t e n y e a r s a go a n d wh i ch w e h e a r d p r a i s e d
o n c e m o r e on t h e o o r o f t h i s H o u se t o n i gh t
I re fe r t o
wh a t i s k n ow n a s t h e p o li cy o f t h e c on t i n u i t y o f t he F o re i g n
p o li cy o f t h i s c o u n t r y ; o f t he w i t h d r aw al o f t h e F o re i gn
p oli cy o f t h is c ou n t ry f r om t he s p h e re o f p a r t y p o li t i c s
of u s
w ho
f r i e n ds h i p s w o rt h h a v i n g by
d es er t i n g o ld o n e s
Ne w f r i e n ds h i p s by a ll m e a n s le t u s
ma k e bu t n o t a t t he e x p e n s e o f t h e o n e s wh i ch w e h ave
O n e do e s
m ake
n ot
n ew
H OW D I PLO M ATS M A K E WA R
1 6o
fr i g i d over t u re s t o G e r ma n y fo r
a ff e cti o n
and
f r i e n d ship w a s o n e o f the ch i e f f e a tu r e s o f h i s
a d mi n ist r at i on Wh a t hop e wa s t he r e o f b e tt e r r e
la t i o n s with ou r own stock wh e n we we re i n d i plo
m a ti c a g r eeme n t w i th G e rm a ny s anc i e n t fo e s
France a n d R u ssi a ? Woul d the Fo r e ign Se cr e ta ry
s ay t h e Fr a n co -Ru s s ra n Alli a n c e h e lp e d in any way
to b ring ab ou t imp rov e d rel a tio n s with G e rmany ?
W hy talk ab ou t m aki n g n e w f r i e n dsh i p s by d e s e r t
in g o ld on e s wh e n th e p oli cy o f m aking the o ld
o n e s w a s t h e cau se o f l i m i t i ng t h e numb e r o f n e w
ones ?
M r B ona r L a w the n e w l e a de r o f t h e Opp os i
t i on i n str iki n g co n t r a st to t h e spe e ch o f Si r E d wa r d
G rey r e f e rre d to G ermany w i th wa rmth :
.
I t is a n i de a p r e v a l en t , e s p e c i all y o n t he C o n t i n en t , t h at
t h e r e i s i n t h i s c o u n t r y a f e e li n g o f h o s t ili t y t o G e r m a n y
I n my o p i n i on t h a t b e li e f i s e n t i re l y u n f o u n de d
So fa r a s
I a m c o n c e rn e d t he H o u se w ill a cqu i t m e o f e go t i s m i n
.
M R L AW ON
TH E IN E VITA B L E
161
m a k i n g t h es e r e m a r k s ; I a m m a k i n g t h e m n o t o n l y b e c a u se
I h a pp e n t o be t he l e a d e r o f t he p a r t y b e h i n d m e b u t a ls o
b e c a u se I t h i n k I ca n e xp r e ss t he V i e w o f t he g r e a t m a ss o f
o u r c o u n t rym e n s o fa r a s I a m c o n c e rn e d
I n e v er h a d
a n d cer t a i n l y h a v e n ot n ow
Du r i n g m y
a n y s uch f e e li n g
bu s i n es s li f e I h a d d a il y c o mm e r c i a l i n t e r c o u rs e w i t h G e r
m a n y I h a v e ma n y G e r m a n f r i e n ds I l o v e s o m e G e r m an
b oo ks a l m os t a s much a s o u r f av o u r i t e s in o u r o w n t o n gu e
a n d I ca n i m a g i n e fe w
i f a n y c a l a m i t i e s wh i ch w ou l d s ee m
s o g r e a t a s a w a r wh a t e v e r t h e r e s u l t
b e t w e e n u s a n d t he
g re a t G e r m a n p e o p l e I h e a r i t a l s o c o n s t an t l y s a i d
t h e r e i s n o u s e Shu t t i n g o u r e y e s a n d e a r s t o o bv i o u s f a c t s
t h a t o w i n g t o d i v e r g e n t i n t e r e s t s w a r s o m e day o r o t h e r
b e t w e e n t h i s c o u n t r y an d G e rm an y is i n e v i t a b l e I n e v e r
b e li e v e i n t h e s e i n e v i t a b l e w a r s
I f t h e re f or e w a r
Sh o u l d e v e r c o m e b e tw e e n t h e se tw o c o u n t r i e s wh i ch h e a v e n
fo r b i d i t w ill n o t I t h i n k b e du e t o i r r e s i s t i b l e n a t u r a l
l aw s I t w ill be d ue t o t he w a n t o f hum an w i s do m
,
H e m i ght h a ve a dd e d a ll w a rs a re du e t o want
o f hum a n wis d om Wa r b e g i n s whe r e w i s d om
ends Lo r d M o rl e y in the H ou s e o f Lo r d s i n the
M oro ccan d e b ate contribut e d a n e p a s s a ge o n G e r
many s p os it i on i n t h e wo rl d o f a r t sc i e nc e a n d lit
,
e r a tu r e
W h e t h e r F r a n c e o r I t a l y o r G e r m an y o r E n g l a n d h a s
m a de t he g r e a t e s t co n t r i bu t i on i n t he h i s to r y o f m o de rn
c i v iliz a t i o n h o w e v e r t h a t s p e cu l a t i v e c o n t ro v e r s y m ay b e
s e t t l e d t h i s a t l e as t i s c e r t a i n
t h a t t h o s e a re n o t w ro n g w h o
h o l d t h a t G e r m a n y s h i gh a n d s t r i c t s t a n da r d o f c o mp e t en cy
t he pu r i t y a n d v i g o u r o f h e r a d m i n i s t r a t i o n o f a ff a i r s h e r
Sp l e n di d e ffo rt s a n d g r e a t s ucc es s i n a ll b r an ch es o f s c i en c e
h e r g l o r i e s fo r g l o r i e s t h e y a r e i n a r t a n d li t e r a t u r e
a n d t he s t r e n g t h a n d ch a r ac t e r a n d d u t y i n t he G e rm a n
p e o p l e e n t i t l e he r n a t i o n a l i de a l s t o a s up re m e p l a c e am on g
t he g re a t es t i d e a l s wh i ch n ow a n i m a t e a n d g u i de t he w o r l d
1 62
H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
D o n o t le t u s f o r g e t a ll t h a t
G e r m a n a m b i t i o n is a p e r
fe ct ly i n t e lli g i b l e a n d e v e n l o f t y a mb i t i o n
W ho c a n w o n
d e r t h a t a c o mm u n i t y wh i ch h a s m a de t he e n o r m o u s
a dv a n c e s i n e v e ry e l d t h a t G e r m an y h a s m a de , c e r t a i n l y
s i n c e 1 8 6 6 , i n m a r i t i m e p o w e r a n d w e a l t h a n d p o pu l a t i o n ,
s h o ul d d e s i r e t o n d t e r r i t o r i es wh e r e h e r s u rp l u s p o pu l a t i o n
m a y e m i g ra t e a n d e s t a b li s h t h e m s e l v e s w i t h o u t l o s i n g e i t h e r
Th e re is
t h e i r n a t i o n a li t y o r t h e i r i d e a l s o f m o de rn li f e
t h e p l a c e i n t he s u n
I n a ll t h e s e g re a t a ch i e v e m e n t s I h a v e
v e n t u re d t o e n um e ra te t h e r e is t he G e rm an p l ac e i n t he s u n
.
i ng i s lik e t h e n a tu ra l m e mb e r
E a r ly i n J anu a ry 1 9 1 2 the fate ful ye a r Lo rd
R o seb e ry spok e o n Fo re i gn Aff a i rs a t Gla sgow
H e wa s no lover o f the Fr a nco -B r i t i s h Ag r eem ent
.
C R IT I C S
F O RE I GN POLI CY
OF
63
I n Gla sg o w a ft e r s i x ye a rs o f Lib e r a l fo re i gn p ol
i cy h e s a i d :
,
Th is
f o re i g n p oli cy t h at fo r
g o o d o r fo r e v il w e a r e n ow e mb r a c e d i n t he m i ds t o f t h e
C o n t i n en t a l s y s t e m T h a t I r e g a r d a s p e r h a p s t h e g r a v e s t
f a c t i n t he l a t e r p o r t i on o f my li f e W e a r e fo r g o o d o r
fo r e v il i n v o l v e d i n a C o n t i n e n t a l s y s t e m t h e m e r i t s o f
wh i ch I do n o t p r e t e n d t o j u d g e be c a u s e I do n o t k n o w
e n o u gh a b o u t i t
b u t wh i ch a t a n y r a t e m a y a t a n y t i m e
b r i n g u s i n t o c o n i c t w i t h a rm i es n umb e r i n g m illi on s a n d
o u r o w n f o r c e s w o u l d h a r d l y b e c o u n t e d i n s uch a w a r a s
t h e y s t an d a t p r es en t
w e do
k n ow
a bo
ut
ou r
Lo r d R o s e b e r y wa s Fo re i gn S ec re ta r y o f thi s
cou n t r y i n 1 8 8 6 a n d i n 1 8 9 2 H e knew t h e tra d i
ti o n s o f t h e Fo r e ig n O fc e a n d h i s e xp e r i e n ce o f
C ab in e t a ffa i r s tte d h i m p e cul i a r ly a s a c r it i c o f th e
F o r e i g n O ffi c e p o li cy whi ch commi tt e d u s to a C o n ti
n e n t a l syst e m
B u t h e w as n o t the o nly c r i ti c ; th e r e
w e r e m any othe r fully qu a li e d cr i ti cs o f fo re i gn
p oli cy who i n 1 9 1 2 k n e w B r i ta i n h a d b e en e n
m e sh e d in t h e C o n tin e n tal syst e m An d Si r E d
w a r d G rey wa s fully consc i ous o f the op i n i on o f h i s
cr i ti cs :
.
k n o w t h at a c on s i de r a bl e a m o u n t o f f a u l t h as b ee n
f o u n d w i t h wh a t s o m e p e o p l e t h i n k i s a n d wh a t t h e y c a l l
my f o r e i g n p o li cy b u t wh i ch o f c o u r s e o ugh t n o t t o b e
c a ll e d my f o r e i g n p o li cy b e c a u s e i t i s qu i t e i mp o ss i b l e fo r
a n y i n d i v i d u a l F o r e i g n M i n i s t e r t o c a r r y o u t a p o li cy wh i ch
i s n o t a ls o i n i t s m a i n li n e s t h e p o li cy o f t h e C a b i n e t o f
wh i ch he is a m e mb e r
do
Th a t s tatement wa s t ru e u p to a p o i nt ; bu t i t wa s
a l i ttle w i d e o f stri ct a ccu ra cy i n rega rd to the a u
H OW D I P L O M ATS M A KE WA R
1 64
t h o r i z a ti o n
B ot h
Go v er n me n ts t he G e rm a n G ov e rn m e n t an d o u r
ow n
h a v e b e e n a n d a r e an i m a t e d by a s i n ce r e d e s i r e t o
b r i n g a b o u t a b e t t e r s t a t e o f u n de r s t an d i n g I n t he co u rs e
o f l as t m o n t h w e ha d i n di c a t i o n s t h a t th e v i s i t o f a B r i t i s h
M i n i s t e r t o B e r li n w o u l d n o t b e u n w e l co m e a n d m i gh t
f a c ili t a t e t he a t t a i n m e n t o f o u r c o mm on o bj e c t
,
L at e r in h i s sp e e ch t h e P r i m e M i n i ste r gave an
i n d i ca ti on o f th e gravi ty o f t h e si tu at i o n which a ros e
i n t h e summe r a nd autumn o f 1 9 1 1 :
W e a r e t o l d t h a t t h e r e a r e m as s e s o f p e op l e i n Ge r
m a n y w ho r m l y be li e v e t h a t a t s o m e t i m e o r t i m es d u r i n g
t h e s umm e r a n d a u t um n o f l a s t y e a r w e w e r e m e d i t a t i n g
a n d e v en p re p a r i n g a n a gg r e ss i v e a t t a ck u p o n t h e i r c o u n
t r y a n d t h a t t h e m o v e m e n t s o f o u r e e t s w e re c a re f u ll y
c a l cu la t e d w i t h t h a t o bj e c t in v i ew I a m a l m os t as h a m e d
t o h a v e t o c o n t r a d i c t s o w il d a n d s o e x t r a v a g a n t a c t i o n
I t i s pu r e i n v e n t i o n
T h e re i s I n e e d h a r dl y a ss u re t he
H o u se n o t a s h a do w o f f o u n da t i on for i t n o r w a s t h e r e
o f an
a g gr e s s i v e o r
a n y t h i n g a n ywh e r e
o r at an y t i m e
p ro v o c a t i v e ch a ra c t e r i n t he m ov e m e n t s o f o u r s h i p s B u t
t h e v e r y f a c t t h a t s uch ru m o u r s n d c r e de n c e n o t i n de e d
w i t h t h e G e r m a n G o v e r n m e n t b u t i n t h e m i n ds o f l a r g e
A RE G RETTAB LE SY M PTO M
1 65
umb e rs o f i n t e lli g e n t a n d f a i r m i n de d p e o p l e in G e rm an y
i s s u r e l y i n i t s e lf a s i g n i c a n t a n d m o s t re g r e t t a b l e
s ymp t o m
-
Th e P r i me M i n i st e r might h av e a d d e d tha t i t wa s
a lso a r e g r e ttabl e symptom that l a r g e ma ss e s o f in
t e lli g e n t p e o pl e i n o u r o w n cou n try h a d v e ry go o d
r e as o n fo r b eli evi n g i mp l i citly the same
e xt r a v a
ga nt cti o n
I n t h e R e i ch s tag t h e d a y a ft e r t h e de b a te i n th e
H ou s e o f C o m m o n s t h e G e r m a n C h anc e llo r H e r r
vo n B e thm a n n H ollweg gav e h i s v e r s i o n o f Lo rd
H a ld a n e s v i s i t :
.
W h en th e E n g li s h M i n i s t e r o f W a r L o r d H a l da n e
w a s h e r e h e t a l k e d o v e r w i t h u s w i t h o u t a u t h o r iz a t i o n t o
b u t n e v e r t h e l e s s a t t he i n
e n t e r i n t o b i n d i n g a g r ee m e n t s
C a b i n e t t h e p o i n ts i n wh i ch t h e
s t a n c e o f t he B r i t i s h
i n t e r e s t s o f t he tw o c o u n t r i e s co me i n t o c o n t a c t
(h e a r
h e a r i n a ll p a r t s o f t h e H o u s e ) w i t h t h e O bj e c t o f e s t a b
lis h i n g a b a s i s fo r re l a t i o n s o f g r e a t e r c o n d e n c e
(H e a r
h e a r ) The e x ch a n g e o f v i e w s wh i ch w a s h e a r t il y w e l
c o m e d o n o u r s i de t o o k p l a c e i n n um e r o u s c on v e rs a t i o n s o f
a n e xh a u s t i v e a n d f ran k d es c r i p t i on
a n d w ill b e c o n t i n u e d
(C h ee r s ) I d o h o p e t h a t t he H o u s e w ill a g re e w i t h m e
t h a t I c a n n ot a t t h i s s t age o f t he m a t t e r s p e a k a b o u t t he
d e t a il s
Qu i t e r i gh t !
B u t I d o n o t w i s h t o de l a y i n
c o mmu n i c a t i n g t o t he R e i ch s t a g t h e f a c t o f t h e c on v e rs at i o n s
an d t h e n a t u r e o f t h e i r a i m s
(G e n e r al ch ee rs )
B e rli n
St r ategy m u st r e sp o n d to p oli cy
said
Lo r d H a l d an e o n M a r ch 2 1 t h e p oli cy o f th e Fo r
e i g n O ffi c e
Th e n a vy e stim at e s w e r e i nt r o du c e d
o n M a rch 1 8 th a n d th e y r e gi st e r e d a sup e r c i a l d e
cr e a s e o f
but b e fo re t h e ye a r wa s ov er
,
H OW
66
D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
th e r e wa s a n i n c r e a s e o f
Th e tw o
P owe r sta n d a r d wa s ab a n d o n e d a n d a n e w p o li cy
I n pre
d i r ect e d st r a ig h t ag a i nst G e rm a n y a d opte d
s e nting the e s t imat e s to t h e H ou s e M r Chu rchill
sa i d
,
'
S l ow i n g dow n by G e rm an y w ill be a cc o mp an i e d
n a t u ra ll y o n o u r l a r g e r s c a l e by u s
I h a v e t o s ay w i t h i n
c e rt a i n li m i t s b e c a u s e o f c o u rs e b o t h G re a t B r i t a i n an d
Ge r m a n y h a v e t o c on s i de r a m o n g o t h e r t h i n g s t he bu il d
i n g o f o t h e r P o w e rs t h o ugh t h e l e a d o f b o t h t h e s e c o u n
t r i e s i s a t p r e s e n t v e r y c o n s i de r a b l e o v e r an y o t h e r P o w e r
bes i des e a ch o t h e r
All
FOR
GE R M ANY T o C ONSI D E R
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a p i e c e o f J i n g o p a mph l e t e e r i n g b u t a s e r i o u s m ili t a r y co n
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l es sn e ss i n t he u n s h a k a b l e c o n v i c t i o n o f a r ep res e nt a t i v e
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p re p a r a t i o n fo r a gg re ss i v e w a r a n d he s a ys :
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m e r e l y m e as u re s o f de f e n c e The E n g li s h Gov e rn m e n t
k n ow w e ll t h a t Ge rm a n y c a n n o t t h i n k o n h e r s i de o f a t t a ck
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h e p o i n t s o u t t h a t p r o b a bl y G e rm a n y w ill b e s upp o r t e d by
Au s t r i a t h ou gh n o t h i n g is s a i d a b o u t I t a l y bu t he s p ecic
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H ow D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
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l o n ge r de l a y wh e n s om e a l re a dy f e e l t h e b l ow ; a n d o th e rs
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aga i n st t h e Ent e n t e P ow e rs ?
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ev e n t o f a w a r betwe e n G e rm any a n d Fr a n c e tha t
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A n d to comp are what w a s d one by Lo r d G ranvi lle
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o t h e r p a r t i es t o i t
o f a n y s uch a c t i o n t ill t h e o t h e r P o w e rs h a v e b e e n c o n s u l t e d
i n c l u d i n g e s p e c i a ll y in t h i s c ase T u r k e y w ho is o n e o f t he
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i f p eo p l e li v e u n d e r t h e a pp r e h e n s i o n t h a t t re a t i e s ca n be
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fo r n o w I d e li v e r my se n t e n c e o n t h e de a t h o f p e o p le s
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a n d hu n g o n e b e li e f a n d o n e l o v e o v e r t h e m ; t h u s t h e y
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wh a t e v e r i t s a i t h i t li e t h ; wh a t e v e r i t h a t h i t h a t h s t ol e n
F a l s e i s e v e ry t h i n g i n i t ; w i t h s t o l e n t e e t h i t b i t e t h t h e
b i t i n g o n e F a ls e a r e e ve n i ts i n t es t i n e s
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t e ms in t h e d e p a r tm e n ts but f r o m Lib e r a l stat e sm e n
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1 84
H ow D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
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m emb ers h a d to p i erce to g e t a t th e sou r c e o f in fo r
m at i on wh i ch d e te r mi n e d t h e a cti on o f t h e Adm ir
a lty i n 1 9 0 9 (to bu i l d t h e fou r extra s hip s ) o n e h a s
only to l ook th r ough t h e long s e r i e s o f qu e sti ons put
to M r M cK e n n a a n d t h e e va siv e repli e s giv e n by
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Publi c i ty i s co n si d e r e d to b e on e o f t h e
bl e ssings o f ou r P a r l i am e nta ry p ro c e d u r e ; bu t ther e
a r e affa irs o f vita l i nte r e st to t h e publ i c tha t p r i va t e
m e mb e r s ca n n o t g e t a t : a n d o n the oth e r h an d
p rob ably b e cau s e o f the cong e st i o n o f bu si n e ss
oo d s o f o r ato r y unst e mm e d fo r a t le ast e i ght hou r s
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a ry Fo rc e h av i n g to m e e t Co ntinental a rm i e s S ome
m e mb e r s f r a n k ly s a id i ts n umb e rs w e r e i nsu ffi ci e n t ;
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i n stru ctiv e d e b a t e s o f t h e s e ss i o n
o n t h e Lib e r a l s i d e comp l e t e ly ri d d l e d t h e fore casts
o f M i n i st e r s ma d e i n 1 9 0 9 a n d 1 9 1 0 a s to t h e nav a l
p o sitio n o f G e r m a n y thoug h th e y w e r e u nabl e to
c h e ck t h e h e a d l o n g r u s h o f ou r a r m aments Tha t
d e b at e wa s p a r ti cula r ly i n t e r e sti n g ; fo r i n i t M r
D i ll o n i n r e f e r r i n g to Franc e p r ov e d h i ms e l f a
fa r bol d e r m a n than a ll t h e Op p o siti on s o l d i e rs wer e
i n t h e de b at e o n t h e a rmy M r D illo n s a i d :
I i n t e r j e c t e d a n o b s e rv a t i o n o n M o n d a y i n t he Sp e e ch
o f o n e o f t h e s p e a k e r s w h o w a s t a l k i n g a b o u t t h i s qu e s t i o n
a n d w ho i n s is t e d
o f bu il d i n g a g a i n s t t h e T r i p l e All i a n c e
fo r t h e s a f e t y o f t h i s Emp i r e o n bu i ldi n g a g a i n s t t h e T r i p l e
Al li a n c e I s a i d W h a t a b o u t F r a n ce ? I t h o ugh t t h a t o n e
o f t h e g l o r i e s o f t h e B r i t i s h G o v e rn m e n t h a d b e en t h a t i t
h a d f o r m e d a n E n t e n t e w i t h F r an c e
I t i s n o t t h e s a m e t h i n g a s a n a lli a n c e
M r Lee :
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o f u s h a v e h a d v e r y u n e a s y f e e li n g s s i n c e t h e o t h e r d ay w e
rea d t h at
M P i ch o n t he Fo r e i g n M i n i s t e r fo r F r a n c e
s p o k e o f c o n s t an t m ili t a r y c o n v e rs a t i o n s g o i n g o n w i t h En g
l a n d I s ay t h a t t h e re is a v e ry u n c o m f o r t a b l e f ee li n g a m o n g
m a n y h o n ou r a b l e m e mb e r s t h a t t h e re is a s e c r e t a lli a n c e w i t h
F r a n c e o r s o m e u n de r s t a n d i n g wh i ch i s n o t k n o w n t o t he
m e mb e r s o f t h i s H o u s e a n d i f w e a r e t o b e t o l d t h a t t h a t
i s t h e r e s u l t o f a ll t h e se a l li a n c e s a n d u n de rs t an d i n gs t h i s
co u n t ry mu s t b e p r e p a r e d t o bu i ld n o t a cco r di n g t o t h e t w o
P o w e r s t a n d a r d b u t up t o t h e t h ree P o w e r s t a n da r d wh i ch
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e x p r e s s e d o r i mp li e d
in
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v i r t u e o f wh i ch G re a t B r i t a i n w o u l d b e u n de r o b li g a t i o n s t o
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S i r E dw a r d G r e y :
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i mp li e d i n t he An gl o F r e n ch C o n v e n t i o n l a i d b e f o re P a r li a
T h e re w a s n o o t h e r e n g a g em en t b e a r i n g o n t he
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i s th i s to b e rem e mb e r e d :
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M a rch 1 9 1 1 k n o w any mo r e t h a n M r J o w e tt ?
F o r a n e xamp l e o f t h e G ov e r nme n t s m e t h o d o f
h angi n g ou t t h e s ig n
No t i n the publi c i nte re st
th e following i s h a r d to b eat :
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M r Y e rb u r gh
P r i m e M i n i s t e r wh e t h e r , i n
s t a t i n g i n h i s s p e e ch o n o u r s t a n d a r d o f n a v a l s t r e n g t h o n
2 6 t h M a y, 1 9 09 , t h a t t h e e n d w a s t o e n s u re fo r t h i s c o u n t r y
i n a n y c o n c e i v a b l e c o n d i t i o n , a n d a g a i n s t a ll p o ss i b le h a z a r ds ,
u n a ss a il a b l e n a v a l s up e r i o r i t y wh i ch w o u ld g i v e u s c o mp l e t e
c o mm an d o f t h e s e a , a n d m a k e a n y a t t e mp t t o i n t e r f e r e w i t h
a n y p a r t o f t h e Emp i re o r s e a b o r n e c o mm e r c e a n i m p os s i
b ili t y, h e i s t o b e u n de r s t o o d a s r u li n g o u t o f c alcu la t i o n , i n
c o mpu t i n g o u r r e qu i s i t e n a v a l s t r e n g t h , t h e e e t s o f a n y
o t h e r P o w e r w i t h wh o m w e m a y, a t t h e t i m e , b e o n t e r m s
o f i n t i m a t e f r i e n ds h i p ?
The P r i m e M i n i s t e r
1 do n o t t h i n k t h at m at te rs
o f t h i s k i n d c a n b e c o n v e n i e n t ly o r a d e qu a t e ly d e a lt w i t h by
qu e s t i o n a n d a n sw e r I ca n o n ly r e f e r t h e ho n m e mb e r t o
t h e s p e e ch wh i ch h e qu o t e s a n d t o t h e Sp e e ch m a de o n t h e
s a m e o cc as i o n by t h e F i r s t L o r d o f t h e Ad m i r a l t y
I s t h e r i gh t ho n g e n t l e m a n a w a r e
M r Ar t hu r L e e
t h a t i n h i s a b s e n c e a n e n t i r e ly n e w d e n i t i o n o f t h e t w o
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The P r i m e M i n i s t e r :
I a m n o t a w a r e o f t h at
M r Y e r b u r gh :
M a y I a s k wh e t h e r o r n o t w e a re
t o u n de r s t a n d t h a t t h e G o v e rn m e n t a r r i v e d a t n o d e c i s i o n
up on t h i s p a r t i cu l a r qu e s t i o n ? I s t he r i gh t hon g en t l e m a n
n o t a w a r e t h a t t h i s i s a qu e s t i o n o f s up r e m e i mp o r t a n c e , a n d
t h a t i n a r r i v i n g a t o u r s t an d a r d o f n a v a l s t r e n g t h p r e v i o u s
g o v e rn m e n t s h a d r e g a r d t o t h e p o w e r o f t he e e t s o f o t h e r
co u n t r i es ?
The P r i m e M i n i s t e r :
I t h i n k t h i s qu es t i o n s h ow s t h e
i n c o n v e n i e n c e o f de a li n g w i t h t h e s e m a t te r s by w ay o f qu e s
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t re a t i e s i n v o l v i n g t h e h i gh e s t i n t e r n a t i o n a l Ob li g a t i o n s i n
v o l v i n g qu e s t i on s o f p e a c e a n d w ar t o b e t a k e n a b s o l u t e l y
I t is n o ex a gg e r a t i o n t o s a y
o u t o f t h e h a n ds o f t h e H o u s e
s o fa r a s i n t e r n a t i o n a l p o li cy i s c o n c e rn e d yo u h a v e r e n de r e d
t h e H o u s e a s li t t l e e ff e c t i v e l y p o w e r fu l a s a n y m a n w a l k i n g
o ve r W es tm i n s t e r B r i d g e
O v e r a n d o ve r a ga i n t r e a t i e s
i n v o l v i n g m a t t e rs o f li f e a n d de a t h i n v o l v i n g qu e s t i on s o f
r s t c l a s s i mp o r t a n c e h a v e b ee n r a t i e d b e h i n d t h e b a ck o f
The p e o p l e t h e m s e l v es mu s t b e a ll o w e d t o
P a r li a m e n t
k n o w a ll a b o u t t h i s d i p l o m a cy a n d wh a t i t i s An d t h e r e
s h o u l d b e n o s e c r e cy i n r e g a r d t o h i gh d i p l o m a t i c S t a t e c r a f t
The H o u se o f C o mm o n s is a mp l e j u dg e o f wh a t
ab o u t i t
i s d i s c re e t a n d wh a t i s i n d i s c r e e t a n d i t i s a c o mp l e t e a b
s u r d i t y fo r o t h e r s t o t r e a t u s a s ch il d r e n o r fo r u s t o a ll o w
o u r s e l v e s t o b e S O t r e a t e d i n m a t t e r s o f s uch h i gh i n t e rn a
t io n a l i mp o r t a n c e a s t h o se i n v o l v i n g qu es t i on s o f p e a c e a n d
w ar
Th e Fo r e i gn S e cr e ta ry repl i e d th a t there mu st b e
s e cre cy up to a c e rta in p o i nt a nd th a t t h e rati cat i on
o f treat i e s w a s one o f fa r to o gr e a t imp o rta nce to b e
d i scu ss e d on a n o cca s i o n o f th a t k i n d ; a n d he a ske d
t h e Hou s e to b e a r i n m i n d tha t not u nti l t h e H ous e
o f C o mmo n s w as r e ally f r e e to d e vot e i tsel f to the
d i s cu ss i o n s o f I mp e ri al a ffa i rs woul d i t get contro l
Th e H ou s e h a d not long to wa i t fo r a n i llu st ra
t i on o f the grav i ty o f the ch a rg e d i recte d by M r
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WH O N EE DE D SU C C O U R ?
19 1
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M a y 2 n d 1 9 1 1 a qu e st i on wa s pu t d own conc e rn i ng
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Go v e r n m en t h a d b ee n c on s u l t e d
by t h e F re n ch G o v e r n m e n t i n r e f e r e n c e t o t he p ro p o se d
m ili t a ry o p e r a t i o n s a g a i n s t F e z ; a n d wh e t h e r t h e B r i t i s h
Go v e r n m e n t h a d i n a n y w a y a pp r o v e d o r m a de i tse l f r e
s p o n s i b l e fo r t h i s a t t a ck on t he i n d e p e n de n c e o f t he Emp i r e
o f M o r o cc o ?
The S e c r e t a r y o f S t a t e fo r F o re i g n Aff a i rs (S ir E dw a r d
G r e y ) : H i s M a j es t y s Go v e rn m e n t h a v e b e e n i n fo r m e d
by t he F r e n ch G o v e rn m e n t o f t h e m e a s u re s wh i ch a r e b e i n g
a do p t e d fo r t h e s ucc o u r o f Eu r o p e a n s i n F e z a n d t h e y u n de r
s t an d t h a t i n f o r m a t i o n h a s a l so b e e n g i v e n t o o t h e r G o v e r n
m en t s The a c t i o n t a k e n by F r an c e i s n o t i n t e n de d t o a l t e r
t h e p o li t i c a l s t a t u s o f M o r o cc o a n d H i s M a j e s t y s G o v e r n
m e n t c an n o t s ee why a n y o bj e c t i o n Sh ou l d b e t a k e n t o i t
B ri t i sh
H OW D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
19 2
h i s p o i n t t he C o m i t d a M a r o c a n d i t s o r g an s s u r
p as se d t h e m s e l v e s T h e y o r g a n iz e d a c a mp a i g n o f s ys t e m a t i c
u n t r u t h M a s t e r s o f a l m o s t t he e n t i re p r e s s t h e y s w a mp e d
t he p ub li c w i t h f a l s e n e w s
F e z w a s p re s e n te d a s t h r e a t e n e d
by s i e g e o r s a ck A wh ol e Eu r o p e a n F r e n ch C o l on y w a s
s u dde n l y d i s c ov e re d t h e re
li v i n g i n a n gu i s h The u l t i m a t e
f a t e o f t he w o m en a n d ch il d r e n w a s de s c r i b e d i n t he m os t
m o v i n g t e r ms
At a ll co s t s t h e E u ro p e a n s t he S u l t a n
F e z i t se l f mu s t b e s av e d
As e v e r f r o m t h e b e g i n n i n g
o f t h i s e n t e r p r i se
w ill e d
t h e G o v e rn m e n t k n e w n o t h i n g
n o t h i n g of i t s e l f
W i t h a s a l u t a ry d re a d o f c o mp li c a t i o n s i t
w o u l d h a v e p r e f e r re d n o t t o m o v e p e r h a p s e v e n h a d i t
d a r e d t o w i t h dr a w f r o m t he h o rn e t s n e s t
B u t t h e g re a te r
f e a rs i t e x p e r i e n ce d f r o m a n o t h e r qu a r t e r p re v a il e d ; t h o s e
i n cu l c a t e d by t he s o c a ll e d p a t r i o t i c s h o u t i n gs t he co n c e r t e d
c l a m o u rs o f t h e o r ch e s t ra o f wh i ch t he C o m i t d u M a r oc
h o l ds t he b a to n a n d wh o s e ch i e f p e r f o r m e r s a r e t o be f o u n d
i n L e Te m ps a n d L e M a t i n
Th e o r de r t o a dv a n ce w a s
g i v en
Al re a dy wh il e t h e e x p e d i t i o n w a s o n i t s w ay
li gh t b e g an t o p i e r c e T h o s e r e do ub t abl e r e b e l s w ho w e r e
t h r e a t e n i n g F e z h a d d i s a pp e a r e d li k e t h e d e w i n t h e m o rn i n g
B a r e l y d i d a fe w r a gg e d h o r s e m e n re o ff a s h o t o r t w o
b e f o re t u rn i n g a r o u n d a n d r i di n g a w a y a t a fu r io u s g all o p
A t o o d i s i n g en u o u s o r t o o t r u t hfu l c o rr es p o n de n t g a ve the
s h ow a w a y
The e x p e d i t i o n a ry f o r c e c o mp l a i n s h e g r av e l y
r e c o r d s o f t he a b s e n c e o f t he e n e my ; t he a pp r o a ch i n g h a r v es t
s e as o n i s k e e p i n g a ll t h e h e a l t hy m a l es i n t he e l d s !
T h us
d i d t he ph an t o m s o d e x t e ro u s l y c o n j u re d by t h e C o m i t d a
M a r oc fo r t he b e n e t o f i ts a i m s d i s a pp e a r i n a n i gh t
At
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d i s c l o s u r e s t h e n b e g a n i n r i gh t e a rn e s t
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t h a t , i n t r u t h , t h e r e h a d b e e n s o m e e x a gg e r a t i o n , t h a t , i n
p o i n t o f f a c t , a t n o m o m e n t h a d t he s a f e t y o f F ez a n d i t s
i n h a b i t a n t s b ee n s e r i o u s y m e n a c e d t h a t t h e i de a o f a r e gu
la r s i e g e a n d o f a s u d de n c a p t u r e h a d b e e n a li k e ch i m e r i c a l
a n d t h a t , m o r e o v e r , s o fa r a s t h e p r o v i s i o n i n g o f t h e p l a c e
w a s c o n c e r n e d , h e c o u l d r e a ss u r e t he m o s t t i m o r o u s t h a t
an d
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l a t i on p l u s t he e x p e d i t i o n a ry co l um n fo r m o re t h a n a y e a r !
Th e f a r c e w a s p l a y e d Af t e r C a s a b l an c a F e z ! F r a n c e
w i t h o u t r e a liz i n g i t w i t h o u t w i s h i n g i t a lm o s t w i t h o u t k n o w
An i n d e n i t e o ccup a t i o n
i n g i t ha d t a ke n a de c i s i v e s t e p
o f t h e c a p i t a l w a s t he n a t u r a l p r e l u d e t o a P r o t e c t o r a t e
F o r t h e c l e v e r m e n w ho h a d i n v e n t e d a n d e x e cu t e d t he
s c e n a r i o t h e r e o n l y n o w re m a i n e d t h e t a s k o f r e a p i n g t he
f r u i t o f t h e i r e ffo r ts The e r a o f co n ce s s i o n s p ro t s d i v i
P r e m a t u r e j o yfu l n e s s !
d en d s w a s a b o u t t o o p e n
I t w as
t h e e r a o f d i f c u l t i e s w h i ch w as a t h a n d
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w as
ka r n a h a s w r ought ! N o t u n ti l a cr e s c e nt h e a d e d
a r r ow fro m R a m a s b ow strik e s d own t h e foul i d ol
whi ch B r i ght ft y y e a r s ago thought ove rt hrown
wi ll t h e p eop l e know a n y r e st from wa r
.
H OW
19 4
D I PLO M ATS M A KE WA R
i n t e r e sts a r e i n d a n g e r a n d how e a sy i t i s fo r
M a j or
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a s t o t he
Ar ch e r S h e e : I b e g t o as k t h e S e c re t a ry o f
F o r e i g n A ff a i rs wh e t h e r h e ca n i n f o r m t h e H o u s e
n umb e r o f B r i t i s h s ubj e c t s r es i d i n g i n F e z a t t h e
p r ese n t t i m e a n d wh a t s t e p s t he Go v e r n m e n t p ro p os e t ak
i n g t o s a f e gu a r d B r i t i s h i n t e re s t s i n t h a t p a r t o f M o ro cc o ?
M r M cK i n n o n W oo d (U n de r S e c r e t a r y o f S t a t e fo r
F o r e i g n Aff a i rs ) : The n umb e r o f B r i t i s h s ubj e c t s r e s i d
i n g a t F e z o n M a r ch 2 7t h 1 9 1 1 a p a r t f ro m p e r so n s o f
O f t h e se s ix w e r e w o m e n a n d
M oo r i s h p a r e n t a g e w a s t e n
t w o w e r e ch il d r en
H i s M a j e s t y s Go v e r n m e n t do n o t
c on t e mp l a t e a n y a c t i v e m e a s u r e s T h e y con s i de r t h a t t he
b e i n g m a de u n de r F r e n ch s up e r v i s i o n w ill
a rr a n g e m e n t s
a ffo r d t h e n e c e s s a r y p r o t e c t i o n t o B r i t i s h s ubj e c t s a t F e z
No s p e c i a l m e a s u r e s a pp e a r t o b e c a ll e d fo r t o s a f e gu ar d
B r i t i s h i n t e r e s t s i n t h a t p a r t o f M o r o cc o
M r D ill o n :
H as t he G o v e r n m e n t a n y i n f o r m a t i on
wh i ch w o u l d g i v e t h e m c au s e fo r b e li e v i n g t h a t t h e r e i s a n y
da n g e r t o E u r op e a n s ?
M r M cK in n o n W oo d :
N o w e h av e n o s uch i n fo r
m a t i on
M r R e m n an t :
M a y I a s k wh e t h e r a n y r e p r e s e n t a
t i on s h a v e b e e n m a de t o t h e F r e n ch G o v e r n m e n t t o c a r r y
o u t t h e s ugg e s t i o n s ?
M r M cKin n on W oo d :
No r e p res e n t a t i o n s h a v e b ee n
m a de t o t h e F r e n ch Go v e rn m e n t
M a j o r Ar ch e r S h e e :
M a y I as k wh e t h e r i t i s i n
t e n de d t o co o p e r a t e w i t h o t h e r G o v e rn m e n t s s h o u l d i t b e
co m e n e c e ss ar y t o s e n d a l a r ge f o r ce t o p a c i fy M o ro cc o ?
,
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M r R e m n an t :
wh e t h e r he w ill a s k t he S e c r e t a r y o f S t a t e fo r F o r e i g n
Affa i rs wh e t h e r i t is his i n t e n t i o n t o m a k e r e p re s e n t a t i o n s
a n d i f s o wh e t h e r h e w il l d o s o a t o n c e ?
T h e r e i s n o n e c e ss i t y t o
M r M cK in n o n W o o d :
m a k e r e p res e n t a t i o n s
I n v i e w o f th e u n s at i s f a c to ry
M a j o r Ar ch e r S h e e :
I b e g l e av e t o m o v e t he a dj o u r n m e n t
n a t u r e o f t he r e p l y
o f t h e H o u s e t o c a ll a t t e n t i o n t o a d e n i t e m a t t e r o f u r g e n t
pub li c i mp o r t a n c e n a m e l y th e a t t i t u de t o be a d o p t e d by
t h i s c o u n t r y i n t h e e v e n t o f e x t e n s i v e m ili t a r y o p e r a t i o n s
b e i n g re qu i re d fo r t h e p a ci ca t io n o f M o r o cco
T hi s is for t he p u r p ose o f c re a t i n g a
M r D ill on :
s c are
us
M aj o r A rch e r S h e e d i d not
ge t th e
a dj ou rnm e n t
o f t h e H ou s e B u t the t e n B r iti sh subj e cts in F e z
mus t hav e b e e n d e e ply g r a t e fu l t o t h e B r i ti s h l e gi s
l ato rs who w e r e s o a nx i ou s to prot e ct th e m w h e n
they we r e i n no d ange r An d n o d o ubt B r itis h i n
t e re s ts
f e lt u n d er a d e b t whi ch w e h Op e wa s p a i d
a cco r d i n g to s e r v i c e r e n d er e d Wh a t i s th e go o d
o f h avi n g a Fo r e i g n O ffi c e i f i t ca n not b e u r g e d by
m e mb e r s o f t h e H o u s e o f C omm o ns to d o someth i ng
fo r B r i ti sh
i n t e r e sts
On M ay 2 3 r d t h e Fo r e i gn S e creta r y sa i d the
F r e n ch Gov e r n m e nt h a d n o ch o ic e but t o r e li e v e F e z
with t h e l e a st p o ss i b l e d e lay Wh e n M r Dillo n
a sk e d wh e th e r t h e H ou s e was n ot e n titl e d t o k n ow
t o wha t e xt e n t thi s c o u n t r y wa s c o mm i tt e d to
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Anglo -French Agre e ment we re not ye t m a d e p ubl i c
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H ow D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
19 6
A
ca t e d to H i s B r i ta n ni c M aj e sty s Gove r nment
c o n v e n tion w a s d r awn u p b e tw e en F r anc e a n d S p a i n
o n O ctob e r 3 r d 1 9 0 4 fo r t h e p a rt i tio n o f M o r o cco
A c o py o f th i s s e cr e t t re a t y wa s s e n t by the Fr e nch
a mb a ss a d o r to Lo r d La ns d owne who in a ck n o w l
I n e e d n o t s ay that t h e con d e nti a l
e d gi n g i t s a i d
c ha ra ct e r o f the Conv e nti on e nte r e d i n to by the
P res i d e nt o f t h e Fr e nch R e publi c a n d t h e Ki n g o f
S p a i n i n r e ga r d to F r e nch a n d S p ani sh i nt e rests i n
M o r o cco i s fu lly r e co gni z e d by u s a n d will b e d uly
r e sp e ct e d
N o w e w e re n o t c o mmitte d
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publi cly W e ll m i ght M r Swi ft M a cNe ill say
It
i s a compl e te ab su r d ity fo r oth e r s to t r e a t u s a s
chil d r e n o r fo r u s to allow ou rs e lv e s to b e s o t r e a te d
i n m att e rs o f su ch h i gh i nt e r n ati o n al i mp o rtance a s
tho s e i nv o l v i n g qu e stio n s o f p e a c e a n d wa r
A ft e r C a sab lanca F e z ; a n d a ft e r F e z Aga d i r
E a r ly in July G e r ma ny s e t ab o ut taki n g a ha n d i n
P ubli cly she wa s a s mu ch
t h e M o r o ccan busine ss
c o n c e r n e d in the e conomi c a r ra n g e m e nts o f t h e P o w
e rs i n M o ro cco a s F ra n c e o r B r i ta in I n Febru a ry
19 09
s h e h a d sig n e d a d e cla rat i o n with Fr an c e
m a i nta ini n g th e i n t e g r ity a n d i n d e p en d e n ce o f M o
r occ o
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wha t t h e G e rm a n G ove r nm e n t thought o f the Fren ch
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Qu e sti ons w e re a ske d i n t h e
H ouse o f C ommons b ut th e G ove r nment im m e d i
a t e ly pu t ou t the S i gn
Not i n t h e publi c i nte rest
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v e r s a l s a t i s f a c t i o n t h a t t he w o r l d i s n o w i n p o s s e s s i o n o f
T h e re
t h e wh o l e o f o u r t r e a t y o b li g a t i o n s o n t h i s s ubj e c t
i s n o s e c re t a r r a n g e m e n t o f a n y s o r t o r k i n d wh i ch h as n o t
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D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
f ro m t h a t p o i n t o f v i e w t h a t o u r co n d uc t Sh o u l d b e
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i st e r e mph a s i z e d t h e fa ct o n D e c e mb e r 6 t h 1 9 1 1 i n
r e ply to a qu e st i o n put by M r
Go r d o n H a rv e y
numb e r s o f m e mb e r s thought t h e ugly rumou r o f
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a n d t h e r e a r e n o s e c r e t e n g a g e m e n t s w i t h a n y f o r e i gn G o v
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19
h o n o u r a b l e g e n t l e m a n t o s ay t h a t t h e re a re o t h e r se c re t
t r e a t i e s b e s i de s t he s e c r e t t re a t y r e c e n t l y d i s c l o se d b e t w e e n
t h i s co u n t r y a n d F r a n ce ?
D o e s t h e ho n g e n t l e m a n m e a n
S i r E dw a r d G r e y :
b e t w e en t h i s co u n t r y a n d F r a n c e ?
B e t w e e n t h i s c o u n t ry a n d a n y o t h e r
M r M a c Ne i ll :
c ou n t ry W e k n o w a b o u t F r a n c e
Y e s s i r ; t h e re a r e o t h e r e n g a g e
S i r E dw a r d G re y :
m e n t s th a t h a v e n o t b e e n p ub li s h e d
wa s i nvente d
I nj u st i c e and p ov e rty hatr e d a n d
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m en ,
ke e p t h e m in f e a r t o s ubj e c t t h e m t o t he w i ll o f o t h e rs
b u t o n t h e c o n t r a r y t o a ll o w e a ch a s fa r a s p o ss i b l e t o li v e
i n s e c u r i t y t h a t i s t o p re se rv e fo r e a ch h i s n a t u ra l r i gh t t o
li v e w i t h ou t h a rm t o h i m s e l f o r t o h is n e i ghb o u r No I
re p e a t t he o bj e c t o f t he S t a t e i s n o t t o t r a n s f o r m r e a so n a b l e
b e i n gs i n t o a n i m a l s o r a u t o m a t a ; i t s o bj e c t is t o e n a b l e t he
c i t iz e n s t o de v e l o p i n s e cu r i t y t h e i r b o di es a n d t h e i r m i n ds
f re e l y t o e mp l o y t h e i r re a so n The t ru e e n d o f t he S t a te
t h e re f o r e is li b e rt y
to
C HAPTE R
TH E
POW E R TO WA R
u t t e r N o t h i n g a re a ll o n e ;
W hy t h e n do e s t h i s c re a t i n g s t ill go o n ?
G o n e by ? W h a t m e a n s i t ? W h a t a s o rr y t ra de !
M a k i n g a n d m a k i n g n o t h i n g o f wh a t s m a de
An d t h e n t h i s n o t h i n g e v e r m o r e w e s e e
M a k i n g p r e t e n c e a s o m e t h i n g s t i ll t o be
S o o n i t g o e s t h e s a m e d u ll c i r c l e s p i n n i n g
Tw e r e b e t t e r w i t h t he E t e r n a l V o i d b e g i n n i n g !
Go e th e
Go n e B y
an d
,
s ec r e cy wo rks i n r e lation to m e mb e rs in t h e k n ow
a n d tho s e who ca n o n ly r e ly o n t h e stat e m e n ts o f
M ini st e r s ; a n d c o ns e qu e ntly with r e ga r d to th e s e
a ffa i r s d o no t k n o w u n ti l i t i s to o lat e to p rot e s t
M r Am e r y s a i d :
,
My
bj e c t i s t o d raw t he a tt en t i o n o f t he C o mm i t t e e
t o t he g r a v i t y o f t he m ili t a ry s i t u a t i o n a s a wh o l e a n d t o
t h e u r g en t n e c e ss i t y o f b r i n g i n g o u r m ili t a r y p r e p a r a t i on s
20 1
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i n t o so m e so rt o f c o r re s p o n de n c e w i t h o u r g e n e r a l n a t io n a l
p o li cy Th e p o i n t I w i s h t o i n s i s t up on t o t h e C o mm i t te e
i s t h a t w e s h o u l d f a c e t he l o g i c a l c o n s e qu e n c es o f t h e p o li cy
t o wh i ch t h i s c o u n t r y a l re a d y s t a n d s c o mm i t t e d w i t h t he
g e n e ra l a pp ro v a l o f t he g re a t m a j o r i t y on b o t h S i de s o f t he
H o u s e a n d t h a t w e Sh o u l d s h a p e o u r m ili t a ry p re p a r a t i o n s
by t h e s a m e s t a n d a r d by wh i ch o u r n a v a l p r e p a ra t i o n s a r e
i n v a r i a b l y d e t e r m i n e d t he s t a n d a r d I m e a n o f t h e f o r c e
.
h a v e t o e n c o u n t e r in w a r I t is co mm o n g ro u n d
t o u s a ll i n t h i s H o u s e t h a t w e m u s t a t a n y c o s t a n d a t a ll
h a z a r ds m a i n t a i n t he s up re m a cy o f t he B r i t i s h n a vy a g a i n s t
I t is a ls o
t he g ro w i n g m e n a c e o f G e r m a n r i v a l ry a t se a
c o mm o n g ro u n d a t a n y r a te a m on g t he g re a t m aj o r i t y o f
u s t h a t t h e d o m i n a t i o n o f Eu r o p e by a g re a t m i li t a ry p o w e r
wh i ch is a l so o u r g r e a t es t r i v a l a t s e a w o u ld in t he l o n g r u n
m a k e t h e r e t e n t i on o f o u r n av a l s up re m acy i mp o ss i b l e a n d
co n s e qu e n t l y t h e m a i n t e n a n ce o f F r a n c e as a n i n d e p e n de n t
g re a t P o w e r i n Eu r o p e is i n t he p re s e n t S i t u a t i o n n o t o n l y
a n h o n o u r a b l e o b li g a t i on
b u t a v i t a l i n t e r e s t t o t he s a f e t y
o f t h i s co u n t r y
I t i s a l s o c o mm on g ro u n d t h a t i n c e r t a i n
e v e n t u a li t i es e v e n t u a li t i e s wh i ch s e e m e d by n o m e a n s r e m o t e
l e ss t h a n a y e a r a go w e s h o u l d be p r e p a r e d t o s e n d a m ili
t a r y f o r c e t o F r a n c e t o a s s i s t he r
W h a t o ugh t a l s o t o be
c o mm o n g ro u n d a n d n o l e s s co mm o n g r o u n d t h a n t h o se
m a t te r s I h a v e a l re a dy m en t i o n e d i s t h a t t h e f o r c e t hu s s e n t
Sh o u ld be a de qu a t e t o a ch i e v e i t s pu r p o s e I f w e s e n d a
fo r c e a t a ll a n d i t i s a g r e e d t h a t w e s h o u l d se n d i t
! H on
M e mb e rs :
No !
I t i s by t he g re a t m a j o r i t y o n b o t h
S i d e s o f t h i s H o u s e a n d i f w e s e n d a f o r c e a t a ll w e s h o u l d
s e n d i t t o m a k e s u r e o f v i c t or y an d n o t t o s h a r e a de f e a t
w e m ay
Th e memb e rs who cr i ed
N o p e rhap s r e mem
b e r e d t h e r e pli e s to M r J o w e tt s qu e st i o n s in
M a r ch 1 9 1 1 wh e n h e a sk e d i f w e w e r e un d e r ob l i
g a t i o n s to s e n d t r o op s to the a ss i s tan ce o f Franc e
Th e y w e r e r e lying n o d oub t o n t h e n e gativ e r e ply
retu rne d by th e M in i ste r a nd n o t t hen th i nk i ng o f a
CLEA R
P RO P HE CY
29
W hy s h o u l d w e n o t h a v e f r o m t h e S e c r e t a r y o f S t a t e
fo r W a r a n e qu a l ly Cle a r e x p li c i t s t a t e m en t o f t h e r e l a t i v e
f o r c e s wh i c h w o u ld t a ke t h e e l d i n F r a n ce a n d B e l g i u m
a n d a n e qu a ll y c l ea r
a t t he o u t b r e a k o f t h a t s a m e co n i c t
re c o g n i t i o n f ro m h i m o f t h e d u t y o f t h e W a r O ffi c e t o p r o
v i d e a f o r c e wh i ch w o u l d m a k e i t u n li k e l y t h a t a G e r m a n
F r a n c e w o u l d s ucce e d a n d t h e r e f o re i n t he
a t t a ck up o n
h i gh e s t d e g r e e i mp ro b a b le t h a t t h e a t t a ck w o u ld e v e r be
The qu e s t i o n I s h o u l d li k e t he r i gh t ho n
a t t e mp t e d ?
o u r a b le g e n t l e m a n t o a n s w e r i s wh e t h e r o r n o t w e h a v e a
m ili t a r y f o r c e s t ro n g e n o ugh t o r e n de r F r an c e s e cu re i n t he
e ve n t o f a n
a t t a ck
H a s a n y r i gh t h o n g e n t l e m a n a d
d re s s i n g t h i s H o u s e e v e r p u t t h a t qu e s t i o n b e f o r e u s ?
D o w e e v e n p re t e n d t o f a ce i t ? L e t m e r e m i n d t h e C o m
m i t t e e t h a t s i n c e t h e c r i s i s o f l a s t y e a r G e r m a n y h a s a d de d
v e r y co n s i d e r a b ly t o h e r n a vy Imm e di a t e l y a n d w i t h t he
a s se n t o f e v e ry o n e w e r es p o n d e d by a s ub s t a n t i a l i n c re a s e
o f o u r n a vy
M a y I a l s o r e m i n d t h e C o mm i t t e e t h a t S i n c e
m e n t o h e r a r my
t h a t s a m e c r i s i s G e r m an y h as a d d e d
fo r t h e e x p r es s pu r p o s e o f s t re n g t h e n i n g t h e f o r c e t h a t i s t o
m a r ch t h r o ugh B e l g i um t o c r u s h t he F r e n ch l e f t I t is up o n
o u r E x p e d i t i o n a r y F o r c e t h a t t h e b r u n t o f t h a t m a r ch w o u l d
f a ll H as a n y r e s p o n s i b l e M i n i s t e r c o m e dow n t o t h i s
H o u s e a n d a s k e d e v e n a S i n g l e b a tt a li o n t o b e a dde d t o
t h e s t r e n g t h o f o u r a r my ?
29
H ow D I P LO M AT S M A K E WA R
R ev i e w ,
pp o n e n t s w ill h a v e t he ch o i c e o f t w o o bj e c t i v es
Th e y ca n a t t e mp t e i t h e r t o i n te r fe re w i t h t he d es p a t ch o f
t he E x p e d i t i o n a r y F o r c e o r t o c o v e r a n i n v a s i o n a c o u n t e r
at an y
s t ro k e i n t en de d e i t h e r t o b r i n g u s t o o u r k n e e s o r
r a te
t o p r e v e n t a c o n s i de r a b l e p a rt o f t h e E x p e di t i o n a r y
F o r c e f ro m g o i n g a n d so t o c l e ar the e l d fo r t he G e rm a n
a d v a n c e t h ro u g h F l a n de r s
Ou r
I w a n t t o s ay a w o r d a b o u t t h e E x p e d i t i o n a r y F o r c e
W e h av e bee n t o l d by t h e h o n m e mb e r w ho h as j u s t
Sp o ke n t h a t t h e p re p a r a t i o n s o f t he Go v e rn m e n t a re g ross l y
i n a de qu a t e a n d I e n t i r e l y a g re e w i t h h i m I do n o t t h i n k
I d i d n o t as k t o s e e t h a t b l u e
t h a t t h o s e p re p a r a t i o n s e xi s t
e n v e l o p e b e c a u s e I di d n o t w i s h t o h a v e my t o n gu e t i e d by
a n y t h i n g t h a t i t m i gh t h a v e c o n t a i n e d
Al s o I w an t t o
k n o w why i t Sh o u l d be s e c re t ; w ho is i t w ho is t o be
k e p t in i gn o ra n c e ? I s i t t h a t t he p eo p l e o f t h i s co u n t ry a re
t o be k e p t i n t h e d a r k a n d h o o dw i n k e d a n d n o t t o b e a ll o w e d
t o k n o w wh a t t he p r e p a r a t i on s a r e wh i ch a re n e c e s s a r y fo r
t h e i r s a fe ty ?
I s i t t h a t r e a s o n ? I s i t t h a t o u r e n e m i es a r e
I v e n t u r e t o t h i n k t h a t t he m o s t p r o b a b l e
n o t t o kn ow ?
e n e my w e h a v e a t t h e p r ese n t m o m en t ca n g i v e t he r i gh t
A
ho n
gen tle m a n p o i n t s
h Op e
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of
IN I G N O RAN C E
P A RTY
2 05
i n f o rm a t i o n I S i t t h o s e w e
o u r a lli e s ?
I t h i n k t h a t i s t he m o s t d a n g e r o u s
I f yo u ch oos e t o h oo dw i n k yo u r
t h e wh o l e lo t
in
qu e s t i o n
f r i e n ds a n d I a m s o r ry to s a y t h e p re se n t G o v e rn m e n t
h a v e don e s o w i t h g re a t s ucc e ss
i f yo u t h i n k yo u a r e d e
n e i t h e r i s s o b a d a s t o a t t e mp t t o
ce iv in g y o u r e n e m i e s
de c e i v e t h o s e wh o m yo u h o p e w ill b e y o u r a lli e s a b r o a d a n d
t o wh o m yo u a r e m a k i n g p ro m i s e s wh i c h I d o n o t t h i n k yo u
I s ay t h a t is a m os t d a n g e ro u s p ro c e e d i n g
can c a rr y o u t
.
i n t h e know
I t woul d b e ha r d t o n d i n
s it i o n
the p a g e s o f a ny bo ok by a G e r man m i lita r i st a
S p e ci m e n o f g r oss e r cont e mp t fo r p a ci s t s than tha t
W e ll
d i sp lay e d by t h e G ov e r n m e n t i n tho s e d ays
th e r e is a kin d o f l o ya lty tha t d e s e rv e s to b e tre at e d
w i th co nt e mp t ! Th e r e w a s how e v e r no d oub t i n
F r e nch o ffi ci a l a n d p r e s s ci rcl e s a s to ou r e n ga g e
ment M r B uxto n i n the Fo r e ign O ffi c e d e b at e o f
July 1 9 1 2 qu ote d f r o m t he N o uv e lle R e v u e o n e
o f t h e mo st p romi n ent P a r i s r ev i ews a stat e m e nt
.
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D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
the
lu ri d e nough t o s atis fy
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supporte rs o f M D el
.
W e i n t e n d t o h av e w a r Af te r f o r t y y e a rs o f a h e av il y
w e ca n a t l as t u t t e r t h i s o p i n i o n w i t h o u t t h e
a rm e d p e ace
s e r i o u s r e a de r s o f a F r e n ch r e v i e w s h a k i n g i n t h e i r Sh o e s
F r a n c e i s r e a dy t o s t r i k e a n d t o co n qu e r as s he w a s
a n d s h e w il l n o t b e i n f o u r o r
n o t r e a d y f o r t y y e a r s a go
v e y e a rs t o c o m e o w i n g t o t h e a n n u a l d i v e r g e n t n umb e rs
W e t he a t t a ck i n g
o f t h e b i r t h r a t e i n e a c h c o u n t ry
p a rt y w ill h av e a r r a n g e d w i t h E n g la n d t h a t t h e i r e e t
t he r e m a i n s o f t h e wh o l e G e r m a n
w ill h a v e f o ll ow e d
n a vy i n t o G e r m a n w a t e r s
T h e n w e h a d s o m e c r i t i c i s m s f r o m t he P r i m e M i n i s t e r
H e s a i d t h e V o t e w a s n o t t o t h re a t e n t he T r i p l e Alli an c e
H e l e f t I t a l y e n t i re l y o u t
The Tr i p l e Alli a n c e i s a n as
c i r cum
so c i a t i o n o f t h re e P o w e rs t o gh t u n de r c e r t a i n
s t an ce s
a n d I c a n n o t c o n c e i v e h ow t h i s ca n b e j u d i c i o u s l y
f a i r l y p a t ri o t i c a ll y a n d w i s e l y l e f t o u t a n d i f o n e l e a v e s
i t o u t as fa r a s o n e s s e l f i s c o n c e r n e d w e mu s t r e m e mb e r
t h a t w e h a v e a n e n t e n t e a n d t h a t i f t h e t h r ee P o w e r s a tt a ck
F r a n c e w e s h a ll h a v e t o de f e n d F r a n c e o r e l se t he e n t e n t e
I t is p e r
i s a s h a m wh i ch o ugh t n e v e r t o h a v e b ee n m a de
diou s Al b i on a g a i n
Thou gh t h e qu est i on o f s ecr e t tre a t i e s wa s b rought
u p sev e r a l tim e s d u r i n g t h e long au tum n a n d wi n t e r
s e ss i o n no i n fo rmati o n w a s giv e n by M i n i st e rs a s to
wh e th e r w e w e r e i nvolve d with Fr ance o r not The
co r r espon d e nce b e t w e e n the Fo re ign Secreta ry a n d
but
t h e French amb a ssa do r p a sse d i n Novemb er
SE C ON D
LI E
29
H u gh C e c il : Th e r i gh t ho n g e n t l e m a n m a de
re fe r e n ce
is o n e a s p e c t o f
to fore i gn
a ff a i r s
an d t he re
of n ot
them
so
c o n t r o v e rs i a l a ch a r a c te r a s o t h e r s on
wh i ch I s h o u l d li k e t o s a y a fe w w o r ds Th e r i gh t ho n
g e n t l e m an a n d h is c o ll e a gu e s a r e g e n e r a ll y b e li e v e d I
s p e a k w i t h t h e u t m o s t d i ffi de n c e i n
r e g a r d t o a ll e g a t i o n s
wh i ch m ay n o t b e w e ll f o u n de d t o h a v e e n t e r e d i n t o a n
e n g a ge m e n t
t o h av e g i v e n
or
t o s p e a k m o r e a ccu r a t e l y
a s s u r an c e s
wh i ch i n t h e co n t i n g e n cy o f a g re a t Eu r op e a n
w a r w o u l d i n v o l v e h e a vy m ili t a ry o b li g a t i o n s o n t h i s c o u n
t ry
W e d o n o t s u s p e c t t h e P r i m e M i n i s t e r o r t he F o r e i g n
S e c r e t a r y o f pu r s u i n g a n y t h i n g b u t a p a c i c f o r e i gn p o li cy
a n d w e a r e fa r f r o m s a y i n g t h a t t h e i r p o li cy i s i n a n y w a y
i f t he S t o r i e s
a n a gg r e s s i v e o n e ; b u t c e r t a i n l y w e b e li e v e
cu r r e n t a re t ru e t he p o li cy i f i t is n o t t o be re g a r de d as an
is a dv e n t u r o u s
a gg re s s i v e o n e
Th e P r i m e M i n i s t e r :
W ill t h e n o b l e l o r d d e n e a
li t t l e m o r e de n i t e l y wh a t he m e a n s ?
L o r d Hugh Ce c il : I a m o n l y a n xi o u s n o t t o u se
w o r ds wh i ch w ill co n v e y a n y t h i n g bu t p e r f e c t l y f a i r e r i t i
c is m i n a m a t t e r o f t h i s s o r t
a n d a n y a mb i gu i t y i n wh a t
I h a v e s a i d i s d u e t o t he f a c t t h a t I d o n o t w i s h t o go b e
y o n d t he n e c e ss i t i e s o f t he c a s e
Th e P r i m e M i n i s t e r :
1 do n o t c o mp l a i n
L o r d H ugh C e c i l : T h e re is a v e ry g en e r al b e li e f
t h a t t h i s c o u n t r y i s u n de r a n o b li g a t i o n n o t a t r e a t y o b li
g a t io n b u t a n o b li g a t i o n a r i s i n g o u t o f a n a s s u r a n c e g i v en
by t he M i n i s t r y i n t h e c o u r se o f d i p l o m a t i c n e g o t i a t i on s t o
s en d a v e r y l a r g e a r m e d f o r c e o u t o f t h i s c o u n t r y t o o p e ra t e
i n Eu r o p e
T h a t is t he g e n e r a l be li e f I t w o u l d b e v e r y
o rd
H OW
20 8
D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
p r es ump t u o u s o f a n y o n e w ho has n o t a cc e ss t o a ll t he f a ct s
i n p os s e s s i o n o f t h e G o v e r n m e n t
I o ugh t t o s ay t h a t i t is n o t
The P r i m e M i n i s t e r :
t ru e!
L o r d H ugh C e c il : I a m v e r y g l a d t o h a v e e li c i t e d
I t i s c e r t a i n l y w i de l y b e li e v e d t h a t t h e
t h at e xp l an a t io n
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v e n t u r o u s k i n d a n d I c e rt a i n l y t h i n k i f t h a t i s r i gh t t h a t
i t w o u l d i n v o l v e v e ry i mp o r t a n t c on s i de r a t i on s wh e n yo u
c o m e t o c o n s i d e r wh a t a re t he m ili t a r y r e s o u r c es o f t h i s
c o u n t ry W e Sh a ll h a v e a d e b a t e o n t h a t p o i n t I t i s i m
p os s i b l e a s t he l a t e S i r H e n r y C a mpb e ll B an n er m a n w as
f o n d o f e mph a s izi n g t o j u d g e o f t h e m ili t a r y p o li cy o f t h i s
o r a n y o t h e r c o u n t r y u n l e ss yo u e n t e r i n t o t h e u n d e r s t a n d
i n g s o r o b li g a t i o n s i n v o l v e d by i t s f o re i gn p o li cy I t i s
qu i t e i mp o s s i b l e fo r t h i s H o u s e fu ll y t o c r i t i c i se t he m ili t a ry
p o li cy o f t h e Go v e r n m e n t u n l e s s t h e y k n o w a t a n y r a t e
wh a t i t is t he Go v e r n m e n t e x p e c t t h e a rmy t o d o I t ce r
t a i n ly w o u l d f o llo w t h a t i f yo u w e r e p r e p a r e d a s n o re c e n t
G o v e rn m e n t h as a t t e mp t e d t o b e p r e p a re d t o t a ke an i m
p o r t a n t m ili t a ry p a r t i n t h e e a r l y S t a g e s o f a g r e a t Eu ro p e a n
w a r u p o n t h e C o n t i n e n t t h e m ili t a r y p r e p a r a t i o n s o f o t h e r
G o v e rn m e n t s a n d o f t h i s G o v e r n m en t i n t he e a r li e r y e a r s
w e r e n o t s ufc i e n t L e t m e a d d t h a t
o f i t s t e n u r e o f o ffi c e
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T h e r e i s n o o n e w ho d i s li k e s
p u ls o r y m ili t a ry s e rv i c e
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I do a n d I Sh o u l d n e v e r be co n v i n c e d i n i ts f a v o u r by a n y
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n e c e s s a r y fo r t h e p r o t e c t i o n o f t h e c o u n t r y
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t h e v o l u n t a r y s y s t e m w ill u l t i m a t e l y b e a r t h e s t r a i n
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a b o u t by g e n e r a l c on s e n t
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D I D N OT THE P RE M I E R KNOW ?
2 09
b li g a t i o n s o f t h i s c o u n t ry m ay b e c o m e s o h e a vy t h a t t h e
v o l u n t a r y s y s t e m m a y b r e a k do w n I h o p e t h a t t h e F o r
e i gn S e c re t a r y a n d t h e S e c r e t a r y o f S t a t e fo r W a r m a y b e
a b l e t o co o r d i n a t e t h e f o r e i g n p o li cy a n d t h e m ili t a r y p o l
i cy i n o r de r t o s h o w h o w t h e m ili t a r y p o li cy a n d t h e f o r e i g n
p o li cy t t o g e t h e r ho w fa r t he m ili t a ry r e s o u r c e s o f t h e
c o u n t r y a r e r e a ll y s u ffi c i e n t t o c a r ry o u t t he o b li g a t i o n s
t h r o w n up o n t h os e r e s o u r c e s by t he f o re i g n p o li cy o f t h e
Go v e r n m e n t I t h i n k t h a t is a m a tt e r o f v e r y g re a t i m
p or t a n ce
N ow why d id the P r i m e M i n i st e r s ay
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l e tt e r s b e tw e e n S i r E d w a r d G r e y a n d M C amb o n
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d ays a ft e r t h e d e bat e r e f e r r e d t o ab o v e M aj o r
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t h e w o r ds o f L o r d R o b e r t s w i t h r e g a r d t o t h e u s e o f t h i s
g r e a t f o r c e H e s a i d : I t is t o c a r r y o u t o u r b o u n de n
d u t y t o t h e C o n t i n e n t a l a lli a n c e fo r t h e m a i n t e n a n c e o f t h e
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H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
2 10
c o n t e mp l a te d by t h e m t h a t w e s h o u l d m a i n t a i n h al f a
m illi o n o f m e n h e r e fo r u s e i n a n e xp e d i t i o n o n t h e C on t i
n e n t fo r t h e m a i n t e n a n c e o f t h e b a l a n c e o f p o w e r i n Eu r o p e
W e h a v e n o s uch b o u n de n du t y t o a C o n t i n e n t a l
Alli a n c e The P r i m e M i n i s te r t he o t h e r d ay i n t e r j e c t e d
a n a b s o l u t e d e n i a l wh e n h e w as qu e s t i o n e d by t he n o b l e
l o r d t h e M e mb er fo r Ox f o rd a s t o wh e t h e r w e h a d a n y
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d e p en d up o n n o a lli an c e o r u n de r s t a n d i n g a c t u a l o r i m
p li e d b u t up o n o u r o w n f o r c e s The F i rs t L o r d i n h is
N a vy M e m o r an du m s h o w e d t h a t i n 1 9 1 5 Au s t r i a a n d I t a l y
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2 12
D I PLO M AT S MA KE WA R
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a ll p o s s i b l e c o mb i n a t i o n
A r e m a r k a b l e s t a te m e n t l oo k a t i t how you w ill an d
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fo r t h e s a f e t y o f o u r E a s t e r n Emp i r e o u r t r a de an d o u r
f oo d s upp l y up o n t he a s s i s t a n c e wh i ch h e p res u m e s w ill be
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t h e e e t s o f Au s t r i a a n d I t a l y c o mb i n e d b e c au s e t he b u r d e n
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M R C HU R C H I LL S SUGGESTI ON
2 13
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t a k e i n t o a cc o u n t t h a t w e a r e o n t h e m o s t f r i e n d l y r e l a t i o n s
w i t h F r a n c e a n d t h a t o u r ee t i n t h e M e d i t e r r a ne a n i s a
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H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
2 14
f ro m t he o r di n a r y d a t e wh e n yo u w o u l d h a v e b e gu n t h e m
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2 15
I t i s a p i ty M r C hu rchi ll w a s n o t i n a p os i tion
to tell t h e p e opl e o f E n gl a n d t h at h e h a d a rrang e d
w i th Fra nc e to l e ave th e M e d it e r r an e an to h e r e e t
whi le Englan d s lo ok e d a ft e r t h e C hanne l a n d t h e
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r i e r s o f the crimi n al p oli cy o f s e cr e cy a n d hav e b e e n
p e r fectly frank ab ou t t h e n av al p osition h e might
have c a rr i e d t h e va st maj o r ity o f t h e p eop l e with
him H e mig h t h av e s a i d tha t t h e p a n i cky r e p o rts
o f the sp r i n g wi t h r e ga r d to t h e sw o ll e n e stimat e s
o f t h e G e rm a n G o v e rn m e n t w e re no t tru e
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t h e m i n d s o f G e r ma n stat e sm e n ; bu t that th i s cou l d
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s e rve d t o bli n d tho s e o f h i s f e llow cou n trym e n who
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th e ms e lv e s A s i t wa s t h e su gge stio n m a d e no
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2 16
D I P LO M AT S MA KE WA R
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1 9 14 :
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f o rw a r d for a fu r t h e r m ili t a r y u n de r s t a n d i n g b e t w e en t he
P o w e rs o f t h e T r i p l e E n t e n t e w i t h a v i e w t o c o n c e r t e d
a c t i on o n t h e C o n t i n e n t i n c a s e o f c e r t a i n e v e n t u a li t i e s ; a n d
wh e t h e r t h e p o li cy o f t h i s c o u n t ry s t il l r e m a i n s on e o f f re e
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an s
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qu e s t i o n i s i n t h e n e g a t i v e a n d a s
r e g a r ds t he l a t t e r p a r t t he p os i t i o n n ow r e m a i n s t h e s a m e
a s s t a t e d by t h e P r i m e M i n i s t e r i n an s w e r t o a q u es t i o n i n
t h i s H o u s e o n t h e 2 4t h M a r ch
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ke d wh e t h e r a n y n av a l a g re e m e n t h as b ee n
re c en t l y en t e r e d i n t o b e t w ee n Ru s s i a a n d G r e a t B r i t a i n ; a n d
wh e t h e r a n y n e g o t i a t i on s w i t h a v i e w t o e n a b l e a g r e e m e n t
h a v e r e cen t l y t a k en p l a ce o r a r e n o w p e n di n g b e t w e e n Ru ss i a
a n d G re a t B r i t a i n ?
S i r W illi a m B y l es as k e d t h e Se c r e t a r y o f S t a t e fo r F o r
e i gn A ff a i r s wh e t h e r h e ca n m a k e a n y s t a t e m e n t w i t h r e g a r d
t o a n a ll e g e d n ew n a v a l a g r e e m e n t b e t w e e n G r e a t B r i t a i n
a n d R u s s i a ; ho w fa r s uch a g r e e m e n t w o u l d a ff e c t o u r re l a
t i o n s w i t h G e r m an y ; a n d w ill h e la y p a p e r s ?
The hon m emb e r fo r N o rt h
S i r E d w a r d G re y :
.
as
21
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Som e r s e t
D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
k e d a s i m il a r qu es t i on l as t y e a r w i t h r e g a r d
a n d t h e ho n
m e mb e r fo r N o r t h
t o t h e m ili t a r y f o r c e s
S a l f o r d a s k e d a s i m il a r qu e s t i o n a l s o o n t h e s a m e d ay
The P r i m e M i n i s t e r t h e n
a s h e h as d o n e a g a i n t o d a y
i f w a r a r os e b e tw ee n Eu ro p e a n P o w e r s t h e re
r e p li e d t h a t
w e r e n o u n pub li s h e d a g r ee m e n t s wh i ch w o u l d r e s t r i c t o r
h a mp e r t he f re e do m o f t he G o v e rn m e n t o r o f P a r li a m e n t
t o d e c i d e wh e t h e r o r n o t G re a t B r i t a i n s h o u l d p a r t i c i p a t e
in a w ar
T h a t a n s w e r c o v e rs b o t h t he qu e s t i o n s o n t h e
p a p e r I t re m a i n s a s t r u e t o da y as i t w as a y e a r a go No
n e g o t i a t i o n s h a v e s i n c e b e e n c o n c l u de d w i t h a n y P o w e r t h a t
wo u l d m a k e t he s t a t e m e n t l e s s t r u e No s uch n e g o t i a t i o n s
a n d n o n e a r e li k e l y t o b e e n t e r e d u p o n s o
a re in p ro g r e s s
fa r a s I ca n j u d g e
B u t i f a n y a g r e e m e n t w e r e t o b e co n
c l u d e d t h a t m a d e i t n e ce ss a ry t o w i t h d r aw o r m o d i fy t he
P r i m e M i n i s t e r s S t a t em en t o f l as t y e ar wh i ch I h a v e
qu o t e d i t o u gh t i n my o p i n i o n t o b e a n d I s upp os e t h a t
i t w o u l d b e l a i d b e f o r e P a r li a m e n t
as
a g tha t bo r e t h e m o tto
P e a ce R e t r e nchm e n t
a n d R e fo rm
! W e ll m i ght t h e s oc i a li sts cry a t
m e e t i ngs wh e n L i b e r als h ave a sk e d fo r the d e m o
VEH E M ENT
P ROTEST
2 19
If
k n ow t h e re a li t y o f t h i n g s i t w ou l d
b e b e t t e r i f w e h a d n o de b a t es i n t h i s H o u s e o n f o r e i g n p o l
i cy h f e m b e r a f t e r m e mb e r g e t s up a n d s ay s wh a t t o t he
b e s t o f h i s i n f o r m a t i o n a r e t h e t r u e f a c t s o f t h e c as e b u t
m e mb e rs a re fu rn i s h e d w i t h o ffi c i a l
o f t h e s e ho n
n on e
i n f o r m a t i on as t h e y w o u ld b e fu r n i s h e d w i t h o n a n y m a t t e r
I t h i n k i t is an a m a zi n g t h i n g t o s e e
o f do m e s t i c p o li cy
h ow t h e H o u s e i s c ro w de d o n m a t t e rs o f n a v a l de fen ce a n d
t o s e e h o w t h i s H o u s e o f C o mm o n s a ll o w s i t s e l f t o b e t r e a t e d
a s a ch il d i n m a t t e r s wh i ch a re t h e Sp r i n g s o f p o li cy t h e m
a n d fo r wh i ch t h e s e
s e lv e s i n m a t t e r s wh i ch c r e a t e w a r s
I t w o u l d be im
n a v a l de f e n c es a r e t h e m s e l v e s re qu i r e d
m e n s e ly b e t te r i f t h e r e w e re f e w e r m illi o n s s p e n t o n t he
N a vy a n d t h e r e w as a n O p e n pub li c p o li cy a s t o o u r r e l a
I s ay t h a t t he H o u s es o f
t i o n s w i t h o t h e r P o w e rs
P a r li a m e n t s o fa r a s f o r e i g n p o li cy i s c o n c e r n e d a r e a b so
T h i s H o u se o f C o mm o n s h as n o
lu t e ly i mp o t e n t
p ow e r t o de c la re w a r o r t o m a k e p e a c e T h e s e p re ro ga
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2 20
H OW
D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
p r a c t i c a ll y i n v e s t e d i n t he M i n i s t e rs
I n f o r e i g n a ff a i r s t h e y a r e n o t
a n d e x e r c i s e d by t h e m
The M i n i s t r y o f E n g l an d can de c l a re w a r
r e s p on s i b le
P er
t o d a y w i t h o u t c on s ul t i n g t h e H o u s e o f C o mm o n s
h a p s i t w ill be s a i d t h a t is a ll r i gh t a n d t h a t t he H o u se o f
C o mm o n s has t he p ow e r o f s t o pp i n g s upp li e s Y e s bu t n o
H o u s e o f C o mm o n s w i t h o r di n a r y p a t r i o t i c f e e li n g w o u l d
d r e a m o f s t o pp i n g s upp li e s wh e n t h a t m e a n s t he m a i n t e
wh a te v e r m ay be
n a n c e a n d p r o t e c t i o n o f s o l d i e r s a b roa d
T h e r e f or e t he C a b i n e t has p ow e r t o
t he f a c t s o f t he w a r
m a k e p e a c e a n d t o d e c l a re w a r ; t o m a k e t h i s c o u n t r y e n t e r
i n to t he v e r y h i gh e s t a n d m o s t m om e n to u s i n te rn a t i on a l
t r an s a c t i o n s a n d h as a p o w e r wh i ch i t h a s n o t i n c o n n e c t i on
w i t h t he n a r r ow es t t u rn p i ke B ill C a n a n y o n e i m a g i n e a
C o mm i t t ee o f P a r li a m e n t s uch a s t he C a b i n e t is s h o u l d be
a b l e t o p u t t he c o u n t r y u n d e r t h e m o s t i n t e n s e n a t i o n a l
a n d t o b i n d t h e li v e s a n d d e s t i n i e s a n d p r o p e r t i e s
o b li g a t i o n
o f t h e s u bj e ct ?
C row n
t i v e s o f t he
a re
22 1
! I
CHA P TE R
WO R K O F DI P L OM AT IST S
TH E
h e r g re a t gu l f wh i ch s e p a ra t e s t h e d i ffe r
e n ce s b e t w e e n A u s t r i a a n d Ru ss i a
h ows oe v e r t h e y m ay b e
d e c i de d f ro m t h e a ff a i rs o f t he W e s t e r n P o w e r s
B r i t a in
I t a l y a n d F r an ce a re a t p e a c e T h e y d e s i r e
a n d G e rm a n y
p e a c e ; t h e y n ee d p e a c e ; t h e r e i s n o g ro u n d o f qu a rr e l be
t w e e n t h e m a b s o l u te l y n o n e
T h e y h a v e o n l y t o co n
t i o u c t o pu rs u e t o g e t h e r t h e s i mp l e a n d s i n c e r e p o li cy t h e y
h a v e b e e n f o ll ow i n g t h e y h a v e o n l y t o t r u s t o n e a n o t h e r
i n t h i s t i m e o f t r o ub l e t h e y h a v e o n l y t o t a k e h o l d o f o n e
a n o t h e r s h a n ds i n c o n de n c e a n d g o o d w ill
an d t h e r e is
n o p o w e r u n d e r t h e s k y t h a t can d r i v e t h e m f ro m t h e p a t h s
an d h on ou r
No o n e can m e as u re t h e co n s e
o f s an i ty
Th e o r i g i n a l c a u s e w o u l d s o o n
qu e n ce s o f a g e n e r a l w a r
b e l os t i n t h e g re a t e r a n d m o re t e r r i b l e i s s u es wh i ch w o u l d
be r a i s e d
Th e o n l y e p i t a ph wh i ch h i s t o ry c o u l d w r i t e
o n s uch a c a t a s t r o ph e w o u l d b e t h a t t h i s wh o l e g e n e r a t i o n
o f m e n w e n t m a d a n d t o r e t h e m s e l v e s t o p i e c es
W i n s t o n C hu r ch ill N o v e mb e r 1 9 1 2
T H ER E
is
an ot
222
A C LE A R S K Y
2 23
My
w i th Fo re i g n P o w e r s c o n t i n u e t o b e
f r i e n dl y I a m h a ppy t o s ay t h a t my n e g o t i a t i o n s b o t h
w i t h t he G e r m an G o v e rn m e n t a n d t he O t t o m an Go v e r n
m e n t as r e g a r ds m a t t e r s o f i mp o r t a n ce t o t h e c o mm e r c i a l
a re
a n d i n d u s t r i a l i n t e r es t s o f t h i s c o u n t r y i n M e s o p o t a m i a
r a p i dl y
a pp r o a ch i n g
a
s a t i s f a c t o ry
i s s u e wh il e qu es t i on s
wh i ch h av e l on g b e e n p e n d i n g w i t h t he T u rk i s h Emp i re in
r e s p e c t t o r e g i o n s b o r de r i n g o n t h e P e rs i a n Gu l f a r e i n a
f a i r w ay t o w a r ds a n a m i c a bl e s e t t l e m e n t
l i
r e a t on s
Th e r e s e em e d to b e no i nte rn a t i onal fr i ct i on in
Eur op e ; t h e Chan c e ll e r i e s gave no i n d i ca t i o n o f the
com i n g s to r m Eve n the B alkan s se em e d to b e a t
r est At h o me all w a s str i fe Th e Gove rnm e nt
e nt e r i ng o n i ts fou rth yea r o f o ffi ce un d e r t h e P a r
li a m e n t A ct h a d to d e a l fo r t h e thi r d a n d la st t i me
with t h e Hom e Ru le B ill M a ny oth e r highly con
t e n t i o u s m e a su r e s i n va r i ou s stag e s o f l e gi slative d e
v e lo p m e n t w e r e to b e d e alt with
T he chu rch the
l an d a n d t h e a sc e n de n cy p a rt i e s w e r e i ntensely
a la rm e d ; a n d u rg e n t wa s th e i r wo r k i n t h e country
to fo restall a t a n y co st the p owe r o f th e P a rl i am ent
Act to p a s s m e a su r e s a ga inst the opp o s i t i on o f the
Hous e o f Lo r d s The U n i on i sts h a d su cc e e d e d on
two o cca s i ons i n tu rn i ng the Hous e o f C o mm o ns
.
2 24
D u r i n g t he e i gh t y e a r s i n wh i ch t he G o v e r n m e n t h a d
b e en i n o f ce t he p e a ce o f Eu r o p e h a d b een p re se r v e d The
G re a t P o w e rs h a d g r o up e d t h e m se l v e s ; t he p ili n g up o f
a r m a m e n t s h a d g o n e o n ; w e h a d i n c r e as e d o u r a r m a m e n t s ;
a n d Eu ro p e w a s a n a r m e d c a mp , b u t a n a r m e d c a mp i n
wh i ch p e a c e n o t o n l y p r e v a il e d, b u t i n wh i ch t h e i n di c at io n s
w e r e t h a t t h e re w a s a fa r g r e a t e r p ros p e c t o f p e a ce t h a n
.
v e r t h e r e w as b e f or e No o n e w a n t e d w a r I f a rm a
m e n t s w e r e p il e d up i t w a s n o t fo r a gg res s i on b u t fo r f e a r
T h a t w oul d go i n t i m e a n d w o u l d c e r t a i n l y go i f t he
b e n e ce n t t e n de n cy o f t h e l a s t fe w y e a rs w a s k e p t u p a n d
i f t h i s c o u n t ry p re se r v e d i ts p o li cy wh il e re m a i n i n g i n o ne
o f t he g r o up s ye t s e e k i n g t o b r i n g a b o u t g oo d r e l a t i o n s b e
t w e e n t h a t g r o up a n d t h e o t h e r g r o up
I t w as w i t h p l e a s
u r e t h a t he t h o ugh t o f t h e g r e a t p o w e r fo r g o o d o f t he t w o
s t a t es m e n i n Eu r o p e
D r B e t hm a n n H o ll w e g a n d S i r Ed
w a r d G r e y T h e s e tw o ha d w o r k e d for a ll t h e y w e r e
w o r t h a n d w e h a d s e en t he f rui t s o f i t d u ri n g a p e r i o d o f
g r e a t a n xi e ty a n d c r i s i s wh e n p rob a b l y w i t h o u t t h a t g r o up
s ys t e m
w e m i gh t h a v e h a d a co n a g r a t io n i n Eu ro p e
T h e s e g ro up s ha d a n ew v a l u e a n d m e an i n g T h e y d id n o t
e xi s t t o b r e a k t h e p e a c e b u t t o k ee p t h e p e a c e
e
was
A SA D RE T R OSP E CT
225
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22 6
h e ha d
D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
the
W h il e B r i t i s h n av a l ex p e n di t u re is a g r e a t f a c to r i n t he
n a v a l e x p e n d i t u r e o f Eu r o p e
t h e f o r c e s wh i ch a r e m a k i n g
t h a t e x p e n d i t u r e i n c re a s e g e n e r a ll y a re r e a ll y b e y o n d o u r
co n t ro l I a dm i t t h a t w e h a d s o m e r es p o n s i b ili t y o r i gi n a lly
i n bu il di n g t h e r s t d re a dn o ugh t
No dou b t w e a r e Op en
At t he p r e s
t o t he c r i t i c i s m t h a t w e s e t t h e e x a mp l e
e n t m o m e n t wh a t i s c a u s i n g t h e i n c re a s e o f d r e a dn o u gh t s
i n Eu r o p e ?
I t is g o i n g o n w i t h o u t r e f e r e n c e t o B r i t i s h
The s h i p s wh i ch G e r m an y i s g o i n g t o la y
exp e n d i t u r e
,
C ON T RAD I CTI O N S
do w n i n
a n av al
2 27
h i s c o m i n g y e a r a re b e i n g l a i d dow n t o c a r ry o u t
p ro g r a mm e a n a v a l la w (wh i ch c an n o t be a l t e r e d
w i t h o u t t h e c o n se n t o f t h e R e i ch s t a g ) wh i ch w as l a i d d o w n
m a n y y e a r s a go a n d a n a v a l law wh i ch w o u l d n o t be a l t e r e d
W h e n yo u c o m e t o
t h i s y e a r by a n y t h i n g w e c o u l d do
Au s t r i a a n d I t a l y a n d a s k
t he Sh i pbu il d i n g o f F r a n c e
y o u r s e l f why t h ey a re bu il d i n g d re a dn o ugh t s I d o n o t t h i n k
yo u ca n s ay i n t h e c a s e o f a n y o n e o f t h e m t h a t t h e y a r e
bu il d i n g dr e a dn o ugh t s b e c a u s e o f B r i t i s h s h i pbu il d i n g
W h a t e v e r m o t i v e s t h e y h av e i t i s n o t c o mp e t i t i o n w i t h u s
i n p a r t i cu l a r wh i ch i s c a u s i n g t h e m t o bu il d d r e a dn o ugh t s
a n d i f w e w e r e t o d e c i d e t o bu il d n o t h i n g t h i s y e a r o r n e x t
y e a r I do n o t b e li e v e i t w o u l d c a u s e a n y a lt e r a t i o n i n t h e
s h i pbu il d i n g o f t h e o t h e r g r e a t P o w e r s o f E u r o p e a s a d i r e c t
c o n s e qu e n c e
t
th e
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D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
S i r E dwa r d G r e y s a i d th e p r e ss
controlle d the
a tmosphe r e a n d t h e t e mp e ra tu r e o f t h e a tm osph e re
w o ul d d e ci d e what p oli cy i t might b e p o ss ible fo r
G ov e rnm e nts to ca r ry ou t
W h e ther o r no t the
fo re i gn p r e ss contro ll e d th e atmosp h e re at the t i me
o f t he B alka n c r isi s ther e is n o d oubt ab out t h e con
t r o l o f atm o sp h e r e o f t h e B r i t i s h p r e s s n o w D e
c e nt j o u rn a li sm li e s u n d e r a cl o u d o f susp i ci o n a n d
d a r e n o t d e a l t h o r oug h ly w i th a ll th e ca u s e s wh i ch
b rou g h t ab out th e w a r Th e wo rst f e atu r e s o f
P r u ssi a n a d mi ni stra ti o n a r e ramp a nt i n the lan d and
a f r e e p r e ss ha s b e e n ou st e d by a p r e ss fre e chi ey
t o li e a n d t r a d u c e h o n ou r abl e m e n
But it i s n o t t h e
p e op l e s fault tha t t h e cu ltu re o f fren z y a n d fright
i s t h e o r d e r o f t h e d a y ; i t i s t h e fault o f t h e G ov
e rn m e n t
Th e p e opl e have not b e en g i ven a chan ce
to s e l e ct a cultu r e compat i ble w i th t ru e l i b e rt y
S l av e s must tak e t h e cultu r e the i r m ast e rs i mpo s e
I f t h e r e w a s o n e r e fo rm mo r e than a n othe r n e e de d
i n B r i ta in i n t h e sp r i n g o f 1 9 1 4 i t wa s e d u cat i on
N ati onally n o t o n e hal f a s mu ch wa s sp e nt on e d u ca
t i on a s o n t h e n avy B ut t h e n avy wa s a ll ri ght
An d t h e a rm y w a s re a d y
Th e M inist e r fo r W a r
i n t h e C ommo n s on M a rch 1 0 t h s a i d
We sta nd
w e ll fo r t h e pu rp os e s o f i mm e d i at e w a r on a n y b as i s
whi ch yo u may co n si de r
The First L o r d o f
t h e A d mi r a l t y tol d t h e H ou se o f C ommons tha t
fo r ty m e r chant s hip s h a d b e e n a r m e d with two
guns ap i e ce O n t h e d e b at e on the N a val P o s i t i on
i n the M ed i t e r r an e an M a rch
2 29
th S i r E dwa r d G r ey
Th e d e
We co ns i d e r that th e y m ak e f o r p e a c e
b at e s i n t h e C o mm o n s o n t h e A rm y a n d N avy wer e
o f d e ep int e r e st M r Am e ry int e rv e n e d a ga i n a n d
d e a lt wi th t h e p o s i ti on i n Eu r o p e :
,
18
I t is
qu e s t i o n o f o u r de a li n g S i n g l e h an de d w i t h
o n e o f t h e g r e a t Eu r o p e a n P o w e r s
W e h a v e b e e n co m
m i t t e d by o u r f o r e i g n p o li cy t o t h e s upp o r t o f a c e r t a i n
g ro up i n g o f P o w e r s a n d i t i s o u r d u t y t o s upp l y n o t o n l y
n a v a l s t re n g t h b u t m ili t a r y s t r e n g t h t o p r e v e n t t h a t g r o up
i n g b e i n g b r o k e n dow n
W h a t go o d w o u ld i t b e t o u s
w i n n i n g a v i c t o r y a t s e a i f o u r a l li e s w e r e c r u s h e d an d de
f ea t e d o n l an d ?
n ot
Th en i n t h e d e b at e o n t h e N a vy E stima te s
M a rc h i 8 t h 1 9 1 4 t h e qu e sti o n o f o u r p os iti o n i n
Eu r op e w a s r a i s e d by s e ve r a l m e mb e rs Lo r d
C ha r l e s B e r e s fo r d d e a lt s ev e r e ly with t h e First
Lo r d :
,
F i rs t L o r d :
g o i n g t o t ru s t t o F ran c e
T h a t is a v e r y de n i t e
t o de f e n d u s i n t h e M e d i t e r r a n e a n ?
qu e s t i o n I f w e a re wh a t a re w e t o g i v e F r a n c e in re
t u rn ?
I t h a s c o m e o u t qu i t e l a t e l y t h a t w e h a v e n o t go t
a n E x p e d i t i o n a r y F o r c e t h a t w e c o u ld s e n d a w a y t o F r a n c e
i f F r a n c e n e e de d i t Th e S e c r e t a r y fo r W a r c o u ld n o t
a n d w e k n ow
e v e r yb o dy k n o w s
a n s w e r t h a t qu e s t i o n
w e c o u l d n o t a ffo r d t o s e n d t h a t E x p e d i t i o n a r y F o r c e a w a y
i f E n gl a n d a n d F r a n c e w e r e e n g a g e d in a w a r a g a i n s t s o m e
I s ay t h a t i s a v e r y d a n g e r o u s p o s i t i o n W e a r e
on e e lse
m e t a ph o r i c a ll y t o s e ll o u r f r i e n ds T h e y a r e t o l oo k a f t e r
o u r e n o r m o u s i n t e r e s t s i n t h e M e d i t e r r a n e an b e c a u s e w e
a s k t he
Ar e
we
23 9
H ow D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
c a n n o t h av e a e e t t h e re W h a t a r e w e g o i n g t o do fo r
F r a n c e ? I t m a y b e v e ry d i s a g r ee a b l e b u t w e a r e li a b l e
w i t h t h e se e n t e n t e s a n d a lli a n c es W h e n w e h a d c o mm a n d
o f t h e se a a n d t r u s t e d t o o u r o w n r i gh t h a n ds w e w a n t e d
n o e n t e n t es a n d a lli a n c e s a n d t he B r i t i s h F l e e t w as a f a c t o r
.
for p e ace f
Yes i nd e ed : a n d Lo r d C ha r le s B e re s fo r d wa s no t
a lo n e in c a sting b a ck a gla n c e t o the d ays o f
B r i ta in s sp l e n d i d i solati o n
Th e r e we r e ma n y m e n
w h o h e a r tily d i slik e d t h e i n t e r n ati o n al p r o sp e ct bu t
o n r e e ct i o n th e y c o n s o le d th e ms e lv e s with the a s
su r a nc e s s o o ft e n giv e n by t h e P r i m e M ini ste r a n d
the Fo re i gn Se cr e ta r y th a t w e w e r e un d e r n o obliga
t i o n to giv e a rme d sup po rt to F r an c e o r Ru ssi a
I n th e C ommo n s S i r M a rk Syk e s a n d M r H e rb e rt
d el i v e r e d sp e e che s full o f fo r e bo d ing a s to Ru ssi an
i nu e n c e a n d a sp i r ati on Wh e n t h e q u esti on o f
t r o op s fo r U lst e r wa s rai s e d C o lon e l B u rn a ske d t h e
GE R M ANY S SPE C I A L AI M
23 1
Th e Engli sh
strengt h with u S
B e rnha r d i sa i d
G ove r nm e nt k n ows w e ll tha t G e rm any ca n no t thi n k
o n h e r s i d e o f a tta ck i n g Engla n d b e cau s e su ch a n
a tt e mp t i s in i ts e l f hop e l e ss
Fu rth e r mo r e i n th e
r e p o rt s e n t i n t h e summ e r o f 1 9 1 3 f r om B e r lin to
M P i cho n t h e th e n F r e n ch M i n ist e r fo r Fo re i gn
A ff a i rs (s e e N o 5 i n F r e n c h Y e llow B o ok ) w e a re
tol d :
,
h a rdl y li k e l y t h at G e r m an y w ill t ak e t he r i s k i f
F r a n c e ca n m a ke i t c l e a r t o t h e w o r l d t h a t t he E n t en t e
C o r d i a l e a n d t he Ru s s i a n Alli a n ce a re n o t m e r e l y di p l o m a t i c
c t i o n s bu t r e a li t i e s wh i ch e xi s t a n d w ill m a k e t h e m s e l v e s
f e l t The E n g lis h e e t i n s pi r es a w h o les o m e t e r r o r I t i s
w e ll k n o w n h o w e v e r t h a t v i c t o r y o n s e a w il l l e a v e e v e ry
t h i n g in s u s p e n s e
O D l a n d a l on e ca n a de c i s i v e i ss ue he
ob tain e d
I t is
H OW
23 2
D I P LO M AT S MA KE WA R
u ra l an d polit i ca l b e ar i n gs a n d i n u e n ce w i th the
G e rm any
Eu rop e i s n o t b ig e nough fo r b o th
GE R MANY S H O M E AFFAI RS
23
stronghol ds
M o reov e r t h e p roblem o f t h e u n e m
p loy e d ta x e d the w i t o f t h e bu r e au crats at h e a d qu a r
t e rs to the utmost ; a n d d u r ing t h e wi n te r o f 1 9 1 3
th e y d i d no t kn ow how to gra ppl e e ffe ct i v e ly with
it
G e rm any was fa c e d with a n o th e r wint e r o f still
gr e at e r tra d e d e p r e ss io n a n d t h e p os iti o n m ay b e
i m ag i n e d by wha t t h e B e r li n e r Ta g e b la t t s a i d th e n
ab ou t u n e mp loym e nt :
Thi ngs a r e t h e s am e a ll
ov e r the Emp i r e Wh o e v e r l o o ks ab ou t ou r b u i l d
i ng p la ces f a cto r i e s o ffi ces a n d pub li c bu s i n e ss e s
know s that wo rk i s o ft e n go i n g o n o n ly a t h al f
p ow e r
th a t i s whe r e i t h a s n o t c e a s e d a ltog e th e r
A t t h e p r e s e n t m om e nt d i sm i s s als n o t o n ly o f o r
d in a r y wo rkm e n bu t a ls o o f cl e r ks a n d o th e r e m
ploy s a r e mo r e num e rou s th a n p r ob ably a t a n y
tim e i n t h e p a st
P r i c e s w e r e r i s i n g hi gh e r a n d
high e r ; d i scont e nt w a s growing in e v e ry d istri ct ;
e n e my a t hom e to u s e P r i n c e H e n r y o f
a n d the
P r us s i a s p hra s e fo r So c i a l D e mo cra cy w e r e ex
t r e m e ly restl e ss
Fu rtherm o r e t h e d i sl i k e o f P ru ss i a n a rrogan c e
o n t h e p a rt o f t h e s outh e rn G e rm a n S ta t e s h a d b e e n
g r ow i ng i n i n t e n s i ty s i nc e t h e d ays o f P r i n c e H o
B a va ri a wa s not s e e i n g e ye to e ye with
h e n lo h e
P r us s i a i n t h e a ll m i lita r y amb iti on s o f the K a i s e r
The re wa s no t that una n i mi ty i n t h e Emp i r e th a t
s om e wri ters b el i e v e ; a n d i n m a n y small S tat e s th e r e
wa s grav e d iscont e nt wh e n t h e n e w taxati o n f o r
m i li ta ry p u rp ose s wa s imp o se d n o t s o l o n g a g o
S a x ony W ii r t t e m b e r g a n d B ava r i a w e r e n o t h appy
u n d e r P r u s s i a n ru l e ; th e y h a d l o st mu ch o f th e i r in
d iv i du a li ty the i r amb i ti o n s a n d cha ra ct e r i st i cs in t h e
co n f e d e ra t i o n
Th e r e may b e m o r e tha n a fe w w h o
l i ve i n th e s e sm aller S tat e s who will not sp e n d m a n y
.
23
H OW
d ays i n
D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
P ru ss i a
mou rni n g i f
st r uggl e
L e t us fo r a moment lo ok a t t h e te rr i to r i al qu es
t i on All imp er i a l amb i ti on o n t h e C onti n e n t must
h av e a west e r n go al
G e rm any with a p opulatio n
of
n d s h e r way blo ck e d by Hollan d
with a hom e p opul ati on o f only
an d
col o n i e s co n ta ini n g ov e r
squ a r e m i les ; n d s
h e r w ay blo ck e d b y B e lgium w i th a p opulati o n o f
a n d a ga i n
n d s he r way blo ck e d by
F r anc e w i th a p opu lati o n o f
Th e s e
count r i e s stan d i ng i n t h e w ay o f h e r w e stwar d p r og
r e ss all hav e fa r sup e ri o r m a r i tim e a d va n ta g e s ; b e
si d e s G e r ma n y h a s n o outl e t to t h e M e d i te rra ne an
H e r g e og r a ph i cal p ositi on fo r a gre a t ma r iti m e
p ow e r i s n o t d ig n i e d ; s o G e r m a n op i n i o n ha s o ft e n
s ai d I n d e e d i t ha s b e e n p oint e d ou t by gr e at m e r
cha n ts in a rt i cl e s o n th i s m atte r tha t i nt e rnat i onal
j us ti c e wh a t e v e r th at m ay b e i s no t m e te d out to
G e r m any fo r h e r gi ganti c d e velopm e nt in s hip s a n d
s e a bo r n e comm e rc e
Th e G e rm a n says
You p e o
p le d o n t k n ow what w e hav e d o n e ; we hav e two
li n e s t h e Hamb u r g Am e r i ca n a n d t h e N o rth Ge r
m an Lloy d with a to n na g e o f ov e r
To thi s t h e G e rm a n thi n ks t h e gr e a t w e st e rn n atio n s
r e ply
Bu i l d you r Va t e r la n d s in the B alti c a n d b e
c o nt e n t with H ambu rg a n d B rem e n fo r you r p o rts
th o ugh you h ave to sp e nd a n e xt r a day i n g e tting to
the Atlant i c D on t com e b oth e r i n g us w i th you r
wo r ri e s
Nev e rth el e ss i t i s j ust a s well th e se na
ti o n s shou l d r e ali z e t he Va t e r la n d i s typi ca l o f G e r
many s amb itio n
She wa s bu ilt fo r t h e we st C on
s i de r G e r m a n y s di s a d va n tage s those un d e r whi ch
s h e mu st comp e te , a nd t hen t h i n k o f the re ce nt r i s e
.
A GLI M P SE O F F RAN CE
23
w e st e r n ma r iti m e n ati o ns s ay
Wha t w e h av e we
hol d
G e r ma n y r e pli e s
Th e n w e mu st have a
l o ok at y o u r ti tl e de e d s fo r Ru ssi a i n t e n d s to hav e
a l o ok at ou r s
Th e p o siti o n i n F r a n ce wa s ch a oti c e nough t o ln
sp i r e t h e Ka i s e r with h o p e o f ta ckli n g Ru ssi a with
o u t e ffe ctiv e F r e n ch a i d
I t i s how e v e r no t lik e ly
th a t t h e Ka i s e r a cc e pt e d a ll t h e stat e ments o f t h e
g o ssip s a s t o F r e n ch u n p r e p a r e dn e ss T r u e th e r e
w e r e t h e rev e la ti o n s in th e F r e nch S e nat e and t h e
ca m p a ig n a ga i n st t h e n e w co n s cript i o n laws
Ce r
t a i n ly Fra n c e wa s looki n g fo rwa r d to b i gg e r str i k e s
tha n th o s e s h e h a d l e ft b e hin d Ne w co n script i on
l aws m ight h e lp t o ave rt i n dust r i a l catastrophes
suc h a s th a t whi ch th r e at e n e d Fr a nc e in B r i a n d s
d a y ; bu t o n t h e o th e r ha n d l a bou r wa s m aki n g ce r
ta i n that i n t h e fu tu r e n o st r ik e woul d go o ff a t hal f
co ck Jau r e s w a s a p ow e r fo r p e a c e a n d a lways a n
outsp ok e n c r iti c o f F r e nch f o r e i gn p ol i cy I t w a s
Jau r e s mo r e tha n a n y o n e w h o b rought ab ou t t h e
d ow n fall o f D e lca ss e i n 1 9 0 5
I taly wa s suffe r i n g f r om a most u np opula r wa r i n
A f r i ca Th e r e w e r e s ca n d a ls connecte d with m i li
ta ry a dmi nistrat i on ; th e unp r e p a redness o f the a rmy
O
23
H OW
D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
The M a r qu i s di S an G i u li an o
ve n i n g
s p o ke t o
e
an d
me
s aw
o f t he
u rn e d t o R o m e t h i s
h i m i mm e d i a t e l y a f t e r h is a r r i v al H e
co n t e n ts o f t he Au s t r i an n o te a n d a s
re t
ITALY
P LAY I N G S AFE
23
m e t h a t h e h a d h a d n o p re v i ous k n o w l e dg e o f t h e m
wh a t e v e r H e w as w e ll a w a r e t h a t t he n ot e w as t o b e
v i go r o u s a n d e n e rg e t i c i n ch a ra c t e r, bu t h e h a d n o i de a
I as k e d h i m i f i t w a s t r u e ,
t h a t i t c o u l d t a k e s uch a f o r m
a s i s s t a t e d i n c e r t a i n n e w s p a p e r s , t h a t i n t h i s c o n n e xi o n
u re d
h e h a d e x p r e s s e d i n V i e n n a a pp r o v a l o f A u s t r i a n a c t i o n ,
an d had g i ve n
t h e a s s u r a n c e t h a t I t a ly w o u l d fu l l h e r
d u t i e s a s a n a ll y t o w a r ds Au s t r i a
H e r e p li e d , I n n o w ay
h a v e w e b e e n co n s u l t e d ; w e h a v e b e e n t o ld n o t h i n g wh a t
e ve r
W e h a v e t h e r e f o r e h a d n o r e as o n t o m a k e a n y co m
m u n i ca t io n o f t h i s n a t u re i n V i en n a
.
23
H ow D I P LO M ATS MA KE WAR
p o rt in a n o ff ens i v e w a r s he dec i de d to m ak e a
s e v e nth aga i n st h e r fo rm e r all i es a n d j o i n e d i n the
a n i ty
r i ca d e s on M on d ay
w i th y e lls o f D own w i th t h e
G o v e r nment ! a n d sol i d a r i ty on Tu e s d ay with hal
le lu j a h s o f
Fre e dom fo r Slavs !
A ch ange s o
el e ctr i c a l th a t i t complet e ly p a raly z e d t h e French
F ro m str i k e s such a s Ru ss i a h a d neve r kn own to
one compl e te a ccor d i n t wenty fou r hou rs wa s o n e
o f the most myste r i ous conj u r i ng tr i cks a ny g o v e r n
m e nt ev e r a ccompl i sh e d w i th a p eopl e N o one i n
w e ste rn E u rop e b el i eve d the Li ttle Fathe r and the
,
A KALE I D OSC O PI C TU R N
23
H OW D I PLO M ATS M A KE WA R
24o
B r i ta i n i n ou r fath e rs t i m e Ge rm a ny kn e w that
i t w a s p r e d i ct e d th a t t h e Sla v woul d b e a ll re a dy i n
1 9 1 6 t o t r y co n clus i o n s w i t h h e r
Who w o ul d a t
t e mp t t h e ta sk o f t r yi n g to co n v i nc e G e rm a n a n d
Au st r i a n d iploma cy tha t Rus si a d iploma cy w a s not
a t t h e b a ck o f t h e G r e a t e r S e rv i a n p r o p a ga n d a ? I t
i s a ll v e r y w e ll to c o n c e n tra t e publ i c att e n t i o n o n t h e
task th at l i e s b e fo r e B r ita i n now but s om e o n e mu st
t h i n k o f w h a t t h e futu r e i s to b e An d i t i s no t
wi s e to h i d e t h e d i plom at i c w e lter b e hi n d thi s b u s i
n e s s from t h e p eop l e who a re supp os e d
by sho r t
s ight e d j ou r n ali sts a n d p oliti ci a ns to p a ss fr o m i t
into an e r a o f p e a c e a n d m ilk a n d hon e y Al i so n
tol d u s long a go that t h e c i vi li z at i on o f w e ste rn E u
r op e mu st n ally fall b e fo r e t h e f r e sh v i gou r o f t h e
r u d e but m ighty h o r d e s o f Ru ssi a a n d n o rth e rn Asi a
N i e t z sch e t o o wa s co n s c i ou s o f that p rob ab ili t y
All h i gh ly i n dustri ali z e d c i v i l i z a ti o n s mu st i n the
l o ng ru n go u n d e r t o milli o n s o f p a sto rali sts I t i s
not s o long s i n c e d e e ply r e li giou s m e n a n d wom e n
i n B ri ta i n p ray e d e a r n e stly t o b e p rot e ct e d f r om t h e
p ow e r o f Ru ss i a Th e Ru ssi a o f Tolstoy a n d o f
D osto e vsky i s no t t h e Ru ss i a we hav e to f e a r o r
I t i s t h e Ru ss i a o f g r a n d
t h e o n e G e r m a n y f e a rs
d uk e s e xpl o iti n g n a n ci e r s corrupt bu r e aucrats a n d
a d iploma cy which a ims a t Sla v d omi n atio n i n C en
tra l Eu r op e !
Now t o lo ok i nto t h e Wh i te Pap e r and try to u n
r av e l t h e m a z e o f d i p loma t i c e n ta n gl em ents
Th e
Au str i a n a r ch duk e w a s mu r d e r e d at S e r aj e vo Jun e
2 8 th
Th e r e follow e d a strang e d iplomat i c s i l e nc e
fo r th r e e w e e ks Th e r s t d e sp atc h in the Whit e
P ap e r i s d at e d July 2 o t h a n d i t wa s s e n t by S i r E d
war d G r e y to o u r amb a ssa d o r a t B e r l i n not Vi enn a
.
24 1
b e e n re ce i ve d
N ow le t u s s ee wh e r e w e a re Th e sp e c i a l e e t
m o b i li z ati o n to ok pla c e o n Ju ly 1 3 th I n d e sp atch
No 6 6 F r e n ch Y e llow B o o k M d e Fle u r i a u
F r e n ch c ha r g e d a ffa i r e s a t Lo n d o n i n fo r m e d h i s
G ov e r n m e n t o n July 2 7 t h th at :
,
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pon em e n t
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on
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att t
of
t he
f G r e a t B r i t a i n is c o n r m e d by t h e
d e m o b iliz a t i o n o f th e F l e e t
Th e
d o f t h e Ad m i r a l t y
h is o w n i n i t i a t i v e
t oo
k t h i s m e as u r e qu i e t l y
on
p ost
F i rs t
F r i da y
H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
24 2
a s t h e Ti m e s o f that d a y s a i d
a w e lcom e e a r n e st
o f o u r i n t e n ti o n to b e r e a d y fo r a n y c o u r s e whi ch
m an amb assa d or
a g r e e d wh o l e h e a r t e d ly in t h i s
s en tim en t
O n t h e 2 3 r d Si r E d wa r d s aw Cou nt
M e n s d o r ff a n d l e a r n e d fr om him tha t all w o ul d d e
p e n d u p on Russ i a bu t tha t h e wa s u n d e r t h e i m p r e s
si o n that t h e a ttitu de i n P e t e r sbu r g h a d n o t b e e n
favou r abl e r e c e ntly Th e Au str i a n n ot e to S ervi a
w a s publi sh e d on t h e 2 4 th
The d e sp a tch o f Ju ly 2 4 t h fro m P e tersbu r g N o
6 i n t h e Wh i t e Pap e r i s a d o cum e nt o f gr e a t sig
n i ca n ce
O u r amb as sa d o r i n th i s d esp atch s ays tha t
M S a z o n o f t h e Ru ssi a n M i n ist e r fo r Fo r e i g n A f
fa i r s sai d som e o f Aust r i a s d e man d s w e r e quit e im
po ssibl e o f a cc e ptance H e hop e d that t h e B r i ti s h
G ov e r nm e n t wou ld n o t fa i l to p r o cl a im th e i r soli d a r
Th e F r e n ch amb a ssa
i ty w i th Rus si a a n d F r a n c e
do r a t t h e sa m e tim e told ou r r e p r e s e n ta t i v e tha t
,
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2 43
24 th
t ha t t h e g e n e r a l Eu r op e a n qu esti o n w a s i n
volv e d t h e S e rvi a n qu e st i o n b e i n g bu t a p a rt o f t h e
T hi
s e n t en
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c h P r i d t a d th e P i d t f t h e C ou n c il f
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! U I S CU STO DI ET C U S TO DE S ?
amb a ssa d o r at
le a r n :
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2 5 th ,
July
No
245
1 7,
we
my e x p re ss i n g t he e a r n e s t h o p e t h a t Ru ss i a w ou l d
n o t p r e c i p i t a t e w a r by m o b ilizi n g u n t il yo u
(S i r E dw a r d
G r e y ) h a d h a d t i m e t o u s e y o u r i n u e n ce i n f a v o u r o f
p e a c e h is E x c e ll e n cy (Ru s s i a n M i n i s t e r fo r F ore i g n Af
f a i rs ) as s u r e d m e t h a t Ru s s i a h a d n o a gg re ss i v e i n t e n t i on s
a n d s h e w o u l d t a k e n o a c t i o n u n t il i t w a s f o r c e d o n h e r
Au s t r i a s a c t i o n w as i n r e a li t y d i r e c t e d a g a i n s t Ru s s i a S he
a i m e d a t o v e r t h r o w i n g t h e p r e s e n t s t a t u s q u o i n t h e B a lk a n s
a n d e s t a b li s h i n g h e r o w n h e g e m o n y t h e re
H e d i d n o t be
li e v e t h a t G e r m a n y re a ll y w a n t e d w a r b u t he r a t t i t u de w a s
d e c i de d by o u rs
I f w e to o k o u r s t an d r m l y w i t h F r an c e
a n d R u ss i a t h e r e w o u l d b e n o w a r
I f w e f a il e d t h e m n ow
r i v e rs o f b l oo d w o u l d ow
a n d w e w o u l d in t he e n d be
d r a gg e d i n t o t he w a r
I s a i d t h a t E n g l an d w o u l d p l a y
t h e r Ole o f m e d i a t o r a t B e r li n a n d V i e n n a t o b e t t e r pu r p os e
a s f r i e n d w ho
i f he r c o u n se l s o f m o de r a t i o n w e re d is r e
g a r de d m i gh t o n e d ay b e c o n v e r t e d i n t o a n a ll y t h a n i f
w e re t o de c l a re h e rs e l f Ru ss i a s a ll y a t o n c e H is
S he
E x c e ll e n cy s a i d t h a t u n f o r t u n a t e l y G e r m a n y w as c o n v i n c e d
I s a i d a ll I c o u l d
t h a t s h e c o u l d c o u n t o n o u r n e u t r a li t y
t o i mp r es s p r u de n c e o n t he M i n i s t e r fo r F o r e i g n A ff a i r s
Ge r m an y w o u l d
a n d w a r n e d h i m t h a t i f Ru s s i a m o b iliz e d
n o t b e c o n t e n t w i t h m e re m o b iliz a t i o n
o r g i v e Ru s s i a t i m e
t o c a r r y o u t h e r s b u t w o u l d p ro b a b l y d e c l a r e w a r a t o n c e
On
H ow D I P L O M ATS M A KE WAR
24 6
247
S e c re t a r y o f S t a t e s a i d t h a t a s ye t Au s t r i a w as o n l y
p a r t i a ll y m o b ilizi n g b u t t h a t i f Ru s s i a m o b i liz e d a g a i n s t
G e r m a n y l a t t e r w o u ld h a v e t o f o l lo w s u i t I a s k e d h i m
wh a t he m e a n t by m o b i lizi n g a g a i n s t G e r m an y
H e s aid
t h a t i f Ru ss i a o n l y m o b i liz e d i n t he s o u t h G e r m an y w o u l d
n o t m o b i liz e b u t i f S h e m o b iliz e d i n n o r t h
Ge r m an y w o u l d
h a v e t o d o s o t o o a n d Ru s s i a n s ys t e m o f m o b iliz a t i o n w a s
s o c o mp li c a t e d t h a t i t m i gh t b e d i i cu lt e x a c t l y t o l o c a t e he r
m o b iliz a t i on G e r m a n y w o u l d t h e re f o re h a v e t o b e v er y
c a re fu l n ot t o be t a k e n by s u rp r i s e
24 8
H ow D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
G e r m a n a m b as s a do r h a s i n f o r m e d m e t h a t G e r m a n
G ov e rn m e n t a cc e p t i n p r i n c i p l e m e di a t i o n b e t we e n Au s t r i a
t he i r
o f c o u rs e
r es e r v i n g
an d Ru s s i a by t h e f o u r P o w e r s
H e ha s al s o
r i gh t a s an a ll y t o h e l p Au s t r i a i f a t t a ck e d
b ee n i n s t ru c t ed t o r e qu e s t me to u s e i n u en c e in S t P e te rs
,
S I R E DWA R D I N THE T O I L S
bu r g t o l o c a liz e
Eu r o p e
the
an d
w ar
to
up
ke ep
th e
24 9
p e ace
Wh e th e r t h e i n fo rmat i on ten d e r e d b y t h e G e r ma n
amb assa d o r wa s to b e a cc e p t e d a s a n ho n e st e n
d e a v o u r o n G e rm a ny s p a rt to a ssis t i n k e e p i n g p e ac e
o r n o t i t w a s to o lat e to bring t h e co n f e r e nc e to w o r k
e ff e ctu a lly ; fo r Ru ss i a h a d th at d a y d e ci d e d that
d i r e ct conve r s ati o n b e tw e e n Vi e n n a a n d P e t e r sbu r g
shou l d b e th e m e tho d o f n d ing a s o luti o n B ut t h e
p r e ssu r e o f Fra n ce a n d R us si a wa s to o mu ch fo r t h e
B ri t i sh Fo r e ign Se cr eta ry What o u r a mb a ssa d o r
a t P et e rsbu rg to l d him o n t h e 2 4 th wa s t h e c h i e f
consi d e r ati on
n am e ly
B rit i s h s o li d a rity wit h
R u ss i a a n d F r a nc e
was b e gu n by him on t h e 2 7t h
t h e d a y he to l d t h e H ou s e o f C ommo n s tha t i t wa s
n e c e ss a r y i n th e i nte r e sts o f p e a c e to su sp e n d all
mi lita ry op e rat i ons p e n d i n g t h e r e s ult o f t h e co n f e r
e nce
Th e v e ry d a y h e u r g e d t h e G e rm an a mb a ssa
d o r to p r e s s fo r mo d e r ati o n o n Aust r i a s p a r t h e
s e n t th e f o llow i ng d e sp atch to ou r amb a ss a d o r at
Petersbu rg :
I h a v e b ee n t o l d by t he Ru s s i an a mb a ss a do r t h a t in
G e r m a n a n d Au s t r i a n c i r c l e s i mp r e s s i o n p re v a i ls t h a t i n
H is E x c e ll e n cy
a n y e v e n t w e (B r i t a i n ) w o u l d s t a n d a s i de
d e p l o r e d t he e ff e c t t h a t s uch a n i mp r e s s i on mu s t p r o duce
T h i s i mp re s s i o n o ugh t as I h av e p o i n t e d o u t t o be dis
p e lle d by t h e o r de r s w e h a v e g i v e n t o t h e F i rs t F l ee t wh i ch
i s c o n c e n t r a t e d a s i t h a pp e n s a t P o r t l a n d n o t t o d i s p e rs e
fo r m a n mu v r e l e a v e
B u t I e x p l a i n e d t o t h e Ru ss i an am
b a s s a do r t h a t my re f e re n c e t o i t mu s t n o t b e t a k e n t o m e a n
t h a t a n y t h i n g m o r e t h a n d i p l o m a t i c a c t i o n w as p ro m i s e d
O r d e rs w e r e i ssu e d to th e Fl e e t on t h e 2 5 th Th e
Sev e ral p a
t h i r d Fl e e t w a s mob i l i z e d o n th e 1 3 th
.
H OW
25o
D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
o f t h e M a d D og o f Eu r op e
Thes e a n d m a n y
stat e me n ts o f th e s am e ki n d w e r e m a d e a t the ou t
b r e ak o f hos ti liti e s N o one will wi sh to tak e o n e
b i t o f c r e d i t from M r C hu rchill fo r hi s c o u rag e
fo r e s ight a n d a d ministrativ e skill but h e r e we a r e
d e a li n g with d iploma cy a n d M r C hu r chill wa s Fi r st
L o r d o f t h e A d mi r a lty not Fo r e i g n S e c r e ta r y
Th e re fo r e wh e n S i r E d wa r d G r e y s e n t d e sp atch No
4 7 to P e t e rsbu r g t h e A d mi r alty i nt e n d e d Fra n c e
a n d Ru ss i a t o u n d e rsta n d that t h e B r i tis h Fle e t w a s
a ll fo r t h e soli d a r i ty o f t h e Ent e n t e Pow e rs n o mat
B ut t h e H ous e
t e r what t h e Fo r e i gn S e c r eta ry s a i d
o f Commons a s a whol e k n e w nothing ab ou t i t a t
attitu d e t o wa r d s Au st r i a
It
M S a z on o f s a i d
s e e ms to m e that Engla n d 18 ln a b e tt e r p os i ti on tha n
any oth e r P ow e r to m ak e anoth e r att e mpt at B e r li n
-
M A R K I N G TI M E
25 :
to i n du c e t h e G e r ma n Gov e r n m e nt to tak e t h e n e ce s
sa r y a cti o n
T h e r e i s n o d o ub t that t h e k e y o f t h e
s i t u a t i o n i s to b e f o u n d a t B e r lin
Ou r a mb a ss a d o r
a t P e t e r sbu r g sp o k e to M S a z o n o f o n t h e 2 7 t h a n d
l e a r n e d f r o m h im that h e r e qu i r e d Au st r i a to gu a r
a n t e e t h e i n t e g r ity o f S e r vi a a n d r e sp e ct h e r ri g h ts
a s a s o v e r e ig n S t at e Th e p o sition s e e m e d not h op e
l e ss h ow e v e r fo r o u r a mb ass a d o r a t Vi e n n a in d e s
p atch N o 5 6 t o l d Si r E d wa r d G r e y th at t he Russi a n
amb a ss a d o r at Vi e n n a h a d j us t r e tu rn e d from P e t e r s
bu r g a n d k n e w t h e vi e ws o f t h e Ru ss i a n Gov e r n
m e n t a n d t h e stat e o f Ru ss i a n publ i c op i ni o n :
d
mb as s a do r a t V i e n n a ) h a d j u s t h e a r d o f
a s a t i s f a c t o r y c o n v e r s a t i o n wh i ch t h e Ru s s i a n M i n i s t e r fo r
Fo r e i g n A ff a i rs h a d y e s t e r d a y w i t h t h e Au s t r i a n a mb as s a do r
at
P e t e r s bu r g
Th e f o r m e r a g r e e d t h a t much o f t he
Au s t r o Hu n g a r i a n n o t e t o S e rv i a h a d b e e n p e r f e c t l y r e a
s o n a b le ; a n d i n f a c t t h e y h a d p r a c t i c a ll y r e a ch e d a n u n d e r
s t a n d i n g a s t o t h e gu a r a n t e e s wh i ch S e r v i a m i g h t r e a s o n a b l y
b e a s k e d t o g i v e t o Au s t r i a H u n g a r y fo r h e r f u t u r e g o o d
be haviou r
He
(Ru s s i a n
So
the
t h e co n fli ct wh i ch tho s e
w e r e fo r
i n t h e k n ow
t h e m o st p a r t e ag e r t o b e gin
O n July 2 8 t h t h e
P r i m e M i n ist e r t o l d t h e H o u s e
Th e r e a r e n o n e w
d e v e l o pm e n ts su f ci e n tly d e n i t e to e n abl e a n y fu r
th e r s t a t e m e n t t o b e m a d e but w e h op e tha t n o u n
fav o u r abl e i n f e r e n c e will b e d r aw n f r o m th i s I ca n
not s a y m o r e
H e s a i d h e h a d no d e n i te i n fo r m a
.
H OW
25 2
D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
Th e m o v i ng o f the B r i t i sh Fl e e t stiffe n e d
g re s s o r s
t h e attitu d e o f Ru ss i a
a n d a ctio n on t h e p a r t o f
S e r vi a wa s a t n o tim e u n d e rtak e n with o u t t h e a d
vi c e o f Ru ssi a i f w e a r e t o b e li e v e a t e nth o f a ll t h e
ru mou rs whi ch ca m e su r gin g f r om t h e e a st d u r i n g
1
t h e r s t w e e ks o f t h e w a r
The s i n c e r ity o f G e r m any wa s qu e st i on e d in d e s
p atch N o 6 0 wh e n t h e G e r ma n S e c r e ta ry o f S tat e
r e fus e d to j o in t h e co n f e r e n c e o f t h e fou r P ow e r s a n d
a t t h e sam e ti m e s a i d h e d e s i re d to wo rk with B r ita i n
fo r t h e m a i n t e n a n c e o f g e n e r a l p e a c e Wh e r e w a s
t h e B r iti s h Fl e e t o n July 2 8 t h ?
D i d t h e acti o n o f
t h e A d mi ral t y i n sp i r e t h e G e r ma n Fo r e ig n O fce
with co n d e n c e in wo r ki n g with u s to m a i n ta i n the
g e n e r a l p e a c e ? Wh at o th e r e e t wa s th e r e i n t h e
No rth S e a tha t s o u r g e n tly r e qu i r e d t h e att e n t i on
o f ou r A d m i r alty o n July 2 7 t h ?
A n yway wh e th e r
G e r many tr i e d to i n flu e n c e Au st r i a alo n g t h e l i ne s
o f mo d e r at i on o r not o u r amb ass a d o r at Vi e n n a t e l e
p r e v e n t co n fl i ct
,
Th e fu tu r e o f
Y o u r M a J e s ty s g r a c
1
t e e gr a p
hd
e
to th e
S v i i cu
i u li c i tud
er
Cza r
so
se
e,
re
now
so
at
it is
P i n ce A l xa d
r
th e o b e t o f
er of
S vi
er
25 3
W ha t h a d ha pp e n ed to fo rc e Au str i a to d r op the
co n v e r s ations with Ru ss i a t h a t w e r e p rog r e ssi n g i n
P etersbu r g two o r th r e e d ays e a r li e r ? Tw o m a t
te rs o f V ital i mp o r ta nc e : o n e wa s t h e co n s i d e rati on
o f E nt e n t e s o l i d a r i ty which was i n d e e d o f fa r
gr e at e r co n s e qu e nc e to Ru ss i a th a n m e r e d iplom a ti c
a r m e d suppo rt ; a n d t h e s e c o n d w a s t h e ski r m i sh on
t h e D anub e wh e r e S e r vi a h a d b e e n the aggr e sso r
Wa r w a s d e cla r e d by Au st r i a o n S e r vi a t h at d a y
Th e n S i r E d wa r d G r e y d r opp e d hi s p r o p os a l o f a
co n f e r e n ce lik e a hot b r i ck a n d s e n t w o r d to the
B r i t i sh a mb a ss a d o r a t B e r li n th a t a s lo n g a s th e r e
i s a p r o sp e ct o f a d i r e ct e xchang e o f vi e ws b e tw e e n
Austri a a n d Ru ss i a I woul d susp e n d e v e r y oth e r sug
g e sti o n a s I e n ti r e ly a gr e e that i t i s t h e m o s t p r e f e r
Th e G e r m a n G o v e rn m e n t th e n
abl e m e tho d o f all
a cc e p t e d t h e p r i n cip l e o f m e d i ati o n b e tw e e n Au st r i a
a n d Ru ssi a by t h e fou r P owe r s ; bu t aga i n i t w a s to o
la t e fo r Russi a d e ci d e d t o is su e t h e I mp e r i a l uka s e
fo r mob ili z ati o n o n t h e 2 9 th without a n y aggr e ssiv e
i nt e n ti o n aga i n st G e r m a n y
Tha t s o t h e Ru ss i a n
M i n i st e r fo r Fo r e i g n Affa i r s i n fo r m e d t h e R u ssi a n
a mb a ss a d o r a t Lo n d o n p ut a n e n d to t h e i d e a o f
d i r e ct commu n i ca ti o n s b e tw e e n Au st r i a a n d Ru ss i a
Th e n t h e B r iti s h C ab i n e t wa s u rg e n tly d e si r e d to in
u e n ce Au stri a to su sp e n d mil i ta r y o p e r ati o n s a ga inst
S e r vi a
I t i s a ma z i ng how t he Cha n c e ll e r i e s l ab ou r w i th
chi l d l ik e d e c e pt i ven e ss t o c o v e r u p t h e wo r k o f the i r
a r me d supp o r t Russ i a b e gan m il i ta ry p r e p a r at i ons
o n t h e 2 5 t h a cco r d i n g to t h e C z a r bu t t h e mob ili z a
t i o n uka s e w a s no t i ssu e d u n ti l the 2 9 t h ; yet o n t h e
2 8 th
M S a z o n o f wa n t e d Au st r i a to su sp e n d h e r
m il i ta r y op e r a t i ons a ft e r S e rv i a h a d b e gun h o s t ili
,
H OW
25 4
D I P LO M ATS M A KE W A R
t i e s o n t h e 2 7 th Th e way t h e wo rl d h a s b e e n dup e d
by t h e p r e post e rous t e r mi n olo gy o f t h e Ch a n c e ll e ri e s
i s o n e o f th e won d e r s o f t h e a g e Why o n t h e
2 8 t h i t wa s k n ow n at t h e B e r li n Fo r e ig n O f ce that
Russi a h a d mob ili z e d fou r t e e n a rmy co rp s i n th e
sout h ; t h e G e rm a n Imp e r i a l C ha n c e llo r tol d ou r a m
b a s s a d o r that mu ch wh e n t h e latt e r t e l e grap h e d to
Si r E d wa r d G r e y t ha t hi s Au stri a n co ll e agu e s a i d
tha t a g e n e ra l wa r wa s mo st u n l i k e ly a s Ru ssi a
n e it h e r wa nt e d no r w a s i n a p os iti o n to m ak e w a r !
I f th e p e op l e o f Eu r op e will only a pply s o m e s e ns e
a n d un d e r sta n d i n g t o a stu d y o f t h e B ritis h Whit e
P a p e r th e y wi ll n d e vi d e n c e enoug h i n it to con d em n
e v e r y d ip l o m atist conc e rn e d
A g r e a t f e atu r e o f t h e syst e m o f e d u cat i o n e n
t e r e d o n b y o u r p r e ss i n t h e e a r ly stag e s o f t h e wa r
was the G e rm a n r e fu s a l to j o i n S i r E d wa r d G r e y s
co n f e r e nc e That wa s a gr e a t bla ck m a rk aga i n st
G e r ma n y
L e a r n f r o m d e sp atch N o 7 2 wh at o u r
amb ass a d o r at S t P e t e r sbu r g s a i d on t h e 2 8 th :
ti o n s
T h e n a ft e r R u ssi a i s su e d the mob ili z atio n
uka s e a n d Au st r i a h a d d e cla r e d w a r o n S e r v i a ou r
amb a ssa d o r a t Vi e n n a s e nt t h e follow i ng d esp atch
N o 74 :
.
Ru ss i a n a m b a ss a do r t h at t he R u s
G o v e r n m e n t s s ugg e s t i o n h a s b e e n de c li n e d by t h e
s i an
Au s t ro H u n g a r i a n Go v e rn m e n t Th e s ugg e s t i on w a s t o t h e
e ff e c t t h a t t h e m e a n s o f s e t t li n g t h e Au s t ro S e rv i a n c o n i c t
s h o u l d b e d i s cu s s e d d i r e c t l y b e t w e e n t h e Ru s s i a n M i n i s t e r
fo r F o re i g n A ff a i r s a n d t h e Au s t r i an a mb a ss a do r a t S t
am
i n f o rm e d by
the
RE ASONS
WAR
F OR
25 5
h o u l d be a u t h o r iz ed a cc o r di n g l y The
Ru ss i a n a mb a ss a d o r t h i n ks t h a t a c o n f e re n c e i n L o n don o f
t h e l e s s i n t e r e s t e d P o w e r s s uch as yo u h a v e p r o p ose d o ff e rs
n o w t h e o n l y p r os p e c t o f p r es e r v i n g p e a c e o f Eu r o p e
a n d he
i s s u r e t h a t t he Ru s s i a n G o v e r n m e n t w i ll a cqu i e s c e w illi n g l y
i n y o u r p r o p os a l
So l o n g a s o pp o s i n g a r m i e s h av e n o t a c t u
a ll h Op e n ee d n o t be a b a n do n e d
a ll y c o m e i n c o n t a c t
P e t e rs b u r g
w ho
i t is tru e
F a r m o r e tha n that wa s t r u e ; t h e B ri t
i sh Fl e e t wa s th e n a long long w ay fro m T i pp e ra r y
Ye t
H OW
25 6
D I P LO M ATS MA KE WAR
Anyway Ru ssi an o fc e rs l e ft Sw i t z e rl an d a s e a r ly
a s July I 5 th
I t wa s o n July 2 8 th that t h e royalt i e s b ega n to
tak e a h a n d a t tel e gr aphi n g Th e Ka i s e r s e n t a
m e ssa ge to h i s d e vot e d f r i e n d a n d cous i n N i chola s
s ayi n g
R e m e mb e r ing t h e h e arty fri e n d s h ip whi ch
fo r long h a d b ou n d u s two s e cu r e ly tog e th e r I a m
t h r owing t h e whol e o f my i n flu e nc e i n t o t h e s ca l e to
i n du c e Au st r i a Hungary to s e e k fo r a n op e n a n d s at
I con d e n tly
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p e a ce a n d fo r t h i s pu r p o s e a r e k e e p i n g i n clo s e tou ch
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N ow wh e n t h e Fo r e ig n S e c r e ta r y t o l d t h e H ou s e
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g i v e you n ow e x a c t i n s t r uc t i o n s a s t o t he s t e p s t o b e t a k e n
by yo u i f t he p ro s p e c t o f a F r a n c o G e r m a n W a r b e c a m e
m o re t h r e a t e n i n g
In
T h i s from t h e B e lgi a n Fo r e ig n M i n i st e r t h e d a y
b e fo r e S e r vi a r e pli e d to t h e Aust r i a n n o t e ; a n d t w o
d ays b e f o r e Si r E d war d G r e y p r op os e d t h e C o n f e r
I t s e e ms i n c r e d ibl e Th e
e n c e o f t h e fou r P ow e rs
B e lgi a n G ov e r n m e nt o n Ju ly 2 4 t h a n ti ci p at e d a
F r a n c o G e r m a n wa r ; a n d b e gan to m ak e p r e p a r a
ti o n s fo r i t o n t h e v e r y d a y R u ss i a s ta r t e d to m o b i
li z e a n d two d ays b e f o r e t h e r st publi c o r de r to t h e
B r iti sh Fl e e t wa s i ssu e d
I f w e a r e t o b e li e v e a ll th a t ha s b e e n s a i d o f t he
h ighly e fc i e n t spy sys t e m o f t h e G e r ma n G o v e rn
m e n t i t n e e d s n o st r e tch o f t h e imag i n ati o n t o
su sp e ct tha t by Ju ly 2 9 t h t h e G e r m a n C h a n c e l
lo r k n e w p r e tty w e ll h o w thi n gs w e r e with all
Th e r e
t h e Gov e r n me n ts o f t h e E n t e n t e P ow e r s
i n fa
f o r e to u n d e r sta n d t h e i n wa r d n e ss o f t h e
mou s p rop o s al
i n d e sp atch N o 8 5 i t i s a b s o
lu t e ly n e c e ssa ry to b e i n p o ss e ss i o n o f a t l e ast
t h e fa cts s e t d own abov e
B e s i d e s t h e Ru ss i a n o f
ci a l r e po r t t e lls u s th a t t h e R u ssi a n amb ass a d o r a t
Lo n d o n h a d h e a r d f r om S i r E d wa r d G r e y o n July
2 7t h ; that h e h a d t ol d the Germa n amb a s s a dor that
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i f Aust r i a w e r e to b e g i n h ost i l i t i e s in s p i t e o f th e
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i n g S e r vi a
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Th e G e r m a n C h a n c e ll o r mu st h av e k n o w n what Ru s
s ia n mob ili z ati o n r e ally m e a n t a n d how tha t a ffe ct e d
F r a n c e a n d B e lgiu m A n yway t h e te rms o f the
F r a n c o Ru ss ia n Alli anc e w e r e n o t h i d d e n f r o m h i m ;
a n d a s e a r ly a s t h e 2 o t h h e mu st h av e gu e s s e d w h at
w a s in t h e mi n d o f F r a n c o Russi a n ci r cl e s i n P e t e r s
bu rg wh e n a cc o r d i n g t o R e ut e r s c or r e spo n d e n t a t
t h e st a t e b anqu e t t h e to a sts impli e d t h e supp o r t o f
E n gla n d Th e G e r m a n C ha n c e llo r m i ght b e a s
wi ck e d a d ipl o m a t i st a s th e r e i s in Eu r op e t o d a y ;
h e might h av e k n o w n t h e t e r m s o f t h e Aust r i an n ot e ;
he mi ght b e t h e mo st co lo ssal li a r to b e fou nd a t any
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D I P LO M AT S MA KE WA R
mb as sy ; bu t h e wa s not qu i t e so gre a t a fo o l a s
tho s e w h o b e l i ev e tha t t h e who le st o ry o f th i s a ffa i r
i s co n ta i n e d i n t h e B ri tish Whit e P ap e r
I s i t to b e i magi n e d th at t h e G e rm a n m i l i ta ry a u
t h o r i t i e s d i d no t know a s much a s M r Am e ry d i d
w h e n h e sp ok e i n the d e b at e i n th e H ou s e o f Com
mons on July 4 t h 1 9 1 2 ? B li n ki n g wh e n e v e r a fact
aga i n st ou r d iplom a cy has to b e fa c e d will not h e lp
t h e p e op le o f B r ita i n o r E u r op e to r o o t ou t th e aw fu l
c a n ce r w h i ch l i e s a t t h e b a s e o f a ll the e v i l syst e m
o f d iplom a cy B y shutting o n e s eyes to facts some
men m ay d o loya l se r vi c e to a p a rty o r a G ov e rn
m ent ; but t h e tim e i s come wh e n a h i gh e r st a n d a r d
o f p olit i ca l li f e i s calle d fo r Th e r e fo re i n g e tt i n g
a t t h e i nwa r d n e ss o f t h e i n fam o u s p r op os al we
mu st r e ga r d i t a s the d e s i r e o f a d e sp e rat e d iplom a
t i s t h e mm e d i n
ho i st i f you lik e by h i s own p e
ta rd to kn ow t h e wo rst hi s Gov e r n m e n t h a d to
cop e w i th Th e t i m e h a d com e fo r h i m to t e st the
B r i t i sh d i plomati c po s i t i o n
S i r E dwa r d G r e y wa s in p o ss e ss i o n o f a ll th e se
fa cts whe n h e sp o k e to t h e Hou s e o n July 3 o t h
Th e n e xt d a y th e Pr i me M in i st e r m a d e a statement
a ft e r bu s i n e ss :
e
W e h a v e j u s t h e a r d n o t f r o m S t P e t e rs b u r g b u t
f r o m G e r m a n y t h a t Ru s s i a h as p ro c l a i m e d a g e n e ra l
m o b iliz a t i o n o f h e r Ar my a n d F l e e t a n d t h a t in c o n s e qu en c e
o f t h is
m a r t i a l law w a s t o be p ro c l a i m e d fo r G e rm a n y
W e u n de rs t a n d t h i s t o m e a n t h a t m o b iliz a t i on w ill f o ll ow i n
G e rm a n y i f t he Ru ss i a n m o b i liz a t i o n i s g e n e r a l a n d is p r o
cee de d w i t h
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a n s w e r a n y q u e s t i o n s t ill M o n d a y n e x t
Up w e n t t h e s ig n b o a r d Not in t h e publ i c i nt e r
WHAT
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2 69
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m a cy tra n slat e d i n to p la i n E n glish m e ant Fra nc e
th r o u gh h e r a gr e e m e n t with R u ss i a mu st ght wh e n
t r o ub l e a ros e b e twe e n G e r m a ny a n d Ru ssi a th e r e
f o r e B e lgium mu st b e p r e pa r e d fo r he r t e r rit o r y
wou l d b e com e t h e b attl e g r ou n d o f th e o p e ratio n s i n
the w e st ; a n d B r itai n b e cau s e o f h e r s e cr e t u n d e r
stan d i ng w i th Fra n c e a n d B e lg i um mu st h a st e n to
th e i r a ssi sta n c e W e w e r e fo r goo d o r fo r e v i l e n
ga ge d i n a C o n tin e nta l syst e m S i r E dwa rd G r e y
h a d w a rn e d t h e G e r ma n a mb a ss a d o r o n the 2 9 t h
that h e d i d n o t w i sh him to b e m isl e d by t h e f r i e n d ly
tone o f ou r conv e rs a t io n i n to think i ng t ha t w e shoul d
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t o t h e Au s t r o H u n g a r i a n G o v e r n m e n t a g a i n s t a c t i n g i n a
m a n n e r c a l cu l a t e d t o p r o v o k e a Eu r o p e a n w a r U n fo r tu
ma t e l y t h e G e r m a n a mb a s s a do r i s h i m s e l f s o i de n t i e d w i t h
S e r v i a n f e e li n g p re v a l e n t i n
e x t r e m e a n t i Ru s s i a n a n d a n t i
V i e n n a t h a t he is u n li k e l y t o p l e a d t he c a u s e o f p e a c e w i t h
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July 2 9 th t h e G e rma n a mb a ssa d o r a t P e t e rsb u rg
t e l e grap h e d t o B e r li n that t h e Vi e n na C ab i n e t h a d
s e n t a n e gat i v e r e ply to t he w i sh e xp r e ss e d by the
Ru ss i a n Gove rnm e nt to e nter i nto d i r e ct n e got i at i ons
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27 1
B E R LI N
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k n o w n t h e Au st r i a n M i n ist e r f o r Fo r e ig n Affa i r s
t o l d t h e G e r ma n a m b a ssa d o r th e r e h a d i n d e e d b e e n
a m i su n d e r sta n d i n g but t h at i t h a d b e e n e xp la in e d
a n d t h e Au st r i an amb a ssa d o r a t P e t e rsbu r g h a d a l
r e a d y r e c e iv e d i n st r u cti o n s to b e gi n n e goti a ti o n s with
M Saz on o f
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u n d e r sta n d i n gs M S a z o n o f w o ul d n o t a n d cou l d n o t
s t op m o b ili z i n g H e w a s r e a d y t o m e e t Au st r i a
ma k e a n d r e mak e fo r mul a s but a ll th e se e xp e d i e n ts
ca r r i e d n o c o n vi c t i o n at Vi e n n a o r B e r li n s o lo n g a s
Rus si a n m o b i li z ati o n w a s co n ti n u e d P o o r M
S a z o n o f ! h e w a s n o t i n t h e p o siti on o f ou r F o r e i gn
S e c r e ta r y w h o w a s r e ga r d e d by Lo r d Ha l d a n e a s
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B e r li n to imp r e s s o n S i r E dwa r d G r e y t h e d i fculty
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D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
o f G e r ma n y s positi o n in vi e w o f Ru ss i an mob i l i z a
ti o n a n d t h e m ili ta r y m e a su r e s whi ch h e h e ar d w e r e
b e i n g tak e n in F r a n c e O n ly ofc e r s o n l e ave h a d
b e e n r e call e d ; n othing sp e ci a l d on e in t h e way o f m i li
ta r y p r e p a r a ti o n s B u t
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t h e y mobili z e d th e y woul d h av e to mob i li z e o n th r e e
s i d e s H e r e g r e tt e d thi s a s he kn e w Fra nce d i d n o t
d e si r e w a r bu t i t w o u l d b e a milita ry n e c e ssity
P e r h ap s t h e S e c r e ta ry o f S tat e thou ght i t wa s tim e
to tak e h i s ng e r o ff t h e b utton a n d p la c e i t on t h e
tr i gg e r At t h e s am e t i m e h e tol d the B r i t i sh a m
b a s s a d o r that t h e wa r n i n g S ir E d wa r d G rey h a d
giv e n t h e G e rma n amb assa d o r a t Lo n d o n a s to
B r ita i n s neut r ali ty h a d n o t r e a ch e d the G e rman
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h e a r d w i t h re g r e t bu t n o t e x a c t l y w i t h s u r p r i s e a n d a t a ll
e v en t s h e t h o r o u gh l y a pp r e c i a t e d t h e f r a n k n e s s a n d l o y a l t y
w i t h wh i ch yo u h a d s p o k e n H e a l s o t o l d m e t h a t t h i s
t e l e g ra m h a d o n l y r e a ch e d B e r li n v e r y l a t e l a s t n i gh t ; h a d
i t b e e n r e c e i v e d e a r li e r C h an c e ll o r w o u l d o f c o u r s e n o t
h a v e s p o k e n t o m e i n t h e w ay h e h a d d o n e
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Why
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A F RAN K ANALYS IS
2 73
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wi d e sp r e a d r e g r e t Th e wa rn i n g i s t h e s e con d
p o i n t A n a ly z e d c h r o n o log i c ally i t s e ems to b e a
tho r oughly d i sc r e d itable affa i r
O n t h e mo r n i n g o f W e dn e s d ay Ju ly 2 9 t h S ir E d
wa r d G r e y t o l d M P aul C amb on (s e e d e sp a tch N o
8 7 B r iti sh W hit e P ap e r to S i r Fr a n c i s B e rti e ) tha t
h e m e a n t to t e ll t h e G e r ma n a mba ss a d o r th a t d a y
that h e mu s t n o t b e m i sl e d fr om the f r i e n d ly ton e o f
t h e i r co n v e r s a ti o n tha t B r ita i n wou l d stan d as i d e
In t h e n e xt d e sp at ch N o 8 8 Ju ly 2 9 t h f r om S i r
E dwa r d G r ey to S i r E G osch e n th e r e i s not o n e
wo r d ab out wa r n i n g t h e G e r m a n a mb a ss a d o r
I n d e sp atch N o 8 9 S ir E d wa r d G r e y tol d Si r E
Gosch e n tha t h e s aw t h e G e r ma n amba ssa d o r that
a ft e r n oon July 2 9 t h a n d t o l d him n o t to b e m i sl e d
by t h e f r i e n d ly t o n e o f th e i r c o nv e rs at i on i nto th i nk
i n g that B r i ta i n woul d sta n d a si d e
D e sp at ch N o 9 0 p r ov e s Si r E d wa r d G r e y s aw t h e
G e r ma n a mba ss a d o r t w i ce o n July 2 9 t h
I t i s evi de n t tha t Si r E dwa r d G r e y d i d no t w a r n
t h e G e r ma n a m b a ssa d o r wh e n h e s a w h i m that
m o r n i n g I t i s als o e v i d ent that S ir E dwa rd G rey
n o ti e d M
P au l C amb o n a n d the B r iti s h a mb a ss a
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H OW D I P LO M AT S M A KE
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Th e r e i s n o r e f e r e n c e a t a ll in M P au l C a mb o n s
d e sp atch o f July 2 9 t h No 9 8 i n t h e F r e n c h Y e ll o w
B o o k t o S i r E d wa r d G r e y s w a rn i n g S t r a n g e ly
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the Fr e n ch amba ssa d o r a ft e r r e c e ivi n g t h e
n e ws f r om S i r E d wa r d G r e y o f t h e wa r n i n g t o b e
giv e n to t h e G e r m a n a m b a ss a d o r to l d t h e F r e n ch
G ov e r n m e n t :
M y G e r m an c o ll e a gu e h a v i n g
k e d S i r E dw a r d G re y
W h a t t he i n t e n t i o n s o f t h e B r i t i s h G o v e r n m e n t w e r e t h e
S e c re t a r y o f S t a t e fo r F o r e i g n Aff a i r s re p li e d t h a t h e h a d
S i r E d w a r d G re y d i d n o t
n o t h i n g t o s t a t e fo r t h e p r e s e n t
d i s gu i se t he f a c t t h a t h e f o u n d t h e s i t u a t i o n v e r y g r av e
a n d t h a t h e h a d li t t l e h o p e o f a p e a c e fu l s o l u t i o n
as
C h a n c e ll o r (G e rm a n ) i s v e r y
p ro b a b l y the
o f t h e l a s t i n t e rv i e w o f S i r E dw a r d G r e y
w i t h P r i n ce L ichn o w s ky U p t o qu i t e t h e l as t d ay s t h e y
a t t e re d t h e m s e l v e s h e r e (B e r li n ) t h a t E n g la n d w o u l d r e
m a i n o u t o f t h e qu es t i on a n d t he i mp re s s i o n p r o duc e d o n
t h e G e r m a n G o v e r n m e n t a n d o n t h e n a n c i e rs a n d bu s i n e s s
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th e n ab ou t th e r e sult o f t h e l ast i n t e rv i e w o f S i r
E d wa r d G rey w i th P r i nce L i ch n o w s k y
Sti ll M
C amb on m ight h ave b e e n i n p o ss e ssi o n o f the i n fo r
mati on whi ch w a s to b e g i v e n to P r inc e L i ch n o w s k y
fo r i t h a d b e e n g i ven to h i s b roth e r i n Lon d o n t h at
mo rn i ng
I t i s qu i te cle a r th a t n e i the r S i r E dwa r d Go sch e n
no r the G e rm a n C h a nc e llo r k n e w a nything abou t t h e
w a r ni n g whe n th e y h a d th e i r i nte r vi e w o n the a ft e r
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G e r m a n a mb assa d o r I t wa s no t t e l e g r aphe d I f
h e h a d r e c e iv e d it h e wou l d h av e k n own wha t t h e
G e r ma n S e c r e ta ry o f S tat e w a s r e f e rring to o n July
3 0 t h wh e n h e wa s tol d that t h e t e l e gram r e ce i v e d
f r om P r inc e L i ch n o w s ky did not r e a ch B e rl i n u n ti l
v e r y late on t h e n i ght o f July 2 9 t h S ir E dwa r d
G o s ch e n wa s s o mu ch i n t h e d a rk about th i s m att e r
tha t S i r E d wa r d G r e y h a d t o t e l e g r ap h on Ju ly 3 o t h
a n d t e ll h i m that h e (S i r E d wa r d G r e y ) h a d wa r n e d
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Why n e ith e r S ir E dwa r d G r e y n o r M r As qu ith ha s
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r s t cla ss myst e r i e s o f thi s t e r r ibl e b u s i ne ss
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July Th e m e mb e rs o f t h e B ritis h H o u s e o f C o m
mo ns w e r e n o t wa r n e d Du ri n g that w e e k o u r a l
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rop e lay i n t h e h a n d s o f G r e a t B r i tai n ; a n d R u ssi a
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P a r i s o n Ju ly 3 o t h t h at h e w a s co n vi n c e d tha t p e a ce
b e tw e e n t h e P ow e rs wa s i n th e han d s o f G re at B rit
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c e a s e d t r yi n g t o g e t t h e B r i t i s h Fo r e ig n S e c r eta ry
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o f ou r G o v e r n m e n t t o k e e p t h e p e a c e s h o u l d f a il t o b e
r e a d y t o s t r i k e w i t h a ll o u r f o r c e fo r o u r o w n s a f e t y a n d fo r
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N o v e mb e r t h a t d u r i n g t h e l a s t few ye a r s t h e m ili t a r y a n d
n a v a l a u t h o r i t i e s o f F r a n c e a n d G re a t B r i t a i n h a d c o n s u l t e d
w i t h e a ch o t h e r f ro m t i m e t o t i m e ; t h a t i t h a d a l w a y s b ee n
u n de rs to o d t h a t t h e s e c o n s u lt a t i o n s s h o u l d n o t r es t r i c t t he
li b e r t y o f e i t h e r G o v e rn m e n t t o de c i de in t he fu t u r e wh e t h e r
t h e y s h o u l d l e n d e a ch o t h e r t h e s upp o r t o f t h e i r a r m e d
f o r c es ; t h a t o n e i t h e r s i de t h e s e c o n s u l t a t i o n s b e t w e e n e x
p e r ts w e re n o t a n d s h o u ld n o t b e c o n s i de r e d a s e n g a g e m e n ts
b i n d i n g o u r Go v e rn m e n t s t o t a k e a c t i o n i n c e r t a i n e v e n t u a li
t i e s ; t h a t h o w e v e r I h a d r e m a r k e d t o yo u t h a t i f o n e o r
o t h e r o f t he t w o G o v e r n m e n t s h a d g r a v e r e a so n s t o f e a r
a n u n p ro v o k e d a t t a ck o n t h e p a r t o f a t h i r d P o w e r i t w o u l d
b e c o m e e ss e n t i a l t o k n ow wh e t h e r i t c o u l d c o u n t o n t he
a r m e d s upp o r t o f t h e o t h e r
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t o s t a t e t h a t in t h e e v e n t o f o n e o f o u r t w o Go v e rn m e n t s
h a v i n g g r a v e r e a s on s t o f e a r e i t h e r a n a t t a ck f r o m a t h i r d
P o w e r o r s o m e e v e n t t h re a t e n i n g t h e g e n e r a l p ea c e t h a t
Go v e rn m en t w o u l d i mm e di a t e l y e x a m i n e w i t h t he o t h e r t h e
qu e s t i o n wh e t h e r b o t h G o v e r n m e n t s s h o u l d a ct t o g e t h e r i n
I f s o t he
o r de r t o p r e v e n t a gg r e ss i o n o r p r es e rv e p e a c e
t w o G o v e r n m e n t s w o u l d d e li b e r a t e as t o t h e m e a s u r e s wh i ch
t h e y w o u l d b e p r e p a r e d t o t a k e i n c o mm o n ; i f t h o s e m ea s u r e s
i n v o l v e d a ct i on t he t w o Go v e r n m e n t s w o u l d t a ke i n to im
m e d i a t e c on s i de r a t i o n t h e p l a n s o f t h e i r ge n e r a l s t a ffs a n d
w o u l d t h e n de c i de a s t o t he e ffe c t t o b e g i v e n t o t h ose p l a n s
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bu t n o t u n ti l Augu st 2 n d d id M Vivi a n i think it
wo r th w h i l e noti fyi n g B e r li n o f t h e V i olatio n o f t h e
Fr e nch f r o n ti e r by G e rm an t r oops Th e n h e i n
fo rm e d t h e Fre n ch amb a ssa d o r i n d e sp atch No 1 3 9
tha t
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ea st e rn f r onti e r at s e v e r a l p o i n ts I r e qu e st you im
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e rn m e n t
e i g n S e creta ry repli e d th a t t h e C ab i n e t w o ul d m e e t
i n t h e mo rn i n g (F r i d ay ) a n d that h e wou l d s e e
I n S i r E dwa rd
him a ga in to mo r row a ft e r n oon
Gr e y s d e sp atch to t h e B r iti sh amb as s a d o r at P a ri s
h e stat e s t h a t M C ambo n h a d r em i n d e d him o f t h e
l e tt e rs o f N ov e mb e r 1 9 1 2 a n d tha t t h e F r e nch a m
b a s s a d o r h a d als o giv e n h im a copy o f t h e c o mmu n i
cati on f r om t h e Fr e n ch M i n i ste r fo r Fo r e i g n A f
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u nd e r sta n d how M C amb o n a n d S i r E dwa r d G r e y
coul d hav e b e e n i n p o ss essi on o f a d o cum e n t o n t h e
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3 o t h whi ch d i d not l e av e P a r i s u nt i l the 3 I st
commun i cat i o n i s a sp ecime n o f how d i plomat i sts
m ak e wa r Th e d at e s a r e all w rong s o w r o n g in
d e e d t h at t h e Fore i gn O f c e i n i ssui ng th e s e co n d e d i
t i on o f t h e Whi t e P ap e r cu t out t h e d a t e s a n d d a y
Fri d ay C omp a r e t h e commu n i cat i o n (E n closu r e 3
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C h a n ce ll o r i n f o rm s m e t h a t h is e ffo r t s t o p re a ch p e a c e
a n d m o de r a t i o n a t V i e n n a h a v e b e e n s e r i o u s l y h a n d i c a pp e d
by t he Ru s s i a n m o b iliz a t i o n a g a i n s t Au s t r i a H e h a s do n e
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p l a t z H e co u l d n o t h o w e v e r l e a v e his c o u n t r y d e f e n c e
le ss wh il e t i m e w as b e i n g u t iliz e d by o t h e r P o w e r s ; a n d i f
m ili t a ry m e as u r e s a re n o w b e i n g
a s h e l e a r n s i s th e c a s e
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p o s s i b l e fo r h i m t o r e m a i n qu i e t H e w i s h e d t o t e ll m e t h a t
i t w a s qu i t e p os s i b l e t h a t i n a v e r y s h o r t t i m e t o d a y p e r
h a p s th e G e r m an Go v e rn m e n t w o u l d t a ke s o m e v e r y s e r i o u s
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c i v e p re p ara t i o n s o n t he R u ss o G e r m a n f r on
t i e r h a d r e a ch e d h i m j u s t wh e n t h e Cz a r h a d a pp e a l e d t o t he
Emp e r o r i n t he n a m e o f t h e i r o ld f ri en d s h i p t o m e di a t e a t
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E d wa r d G r e y t e l e grap h e d tha t h e d i d not s e e how
Ru ssi a coul d b e u rg e d to su sp e n d m i lita ry p r e p a ra
ti ons u n l e ss s om e limi t w e re put by Au st r i a to t h e
a d va nce o f h er tro ops i nto S e r v i a Then to B e r
lin h e s e nt a m e ss ag e s ay i ng Au stri a h a s d ecla r e d
h e r willi n g n e ss to r e sp ect S e rv i a n sov e r e ignty a n d t h e
i nt e gr i ty o f Se r v i a n terr i to ry ; a n d tha t w h i l e G e r
many soun d e d V i e n na a n d B r i ta i n soun d e d P e t e r s
bu r g a ll P ow e rs wou l d su sp en d fu rth e r mil i ta ry o p
e ra t io n s
o r p r e p a r at i ons At the s am e tim e h e
wa rne d th e G e r m a n amb as s a do r tha t i f Fra n c e b e
cam e i nvolve d B rita i n woul d b e d r awn i n So on
h o w e v e r n ews wa s r e ce i v e d in B e rli n tha t the wh o l e
Ru ssi a n a rmy a n d e e t w e r e b e i ng mob i li z e d a n d
G e rm any th e n an n o unc e d th at she mu st c e r ta inly p r e
p a r e fo r a ll em e r ge n ci e s K r i e gs g e f a hr w a s im
m e d i at e ly p ro cl a im e d Th e Fo re ign Secr e ta ry h a d
fa il ed utt e rly to inu ence Ru ss i a s m i l i ta ry p r ep a ra
ti ons
T hen h i s gre a te r st ru ggl e w i th h i s C ont i nental
fr i en d s b egan B oth Ru ss i a a n d F r a nc e p r e ss e d
h im a ga i n a n d a ga i n to d e cl a re that B rita i n woul d
supp o rt th e m I n va in h e strov e to pu t Fra nc e
o ff by saying B r i t i sh t r e a ti e s a n d obliga t i ons we r e
ci s i o n
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f r onti e r s
Th e Fr e n ch M in i st e r fo r Fo r e ig n A f
fa i rs a sk e d wha t t h e attitu d e o f Engla n d woul d b e
fo r t h e G e rm a n a mb as s a d o r a t P a r i s was to call at
o n e o clo ck t h e n ext d a y (S a tu rday ) to know wha t
t h e F r e nch Gov e rnm e n t w o ul d d o i n the c i rcu m
sta n c e s
M C amb o n still pu rsu e d th e Fo r e i g n S ec
r e t a r y ; h e tol d him i f B r ita i n woul d only d e cla re
d e n it e ly o n t h e s i d e o f Russi a a n d Fra nc e i t wou l d
d e ci d e th e G e r man attitu d e i n favou r o f p e a ce
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m e n t w e c o u l d n o t p l e dg e P a r li a m e n t i n a dv a n c e U p t o
t h e p re s e n t m o m e n t w e d i d n o t f e e l a n d pub li c o p i n i o n did
n o t f e e l t h a t a n y t r e a t i e s o r o b li g a t i o n s o f t h i s c o u n t r y w e r e
i n v o l v e d Fu r t h e r d e v e l o pm e n t s m i gh t a l t e r t h i s s i t u a t i on
a n d c a u s e t h e G o v e rn m e n t a n d P a r li a m e n t t o t a k e t h e v i e w
t h a t i n t e rv e n t i o n w a s j u s t i e d
Th e p r e s e r v a t i o n o f t he
n e u t r a li t y o f B e lg i um m i gh t b e
I w o u l d n o t s a y a de c i s i v e
b u t an i mp o r t a n t f a c t o r
i n d e t e r m i n i n g o u r a t t i t u de
W h e t h e r w e p ro p os e d t o P a r li a m e n t t o i n t e rv e n e o r n o t t o
i n t e rv e n e in a w a r P a r li a m e n t w o u l d w i s h t o k n ow how
w e s t o o d w i t h r e g a r d t o t h e n e u t r a li t y o f B e l g i um a n d i t
m i gh t be t h a t I s h o u l d as k b o t h F r a n c e a n d G e r m an y
wh e t h e r e a ch w a s p r e p a re d t o u n de rt a ke a n e n g a ge m e n t
t h a t s h e w o u ld n o t be t h e r s t t o v i o l a t e t he n e u t r a li t y o f
B e l g i um
M C a mb on r e p e a t e d h is qu e s t i o n wh e t h e r w e w ou l d
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I co u l d o n l y a dh e r e t o t he a n s w e r t h a t a s fa r as t h i n g s ha d
go n e a t p re s e n t w e c o u l d n o t t a k e a n y e n ga g e m e n t M
C a mb o n u r g e d t h a t G e r m an y h a d f ro m the b e g i n n i n g re
j e ct e d p ro p o s a l s t h a t m i gh t h a v e m a de fo r p e a c e I t c o u l d
n o t be t o E n g l a n d s i n t e r e s t t h a t F r a n c e s h o u l d be c r u s h e d
by G e r m a n y W e s h o u l d t h e n b e i n a v e ry d i m i n i s h e d p os i
I n 1 8 70 w e h a d m a de a
t i on w i t h r e g a r d t o G e r m a n y
g r e a t m i s t a k e i n a ll o w i n g a n e n o r m o u s i n c r e as e i n G e r m a n
a n d w e Sh o u l d n o w
be r e p e a t i n g t h i s m i s ta k e
s t re n g th
H e a s k e d m e wh e t h e r I c o u l d n o t s ubm i t h is qu es t i o n t o t h e
C a b i n e t a g a i n I s a i d t h a t t he C a b i n e t w o u l d c e r t a i n l y b e
s u mm o n e d a s so o n a s t h e r e w a s s o m e n e w d e v e l o pm e n t b u t
a t t h e p r es e n t m o m e n t t h e o n l y a n s w e r I c o u l d g i v e w as t h a t
w e c o u l d n o t u n de r t a k e a n y d e n i t e e n g a g e m e n t
,
N eutral i ty o f B e lg i um ! M r Am e ry ha d told
P a rl i a m e nt two y e a r s b e fo r e Si r E dwa r d G r e y s e n t
hi s m e ss a g e t o F r a n c e a n d G e r m any a s k i n g t h e
Gov e rnm e nts i f th e y wou l d r e sp e ct t h e Tr e aty o f
1 83 9
that :
.
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m e n t o h e r a r my fo r t h e
e x p r e s s pu r p os e o f s t r e n g t h e n i n g t he f o r c e t h a t i s t o m a r ch
I t i s up on o u r
t h r o ugh B e l g i um t o c r u s h t h e F r e n ch l e f t
E x p e di t i o n a r y F o rc e t h a t t h e b ru n t o f t h a t m a r ch w o u l d
f a ll
O u r o pp o n e n t s (t h e G e r m a n s ) w ill h a v e t he
ch o i c e o f tw o o bj e c t i v e s T h e y ca n a t t e mp t e i t h e r t o i n te r
f e r e w i t h t he de s p a t ch o f t h e E x p e d i t i o n ar y F o rc e o r t o
c ov e r a n i n v as i o n a c o u n t e rs t r o k e i n t e n de d e i t h e r t o b r i n g
u s t o o u r k n e e s o r a t a n y r a t e t o p r e v e n t a c o n s i d e ra b l e p a r t
a n d s o c l e a r t he
o f t h e E x p e d i t i o n a ry F o r c e f r o m g o i n g
e l d fo r t h e G e r m a n a dv a n c e t h rou gh F l an der s
.
N e utral i ty o f B e lg i um ! M D av i gnon i n hi s de
s how e d t hat h i s p r e caut i o n s
s p a t ch o f July 2 4 th
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.
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a ttitu d e o f t h e F o r e i gn S e c r e ta ry a nd the C ab i n e t
And what mu st M D av i g n o n hav e thought ? N o
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h o l d f a s t s uch i n c li n a t i o n s s uck e d i n w i t h t hy rs t b r e a t h
la y i n t h e c r a dle w i t h t h e e
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lo se hop e u n ti l th e y h e a r d t h e followi n g :
.
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I h a v e a s s u re d t he H o u s e a n d t he P r i m e M i n i s t e r h a s
a s s u r e d t h e H o u s e m o r e t h a n o n c e t h a t i f a n y c r i s i s s uch
a s t h i s a r o s e w e s h o u l d c o m e b e f o r e t h e H o u s e o f C o mm o n s
a n d b e a b l e t o s a y t o t h e H o u s e t h a t i t w a s f r e e t o de c i de
wh a t t he B r i t i s h a t t i t u de s h o u ld b e t h a t w e w o u ld h a v e n o
s e c r e t e n g a g e m e n t wh i ch w e s h o u l d s p r i n g up o n t h e H o u s e
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c le s (M o ro cc a n s e c r e t a g r e e m e n t s ) w e re pub li s h e d t h a t i f
a G o v e r n m e n t w o u l d k e e p li t t l e t h i n g s s e c r e t a for t i o r i t h e y
w o u l d k e e p b i g t h i n g s s e c r e t T h a t i s a bs o l u t e l y u n t r u e
T h e r e m a y b e r e a s on s why a G o v e r n m e n t s h o u l d m a k e
s e c r e t a r r a n g e m e n ts o f t h a t k i n d i f t h e y a r e n o t t h i n g s o f
rs t r a t e i mp o r t a n ce i f t h e y a r e s ub s i d i a ry t o m a t t e rs o f
g re a t i mp o r t a n c e B u t t h a t i s t he v e ry re as on t he B r i t i s h
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c o mm i t P a r li a m en t t o o b li g a t i o n s o f w a r I t w o u l d b e
f o o li s h t o do i t No B r i t i s h Go v e r n m e n t c o u l d e mb a r k
up o n a w a r w i t h o u t pub li c o p i n i on b e h i n d i t a n d s uch e n
g a ge m e n t s a s t h e r e a re wh i ch re a ll y c o mm i t P a r li a m e n t
t o a n y t h i n g o f t h a t k i n d a r e c o n t a i n e d i n T r e a t i e s o r Ag r e e
m e n t s wh i ch h av e b e e n l a i d b e f o r e t he H o u s e F o r o u r
s e l v es w e h a v e n o t m a d e a s i n g l e s e c re t a r t i c l e o f a n y k i n d
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an d
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t o d e ci d e wha t t h e B r i tish attitu d e woul d b e
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i t coul d t e a r u p t h e pla n s o f G e n e ral Staffs Th e
m o ck e r y o f i t a ll ! whe n R eut e r tol d u s wha t wa s
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H e said :
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h i s p r es e n t c r i s i s up t ill yes te r d a y w e h av e a l so
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Now I mu s t m a k e t h i s qu es t i o n o f o b li g a t i o n
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i n my v i e w pub li c o p i n i o n i n t h i s c o u n t ry w o u l d h a v e r a l
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a r i se
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t o g i v e t h a t s upp o r t e v e n i f yo u w i s h t o g i v e i t wh e n t h e
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s a t io n s t o t a k e p l a c e b u t o n t h e d i s t i n c t u n d e rs t a n d i n g t h a t
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h a v e j u s t r e f e r r e d a n n o u n c e d t o his a u d i e n ce t h a t h e m e a n t
t o cu t d o w n t h e c os t a n d a s I u n d e rs t o o d h i m w i t h t h e
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m a d e with Fr anc e
Why shoul d M r B a l fou r won
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m at i c S ins o f p olit i ca l fo re fathe rs we re i nhe r i te d by
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Ag a di r c r i s i s c a m e a n ot h er M o ro cc an c r i s i s
a n d t h r o u gh o u t t h a t I t o o k p re c i s e l y t he s a m e li n e t h a t h a d
b e en t a k e n i n 1 9 0 6 B u t s ub s e qu e n t l y i n 1 9 1 2 a f t e r d is
cu ss i on a n d c o n s i de r a t i on i n t h e C a b i n e t i t w as d e c i d e d t h a t
w e o ugh t t o h a v e a de n i t e u n de r s t a n d i n g i n w r i t i n g wh i ch
w as t o b e o n l y i n t h e f o r m o f a n u n of c i a l l e t t e r a n d t h e s e
c on s i de ra t i on s wh i ch t oo k p l a c e w e r e n o t b i n d i n g up o n t h e
f r ee do m o f e i t h e r G o v e rn m e n t ; a n d o n t h e 2 2 n d o f N ov e m
b e r 1 9 1 2 I w r o t e t o t he F r e n ch a mb as s a do r t he l e t t e r
wh i ch I w ill n ow r e a d t o t he H o u s e ; a n d I r e c e i v e d f r o m
h i m a l e t t e r i n s i m il a r t e r m s i n re p l y The l e tt e r wh i ch
I h a v e t o re a d t o t he H o u s e i s t h i s a n d i t w ill b e k n o w n
t o t h e pub li c n o w a s t h e r e c o r d t h a t wh a t e v e r t oo k p l a c e
b e t w e e n m ili t a ry a n d n a v a l e x p e r t s t h e y w e r e n o t b i n di n g
The
g a ge m e n ts up o n t he Go v e r n m en t :
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y e ar s t he F re n ch a n d B r i t i s h m ili t a r y a n d n a v a l e x p e r t s
h av e c o n s u l t e d t o g e t h e r I t h as a l w a ys b e en u n de r s t o o d
t h a t s uch c o n s u l t a t i o n d oe s n o t r e s t r i c t t he f r e e d o m o f e i t h e r
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t o a s s i s t t he o t h e r by a r m e d f o r c e
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c o n s u l t a t i o n b e tw e e n e x p e r t s is n o t a n d o ugh t n o t t o b e
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t o a c t i o n i n a c on t i n g e n cy t h a t h as n o t ye t a r i s e n a n d m ay
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m e n t h av e g r av e r e as on t o ex p e c t a n u n p r o v o k e d a t t a ck by
i t m i gh t b e c o m e e s s e n t i a l t o kn o w wh e t h e r
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i t c o u l d i n t h a t e v e n t de p e n d u p on t h e a r m e d a s s i s t a n c e o f
t he o t h er
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t o e x p e c t an u n p r o v o k e d a t t a ck by a t h i r d P o w e r o r s o m e
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t h e G o v e r n m e n t s w o u ld t h e n d e c i de wh a t e ff e c t s h o u l d b e
g iven t o t he m
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grap h in it o n t h e n e utra lity o f B e lgium i t w o ul d
h av e b e e n c o mp l e t e
B ut wh at i t h a d to d o with t h e
Aga d i r c r i si s n o o n e bu t t h e Fo r e ign S e c r e ta ry k n ows
I t b e a r s a d at e tw e lve mo n ths a ft e r t h e Aga d i r a ffa i r
wa s cl o s e d I t i s a n am a z i n g d ocum e n t lo ok a t i t
how you will I t m ight s e e m to s om e p e o p l e that i t
s h oul d b e a r a d a t e som e wh e r e ab o ut t h e b e g i n n ing
o f July
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Hugh C e ci l h e c k l e d t he P r im e M i n i st e r i n F e b ru a r y
19 13
h e d e scrib e d t h e p o siti o n qu it e fa i r ly ; but o n
t h e oth e r ha n d i n t h e s e ssi o n o f 1 9 1 3 b o th i n t h e
Comm o n s a n d t h e Lo r d s M i n i st e r s state d qu it e
f r a n kly that i t w a s l e ft to t h e F r e n ch e e t t o b e a r
t h e b r u n t o f lo oki n g a fter Br i ti sh i n t e r e sts i n the
M e d it e r r a n e a n
I f t h e H ou s e h a d b e e n g i ve n th e l a st p a ragrap h
o f th e l e tt e r i t woul d hav e b e e n i n a b e tt e r p ositi o n
to u n d e r sta n d t h e Fo r e ign S e c r e ta r y s d e sp e r at e
pl e a d i n g fo r symp athy fo r the u n d e fe n d e d no r th e r n
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The F r en ch e e t i s n ow i n t he M e d i t e rr an e a n a n d t h e
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F RI EN D S H I P AND C ON FI DEN C E
39 5
w e s t e r n c o as t s o f F r a n c e a r e a b s o l u t e l y u m
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b e i ng ab s o lut e ly u n d e f e n d e d I n th e F r e n ch d e s
p atches ln t h e Y e llow B o o k how e v e r th e r e i s n oth
i n g abou t the F r e n ch e e t b e i n g co n c e nt r ate d in the
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a re supp re ss e d i n Fr e nc h d e sp atch e s P e r hap s t h e
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c o mmu n i c a t i n g t o t he C h a m be r s t h e s a m e de c l a r a
t i on t h a t S i r E dw a r d G r e y h as m a d e t o yo u o f wh i ch y o u r
l a s t t e l e g r a m g i v e s m e t h e t ex t I w ill a dd t h a t w e h a v e
h e r e i n o b t a i n e d f r o m G re a t B r i t a i n a rs t s upp o r t t h e v a l u e
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w i t h t he v i e w o f p ro t e c t i n g t he F r e n ch c o a s ts o r t he F r e n ch
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N o rth S e a o r i n the E ngli sh Ch a n n e l ? E ith e r t h e
Fr e nch P r i m e M i n i ste r d i d not know wh e r e his e e t
wa s at the t i me o r S i r E d wa r d G r e y h a d b e e n mi s
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F o r e i g n S ecreta ry w a s c e rta i n wh e n h e n ot i e d o u r
a mb a ssa d or a t P a r i s o n Augu st 2 n d o f t h e C ab i n e t
d e ci si o n to g i v e n aval supp o rt to F r anc e tha t t h e
F r e n ch e e t w a s conc e ntrate d i n the M e d i t e rran e a n
a n d th a t th e no rth co a st wa s
e n t i r e ly un d e f e n d e d
And w e w e re le d to b e l i e v e su ch wa s t he d i sp o siti o n
o f the French e et whe n the Fo r e i gn S e creta ry sp oke
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H OW D I P LO M AT S M A KE
to th e H ous e on Au gu st 3 r d a n d ma d e out an e x
t r e m e ly p at h e ti c ca s e wh i ch s e rve d i ts pu rp o s e
Th e r st h a l f o f th e spe e ch was d e vot e d to Franc e
a n d t h e s e co n d hal f to B e lgium
H e r e fer r e d to t h e
G e r m a n r e ply to h i s qu e st i on about obs e rv i n g t h e n e u
t r a li t y o f B e lgium b ut h e sa i d n oth i ng ab o ut h i s i n
t e r v i e w w i th P r i n c e L i ch n o w s k y
All t h e H ou s e go t
f r om him o n th e r e al s i tu ati on wa s j ust s o mu ch a s
w o ul d help h i s ca se a n d n o mo r e A fte r de al i ng
with h i s commun i ca t i on to the B e lg i a n G ov e rnment
he sa id :
,
pp e a r s f ro m t he n ew s I h av e r e c e i v e d t o day
w h i ch h a s c o m e qu i t e r e c e n t l y a n d I a m n o t ye t qu i t e
s u r e h ow f a r i t h as r e a ch e d m e i n a n a ccu r a t e f o r m t h a t
a n u l t i m a t um h a s b e e n g i v e n t o B e l g i um by Ge r m a n y
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Ge r m a n y o n c o n d i t i on t h a t s h e w o u l d f a c ili t a t e t h e p a ss a ge
o f G e r m a n t r o o p s t h ro ugh B e l g i um
W e ll s i r u n t il o n e
h a s t h e s e t h i n g s a b s o l u t e l y d e n i t e l y up t o t h e l a s t m o m e n t
I do n o t w i s h t o s a y a ll t h a t o n e w o u l d s ay i f o n e w e re
i n t h e p o s i t i o n t o g i v e t h e H o u s e fu ll c o mp l e t e an d a bs o
l u t e i n f o r m a t i o n o n t h e p o i n t W e w e r e s ou n de d in t he
c o u rse o f l a s t w e e k a s t o wh e t h e r i f a gu a r a n t ee w e r e g i v en
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A G RE AT F REN C H CO U P
39 9
W e w o r k e d fo r p e a c e up t o t h e l as t m o m en t a n d b e
y o n d t h e l a s t m o m e n t H o w h a r d h o w p e rs i s t e n t l y a n d
h o w e a rn e s t l y w e s t r o v e fo r p e a c e l as t w e e k t h e H o u s e w ill
s e e f r o m t h e p a p e rs t h a t w ill b e b e f o r e i t
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H OW D I P L O M ATS MA K E
29
WAR
t o-day :
W e a re s i n ce r e l y g r a t e f ul t o t he F r e n ch G o v e rn m e n t
fo r o ffe r i n g e v e n t u a l s upp o r t
I n t h e a c t u a l c i r cum s t an c es
h o w e v e r w e do n o t p r o p os e t o a pp e a l t o t he gu a r a n t e e o f
t he P o w e rs
B e l g i a n G o v e r n m en t w i ll de c i de l a t e r o n t h e
a c t i o n wh i ch t h e y m ay t h i n k i t n e c e ss a r y t o t a k e
,
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f o r ce s i n t e n de d t o m a r ch o n t he M e u s e v i a G i v e t a n d
N a mu r an d t h a t B e l g i um i n s p i te o f he r b es t i n t en t i o n s
w o u l d n o t be in a p o s i t i on t o re pu l se w i t h o u t a s s i s t a n ce a n
F r e n ch t r o o p s The G e r m a n G o v e rn m e n t
a dv a n c e
of
t h e r e f o r e c o n s i d e re d t h e m s e l v e s c o mp e ll e d t o a n t i c i p a t e t h i s
I n t h e s e c i r cum
a t t a ck a n d t o v i o l a t e B e l g i a n t e r r i t o ry
s t a n c es
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on
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K i n g do m a n d i ts p o ss e s s i o n s t o t h e i r fu ll e x t e n t The n o te
a dde d t h a t i f B e l g i u m p u t d i fcu l t i es i n t he w ay o f t h e
G e r m a n y w o u l d be co mp e lle d
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D I P LO M AT S MA KE WA R
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Engli sh ?
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w h ol e wo r l d by the h e ro i c stru g gl e whi ch k e p t the
G e rmans a t b ay fo r t en d ays !
,
N e i th e r t h e Pr i m e M i n i ste r no r t h e Fo r e i gn S e c
r e t a ry i n th e i r sp e e che s o n August 3 r d a n d 6 t h m e n
t i o n e d t h e i n t e rvi e w r e co r d e d i n d e sp atch N o 1 2 3
The whole ca se M r Asqu ith ma de aga i n st G e rm any
i n famou s p r op o s a l d e spatch
w a s b a s e d u po n t h e
No 8 5
When towa r d s t h e e n d o f August t h e F o r
e i gn S e cr e ta ry wa s a sk e d
wh e t h e r t h e p r oposals
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why p rop o s a ls i n
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p e r so n a l su gg e sti o n s m a d e by the amb assa d o r o n
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d i t i o n s o f n e u t r a li ty p r opo s e d by t h e G e r ma n C han
I h a v e b ee n as k e d why I di d n ot r e f e r t o No 1 2 3 i n
t he W h i t e P a p e r wh e n I s p o k e i n t h e H o u s e o n Augu s t
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m a de n ot p e rs on a ll y by t he a mb ass a dor bu t ofci a ll y by t he
13
G e rm an C h a n c e ll o r wh i ch w e r e s o c on de m n e d by t h e P r i m e
M i n i s t e r s ub s e qu e n t l y a n d t h i s w o u l d h av e m a de t he c a s e
a g a i n s t t h e G e r m a n G o v e r n m e n t much s t r o n g e r t h a n I d i d
m a k e i t i n my s p e e ch I d e li b e r a t e l y re f ra in e d f r o m do i n g
t h a t t hen
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r e f e r to N o 8 5 bu t h e s co r e d o ne o f hi s b igg e st
p o i n ts i n telling t h e H ou s e wh at hi s r e p ly wa s t o t h e
b a r ga i n
B ut t h e i mp o r ta nt p o int i s
s ugg e ste d
1 23
n o t wh e th e r t h e i n t e rv i ew r e f e r r e d t o i n N o
wa s d i scuss e d by t h e C ab i n e t b u t wh e th e r S i r E d
to count o n ou r stan d i n g a s i d e
The b a r ga i n
wa s su gg e ste d b e fo re t h e G e r m an C ha n c e llo r k n e w
tha t B r ita i n m i ght no t sta n d a si d e a n d b e f o r e t h e
Fo r e i gn S e c r eta r y a sk e d t h e B e lgi a n Gov e r nm e n t
what th e y i nt e n d e d to d o ab ou t th e i r n e ut r ality Th e
b a rga i n wa s su gg e st e d on t h e n ight o f July 2 9 t h
a n d t h e rst commu n i cati o n f r o m t h e Fo r e ig n O f c e
re co r d e d in t h e Whit e P ap e r to t h e B r iti sh a mb a s
s a d o r a t B r u ss e ls wa s s e n t on Au gu st 1 s t I f the
C ab i n e t h a d k n ow n o n t h e 3 o t h t h e c o n t e n ts o f d e s
p atch No 9 8 th e r e m ight hav e b e e n no n e c e ssity
fo r s e n d i n g NO 1 0 1 w h i ch conta i n e d t h e r e p ly to
S o l i ttle d i d t h e C ab i n e t thi n k o f t h e qu e s
No 8 5
ti on o f the n e utra lity o f B e lg i um tha t th e y h a d n o t
a gr e e d to m ake i t th e ca s us b e lli u nt i l t h e e v e n
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D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
i n g o f Su n d ay , Au gu st z u d ,
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t h e G e r ma n C h a n cello r sp ok e to the B riti sh a m
b a s s a d o r a t B e rli n ab ou t i t
Th e sugg e sti ons m a d e b y t h e Ge rman amb a ss a d o r
o n August I st , w e r e p e r so n a l a n d o ffe r e d wi t h out
autho r ity , bu t d o e s d e sp atch No 1 2 3 i n d i cat e in t h e
slig h t e st d e gr e e that t h e For e i g n S e c r e ta ry w a s u n
d e r t h e i mp r e ssi on wh e n h e sp ok e to t h e G e r ma n a m
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autho r i ty ? I f Si r E d wa r d G rey d oubt e d t h e
a utho r ity o f P r i nc e Li ch n o w s ky, why d i d h e n e gl e ct
to a sk , i n h i s m e ssag e to Si r E G os ch e n , i f t h e a m
b a s s a d o r h a d a utho ri ty from t h e B e rli n Fo rei g n O f
ce t o d i scu ss t e r ms o f B r i tish n e ut r ali ty ?
Fo r the
.
s i milar te r ms
B r i ta in must k e e p h e r han d fr e e s o
th a t the Gov e r n ment s a ttitu d e might b e det e rm in e d
l a rg e ly by publi c op i n i o n
Th e n eut r a l i t y o f B e l
g i u m w o u l d app e a l v e ry strongly to p ubl i c op i n i on
3I5
t h e gu a r d i an o f i n t e r nati o n a l
scra p s o f p ap e r
Th e J i n go e s a n d m a n y o f thos e i n t h e kn o w got
what th e y h a d s e dulou sly to i l e d fo r th r ough e i ght
l o n g y ea rs o f s ca r e s in whi ch e v e r y b r uti sh i nstinct
w as sti r r e d Th e o n ly r e g r et som e o f th e m h a d
w a s that t h e W a r Ofc e c o u l d n o t pu t
m en
i n to B e lgiu m wh e n t h e t r oubl e a rose
Ji n go e s the r e a r e i n e v e r y cou n t r y ; bu t t h e d i ffe r
e n c e betw e e n t h e P ru ss ia n a n d t h e B r i t i s h cu lt i s
tha t P ru ssi a n J i n go e s a r e s o l d i e r s a s a r u le a n d
B r iti sh Ji n g o e s a r e no t Wh e th e r i t i s b e tte r to le t
mi lita r y J i n g o e s r u n a n e mp i r e th a n t r u st i ts fa te t o
com m e r ci al Ji n go e s i s a qu e sti on tha t mu st wa i t s olu
ti o n u n ti l t h e e mp i r e th a t ha s a lways sp e nt many mo r e
m illio n s o n a r m am e n ts th a n G e r ma n y d e stroys
P r u ssi an m il i ta r ism
I S it th e n to o mu ch to
h op e tha t wh e n t h e e mp i r e that h a s h a d littl e r e st
from w a rs a n d exp e d iti o ns t e a ch e s t h e emp i r e that
ha s know n v e ry littl e w a r S i n c e 1 8 70 how to su ffe r
mi lita r y d e f e a t a s w e ll a s d iplom at i c hum i l i a t i o n tha t
a J i n go wi ll n d i t a s d i fcult to lo dg e up o n B r i t i s h
t e r r ito r y a s G e r m a n s to n d thei r plac e i n t h e sun
Th e qu e stio n o f Who b e ga n i t ? cau s e d l i ttl e co n
t r o v e r s y d u r i n g Au gu st b e cau se i t was consi d e r e d
m o st u n p a tr i oti c to blam e any one bu t t h e Ka i s e r
.
H OW
16
D I P LO M ATS MA KE WAR
on t h e bu s w h o sa i d
W e ll gu v n e r w e re i n i t ;
tha t s a ll
B ut no w a r ca n b e fought w ithout a
s cap ego at ; i t i s almost a s ne cess a ry a s a m ap a n d
p i n s w i th colou r e d h e a d s I n sta rt i n g out to x
r e sp o n s i b i lity o n s om e p e rso n o r P ow e r i t i s e ss e n
ti a l tha t the d a t e f r om whi ch i nv e stigat i on sta rts
shou l d b e s e l e ct e d with c e rta i n ty to emb ra c e a ll thos e
is su e s a n d e vents whi ch a r e r e l e va n t to t h e fo re i g n
p oli c i e s o f t h e cou n t r i e s i nvolv e d i n the d i spute To
b eg i n with t h e mu r d e r o f th e A rch duke i s se n s at i o n al
but mu ch to o rec e n t ; i t i s conv e n i e n t fo r th e th e ory
th a t t h e Ka i se r d i ctat e d t h e Au stri an note to S erv i a ;
that how e ve r i s i ts only m e r i t
N o t through S e r v i a o r Au str i a a re th e s i gnp ost s
to b e foun d whi ch wi ll e nabl e u s to r e t r a ce ou r st e p s
to the p la c e a n d d at e wh e n w e f e ll i n to trans fo r m
i n g d e g e n e rat i ons
W e must look south towa r d s
Aga d i r th e n t o F e z a n d b a ck throu gh Ta n gi e r
S p a i n a n d P a r i s to Lon d on wh e re t h e Anglo Fr e n ch
Agr e e ment w a s s i g n e d Ap r i l 6 t h 1 9 0 4 I t was n o t
a p e rs o n o r s om e o n e p a r t i cul a r P o w e r that w a s r e
sp o n s ible fo r thi s wa r I t wa s a syst e m that b rought
i t ab out ; a n d tha t system w as s e c r e t d iploma cy
Who th e n i s to bl am e fo r s e c r e t d i plom a cy ? The
p eopl e o f the nat i ons wh i ch p ra cti s e i t ; a n d tho s e
n ati o n s b o a st i ng t h e fr e e st i nst i t ut i ons shoul d b e a r
th e gre atest r e sp o n s i b i l i ty
.
C HAPTE R X I V
R E C R I M I N ATI O N
T H AT t h e re e xi s ts b e t w e e n F r an c e a n d G e rm a n y a s en t i
m e n t a l a n i m os i t y ; a n d t h a t b e t w e e n G e r m an y a n d E n g l a n d
t h e r e i s a n e c o n o m i c r i v a lr y w e d o n o t d e n y ; b u t wh a t w e
de n y is t h a t t h e r e e xi s t s f ro m c o u n t r y t o c o u n t r y b e tw een
t h e s e t h r e e g r e a t n a t i o n s a n y fu n d a m e n t a l a n d i r r eco n ci la
b le a n t a g o n i s m
I t is t h e r e f o r e o u r c l a i m t o p u t a n e n d
t o a ll e n m i t y b e t w e e n t h e m a n d d o a w a y w i t h a ll a n i m os i t y
W a r w o u l d n o l o n ge r s e t t l e a n y t h i n g Th e t i m es a r e g o n e
wh e n t h e c on qu e r o r de s t r o y e d t he v a n qu i s h e d p e o p l e a n d
A w a r w o u l d h en c e f o rw a r d be a
r e d uc e d i t t o s l a v e r y
u s el ess di s a s t e r a n d v a i n c r i m e
An a to l e F r a n c e L o n do n D e c e m be r 1 1 t h 1 9 1 3
Of
3 17
H OW
18
D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
a lmos t e ve r y Eu rop e a n w a r
An d he qu ot e s
.
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a lli a n c e w i t h G e r m a n y : h e r i n s t i n c t s w e re G e r m a n a n d h e r
As t he H a ps bu r gs d i v i de d
a n t i p a t h i es w e re a n t i F r e n ch
g re w w e a k E n g l an d s o ugh t n ew a lli e s a m on g t he
an d
y o u n g e r P o w e r s ; b u t i n a ll t h e g r e a t s t r ugg l e s o f Eu ro p e
wh e t h e r Au s t ri an o r P ru ss i a n o n
s he has h a d Ge r m a n y
he r
i de
Th
B a re l y
f o u r y e a rs a go m en o f r e s p o n s i b ili t y i n G e rm a n y
w e re qu i t e c o n v i n ce d t h a t E n g l an d de s i g n e d a s u d den a tt a ck
u p o n t h e i r c o u n t ry w i t h ou t an y p r e v i o u s d e c l a r a t i o n o f w a r
F e a rs h av e bee n e x p r ess e d t h a t H a m
o r o t h e r w a rn i n g
b u rg l y i n g i t m a y b e n o t e d s o m e f t y m il e s u p a r i v e r w e ll
.
WHAT D I D H E KNOW ?
3 19
f o r t i e d o n e i t h e r b a n k i s li a b l e t o b o mb ar d m e n t by t he
B r i t i s h e e t ; a n d m a n y G e r m a n s h a v e l on g s e r i o u s l y be
liev e d t h a t w e i n t e n d t o a n n i h il a t e t he Ge rm a n n a vy wh il e
i t i s s t ill c o mp a r a t i v e l y s m a ll a n d a n e as y m o r s e l fo r o u rs
G e r m an w r i t e rs a n d e v e n G e r m a n s t a t e s m e n s e e i n En g
l an d s e v e r y a ct o f f r i e n ds h i p t o a n o t h e r P ow e r a xe d
p o li cy o f i s o l a t i n g G e r m an y
,
B ot h
co u n t r i e s se e m t o h av e re a liz e d wh a t o u gh t t o
h a v e be en f a i r l y o bv i o u s l o n g a go t h a t t h e y h a v e n o t h i n g
t o g a i n a n d e v e r y t h i n g t o l o s e by a qu a rr e l a n d t h a t t h e y
h a v e e v e ry t h i n g t o g a i n a n d n o t h i n g t o l os e by re v e r t i n g
t o t h e o ld p o li cy o f f r i en dli n e ss wh i ch h a d b e e n m a i n t a i n e d
u n t il w i t h i n r e c en t y e a rs fo r c e n t u r i es b e t w e en G er m a n y
and
t h is co u n tr y
The G e r m a n a r my i s v i t a l n o t
m e r e l y t o t h e e xi s t en c e o f t he G e r m an Emp i re b u t t o t h e
v e r y li f e a n d i n de p e n de n ce o f t h e n a t i o n i ts e l f s u r rou n de d
a s Ge r m a n y i s by o t h e r n a t i o n s e a ch o f wh i ch p o ss e s s e s
a r m i e s a l m os t as p o w e r fu l a s h e r o w n
W e forget t h at
wh il e w e i n s i s t up o n a 60 p e r c en t s up e r i o r i ty (s o fa r a s
o u r n a v a l s t r e n g t h i s c o n ce rn e d )
o v e r Ge rm a n y b e i n g e s
s e n t i al t o gu a r an t ee t h e i n t e g r i t y o f o u r o w n s h o re s G e r
m a n y h e rs e l f h a s n o t h i n g li ke t h a t s up e r i o r i t y o v e r F ran c e
an d s h e h as
o f c o u r se
i n a dd i t i o n t o re ck o n w i t h
a lon e
Ru ss i a on h e r e as t e rn f r o n t i e r G e r m a n y h a s n o t h i n g
wh i ch a pp r oxi m a t e s t o a t w o P o w e r s t a n d a r d She h as
t h e r e f o r e b e c o m e a la r m e d by r e c e n t e v e n t s a n d i s s p e n d i n g
hug e s um s o f m on e y o n t he ex p a n s i o n o f he r m ili ta ry
r eso u r c es
,
20
H OW D I P LO M AT S MA K E WA R
plat fo rm a n d i n th e P re ss mu ch h as be e n b rought to
lig h t w h i c h s h ows how d i fcult i t i s to g e t at the
truth o f fo r e ig n a ffa i r s a n d a rm am e n ts u n d e r t h e
p r e s e n t syst e m M u ch h a s b e e n writt e n a n d sa i d
r e c e n tly i n co n n e cti o n with t h e B e rlin c o n v e r s ati ons
S i n c e t h e w a r b e ga n t h e p o l i ti cal a n d d ip lomati c
gi a n ts o f B r i ta i n a n d G e r ma n y h av e b e e n bu sily at
wo r k i n fo rm i ng the i r p e op l e s o f o n e a n o th e r s p e r dy
a n d chi ca n e ry
A pr e tty sp e cta cl e fo r d e c e nt simpl e
folk ! P e r h a p s i t wou l d hav e b e e n b e tt e r to le av e
t h e m u d a t t h e b ottom o f t h e w e ll a n d let the rank
w at e r li e u n d i stu rb e d I t i s n o t n i c e to nd p oliti ca l
l e a d e r s o f a n y cou n try hoo d wi n ki ng t h e p eop l e say
ing th i n gs whi ch a re n o t t ru e m a k i ng f r i e n d ly
sp e e ch e s to cov e r u n f r i en d ly bu s i n e ss Aga in t h e
ye a r 1 9 1 2 h a s b e e n b r ought i nto the l im e l i ght thi s
tim e by M r Asqu i th who i n a sp e e ch at C a r d i ff
O ctobe r 2 1 9 1 4 to l d u s mo r e ab ou t t h e n e got i ati o n s
which p a ss e d betw e e n G e r m a n y a n d B rita i n than h e
con d e sc e n d e d t o t e ll t h e H o u se o f C ommons i n t h e
d e b at e s o f 1 9 1 2
R e f e r r i n g n o d oubt to t h e con
v e r s a t i o n s b e tw e e n Lo r d H al d an e a n d t h e G e rm a n
Chanc e llo r M r As qu i th s a i d :
.
dow n a n d I w i s h t o c a ll n o t o n l y y ou r a r
t en t i o n , b u t t h e a tt e n t i o n o f t h e wh o l e w o r l d t o t h i s , wh e n
s o m an y f a l s e l e g e n ds a re n ow b e i n g i n v e n t e d an d c i r cu l a t e d
i n t h e f o ll o w i n g y e a r , i n t he y e a r 1 9 1 2 , w e l a i d d o w n ,
i n t e r m s c a r e fu ll y a pp r o v e d by t h e C a b i n e t a n d wh i ch I
W e l ai d
w ill t ex t u a ll y qu o t e wh a t o u r r e l a t i o n s w i t h G e r m a n y
o ugh t i n o u r v i e w t o b e
W e s a i d a n d w e c o mmu n i c a t e d
t h i s t o t he G e r m a n Go v e r n m e n t :
B r i t a i n de c l a r e s t h a t
s h e w ill n e i t h e r m a k e n o r j o i n i n a n y u n p ro v o k e d a t t a ck o n
Agg re ss i o n u p o n G e r m a n y i s n o t t he s ubj e c t
G e rm a n y
an d f o r m s n o p a r t o f a n y t re a t y u n de r s t a n d i n g o r c o mb i
,
3 21
wh i ch B r i t a i n is a p a r t y ; n o r w ill s he b e c o m e a
p a r t y t o a n y t h i n g t h a t h as s uch a n o bj e c t T h e re is n o t h
i n g a mb i gu o u s o r e qu i v o c a l a b o u t t h a t
B u t t h at w as n o t
T h e y w a n t e d u s t o go
e n o ugh fo r G e r m a n s t a t es m a n s h i p
fu r t h e r T h e y a s k e d u s t o p l e d g e o u r s e l v e s a b s o l u t e l y t o
n e u t r a li t y i n t h e e v e n t o f G e r ma n y b e i n g e n g a g e d i n w a r
a n d t h i s m i n d o u a t a t i m e wh e n G e r m a n y w as e n o r
y
m o u s ly i n c re as i n g b o t h h e r a gg r e ss i v e a n d de f e n s i v e r e
T h e y a s k e d u s fo r a
s o u r ces
a n d e s p e c i a ll y up o n t h e s e a
f re e h a n d s o fa r a s w e w e r e c o n ce r n e d i f a n d wh en t h e y
s e l e c t e d t h e o pp o r t u n i t y t o o v e r b e a r t o d o m i n a t e t h e Eu r o
p e a n w o r l d To s uch a de m a n d b u t o n e a n s w e r w as p os s i
b le a n d t h a t w a s t he a n s w e r w e g a v e
to
n a t on
w i t h t h e g re a t G e r m a n Emp i re a r e I
a m g la d t o s a y a t t h i s m o m e n t
a n d I f e e l s u r e a r e li k e l y
t o r e m a i n r e l a t i o n s o f a m i t y a n d g o o d w ill
M y n ob le
f r i e n d L o r d H a l d a n e p a i d a V i s i t t o B e r li n e a r l y i n t he
y e a r H e e n t e r e d up o n c o n v e r s a t i on s a n d a n i n t e r ch a n g e
o f v i e w s t h e r e wh i ch h a v e b e e n c o n t i n u e d S i n c e i n a s p i r i t
o f p e r f e c t f r a n k n e s s a n d f r i e n ds h i p b o t h o n o n e s i d e o r t h e
o t h e r a n d i n wh i ch I a m g l a d t o s a y w e n o w h a v e t he a d
v an t a ge o f t he p a r t i c i p a t i o n o f a v e r y d i s t i n gu i s h e d d i p l o
ma t is t i n t h e p e r so n o f t h e G e rm a n Amb a s s a do r
Ou r
l i
re at on s
H OW D I PLO MATS M A KE
22
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so
in
I s ay t h i s de li be rat e l y w e h a v e n o c a u s e a n d
fa r a s I k n o w n o o cc as i o n fo r qu a rr e l w i t h a n y c o u n t r y
a n y p a r t o f t he w o r l d
s a y, a n d
23
H OW D I PLO M ATS M A KE WA R
24
M R B A L FOU R AS J E R E M IAH
25
19 12
whe n h e s a i d
S trat e gy mu st resp on d to
p oli cy t h e p oli cy o f t h e F o r e ig n O fc e a n d M r
C hu r chill s r e f e r e n c e in F e b r u a r y o f tha t y e a r to
I f w e a r e t o c o n t e mp l a t e t he h o r r i b l e a n d as I h o p e
t h e i mp o s s i b l e i f t h e r e i s t o b e t h i s u n i v e rs a l Ar m a ge d
don t h e n l o o k i n g a t i t f r o m a n a v a l p o i n t o f v i ew i t s ee m s
t o m e t h a t t h e e e t s o f t h e T r i p l e E n t e n t e a r e n o t i n a de
qu at e n ow a n d a r e n o t g o i n g t o b e i n a de qu a t e t o a n y s t r a i n
I f w e ca n c o n c e i v e
t h a t i s g o i n g t o b e p l a c e d up o n t h e m
i f w e a r e d r i v e n t o co n c e i v e i f w e a re o b li g e d t o c on c e i ve
t h i s c o n d i t i o n o f u n i v e rs a l w a r f a r e t h en I d o n o t s a y t h a t
t h e e e t s w i t h wh i ch o u r i n t e re s t s a r e c on c e r n e d c an b e
i n a n y t h e a t r e o f o p e r a t i o n s t o t he
r e g a r d e d a s i n a de q u a t e
I de c li n e t o be
s t r a i n wh i ch w ill b e t h r o w n up o n t h e m
li e v e i t p o s s i b l e t h a t w e a l o n e s h o u l d b e c o n c e rn e d w i t h a ll
t he n av i e s o f t h e w o r l d e x c e p t t h ose le t u s s ay o f F r a n c e
H OW D I P LO M ATS M A KE
26
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Ru ss i a w ho r e m a i n n e u t r a l in t h e i r p o r ts I h op e a n d
b e li ev e w e s h o u l d n o t b e u n e qu al e v e n t o t h a t s t r a i n b u t
i t is a s t r a i n wh i ch i s s u r e l y n o t p r o b a b l e
S u r e ly i f w e
a r e t o d r a w t h e s e d re a d fu l p i c t u r e s o f i n t e rn a t i o n a l d i s a s t e r
a n d i f t h a t is a n e c e s s i t y f o r c e d u p o n u s
w e n e e d h ardl y
s upp os e t h a t o u r e v i l f a t e
o r e v e n t h e m os t i mb e c il e d i p l o
m a cy w o u l d f o r c e u s i n t o c o n i c t w i t h t h e se n a t i o n s w i t h
wh o m w e h a v e n o c a u se o f qu a r re l w i t h wh o m w e h a v e
b een a t a ll e v e n t s a s r e g a r ds t h e M e d i t e rr a n e a n P ow e rs
o n t h e m o s t f r i e n d l y t e r m s w i t h i n t h e m e m or y o f m a n
a n d w ho
I can h a r dl y b e li e v e w il l be d r i v e n t o a t t a ck us
a n d a t t a ck u s a l o n e i n a n yb o d y e l s e s qu a rr e l
W e mu s t
p re p a re e v e n fo r t h a t da n g e r b u t I t h i n k i t m os t i mp ro b a b l e
I n a n y c as e i f I u n de r s t a n d t h e p o li cy o f t he G o v e rn m e n t
a r i gh t i t w ill b e t h e m os t p e r il o u s a dv e n t u re t h a t a n y S t a t e
c ou l d i n fu t u r e e n g a ge in t o dr a g E ur o p e i n to a w a r
an d
27
p r u d e n t p e o p l e o n b o t h s i de s o f t h e
N o r t h S e a a r e e n de a v o u r i n g t o e s t a b li s h b e t t e r r e l a t i o n s
b e t w e e n t he t w o p e o p l e s i t is m e r e w a n t on m i s ch i e f m a k i n g
fo r a m a n w i t h L o r d R o b e r t s s u n e qu a ll e d p re s t i g e t o u s e
w o r ds wh i ch mu s t dr i v e e v e r y G e rm an w ho r e a ds t h e m t o
e x as p e r at i on
At
i m e wh e n
a ll
M r C hu rch i ll we n t to t h e A d m i ralty i n th e
au t umn o f 1 9 1 1 S ho r tly b e fo r e t h e Aga d i r qu e st i o n
wa s e xpla i n e d by t h e For e ig n S e cr e ta ry to t h e H o u s e
W e now know why M r C hu rchill wa s s ent at th a t
a n xi ou s t i m e to take cha rge o f th e navy B i t by
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H OW D I PLO M ATS MA K E WA R
28
Adm i r a l t y in 1 9 1 1 a f te r t he Ag a di r
c r i s i s h a d n e a rl y b ro ugh t u s i n t o w a r a n d I w a s s e n t w i t h
t h e e x p r ess d u t y l a i d up o n m e by t h e P r i m e M i n i s t e r t o
p u t t he e et i n a s t a t e o f i n s t a n t a n d c o n s t an t r e a d i n e ss fo r
w as
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w ar in
c a se
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ck e d by G er m a n y
W e a re i n t he h an ds o f a n o r g an iz at i on o f c roo k s
T h e y a r e p o li t i c i a n s g e n e r al s m an u f a c t u r e rs o f a r m a m e n t s
a n d j ou r n a li s t s
All o f t h e m a re a n xi o u s fo r u n li m i t e d e x
pe n di t u r e a n d go o n i n v e n t i n g s c a r es t o t er r i fy t he p u b li c
a n d t o t e r r i fy M i n i s t e rs o f t he C ro w n
3 29
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D I P LO M ATS M A KE WAR
u a f t e r t he gu a r an tee g i v e n t h at
t h e Ge r m a n ee t w o u l d n o t a t t a ck t h e C o a s t o f F r an c e o r
a n n e x a n y F r e n ch t e r r i t o ry I w o u l d n o t h a v e b e e n a p a r t y
t o a de c l a r a t i o n o f w ar h ad B e l g i u m n ot b een i n v aded ; an d
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m os t i f
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Wh e th e r t h e gu a ra n t e e r e f e rr e d to by M r Lloy d
G e o r g e ca r r i e d a n y w e ig h t wi th S i r E d wa r d G r e y
or M r
Asqu ith i s a n o th e r m att e r bu t i t shoul d b e
b o r n e i n m i n d that B e lgium wa s no t inv a d e d by G e r
m a n y o n Augu s t 2 n d A n ti cip ati o n may b e w i s e a s
a p o li cy but it ca n n e v e r constitut e r e a li z at i o n I n
v a s i o n o f B e lgium o n Augu st 4 t h coul d not j u st i fy
M r Lloy d G e o r g e s a n ti cip a ti on o f Au gu st 2 n d
Th e N a ti o n a l R e v i e w s a i d s e v e ra l m e mbe rs o f the
C ab i n e t o n Au gu st 2 md w e re ca sti n g ab ou t fo r a
l i f e bu oy to s av e th e i r r i ght e ou s souls whi ch wa s
a n d i n t e r e st wou l d h av e u n it e d u s with F ra nc e
imp e ri ou s r e as o n o f s e l f i nt e r e st wa s ou r
Th e
motiv e in a ll con n e ct e d with t h e T r e aty o f 1 8 3 9
W o u l d i t n o t h av e b e e n t h e b ett e r p o li cy f r om t h e
r st to t e ll t h e p e opl e t h e b al d t r uth ?
Now tha t the
To ry p r e ss i s b e n t o n mi n i n g t h e n e u t r a li ty t r e n ch
in w h i ch M r Lloy d G e o r g e a n d h i s coll e a gu e s t o ok
cov e r th e i r p os it i o n b e com e s eve ry d a y mo r e u n ten
abl e a n d stu p i d
No t h e n e ut r a li ty o f B e lg i um w i ll not s erv e fo r
a p r e t e xt si n c e tho s e who d o no t tak e e ve ry m i n i s
t e r i a l utt e r a n c e a s gosp e l hav e t ak e n th e t r oubl e t o
stu d y a ll t h e d ip l o ma ti c co r r e sp o n d e n c e a n d t h e h i s
to ry o f t r e ati e s I t i s a ll v e r y w e ll a n d g o o d fo r u s
to b e tol d d a y a ft e r d a y tha t B r i ta i n must ght thi s
w a r to a su cc e ss fu l n i sh but the mo re t h e B r it i sh
pe opl e a re told they mu st s hut the i r m i n d s to a ll
.
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D I P LO M ATS MA KE W A R
a nd R u ss i a
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w i th th e p h r a s e n o t b i n d i n g
That m ilita ry a t
tach s m ay a ct a s d id Li e ut e n a nt Col o n e ls B a r n a r d i s
t o n and B r i d g e s w ith t h e Fo r e i gn Of c e r e a dy to r e
r
e
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to b en e t s o lo n g a s the s e cr e t i s k e pt
will n o t
d e ce i v e tho se who des i r e stra ightfo rwa r d m e tho d s
Whe n t h e B e lgi a n G e n e r a l
i n Fo r e ign Affa i r s
Jungb luth wa s t o l d by L i e u tena nt Colo n e l B ri d ges
tha t B r i ta i n w a s r e a dy to la n d a fo rc e o f
i n B e lgium G e n e ral Ju n gbluth obj e ct e d a n d s a i d tha t
th e co n s e n t o f t h e B e lgi an Gov e r n m e n t was n e c e ssa r y
To thi s Li e u t -C olonel B r i d g e s s a i d that h e kn e w
that
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D I P LO M AT S M A KE W A R
lo oke d fo r
B ritis h sol d i e rs to l a n d a t Ant
w e r p wh e r e th e y woul d b e met by a qu a rt e r o f a m i l
l i on B e lgi a n s Th e G e n e ra l Sta ffs o f b oth a rm i e s
h a d lo n g co n su lt e d o n t h e p robl e m a n d the pla ns
Th e Gov e r n m e n t no t only f a il e d to ca r ry out i ts
pl e d g e co n ta i n e d i n N o 1 5 5 (B r iti sh Whit e Pap e r )
i t fa i l e d utt e rly to k e e p t h e m i l ita ry u n d e rstan d i ng
o f t h e G e n e r a l S ta ffs
B e lgium wa s thrown away
An d wh e n t h e d a y o f r e ckon i n g com e s i t wi ll b e fou n d
tha t B r ita i n wi ll hav e to a n sw e r fo r b roken pl e d g e s
a s t e r r i bl e to B e lg i um as G e rmany s V i olat i on o f a
tr e aty
Wh i le w e a r e engag e d i n ou r u su a l b u s i n e ss o f
le ctu r i n g oth e r cou n tri e s b e llig e re n ts a n d n e ut rals
o n int e r nati o n a l l aw a n d t h e s a n cti ty o f tre a ti e s
we
h ave n o t i m e to e x ami n e o u r o w n p ositi on I n de e d
i t w o ul d b e d i fcult to n d i t now u n d e r th e slathe r
335
Th e re c e rt a i n ly
i n s t an ce s
Eu r o p e o f s uch p r o p o
s i t io n s
a n d i t ha s b e e n a g re e d by t re a t y t h a t B e l g i um a n d
S w i t z e r l a n d Sh o u ld b e d e c l a r e d n e u t r a l ; b u t I a m n o t di s
p o se d t o a t t a ch v e r y much i mp o r t a n c e t o s uch e n g a g e m e n t s
fo r t h e h i s t o r y o f t h e w o r l d s h o w s t h a t wh e n a qu a r r e l
a r i s es a n d a n a t i o n m a k e s w a r a n d t h i n k s i t a d v a n t a g e o u s
t o t r a v e r s e w i t h i t s a r my s uch n e u t r a l t e r r i t o r y t h e d e c l a r a
t i o n s o f n e u t r a li t y a r e n o t ap t t o b e v e r y r e li g i o u s l y r e
a re
in
s p ect e d.
Pa lm e rsto n wh e n h e sp ok e no d oub t kn e w t h e r e al
v a lu e o f t h e t r e aty t o whi ch h e h a d pu t hi s nam e
H e wa s n o t d i spo s e d to a tta ch v e r y mu ch i mp o rtanc e
to su ch e n gag e m e n ts Wh a t a cti o n w o ul d h e hav e
tak e n e a r ly l a st Au gu st ? W h e n G e r m any d id n o t
v e ry r e lig i ou sly r e sp e ct t h e n e utra l i ty o f B e lg i um
a n d th o ught i t a d va n ta ge ou s to t r ave rs e neut r a l te r
r it o r y woul d P alm e r st o n h av e wa ste d tim e l e ctu r i ng
G e r m any o n t h e sa n ctity o f treati e s ? N ot l i k e ly
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6
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D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
s ick p r e sumably o f th e s lav e r i ng
n e ut r ality
r e mi n d e d us o n M a rch
B e lgi a n
19 15
that :
ill i t s e e m s so m e E n g li s hm en a n d E n g li s h
w o m e n w h o g r e a t l y e r r a s t o t he r e as o n s t h a t h a v e f o r c e d
E n g l a n d t o d ra w t he s w o r d T h e y k n o w t h a t i t w a s G e r
m an y s a g r a n t v i o la t i on o f B e l g i a n n e u t ra li t y wh i ch ll e d
t h e cup o f h e r i n d i g n a t i o n a n d m a de h e r p eo p l e i n s i s t up on
T h e y do n o t r e e c t t h a t o u r h o n o u r a n d o u r
w a r (s i c !
i n t e r e s t mu s t h a v e c o mp e ll e d u s t o j o i n F r a n c e a n d Ru s s i a
e v e n i f G e r m a n y h a d s c r upu l o u s l y r e s p e c t e d t h e r i gh t s o f
h e r s m a ll n e i ghb o u r s a n d h a d s o ugh t t o h a ck h e r w a y i n t o
Th e r e
are s t
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E a s t e rn f o r t re ss e s
337
a rt i cl e o n t h e qu e sti on I t wa s howev e r a le t
t e r sig n e d
D ip lo m a t i cu s
p ublish e d by th e S t a n d
a rd
F e b r u a ry 4 t h 1 8 8 7 whic h r a i se d t h e qu e sti on
t h e n a n d cau s e d t h e d iscus si o n whi ch f o ll o w e d in
s e v e ra l o f t h e ch i e f Lo n d o n d a ili e s a n d w e e kli e s
Th e S t a n d a r d w a s t h e n r e ga r d e d to b e t h e o f c i a l
o r ga n o f t h e Gov e r n m e n t (To ry )
Th e l e tte r i s a s
follows :
,
To t he E di t o r o f t h e S t a n d a r d
S i r : M i li t a r y e x p e r t s a r e o f t he
.
p i n i on t h at Fr an ce
h a s s p e n t s o much m o n e y a n d s p e n t i t s o w e ll d u r i n g t h e
l as t s ixt e e n y e a r s i n p ro v i d i n g h e r s e l f w i t h a f r e s h m i li t a r y
f r on t i e r t h a t a d i r e c t a dv a n c e by t h e G e r m a n a r m i e s i n t o
F r a n c e p as t t h e n e w f o r t r es s e s a n d f o r t s t h a t h av e b e e n
e r e c t e d a n d li n k e d t o g e t h e r
w o u l d be e v e n i f a p o ss i b le
a v e r y h a z a r d o u s u n de r t a k i n g
B u t i f G e r m a n y w a s o r c o n s i d e re d i t s e l f t o b e p r o
v o k e d i n t o a s t r ugg le o f li f e a n d d e a t h w i t h F r a n c e w o u l d
P r i n c e B i s m a r ck w i t h t h e m i gh t y fo r c es h e ca n s e t i n m o
t i o n c o n s en t t o b e b a f e d by t h e a r t i c i a l o b s t a c l e s t o wh i ch
I h av e a ll u de d s o l o n g a s t h e r e e xi s t e d a n a t u r a l a n d u n
de f e n de d r o a d by wh i ch h e c o u l d e s c a p e f r o m h i s e mb a r
r a s s m en t ?
I t li e s o n
S uch a r o a d o r w a y o u t d o e s e xi s t
B e l g i a n t e r r i t o ry
B u t t h e n e u t r a li t y o f B e l g i u m i s p r o
t e ct e d by Eu r o p e a n gu a r a n t e e a n d E n g la n d i s o n e o f t h e
gu a r a n t o rs I n 1 8 70 E a r l G r an v i ll e t h e n a t t h e h e a d o f
t he E n g li s h F o r e i g n O fc e
p r o mp t l y
a li v e t o t h i s d a n g e r
a n d w i s e l y b o u n d E n g l a n d t o s i d e w i t h F r a n c e i f P r u ss i a
v i o l a t e d B e l g i a n t e r r i t o r y a n d w i t h P r u s s i a i f F r an ce di d s o
W o u l d L o r d S a lis bu r y a ct p r u de n t ly t o t a k e up o n h i m
s e l f a s i m il a r e n g a g e m e n t i n t h e e v e n t o f a f r e s h c o n i c t
b e t w e e n t h e se t w o c o u n t r i e s ? I t i s fo r E n g li s hm e n t o
B u t i t s e e m s t o m e a s on e n o t in di f
a n s w e r t he qu e s t i o n
fe r e n t t o t h e g r e a t n e s s a n d i n t e r e s t s o f E n g l a n d t h a t s u ch
a c o u rs e a t t h e p r e s e n t m o m e n t w o u l d be u n w i s e t o t h e l a s t
de g r e e
H ow e v e r much E n g l a n d m i gh t r e g re t t he i n v as i o n
O
H o w D I PLO M ATS M A KE
338
B el g i an
WA R
y by e i t h e r p a r t y t o t he s t rugg l e s he
c o u l d n o t t a ke p a r t w i t h F ra n c e a g a i n s t G e r m a n y (e v e n i f
G e r m a n y w e r e t o s e e k t o t u r n t he F r e n ch a n k by p o u r i n g
i ts a r m i e s t h r o ugh t h e B e l g i a n A r de n n e s ) w i t h o u t u t t e r ly
v i t i a t i n g a n d de s t roy i n g t h e m a i n pu r p os e o f E n g li s h p o li cy
a ll o v e r t h e w o r l d
B u t i t w ill b e a s k e d mu s t n o t E n g l a n d h o n o u r i t s s i g
n a t u re a n d b e f a i t hfu l t o i t s pub li c p l e d g e s ?
I re p ly t h a t
y o u r F o r e i g n M i n i s t e r o ugh t t o b e e qu a l t o t he t as k o f
m e e t i n g t h i s o bj e c t i o n w i t h o u t c o mm i t t i n g E n g la n d t o w a r
Th e t e mp o r a ry u s e o f a r i gh t o f w a y i s s o m e t h i n g d i ff e r en t
f ro m a p e r m an e n t a n d w ro n gf u l p o ss e s s i o n o f t e r r i t o r y ; a n d
s u re l y E n g l a n d w o u l d b e e as il y a b l e t o o b t a i n f r o m P r i n c e
B i s m a r ck a mp l e a n d a de qu a t e gu ar a n t e e s t h a t a t t he c l o s e
o f t h e c o n i c t t he t e r r i t o r y o f B e l g i u m s h o u l d r e m a i n i n t a c t
a s b e f o re ?
Y o u w ill s e e s i r t h a t I r a i s e in a v e ry fe w w o r ds a n
e x c e e d i n g l y i mp o r t a n t qu e s t i o n
I t i s fo r t h e E n g li s h p e o
B u t i t i s h i gh t i m e t h e y
p le t o p e rp e n d a n d p ro n o u n c e
r e e cted on i t
I a m S i r y o u r o b e di e n t s e r v a n t
of
t e rr to r
D I P L OM ATI C U S
Th e l e a ding a r ti cl e r e f e rs to i ts co rr e sp o n d e n t
as
W ou l d t he v i o l a t i o n o f B e l g i an t e r r i t o r y wh e t h e r by
G e rm a n y o r F ra n c e b e s uch a n i n j u r y t o o u r h o n o u r a n d
s uch a b l o w t o o u r i n t e r e s t s ?
I t m i gh t b e s o i n c e r t a i n
c i r c u m s t a n c e s a n d i t w o u l d a s s u r e dl y b e s o i f i t i n v o l v e d
a
p e r m a n e n t v i o l a t i o n o f t h e i n de p e n de n c e o f B e l g i um
B u t as D ip lo m a t i cu s i n g e n i o u s l y s ugg e s t s t h e r e i s a ll t he
d i ff e r e n c e i n t h e w o r l d b e t w e e n t h e m o m e n t a r y u se o f a
r i gh t o f w a y
e v e n i f t he u s e o f t h e r i gh t o f w a y b e i n a
s en s e w r on gf u l
a n d t h e a pp ro p r i a t i o n o f t he g r o u n d co y
WH OSE O X 18 GO R E D ?
339
by the r i gh t o f w ay W e t ru s t t h a t bo t h G e r m a n y a n d
F r a n c e w o u l d r e f r a i n e v en f ro m t h is m i n o r t r e s p a s s B u t
?
e
di
n
o
t
i f th y d
I f o n e o r o t h e r w e re t o s a y t o E n g l a n d
All th e m ili t a r y a pp r o a ch e s t o F r a n c e a n d G e rm a n y h a v e
b e e n c l os e d a n d o n l y n e u t r a l a pp r o a ch e s lie o p e n t o u s
T h i s s t a t e o f t h i n gs is n o t o n l y de t r i m e n t a l b u t f a t a l t o o u r
m ili t a ry s u cces s a n d i t ha s a r i s e n s i n c e t h e t re a t y gu a r a n t e e d
t h e s a c r e dn ess o f t he o n l y r oa ds o f wh i ch w e c an n o w a v a il
o u rs e l v e s
W e w ill a s a fa c t r e s p e c t t he i n de p e n de n ce o f
B e l g i um a n d w e w ill g i v e yo u t he m os t s o l e m n a n d b i n di n g
gu a r a n t e es t h a t a t t he e n d o f t he co n i c t B e l g i um s h a ll b e
a s f r e e a n d i n de p e n d e n t a s b e f o r e
i f G e r m an y (a n d o f
c o u r s e o u r hyp o t h e s i s a pp li e s a l s o t o F r a n c e ) w e r e t o u s e
t h i s l a n gu a g e t h o ugh w e t r u s t t h e r e w i ll b e n o o cc a s i o n
fo r i t w e c a n n o t do ub t wh a t w o u l d b e t h e w i s e a n d
p ro p e r c o u rs e fo r E n g l an d t o pu rs u e a n d wh a t w o u l d b e
E n g l a n d do e s n o t
t h e a n s w e r o f t h e E n g li s h G o v e r n m e n t
w i s h t o Sh i r k i t s t r u e r e Sp o n s i bili t ie s B u t i t w o u ld b e
m a dn es s fo r u s t o i n cu r o r t o a s s um e r es p o n s i b ili t i e s u n
n e c e s s a r il y wh e n t o d o s o w o u l d m a n i f es t l y i n v o l v e o u r p a r
t i cip a t i o n i n a t re m e n dou s w a r
e re d
T ha t wa s t h e o f c i a l C o n se rvat i ve op i n i on i n
1 8 8 7 ; but wh e n i n 1 9 1 4 Ge rm a n y d id j u st wh at w a s
sugg e st e d by
a n d t he S ta n d a r d
D ip lo m a t i cu s
Lib e r a l states m e n w e r e mo rtally s ho ck e d a n d a d
v i s e d B e lgium to d e cli n e G e rma n y s p ropo s a l M u st
i t b e s a i d th at B e lgium st r a i n e d a t a gnat a n d s w a l
low e d a cam e l ? O f cou r s e h e r d i pl om ati c h o nou r
i s i n ta ct though l i ttl e e ls e s eems to b e l e ft at p r e s e n t
B u t whos e o p i n i o n will gu i d e t h e p e o p l e i n th e y e a r s
Who s e cou ns e l will b e wo r t h h e e d i n g
t o com e ?
wh e n t h e n e xt wa r clou d ca sts i ts glo om o v e r Eu
rop e ? S tat e sm e n a n d l e a d e rs o f thought g i v e u s
n o hop e
Only statesm e n a n d d i p loma t i sts coul d
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T h e y do n o t lie a w a k e i n t he d a r k a n d w ee p fo r t h e i r s i n s
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3 41
H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
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us hi s sta t e m e n t w a s gr e et e d with H e a r h e a r
Th e r e v e lati o n s m ay e xpla in to som e e xt e n t why th e r e
a re s o ma ny e mp t y p e ws in t h e c h u r ch e s
Wha t p a r ti cula r p re c e p t t h e C h r i st i an fa i th i s
b a se d u po n s e ems to d e p en d o n t he c i rcumstances
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TH E T E A CH I N GS OF JESUS
3 43
Gov e r n m e n t th e n p r e su m ab ly the cr e e d
o f th e P u r ita n Fa t h e rs mus t n o t b e appl i e d Th e
d i fcu lt i e s o f t h e a r gume n t li e i n att e mpti n g to apply
a p r e c e p t o f J e su s t o a p oliti cal p a rty ; o r what fo r
t h e tim e b e i n g i s t h e sam e thi n g t h e S tat e
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w ays h a s b e e n d i f cult t o m ak e t h e p r e c e pts o f J e su s
m e e t t h e e x i g e n cy o f t h e S tat e H is p r e c e pts w e r e
fo r t h e i n d ivi du al ; n atio n s a n d stat e s co nc e r n e d h i m
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w h i ch de s p i t e fu ll y u se yo u a n d p e r s e cu t e yo u :
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i n h e a v e n : fo r he m a k e t h t h e s u n t o r i s e o n t h e e v il a n d o n
t he g o o d a n d s e n de t h t h e r a i n o n t h e j u s t a n d o n t h e u n j u s t
No t p ra ct i cabl e ? Then i s i t n o t t i me fo r u s to
l e av e J e su s ou t o f o u r p a r ty sp e e c h e s a n d h ave d o n e
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3 44
D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
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d a n ge n tl e m a n r e f e r r e d to i n h i s sp e e ch d i d n o t bo r
row a copy o f t h e Ko r an a n d tu r n t o t h e 1 7 th chap
t e r wh e r e i t i s s e t d own
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him
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stat e smen lo n g b e fo r e thi s wa r b e ga n
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n o t a lways fou n d t h e t e xts tt i n g i n with h i s acti o n s ;
a n d n o d oub t i t w a s a s o r e p o int with hi m tha t J e su s
wa s s o p e rsi st e ntly lit e r a l P e rhap s t h e s am e d i f
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p r e cep ts l i t e rally th e r e w i ll b e wa rs i n j u st i c e wro n g
and wea k p e ople The way to e n d all the m i sery
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WHAT B EN E FI T F RO M WA R ?
3 45
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p r e ssi ons a n d agitati o n s i n j u sti c e s a n d w r ongs w a r s
a n d s e ttl e m e n ts
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wh o wi ll t ake u p Thu cy d i d e s a ga i n a n d r e a d through
tho s e wo n d er ful p ag e s w i ll lay t h e bo ok d ow n with
th e s e ns e o f h avi n g r e a d som e thi n g by a mo d e rn a u
tho r r e cou n t i ng tw e nti e th c e ntu ry e v e n ts ; t h e t reati e s
sp e e ches a n d wa rs o f t h e d ays o f Alcib i a d e s s e e m
not to hav e b ee n s o lo n g a go Gla n ce at a n o ld map
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3 46
H ow D I PLO M ATS M A KE WA R
L e t a ru l e r b as e hi s
stru ck for right a n d j ust i ce !
gove r nm e nt up on v i rtuou s p r i nc i p les a n d h e will b e
l ik e t h e pol e sta r wh i ch r em a i ns ste a d fa st i n its pla c e
Al on e t he ru ss e t p ear t re e g row s
W i t h f r u i t up on i t f a i r t o s ee
K i n gs s e rv i c e kn o w s n o t s p e e dy c l os e ;
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The y e a r is fa s t re c e d i n g O ;
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3 47
M y w o m an s h e a r t i s b l e e di n g 0 ;
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Th e re wa s h owev e r s o m e th i ng de e p e r so m e th i ng
n e r i n t h e fe e li n g in the i r sol d i e rs s ongs tha n we
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la d th r ows ou t i s wo rthy o f i mitat i o n :
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W h a t m o r t a l bu t mu s t t o il a n d m o i l
H e re t h e r e a n d e v e rywh e r e ?
W h a t p l an t i s n ow n o t s o mb r e ?
W h a t m o r t a l u n di s t r a ugh t ?
P o o r t roo p e r s w e a l o n e o f m e n
Ar e l e ss t h a n hum a n t h o ugh t
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3 48
D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
the
a r e ligi o n t h at ca n o n ly o ffe r w a r su ch a s th at n o w
wag e d o n t h e C o n ti n e nt fo r t h e s oluti on o f wro n gs
a n d opp r e ssi ons i s a reli gion wo rth m a int a in i n g a n y
lo n g e r
I t mu st no t b e imagin e d that t h is struggl e r e ects
I t shoul d b e r e m e m
t h e tru e m i n d o f t h e p e o pl e
b e r e d tha t a g r e at cha n g e wa s taki n g p la c e i n t h e
mi n d s o f wo rk e r s i n all la n d s G r e at b o d i e s o f m e n
w e r e no lo n g e r cont e n t to le t p oliti ci a n s d o all th e i r
thi n k i n g fo r them ; th e y w e r e r e a d i n g lit e r atu r e u n
kn o wn to t h e i r fath e rs Th e i r outlook on l i fe wa s
changing a n d som e fa i r e r V i s i o n fo r tho s e who l a
b o u r a n d a r e h e avy la d e n was tou chi n g the i r souls
with hop e
N ow th e l e sso n o f this aw ful wa r with
its c r us hi n g bu r d e n o f taxati on t h e d e solate d hom e s
will e a t d e e ply i n to th e i r mi n d s a n d tu r n th e m
wh e r e ? B a ck a ga i n t o t h e b e li e f i n the F ath e rho o d
o f Go d a n d t h e B r oth e r hoo d o f M a n ? M a y no t
m a n y tu rn to S wi n bu rn e a n d s ay with h im :
,
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B e f a ll e n a n d h i d d e n h e r h e a d
Y e t t h y k i n g do m s h a l l p a s s G a lil e a n
Thy de a d s h a ll go dow n t o t h e de a d
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bloo d e d about i t a n d hav e r e viv e d the s p i r i t o f
Thoma s M u n t z e r pu t it thi s w a y :
,
3 49
15 25
F i gh t t he b a t t l e o f t he L o r d ! O n ! o n ! o n !
Now i s t he t i m e ; t h e w i ck e d t r e mb l e wh e n t h e y h e a r yo u
H e e d n o t t h e g r o a n s o f t he i m p i o u s ! R o u s e
B e p i t il e s s !
up t he t ow n s a n d v i ll a g e s Ab o v e a ll r o u s e up t h e m i n e r s
O n ! o n ! o n ! wh il e t h e r e is bu r n i n g !
o f t he m o u n t a i n s
O n wh il e t h e h o t g ro u n d i s ye t r e e k i n g w i t h t he s l a ugh t e r !
G i v e t h e r e n o t i m e t o go o u t ; t h e s w o r d n o t i m e t o c oo l
K i ll t h e p r o u d o n e s ; wh i le o n e o f t h e m li v es yo u w i ll n o t
b e f re e f r o m t h e f e a r o f m a n ! W h il e t h e y r e i g n o v e r yo u
i t i s n o u se t o t a l k o f G o d
Ar i s e !
,
.
W a r i s o n e o f t he g re a t e s t p l a gu es t h a t ca n a ffli c t h u
m an i t y ; i t des t r oy s r e li g i o n i t d es t r oy s s t a t e s i t d es t r o y s
f a m ili e s An y s c o u r g e i n f a c t i s p r e f e r a b le t o i t F a m i n e
b e co m e a s n o t h i n g i n c omp a r i s on w i t h i t
a n d p e s t il e n c e
P e s t il e n c e i s t h e l e a s t e v il o f t h e t h re e a n d t w a s t h e r e f o r e
D a v i d ch o s e i t w illi n g r a t h e r t o f a l l i n t o t h e h an ds o f G o d
t h a n i n t o t h o s e o f p i t il e s s m a n
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D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
A go o d w a r h a llo w e t h e v e ry c ause a n d
he s a i d
H i s swo r d into ou r h a n d s !
A syn d i cal ist m o r e
e n e rgeti c tha n S o r e l mi ght app e a r a n d t e a ch t h e
w e alth p ro d u ce rs t he e f ca cy o f o r gan i z e d fo rc e to
ov e rthrow o r gan i z e d cap i ta l I t woul d not b e d if
cu lt fo r a m a n w h o k n ows s omethi n g o f t h e h i sto ry
o f s tat e s to p re s e n t e vi d e n c e whi ch woul d imp r e ss
men a n d wom e n who hav e to i le d a n d moil e d to g e t
a b i t o f a hom e tog e ther f r om the s av i n gs o f s t a rv a
t i on w ag e s th at g e n e rati on a fte r g e n e r at i o n th e y
i n the ma i n p rov i d e for mun i t i ons o f w a r a n d giv e
th e i r b e st e s h a n d bon e to the M oloch o f Nob e l
K r upp S chn e i d e r a n d Vi cke rs to w i n j u stic e fo r
stat e s
w i thou t a ny Stat e e v e r g i vi n g a p a ssi n g
thought to the i r cla im to i n d iv i d u al j u sti c e
Wh a t co n t e mpt cou l d b e p ou r e d by a new La ss all e
o n t h e catchwo r d s o f stat e sm e n : P r e stige ! B ala n c e
o f Pow e r ! T ripl e E n t e nte ! Stat e honou r ! Stat e j u s
ti ce ! H ow e asily he woul d conv i nc e his au d i e n c e
th at a ll thes e t e rms a re the gibb er i sh o f Stat e sor
cery
Adde r s f o r k a n d b li n d w o rm s s t i n g
L iz a r d s le g an d ow l e t s w i n g
F o r a ch a r m o f p ow e r fu l t r o ub l e ;
L i k e a h ell bro t h b o il an d bub bl e
,
L E T SATAN H A VE A T R Y
35
35
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D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
e ve r
symboli z e d t h e C r o ss !
H ow d e e p t h e
t h ought o f G e r m a n hum a n ists su n k i n to t h e m i n d s
o f B r i tis h wo rki n gm e n d u r i n g th at p e r io d wh e n ou r
sociali sts o f t h e M a rxi a n s c h ool w e r e i ntro d uc e d to
t h e w r it i n gs o f Co n ti n e ntal at h e i sts o n ly thos e who
h av e cl o s e ly wa tch e d th e s e t e n d e n ci e s ca n s ay I t
may how e v e r b e s a f e ly imput e d that sp e e ch e s su ch
a s th o s e d e l iv e r e d by S i r W R ob e r tso n N i coll a n d
M r Lloy d G e o rg e h a v e d o n e m o r e to tu r n th o u
s a n d s o f work e r s to t h e w r i ti n gs o f m e n lik e Vogt
wit h th e i r b i t ing s a r ca s m tha n a ll t h e p e rsu a s i ve elo
qu e n ce o f t h e I n ge r s olls a n d B r a dla u gh s
-
T h e i s m o r b e li e f in a p e rso n a l G o d l e a ds as a ll h i s t o ry
c l e a r l y s h o w s t o M o n a r ch i s m a n d p r i e s t l y r u l e ; P a n t h e i s m
wh e r e i t i s i n t he
o r b e li e f i n a n a ll p e rv a d i n g G o d l e a ds
a s c e n d e n cy t o c o n t e mp t o f t h e s e n s e s
de n i a l o f t he Ego t o
a n d t o a s t a t e o f s t a g n a t i on
At h e i s m
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g e n c e t o p r o g r e ss t o du e r e co g n i t i o n o f m an in a w o r d
t o H um a n i s m
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3 53
h o p e s s h ou l d a n i m a t e t h e w o rl d
S h o u l d d a w n f r o m n ew r e v e a li n g s t o a r a c e
W e i gh e d do w n s o l on g fo r g o t t e n s o l o n g
Ti s
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li gh t
Wh a t n e w hop e o f j u st i c e h a s C h r i sti a n i ty g i v e n
to t h e ra c e w e igh e d d ow n s o l o n g ? A n e w h o p e
wa s bo r n a t N a z a r e t h bu t e v e r si n c e th at tim e C h r i s
t i a n i ty h as s e e m e d to d o e v e r yt h i n g i n i ts p ow e r to
p r e v e n t tha t hop e t o u ch i n g t h e soul o f m e n
I t wa s
a n e w hop e :
Y o u r h e a v e n ly Fa t h e r k n oweth th a t
e
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gav e to t h e rac e o f m a n s o g r e a t a hop e a s th a t An
All Fath e r w h o k n ow e th t h e n e e d s o f a ll H i s chi l
d r e n is t h e b igg e st co n c e pti o n o f G o d e v e r p r e s e n t e d
to m a n
Fro m i t j u sti c e to a ll H is c r e atu r e s ows
sp o n ta n e ou sly I t i s w i thou t l im i t o f ra c e colou r
o r c r e e d I t i s fu n d am e n tal u n iv e rs al a n d e te r n a l
Wha t ha s b e e n d o n e by C hri sti a n ity to m ak e th a t
co n c e pti o n a r e a l b a s is fo r e x i st e n c e ? N o Ch r i st i a n
s houl d d a r e sc o ff a t a th e i sti c o r huma n i sti c a sp i r atio n
u n ti l h e c a n t r anslat e t h e G alil e a n s c o n c e p ti o n o f
G o d i n t o a l e a d i n g to f r e e d om i n t e llig e n c e p r ogr e ss
a n d d u e r e cog n itio n o f m a n
Th e t e n d e n cy to G o d
i n d i cat e d by B r ow n i n g i n P a r a ce ls us i s what m a n i s
y e a r n i n g to un d e r stan d :
,
B u t i n c o mp l e t e d m an
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ne
WA R
H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE
3 54
A g l o ry t o b e m i n i s te re d u n to
W i t h p o w e r s p u t f o r t h a t m an s ex p e n s e w i t h draw n
F ro m l a b o u r i n g in h is b e h a l f ; a s t re n g t h
I c a re d n o t
D e n i e d t h a t m i gh t a v a il h i m
L es t
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C RUSH P RUSSIAN IS M
3 55
a noth e r
Wha t ab ou t t h e P ru ssi a n H u n e h ?
Th e n a p o lic e ma n c am e u p o n t h e s c e n e a n d a ft e r
mu ch d i f culty d r agg e d t h e wom e n o ff to R o ch e st e r
R ow A clergyma n w h o w atch e d t h e small c r ow d
fo llow i n g t h e w o m e n a n d t h e co n stabl e p a ss i n to t h e
gloom wa s h e a r d to s ay
T e r r ibl e n e ighb o u rh o o d
t hi s ; no t n e a rly e noug h p o li c e m e n o n t h e b e a t !
An d ye t w a r n e v e r r e v e a l e d a n a t r o ci ty lik e Tu fto n
S t r e e t ; bu t t h e m a rv e l o f i t i s not that i t i s so b a d
I t i s a myst e r y how i n
r a t h e r that i t i s s o go o d
d u s t r i o u s d e c e nt m e n a n d wom e n c an b e bo r n a n d
b r e d i n tha t pl a c e but th e y a r e ; n o t m any still a fe w
sw e ete r e x
r i s e o u t o f i t wit h a d e si r e fo r a fu lle r
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H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
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35
th e glob e
p ou n d e d it fou r hu n d r e d a n d o d d y e a rs B C
Thou
s a n d s o f w e ll m e a n ing p eopl e ha v e t h e s ame noti on ;
th e y n e v e r g e t b e yo n d t h e i d e a t h a t J e su s was a
v e ry r e sp e ctabl e plag i ari st H ow o ften i n sp e aking
t o gat h e r ings o f m e n o n r e l i g i ou s a n d e conom i c sub
E X TE M PO R E SO C IALI S M
3 57
J esu s ?
Th e s e a r e o n ly some o f the m ost re a son
abl e qu e st i ons r e m e mb e r e d in a long p e rio d o f le c
tu r i n g M i lli o n s wa n t to k n ow what J e su s m e ans to
m a n Th e th o u san d s w h o t r amp d a y a ft e r d a y
y e a r aft e r y e a r to t h e mi lls fa cto ri e s shops a n d
o f ce s o f ou r g r e a t towns want to k n ow i f th e r e i s
a b ett e r syst e m o n e th a t w i ll put a n e n d to t h e aw fu l
wa r o f to i l a n d mo i l a n d l e a ve m an to wag e t h e o n ly
b attle th e C r e ato r i n te n d e d hi s c r e atu r e s to wa g e
Who wi ll e xpl a i n t h e
t h e b attl e a ga inst n a tu r e
t ru e J e su s to th e s e m e n ? Who w i ll s how t h e m t h e
p la n t h e syst e m t h e o r d e r o f e xi st e n c e wh ich h e s a i d
I t c an n o t
t h e All Fath e r m e a nt fo r H is c h il d r e n ?
b e d o n e d u ri n g a wa r but w h e n t h e T r e aty o f P e a c e
i s sig n e d will th e chu r ch e s e d it o rs o f r e ligiou s p a p e r s
H OW
D I PLO M AT S MA KE WA R
I h ope
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w o r k e rs w ill r e fu se t o be dup e d by n e
v a gu e p ro m i s es I h op e t h e y w ill c omp e l r i gh t
t he
TW O VIEWS O F J USTI C E
3 59
h on ou r abl e ge n t l e m en t o g r a n t a n d m ake l e g a l t he fu l l s c al e
o f s e p a r a t i o n a ll o w a n c e a n d p e n s i o n b e f o re t h e y e n li s t
C an n o t B r i t a i n gh t i n g o n e o f t he m os t ch i v al ro u s
b a t t l e s t he w o r l d h a s e v e r s e e n r e l y o n he r ch il dr en t o r a ll y
T h a t i s t h e a pp e a l I m a k e t o t he y o u n g m en
t o t he a g ?
o f t h e N on c o n f o r m i s t chu r ch e s
T h r o ugh i t a ll I t h i n k
I ca n s e e t h e h a n d o f j u s t i c e m o r e s u r e l y a n d g r a du a l co n
s ci o u s ly b u t c e r t a i n l y g r i pp i n g t he v i c t o r y
Th is
pp o r t u n i t y for t he t ra de u n i o n s a n d
T h e re a r e p le n t y o f m e n fo r t he a r my
fo r t he w o r k e r s
a n d t h e r e is p l en t y o f m o n e y t o d e a l j u s t l y w i t h t h e m e n
w h o go t o gh t
I f t he p e o p l e i n s i s t up o n j u s t i c e t h i s w a r
w ill h a v e do n e m o re t h a n a n y t h i n g e lse in o u r t i m e t o h e l p
t h e re a liz a t i on o f a f r e e a n d s a n e S o c i a li s m i n t h i s c o u n t r y
is
g re a t
The g re a t
co u n t e rb a l a n c i n g all t he a pp a ren t
g a i n s o f a r e co n s t r uc t i on o f s o c i e t y up on wh a t a re c a l le d
s o c i a li s t i c li n es w il l b e t h a t li b e r t y w ill b e s l o w l y b u t s u re l y
l os s
of
H OW
3 69
D I P LO M ATS MA KE WA R
de a t h , a n d t h a t w i t h a s u p e r c i a l e qu a li t y o f
f o r t u n e s a n d co n di t i o n s , e v en i f t h a t co u ld b e a t t a i n e d, w e
s h o u l d h a v e t he m os t s t e r ilizi n g des p o t i s m t h a t t he w o r l d
has e v e r s e e n
s t a rv e d
to
j ust i c e ?
Who the n wi ll d e termine th at qu e stion ?
N o statesm a n h a s la i d d own a n accep tabl e d e n ition
o f j usti ce Th e P r i m e M i ni st e r wa s co n sci ou s s e v e n
yea rs ago tha t t he S ta t e h a d not ev e n approa ch e d
the i d e a l o f j u st i c e H e d e s cr i b e d the p os it i on i n
thes e wo rds :
.
l o o k s a ro u n d w i t h u n p re j u d i c e d e y e s a t
t he s t r uc t u re o f s o c i e t y a s i t a c t u a ll y i s a n d r e a liz e s n o t
o n l y t h e e n o r m o u s d i s p a r i t i e s i n t h e d i s t r i bu t i on o f m a t e r i a l
c o m f o r t a n d h a pp i n es s bu t t he s t ill m o re s t r i k i n g d is cre p
a n ci e s b e t w e e n O pp o r t u n i t y o n t h e on e s i d e a n d t a l e n t a n d
ch a r a c t e r o n t he o t h e r w il l n o t o n l y n d i t d i fcu l t to
re c o n c il e wh a t he s e es w i t h e v e n t h e r u de s t s t a n da r d o f
i de al j u s t i c e b u t w ill b e t e mp t e d t o be a m a z e d a t t he p a
t i e n ce e v e n t h e i n e r t n es s w i t h wh i ch t h e m a ss o f m a n k i n d
No w o n de r
a cqu i e s c e i n wh a t t h e y d e e m t o b e t h e i r lo t
t h a t c o n s t a n t c o n t e mp l a t i o n o f a n d r e e c t i o n u p o n s uch a
s p e c t a c l e h as d r i v e n a n d c on t i n u e s t o d r i v e so m e o f t h e b e s t
a n d n e s t s p i r i t s o f o u r r a c e i n t o m o ra l a n d i n t e ll e c t u a l
r e v ol t
An y
on e
w ho
WI LL LE GISLATO RS A CT ?
3 61
sold i e rs a n d s a i lo rs a n d the i r w i v e s a n d ch i ld r e n i s
n o t j usti c e ; i t i s o n ly t h e m e r e st busin e ss lik e e xp e d i
e n t fo r n ati on a l sa f e ty
Ju sti ce i s som e thi n g e ls e
Wh a t d id M r Asqu ith im agi n e the ru d e st sta n d a r d
for i d e a l j usti ce t o b e wh e n h e sp o ke at La dyb a n k
i n 1 9 0 7 ? N o o n e k n o ws M r As qu ith ha s n o t put
on re co r d hi s d e n i t i on o f j usti c e
B e fo r e w e a r e
the wo rl d h a s e v e r s e e n s ta t e sm e n mu st n d a d e
n i t i o n o f j u s t i c e w h i ch wi ll b e co m p a tibl e with t h e
p recep ts o f th e fou n d e r o f wh a t is call e d t he C h r i s
t i a n fa i th ; o r e ls e b oth st at e a n d r e ligio n m ay go
d own m i n gling w i th t h e d e b r i s o f w a r
H ow sp e e d ily w e a r e p lu n g e d i n to th i s cal amity
Who i n Ju n e 1 9 1 4 b e li e v e d w e S hou l d b e call i n g fo r
m illi o n s o f m e n to e n t e r t h e ti ta n i c st r uggl e ? A
memb e r o f t h e Gov e r n m e nt on S u n d ay Augu st 2 n d
said
N o o n e w ill e v e r m ak e m e b e li e v e w e a r e
go ing to wa r
Up to t h e la st m o m e n t i t w a s d if
cult to m ak e som e m e n b e li e v e w e w e r e in i t Th e
tim e wa s short bu t shorte r n oti ce may b e giv e n so m e
t o tak e
d a y wh e n a n e xasp e r at e d p e opl e d e ci d e
wha t G ov e r n m e n t wi ll n o t gi v e
Wh e n t h a t cr y
s o l o ng struggli n g i n t h e th r o a ts o f p ati e n t i n e r t a c
qu i e s c e nt labou r i s a t l a st h e a r d in t h e l a n d w h e n
t h e s hout fo r j usti c e go e s u p f r o m a n e n light e n e d
p e op le w i ll t h e p o l itic al p a rti e s gath e r with t h e
u n an i m i ty wh i ch am a z e d t h e wo rl d wh e n w a r w a s d e
Wi ll l e gi slato rs u n i t e to gra nt
cla r e d o n G e rm a n y ?
labou r s d e ma n d ? o r u n i t e to d e n y th e m t h e j u sti c e
th e y d e s e r v e ? De s e rv e ! t h e j u sti c e whi ch i s th e i r s
by r i ght ; by r i ght o r C hr i st e n d om i s a sham a n d t h e
D e v i l ha s cou ns e lle d cab i n e t a n d chu r ch to r e ma i n
neu tr a l to d estroy them The t i me i s fa st com i n g
-
H OW
3 62
D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
citi z e n s b e lo n gs to t h e natio n
A ft e r t h e st e p s
tak e n by t h e G ov e r nm e nt in t h e d i r e cti o n o f So ci a l
s ays S o ci a li sm
d eni es to the i n d i vi d ual a n y r i ghts
i n d ep e n d e n t o f S o c i e t y a n d a ssign s to S o c i ety autho r
i ty to d o what e v e r i t d e e ms fo r i ts own go o d with
t h e p e rso n s
fa culti e s a n d p osses s ions o f i n d iv i du
als
I t will b e t h e so c i al i sm o f M r Sidney W e bb i f i t
b e a nythi n g at a ll :
.
The rs t
h
r i gh t s
t e re
a re
p mu s t b e t o r i d o u r m i n ds o f t he i de a t h a t
i n s o c i a l m a t te r s as a b s t r a c t
s uch t h i n g s
s te
an y
TH E P U R ITAN I DEAL
3 63
I w e ll r e m e mb e r I did a li t t l e t o uch u p on t he E i gh t y
ft h P s a l m wh e n I s p a k e u n t o yo u i n t h e b e g i n n i n g o f t h i s
P a r li a m e n t
W h i ch e x p re ss e t h w e l l wh a t w e m ay s ay as
t r u l y a s i t w a s s a i d o f o ld by t h e P e n m a n o f t h a t P s a l m !
Th e rs t v e rs e i s a n a ck n o w l e d gm e n t t o G o d t h a t H e h a d
b e e n f a v o u r a b l e u n to H i s l a n d a n d b ro ugh t b a ck t he ca p
t iv i t y o f H i s p e o p l e
a n d t h e n ho w t h a t
H e h a d p a r do n e d
a ll t h e i r
i n i qu i t i e s a n d c o v e r e d a ll t h e i r s i n a n d t a k e n
a n d i n de e d o f a ll t h e s e u n s p e a k a b l e
a w a y a ll H i s w r a t h
m e r c i e s b l e s s i n g s a n d d e li v e r a n c es o u t o f c a p t i v i t y p a r do n
P a r do n i n g as
i n g o f n a t i on a l s i n s a n d n a t i o n a l i n i qu i t i es
!
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G o d p a r do n e t h N a t i o n s a l s o !
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s t r e n g t h t o d o wh a t yo u h a v e do n e !
b l e s s yo u in t h i s w o r k a n d m a k e t h i s m e e t i n g h a ppy o n t h i s
a cc o u n t
yo u s h a ll a ll b e c a ll e d t h e B l e s s e d o f t h e L o r d
Th e g e n e r a t i o n s t o c o m e w ill b l e ss u s Y o u s h all b e t he
a n d t h e r e s t o r e r s o f p a t h s t o d w e ll
r e p a i r e rs o f b re a ch e s
An d i f t h e r e b e a n y h i gh e r w o r k wh i ch m o r t a l s ca n
in
b e y on d t h i s I a ckn o w l e dg e my
a t t a i n u n to i n t h e w o r l d
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.
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an
H OW
3 64
M e r cy
D I P LO M ATS M A KE W A R
u h a re m e t t o g e t h er ; r i gh t eo u s n es s a n d
p e a c e h a v e k i s s e d e ach o t h e r
T ru t h s h a ll s p r i n g o u t o f t he e a r t h ; a n d r i gh te ou s n ess
s h a ll l o o k d o w n f r o m h e a v e n
Y e a t h e L o r d s h a l l g i v e t h a t wh i ch i s g oo d ; an d o u r
l an d s h a ll y i e l d he r i n c re a se
and
tr t
M e e t i ng to C e l e b r at e the P e a ce s ay
l e gislato r s
c annot atta i n to a n y high e r work tha n rep a i r i n g t h e
b re a ch a n d r e sto ri n g p aths t o d w e ll i n
Wi ll th e y
s ay to qu ote a noth e r p a ssag e from t h e s am e chapt e r
wh i ch insp i re d t h e o ld P u r i ta n Fathe r :
I s n o t t h i s t he f a s t t h a t I h a v e ch o se n ? To l o os e t he
b a n ds o f w i ck e dn e s s , t o u n do t he h e av y bu r de n s an d t o le t
?
t h e Opp r e sse d go f r e e , a n d t h a t ye b r e a k e v e r y y o k e
,
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C aes ar s ;
u n t o C aes a r t he
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t e re o r e
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h a m e t o m e n ! de v il w i t h dev il da m n e d
F i r m co n c o rd h o l ds m e n o n l y d i s a g re e
O f c r e a t u r e s r a t i o n a l t h o u gh u n de r h o p e
O f h e a v e n l y g r a c e ; a n d Go d p ro c l a i m i n g p e a c e
Y e t li v e i n h a t re d e n m i t y a n d s t r i f e
O
3 65
Am o n g t h e m se l v e s a n d l e vy c r u e l w a r s
W a s t i n g t he e a rt h
o t h e r t o des t ro y ;
As i f (wh i ch m i gh t i n duc e u s t o a cc o r d )
M an h a d n o t h e l li s h f o e s e n o w b es i de s
T h a t day an d n i gh t fo r h is des t ru c t i o n w a i t
,
CHAPTE R X V I
A F T E R MA T H
h i n g s t h a t ye s h a ll do : s p e a k ye e v e r y
m a n t h e t r u t h t o h is n e i ghb o u r ; ex e cu t e t he j u dgm en t o f
t ru t h an d p e a c e i n you r g a t e s :
Z ec h a r i a h
T H ES E
t he t
a re
3 66
3 67
r id
th ems e lv e s
w a rs
Let th e r e b e n o mistake th i s t i me I n t h e p a st
c e r ta i n ofc i als a n d write r s strove du r i ng wa rs to
mak e p e opl e f o rg e t t h e i ssu e s whi ch m a d e w a rs ; t h e
r e as ons g i v e n t o the publi c fo r e nte r i n g o n wa r w e r e
s e l d om the r e a l r e a sons ; u su ally t h e re a l r e aso n s
nev e r r ea ch e d t h e m i n d o f t h e g e n e r a l p ubli c
H e nc e the e a s e with whi c h Gove rn m e nts lau n ch n a
tions i nto w a rs
I t i s a ll v e r y p rop e r to exp r e ss i n
d ig n ati on a t ru thl e s s a cts i n i cte d o n d e f e n c e l e ss
p e r so n s a n d towns ; bu t i t wou l d b e m ost u nw i s e t o
fo rg e t t h e i ssu e s whi ch b rought ab ou t th e str i f e
R e a l symp athy w i th t h e v i ctims in a ll cou n tr i e s n o w
su ffe r i n g from t h e r avag e s o f w a r mu s t e xt e n d s o fa r
a s to mak e a re cu r r e n c e o f thes e ho r r o rs imp rob abl e
I t i s o n ly to b e e xp e ct e d that m e n a n d wom e n o f r e
n e m e n t s hou l d b e d e e p ly inc e ns e d a t th e d estru cti on
o f R he i m s C ath e d r a l ; bu t tha t t h e a ct s houl d blot
out o f m i n d t h e e v e nts wh i ch b rou ght t h e w a r about
i s a p oo r se rv i ce to a rt a n d huma n i ty
To tho s e w h o c a n no t u n d e r sta n d why c e r ta i n p e o
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lib r a ry the ru inati on o f b e a uti ful bu i l d ings a n d not
b e j ust a s d e e ply S hock e d a t t h e loss o r mut i lat i on o f
a sol d i e r it must b e p o i nt e d ou t th at i t i s t h e cu stom
o f the w o rl d to r ega r d the b o d y a n d sou l o f a man
a s som e thi n g i n feri o r i n va lu e to a ra re volume o r a
g r an d c athe dral The re i s noth i n g s o ch e ap a s
hu m a n l i fe I t i s t h e p opul ar not i o n that m en a re
e asily rep la ce d ; a n d so long as m e n p e rm it certa i n
s e ct i ons o f th e i r f e llows to th i nk th e y a re che a p not
wo rth the i n te re st b e stow e d o n a bu i l d i n g or a book
the wo rl d wi ll hav e l i ttle r e st from wa r a n d only
.
H OW D I PLO M ATS MA KE WA R
3 68
3 69
PAT R IOTIS M
f it
a s i d e i t will r u l e ov e r t h e m i nd i t hits b a ck
i f yo u t r y t o d r iv e it o u t
Du r i n g a wa r i t i s n o e a sy ta sk to p r e v e nt y o u r
symp at h y clou d i n g you r r e a s o n The w h o l e s o ci a l
syst e m s e e ms to b e o r ga n i z e d aga inst a n y i n d ivi d u a l
a tt e m pt t o co n c e n t r at e t h e att e n ti o n d o mi n a n tly up o n
t h e cau s e s o f t h e w a r
G o v e r n m e n ts chu r ch e s
th e at r e s t h e p r e ss a n d lo ca l au t h o r iti e s d i r e ct th e i r
e ffo r ts
i n t h e m a i n wa r w a r d s ; th e wh o l e thought
o f s o ci e ty a n d c o m m e r c e s e e ms t o b e o ccup i e d with
w a r ; a n d a ll d e s i r e t o qu e stio n t h e r e a so n s giv e n
by stat e sm e n fo r p a r t I CI p a t I n g 1n t h e w a r mu st b e
supp r e ss e d I t ha s b e e n r u l e d al r e a d y by c e rta i n
l e a d e r s o f th o u ght that i t is u n wi s e u n p at r i o ti c
a n d u n E n glis h
t o su sp e ct t h e m o ti v e s o f Gov e r n
m e n ts o r wav e r fo r a m o m e n t i n sw e a ri n g wh o l e
h e a r t e d all e gi a n c e to t h e aut h o r i t i e s : you mu st t h i n k
only o f t h e w a r I f you d a r e a sk fo r t h e t r uth
you a r e h e lp i n g t h e e n e my ; i f you su gg e st a n e a r ly
p e a c e you a r e hi n d e ri n g t h e mi lit a r ists w h o d e si r e
n o p e a c e u n ti l th e i r e n e my i s u tt e r ly c r u sh e d
In
s i dio u s
b e wil d e r i n g a n d pl au sibl e a r e t h e r e a so n s
giv e n by sta t e sm e n a n d j o u r n alists fo r i n icti n g a
humili a t i n g d e f e a t ; wi t h o ut i t th e y t e ll u s w e mus t
n o t hop e f o r d i s a r m a m e n t
No p at r i o t i s suppo s e d
to a sk i f d i sa r m am e n t i s a t a ll p r ob abl e
No one
mu st a sk i f a si n gl e stat e sm a n r e ally b e li e v e s su ch a
bl e ssi n g wi ll f o ll o w i f t h e e n e my b e a n n i hi lat e d B u t
i s i t b e li e vab l e ? Wha t d o e s d i s a r mam e n t m e a n ?
D o e s i t m e a n t ha t all a rs e n a ls a n d d e p ots wi ll b e
sc r app e d th a t a ll ya r d s a n d o r d n a n ce wo rks wi ll b e
clos e d t h at all ship s o f wa r will b e d ism a n tl e d tha t
all n av al a n d mi lita ry w e a po n s plant a n d a m m u n i
t ion will b e d e st r oy e d a n d that all s ol d i e rs a n d s a i l
o
H OW
3 79
D I PLO M ATS M A KE WA R
d i s a rmam e n t wi ll s a ti s fy th e p e opl e
H a s tha t
w r i t e r a sk e d h i ms e l f th e s e qu e sti o n s
Wi ll Russi a
d isa r m ? Will Fr a n c e d i sa rm ? Aga i n what p ow e r
w i ll B r i ta i n a ft e r s h e d i sa r ms h av e o f maki n g G e r
m a n y a fte r sh e i s cru sh e d not f o llow t h e e xampl e
o f F r a n c e i n t h e s e v e n ti e s ? H ow long a fter 1 8 7 0
w a s Fra n c e cont e nt to r e ma in qu i e t ? Th e r e i s thi s
to o to b e con si d e r e d : Ar e t h e m e n w ho con d u ct e d
t h e n e goti ati on s b e fo r e th e w a r to b e t h e mak e rs o f
p ea ce t e r ms ? W i ll the o ld he a d s s e r v e fo r ra d i cally
new i d e a s ? A fte r the wa r i t i s qu it e p rob abl e ther e
w i ll b e gr e at e r G ov e rn m e n ta l r e a s o n s fo r bu i l d i n g u p
ma ss i ve a r mam e nts t h an ev e r b e fo r e O n e h a s o n ly
to think o f t h e p o siti o n i n C e nt r a l Eu rop e i f G e r
m a n y b e utt e rly cru sh e d Wi ll s h e b e satis e d to le t
R ussi a b e come the gre at e st P ow e r i n Eu rop e ? Wi ll
B r i ta in with i n t e n y e a r s b e sati s e d wi th Ru ss i a a s
the dom i n a n t P ower ? Wh a t m ilita r y a n d n aval
st r e n gth w i ll B ri ta i n r e qu i r e to ins i st o n n e a r ly 8 0
o f t h e T e uto n i c r a c e i n Eu r op e r e ma i ni n g
qu i e t ? I f i n a compa rativ e ly f e w y e a rs F r a n ce coul d
r i s e aga i n ou t o f t h e d ust o f 1 8 7 0 to b e a P ow e r
grea t e n ou gh to s e e k a lli a n c e s with B r i ta i n a n d Ru s
s i a su r e ly a n y o n e w i th a gra i n o f S e n s e must re ali z e
,
SO M E
P RA CTI CAL
P R O POS AL S
37
P a rli am e n t
Fo rc e s
a n d n o mo r e C ab in e t rul e
p r im a rily
a n d P a rli am e nt o n ly mu st b e r e sp o n s ibl e
a n d nally
fo r a ll a ff a i rs a ffecti n g th e l i ve s o f t h e
e o pl e
p
T hen i n conn e ct i on w i th the n avy a n d a r my all
o rd e rs fo r a ll mat e r i al mu st i n d e ta i l b e subm itt e d by
t h e e xp e r ts t o a P a r li am e n ta ry C omm itt e e m a d e u p
f r om a ll s e cti o n s o f thoug h t i n t h e H o u s e ; a n d e sti
mat e s mu st b e t e n d e r e d a s was d o n e re c e ntly i n
Am e r i ca s o that the re w i ll b e comp e titi o n s t r on g
e nough to b r e ak all r i n gs
I t i s a ls o n e c e ss a r y to
m ak e t h e M i n i st e r fo r W a r a n d t h e F i rst Lo r d o f t h e
A dm i r a lty t h e s e r vants o f P a r li ament a n d d e liv e r
t h e m o u t o f the ha n d s o f th e e xp e rts D e mo c r at i z a
tio n o f all t h e s e r vi c e s mu st follow th e se cha ng e s
Som e r e d u cti on i n a r mam e nts m i ght th e n b e ma de ;
but le t it no t b e im agi n e d tha t th e s e chang e s will b e
S u fci e nt to p r eclu d e t h e p rob ab i lity o f wa r Th e y
.
H OW
2
7
D I P LO M ATS M A KE WA R
GOO D T I M E S AN D BA D
3 73
f e w men wou l d e n l i st
I t i s c ompulsi on o f a v i ta l
kin d that li e s a t th e b a ck o f t h e p r oblem ; w i th t h e
r ank a n d le i n d e e d , c h o i c e s ca r c e ly ev e r e nt e rs i n
C ho ic e d e note s f r e e d om to d e ci d e , l i b e r ty o f a ct i on ,
AS w a s s a i d by a sol d i e r i n the
a n a lt e r n at i v e
Hou s e o f Commons , o nly a little while ago , Re
cr u i t i n g i s goo d wh e n
tr ade i s b a d
Y es , i t i s
hung e r , la ck o f a hom e , o f d e c e nt clo th e s , o f m e a n s
o f k e e p ing cl e an , wh i ch a r e t h e ch i e f r e as o n s fo r men
j oi n i n g t h e ranks W ho h a s w a tch e d r e c r u i t i ng s ta
t i o n s a t d i ffe r e nt s easons , i n t im e s o f p rosp e r i ty , a nd
i n tim e s o f d e p r e ssi on , a n d no t s e e n how p o w e r ful a re
t h e n e e d s o f m e n i n a ffe cti n g t h e wo rk o f re c r u it i ng
s e rg e a n ts ? Wh e n tra d e i s b o oming only a w e e d y ,
wi z e n e d lot o f w r e tch e d yout h s a r e , a s a rul e , t o b e
s e e n re a d i n g t h e p ost e rs , o r ch att i ng w i th t h e m e n
w i th the r ibb o n s a n d t h e ca n e
B u t wh e n d e p r e s
s i o n s e ts in , qu i t e a n oth e r typ e o f m an i s s e e n ab ou t
t h e stati o n s ; f e llows ou t o f wo r k , hu n gry , hom e less
labou r e rs , s om e t i m e s a r t i z a n s s e e ki n g th e a rmy o r
.
H OW
3 74
D I P LO M AT S M A KE WA R
t h e b est way to p r e s e rv e p ea ce i s to p re
p h ras e
p a r e fo r wa r
Th a t rott e n e xp e d i e nt ha s b e en
s hatt e re d completely Th e p ositi on o f th e nati o n s
w a r ring i n Eu rop e p rove s conclu s i v e ly that n o
VI C I ST I GALI L E E !
3 75
S hu t up t h e
a n d l ay the m o n m e n s shoul d e rs
H ow
3 76
D I PLO M ATS M A KE W A R
li e ,
TH E E ND
A P P ENDI X
An a rt i cle app e a re d i n Th e L a b o u r L e a d e r i n
F e b ru a r y 1 9 1 5 wh i ch co n ta i n e d t h e followi n g
a rt i cl e a n d not e s tak e n from the P a ll M a ll Ga z e tt e
o f F e bru a ry 4 t h a n d 5 t h 1 8 8 7 At th a t t i m e M r
W T St e a d wa s th e e d ito r o f the p ap e r
,
E N GLA N D A N D B E LGI U M
AR E W E B O U N D To I NTE R VE N E ?
T H E R E I S N O G UA R A N TE E
.
Th e S t a n d a r d th i s m o r n i n g giv e s sp e ci al p rom i
me nc e t o a l e tter s i gne d
on th e n e u
Dip lo m a t i cu s
t r a li t y o f B e lgium
I t a lso d e vot e s i ts rst l e a d i n g
a r t i cl e to t h e S ubj e ct Th e g i st o f thes e u t t e r a n c e s
m ay b e summe d u p in two p r op o siti o n s : (1 ) E n g
l a nd i s u n d e r a tr e a ty o f obligati o n to d e f e n d t h e
.
3 77
A P P E N DI !
8
37
H e r M a j e s t y t he Qu een o f t he U n i t e d K i n g do m o f
G r e a t B r i t a i n a n d I re l a n d d e c l a r es t h a t i f d u r i n g t h e s a i d
h os t ili t i e s t h e a r m i e s o f F r an c e (o r P r u s s i a ) s h o u l d v i o l a t e
t h e n e u t r a li t y o f B e l g i um , S h e w il l b e p r e p a r e d t o co o p e r a t e
w i t h h is P r u s s i a n M aj es t y (o r t he Emp e r o r o f t he F r e n ch )
fo r t h e d e f e n c e o f t h e s a m e i n s uch a m a n n e r a s m a y b e
mu tu a ll y a g r e e d up o n , e mp lo y i n g fo r t h a t pu r p o se he r n a v a l
an d
m ili t a r y f o r c e s
to en s
u re
i ts
b s e rv a n c e
A P P E NDI !
3 79
The
i n de p en de n c e a n d n e u t r a li t y o f B e l g i um w ill s o
fa r a s t h e H i gh C o n t r a c t i n g P a r t i es a r e res p e c t i v e l y co n
c e r n e d c o n t i n u e t o r e s t a s h e r e t o f o r e o n t h e rs t a r t i c l e o f
t h e Qu i n t up l e T r e a t y o f t h e l gt h o f Ap r il
Now wha t s om e p e op le d o i s to r e a d th i s tre aty o f
1 8 3 9 by t h e light o f t h e mo r e sp e ci c tr e aty o f 1 8 70
a n d t o d e d u c e f r om t h e fo rm e r t h e s am e obl i ga ti o n
o n the p a rt o f E n gla n d to i nte rvene aga i nst any i n
fr in ge m e n t o f B e lg i um s n eutra l i ty a s wa s conta i n e d
i n t h e 1 8 7 0 tr e a ty
Th is how e v e r i s a compl e t e ly unt e nabl e p r oc e e d
in g
Th e t r e a ty o f 1 8 3 9 must sta n d o n i ts own l e gs
a n d th e se
i t will b e s e e n a r e by no m e a ns v e r y
strong The follow i ng a re th e t e rms o f i ts s econ d
a rt i cl e
H is M a j es t y t h e Emp e ro r o f Au s t r i a Ki n g o f H u n g a r y
H is M a j e s ty t he K i n g o f t h e F r en ch H e r
an d B o h em i a
M a j e s t y t h e Qu een o f t h e U n i t e d K i n g do m o f G re a t B r i t a i n
a n d I re l an d
H i s M a j e s t y t h e K i n g o f P r u ss i a a n d H i s
M a j es t y t h e Emp e r o r o f a ll t h e R us s i a s de c l a r e t h a t t he
a r t i c l e s h e r e by a n n e x e d t o t h e t r e a t y c o n c l u d e d t h i s da y b e
t w e en H is M a j e s t y t h e K i n g o f t h e B e l g i a n s a n d H i s M a j
G r a n d D uk e o f L u xe m
e s t y t h e K i n g o f t h e N e t h e r l a n ds
b o u r g a re con s i de r e d a s h a v i n g t h e s a m e f o r c e an d v a lu e a s
i f t h e y w e r e t e x tu a ll y i n se r t e d i n t h e p re s e n t a ct a n d t h a t
t h e y a r e t hu s p l a c e d u n d e r t h e gu a r a n t e e o f t h e i r M a j es t i es
H e r e th e n we a r e s e nt o ff f r om th e tre a ty b etw e e n
t h e G r e at P ow e rs to t h e tr e a t y b e tw e e n B e lgium a n d
Th e s e venth a r ticl e o f thi s tre aty
t h e N e th e rla n d s
(wh i ch i s i d e nti ca l w i th the s am e a rt i cl e o f the 1 8 3 1
tre a t y ) ru n s :
B e l g i um w il l f o r m w i t h i n t h e li m i t s i n di c a t e d i n I 2
an d 4
S he
a n i n d e p e n de n t a n d p e r p e t u a ll y n e u t r a l S t a t e
w ill b e b o u n d t o observe t h is s am e n e u t r a li ty toward all
o t h e r St ates
A P P E NDI !
3 80
A P P E N DI !
O CCA SI O N A L
38I
N OTE
Th e a tt e mp t o f t h e M o r n i n g P o s t to p rov e that
thi s count r y i s u n de r a gu a rant e e to B e lgium to d e
f e n d i ts n e ut r ality i s h ig h ly unsu cc e s s ful
Th e
t r e aty o f t h e 1 5 t h o f N ov e mb e r I 8 3
i t s ays w a s
ca n cell e d by tr e ati e s o f t h e 1 9 th o f Ap r i l 1 8 3 9 bu t
t h e p r ovis i o n s r e ga r d i n g t h e n e ut r a li ty o f B e lgium
rem a i n e d i n ta ct
Th i s a s w e p o int e d out y e st e r
d a y i s not the ca s e
Th e t r e a ty o f I 8 3 1 w a s w i th
B e lgium a n d t h e e x e cuti on o f its a r t i cl e s (i n clu d i n g
o n e whi ch p rov i d e d fo r t h e n e utra l i ty o f B e lg i um )
w a s gu a r a n t e e d t o t h e Ki n g o f t h e B e lg i a ns B ut in
t h e tre aty o f 1 8 3 9 th o u gh t h e a r ti cl e a ss e rti n g t h e
n e ut r a lity o f B e lgium r e m a i n s
the gu a ra nt e e di s a p
p e a rs I t i s t h e mo r e su r p r is i n g that t h e M o r n i n g
P o s t S houl d b e a t su ch p a ins to p rov e that th e r e i s
still a gu a r ante e s i nc e t h e only a cti o n i t woul d i n a n y
ca s e r e c o mme n d b e i n g tak e n o n it i s a p latoni c p r o
t e st T o co n stru e a n o n e xi st e n t gua r a nt e e i n o r d e r
to h av e th e p r i vi l e g e o f utt e r i n g a n un ava i l i ng p ro
t e st i s su r e ly the ve r y sup e r flu i ty o f futil i ty
B u t t h e li n e tak e n by t h e M o r n i n g P o s t i s p e r h ap s
no t qu i t e s o absu r d a s th a t which Th e S t a n d a r d ye s
t e r d a y su gg e st e d a n d a co rr esp on d ent r e p e ats thi s
m o rning W e a r e to const r u ct t h e gu a ra n t e e a n d a r e
then to d e cl a re ou r obl i ga t i on to d e fe n d t h e n e u tral
i ty o f B elgium a ga i n st a ll com e rs
B ut wh e n a ny
p a rt i cu la r com e r i n f r ing e s that n e utr ality w e a r e to
gra n t h i m a sp e c i a l d i sp e ns a t i on
Th e S t a n d a r d
a n d i ts co rr e sp on d e nt sp e ak only o f g i v i n g this d i s
p e n s a t i o n to G e rm a n y ; wha t i s to b e allowe d to G e r
ma ny cou l d no t b e d e ni e d to F r ance Ou r d e fe n c e
o f t h e n eutral i ty o f B e lgium woul d thu s b e neve r
to -da y b ut a lways e ve ry o th e r d a y ; i t would b e a s
.
A P P E N DI !
2
8
3
S p e ct a t o r , F e b ru a ry 5 , I 8 S 7
Th e
g e ne ra l i de a i s tha t E n gla n d wi ll b e k e p t o ut o f th i s
war
Tha t s he will t ry to d o so w e d o not
Our
d oubt , but th e r e i s the B e lgi a n d i f culty a he a d
gu a rante e fo r h e r i s not a s o li ta ry o n e , a n d woul d
not b i n d u s to ght alo n e : bu t th e r e a r e g e n e r al i nter
ests to b e cons i d e r e d The p rob ab i lity i s that w e
Th e
th e tra v
H O W D I P L O M AT S M AK E
FR N C I S
BY
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TS
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N EW Y OR K T M ES 3
v o l um e i w i tt e w i t h muc h f a c ili ty o f e p re s i o n a d a
l a g e fu d f m a te i l I n d i p l m t i c m tt s i t tt a ck s t h e f a u l t
o f t h e r u li g c l a s
i n G r e a t B i t a i n i n m uc h t h
I
a me w ay a s
Accu s e ! a tt a ck e d t h s e o f t h e c o r r e p d i g c l s i n Ge m n y
Th e
r a s.
on
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TH E B OS TON H ERA LD Z
h i f h b ki
d i fu l ff c f w
th
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c mm p p l
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wh
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d ud g v ill g t l y d b l i t c m m d d t h k i d f
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ft
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